Bitcoin Overview & Setup | Live Trade Analysis + Giveaway

[00:00:08]from the fire. Every day I'm going [singing] higher [music] and we ride it all the way.

[00:00:19]>> Hey yo, I'M ALL ABOUT THE CRYPTO IN case you don't know. It's the ho in the crazy sweep on the nation. Baby, every [music] black shade and created the same. But the learning curve feels like a killing to the brain. Let me light [music] it up. Let me enlight it. I react to the max that would turn to a fire. When you're down on your knees from the USD, we'll see you on the other side WITH THE BTC.

[00:00:42]IT'S TIME to rise up the phoenix from the fire. Every day we're going higher and we ride all the way. We're going to rise up [music] like the phoenix from the fire. Every day we're going higher and we'll ride it all the way.

[00:01:05]What's the difference between A BLOCK AND A SHAME? WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN TRAINING AND DEFINE? WHERE GO [screaming] >> WELCOME TO THE jungle baby.

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[00:01:30][music] >> Every day we're going higher and we ride IT ALL THE WAY. We're going to rise up like the phoenix from the fire. [music] Every day we're going higher and we ride it all the way.

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[00:02:25]Good morning, guys.

[00:02:27]Happy Friday. What's up, TripleA? We got Coma here, Wagner, Sterling, got lad, Wayne, Delta G. Nothing like free will, TripleA, Uncle. What's up, guys?

[00:02:46]Where's my camera?

[00:02:48]Uh, sec here.

[00:02:51]Boom. Nope, that's not it. Video capture device.

[00:03:00]Okay, I will close that.

[00:03:09]Add source.

[00:03:12]Uh video capture that's source. Good morning. Wildfires in Canada. Pretty crazy. Yeah, the skies were orange the other day.

[00:03:24]Not so much today, but there we go.

[00:03:36]Rash my camera.

[00:03:39]Close.

[00:03:45]Let's get rid of Get me going over here. Oh, what just happened?

[00:04:02]There we go. That's better. Sorry, guys.

[00:04:05]Might as well be up higher.

[00:04:15]Good morning. All right, we got it all fixed.

[00:04:21]Decent crypto. Good morning, man.

[00:04:24]The Andre, what's up?

[00:04:29]Slabo XMT textile what's up Noah Jim is working you are huge today.

[00:04:43][laughter] Yeah. Yeah. Just get some V effects on.

[00:04:48]Getting buff.

[00:04:51]All right. Uh let's dive into the charts. So, um preparing for a long like scalpy kind of long. Nothing crazy.

[00:05:02]Uh we have and some people still holding their short from here. Think that was an amazing short. We hit our target today.

[00:05:13]Uh this was our original target at 63,000 right here. Or we got to our there's like a fiveminute war block gold pocket confluence. uh PC confluence like lots of confluence for a bounce here. The bounce like I said yesterday not I'm not really expecting much just to go towards like newly created supply.

[00:05:37]We had this supply guy here right we uh it induced a neckline. We had this like five minute bullish change of character that kind of brought us to it. Then we pulled back, took the low and then created structure for the 15minute time frame and got a 15-minute bullish change of character. This potentially dictates a path to the supply right here.

[00:06:05]Um, and the previous value area low that we were ranging within before I, uh, our timing is kind of awkward and at where it confirmed was really steep. So, the R&R wasn't great. So, I'm depending on a pullback. The pullback could just be halted here at the VWOP and we could bounce and get the higher high and then run up. But I want to be getting in during the pullback and not so much on the break structure continuation because if we get in on the break structure continuation, our RNR is still not going to be good.

[00:06:42]So the downside is uh the padding does suggest that we could be going up, but what you're trying to risk to lose versus what you're trying to gain is not that great. The good news is we have tons of confluence like right here, but our positioning would be below the VWOP. So, I would like to see maybe we hold this as support, get above the VWOP, and then start going after a long, baby sitting near the unclaimed high in hopes that we get the continuation to our primary target.

[00:07:21]Um, the confluence is here if you're not if you're wondering. We got our orb, which is the first 15-minute candle close of the day, which helps dictate a directional bias, induce liquidity, and how algorithmic market makers or algorithmic bots could be calibrated for the day. So, when we get the break to the upside, our bias is bullish, break to the downside, our bias is bearish. Um but yeah here if we come back down the orb is a form of confluence. The orb itself is also a bullish order block. We have a 44day point of control here. Um so I'd like to see if we come down that low a low time frame like three minute bullish change of character acceptance back above the VWOP and then run up. If we don't get below the VWAP, then we don't have to worry about the acceptance above it. We just need whatever kind of um confluences that you look for. Like honestly, what we just saw right here is good confluence for a bounce off of VWAP for a move up when we had that doge red dogee green engulfing candle. And if one of those has volume support, which they don't, then they're usually good for a move up. So this kind of structural variance but with more volume support.

[00:08:47]We're still downtrending in the volume side of the fence. So if we break volume trend and something where like that were to happen then yeah it's a good setup to go in on.

[00:09:01]But yeah guys that's pretty much it for the long criteria today. We're doing our giveaway today too for $1,000 on Bitex.

[00:09:09]Um, so I'm kind of hoping that Yeah, basically I'm in bull mode, but it's not like bull market bull mode. This is more like a we could create a higher low or lower Yeah, a lower high. Sorry, a lower high if we were to come up for this long. U I got this yellow bar marked here on my screen just to notify me when like the daily candle is going to likely end around here. And what we need to accomplish by then is going to be important because if we are still below this supply when we're getting close to the end of the day, then this is just going to induce a range and we're going to get stuck here throughout the weekend likely because we're right on a point of control. And if we zoom out, um, I have the volume shelf high and low of this node marked and we could get caught inside that for a little bit, especially when we're coming into the weekend.

[00:10:06]Um overall bigger picture though, if you're trying to hold a short still from the high, if we get the break of structure and we get below um this volume node where we just SFPD, then we're very likely to get a continuation down to as low as 60,600 area, 60,300 area. We have a 4hour order block, two-hour order block. Our macro valley area low is here.

[00:10:34]So it's a great spot to prepare for a long back up.

[00:10:40]Um like tons of interest here. So I do have 61272 marked because it's the liquidity starts to go cold here and sweeping this area would likely tap the 4hour order block which I don't have marked by the way. Like the 4-hour order block is just I kind of use this to kind of prepare to dictate for that order block tap, but it's right here.

[00:11:07]If you look at the 4 hour time frame, think that ceiling of it, it's awfully close to it. So, if we have something like a a descending double bottom and we sweep the load and we tap that 4-hour or block and get the change of character, then that could be a great long to internal supply or confluence barriers like the PC.

[00:11:30]But down here, I'll be looking for fullon rotations to the other side of the valley area and going back to the 15. Yeah, we're still kind of coming down. Nothing crazy. So, I'm hoping that maybe we get the trade in during the live. If not, I'll get you guys the signal. I already signaled the plan and what we're waiting for.

[00:11:54]Um, so you guys can kind of get ready so long as it works in confluence with your rules. And we're kind of looking for we got the break. Looking for look for the pullback and then move up using three minute structural agreements.

[00:12:13]Got the break. We're starting to get the pullback now. We just need that. Yeah, like I said, three minute structural agreements.

[00:12:27]We have the chat.

[00:12:31]Uncle, you're brave. You weren't You're sad you weren't brave like Jill to hold the short. Felt the little FOMO real bad today. I hear you, man. I didn't hold the short either. If it makes you feel any better.

[00:12:45]Yeah, the opposing change of character out of Valer Illo after hitting demand got me out. Um, and I was like going to jump right back in around here, but we didn't make it. We hit the PC SFP and came down. Um, there was an opportunity to get back in off the low break here and retest, but yeah, I was a little late, so I wasn't able to jump in.

[00:13:19]Uh, we got a good play on Ethereum, too.

[00:13:21]We talked about that yesterday.

[00:13:24]Um, and talked a lot about it this morning because Brett, one of our members, is holding it. Did a good job.

[00:13:31]We were talking about the pathing of breaking this high to come back up using this demand as form of support. But we instead broke the key level that we had marked here for our short. We retested, came down.

[00:13:44]Um, and it's Ethereum is currently at like a decent area of confluence. We're at the a previous value high for this range. We have demand zone here. We have an hourly and 15-minute order block here. We got 50-day EMA here. We have uptrending momentum here. So, tons of confidence for a bounce, but um right now we don't really have much structural agreeance on the 15 minutes. We have we're kind of trading internally, right?

[00:14:13]Um we're internal between this high and this low. actively bearish after rejection off the VWAP. So, it's its positioning is kind of got relative weakness against Bitcoin, but it does have unique confluences that Bitcoin doesn't.

[00:14:30]And right now, we're bouncing off of our orb and newly created order block with the 50-day EMA kind of in that equilibrium point around here. So, if we get up here and we break above this neckline, this is where I recommend you have your stop losses if you're in on this.

[00:14:53]But yeah, our target was was here off these value. Yeah, we want to get rid of this giant fair value gap and we did very slowly.

[00:15:05]Normally, we drop through these fast, but timing in the day is important. like we got um a slow drop because usually New York session loves to fill those gaps a lot faster than like the Tokyo for example.

[00:15:22]You do those Tokyo bursts once in a while like this is a common attribute in the Tokyo. You'll get these illlquid moves sometimes.

[00:15:40]We're coming down to VWOP now. Let's see if we hold Bullr Runner. What's up, man? Anywh who Chris from Yubit, what's up, man?

[00:15:59]RP working on a deal with you with you guys actually of where I got the deal set up. I just got to get everything all calibrated.

[00:16:13]Button set up as well. Description's changed.

[00:16:19]They got some cool deals for you guys.

[00:16:28]Getting a little squeezed here.

[00:16:32]Let's move this to the right.

[00:16:42]Make sure you mark your wick level high case. We SFP this.

[00:16:58]What do you guys want to look at next?

[00:16:59]Let's take a look at uh I am I have just finished an indicator for you guys for valley area or range traders.

[00:17:10]Um there's a few things I need to change on it, but sorry for the alert.

[00:17:19]Um but yeah, so this is the indicator here.

[00:17:24]We got it's a it's an auction based indicator is looking at pivots, uh, EMAs, closed candles. I can send you guys the formula if you're interested in learning the formula, but I'll have a whole lesson on it for you guys soon, too. But it's main it's meant for value area traders. So, um it'll look at uh key areas of interest to generate like you'll see these like wizards pop up. You can turn these on and off by the way. You can read it your own way if you want. But basically once you have an established valley area when demand is created or supply is created and we are using as uh uh our key area of interest for a valley area pole after like two chalks two changes character. You can start using these little wizard guys to help tell you when we're going to have a rotation to the opposite side of the valley area right or to warn you that we might get stopped through the valley area path. Um, so you can look at these and help it will help guide you into knowing when we're about to get a a bounce or rotation. Like here, for example, wizard told you we might not make it. Think of it like uh Gandalf telling you that you shall not pass, right? If you see this pop up, then it's going to warn you that we might not get that full rotation like we got here, for example.

[00:18:51]So, it'll tell you to jump in around here. it would warn you to jump out around here.

[00:18:58]Um, this works on multiple time frames, all time frames, sorry, but you need to have an established valley area for it to be reliable. Um, we went over like an example here.

[00:19:11]Um, where if you just This is a daily range, right? This is our demand zone. This is our first demand zone.

[00:19:22]We can look at these little wizard dudes and it'll tell you, okay, it's time to prepare for rotation to the opposite side, right? And it will sometimes give you an earlier entry. Like this was a little bit early. This one was a bit um Yeah. So this out of all these, it was wrong like twice on the rotation.

[00:19:47]So you it's good to have like at least if you're using it like on the daily, it's good to have like lower time frame structural agreeance like maybe like the 15 minute or the hourly before jumping in.

[00:19:59]But it'll help guide you into the valley area rotations.

[00:20:04]And once this is uh released to you guys, I'll tell you like in a rule format like step one, look for this, step two, look for this, step three, look for this, step four, look for this, how to trade with this.

[00:20:18]And that way you can have your little checklist to notify you, okay, when's it going to be like a high probability win rate kind of trade.

[00:20:34]Yeah, a lot more info on that very soon.

[00:20:39]And yeah, like I said, there's a lot to change on this indicator. If you go to the settings, um there's like intraday mode, scalping mode, swing trade mode. Um, and what it does is it just changes the the the preset all the data for the presets here to kind of synchronize with higher time frames if you're looking at lower time frames and all that jazz.

[00:21:05]Um, and you can turn off these little guys.

[00:21:10]It's the profit guide if you don't want them on there. It'll also give you a diagnosis table to tell you like when we might be breaking out of an existing range uh through like a breakout risk table that scales from like 0 to 100.

[00:21:25]I'll give you a quality score of the range. And it's doing that based on looking at like a a look back period of 50 candles.

[00:21:38]Just trying to make trading as easy as possible.

[00:21:44]It's going to be a replacement of my RSI.

[00:21:47]I'm going to stop using the RSI and use that instead. It essentially has something similar to the RSI in its formula, but check polka dot. Yeah.

[00:22:08]Let's see what Polka Dot's up to. if that thing is still bleeding or not.

[00:22:14]Haven't looked at since June 3, 84 cents. Wow.

[00:22:30]I used to be a huge holder of Polka Dot.

[00:22:38]I was lucky to get in around it was like around $5 when we considered it cheap and then it ran up to it all high around $50.

[00:22:52]It does have a lot of competitors now, right? We lost this really really important valley area.

[00:23:02]It's like a 1200 day value area. And I I jumped in again around here looking for that rotation to its opposite side of the valley area. But we got these early warnings to tell us to get out unfortunately because it whenever it ran up to the opposite side, it it did so pretty well.

[00:23:22]200% climbs, right? Um, but we This is one of the few assets that hasn't like came down to reclaim its October 10th crash low.

[00:23:36]If you guys remember that ridiculous day, some assets like if they come back down to their low, they're not assets anymore. Like Adam, for example, I think it went down to a penny.

[00:23:52]Uh, let's zoom in on the hourly for DOT.

[00:23:55]So, DOT right now is consolidating against supply.

[00:24:00]Um, here's our little barrier that's been keeping us down.

[00:24:10]We have this one here, too.

[00:24:16]So, lost this battle against this supply. Came down, then lost this valley area, used it as resistance, and now we're here. creating a new rally area.

[00:24:31]We have this uptrending momentum.

[00:24:45]Still holding off that momentum. We're getting a squeeze.

[00:24:56]And here's our apex point.

[00:25:10]Um, in scenarios like this, it's good to look at liquidity, right? You use your measurement tool, find out where the lowest point is.

[00:25:21]to our maybe sometimes it's the highest point if we're in a demand bouncing off demand, right? Um and you're just going to drag it towards our current structure and find out how much time has passed.

[00:25:32]It's been 18 18 days, right? So then we go to the liquidation heat map and we select the asset. So we're going to go to symbol on coinlass.com and we're going to type in dot And then we're going to look at a wraparound period so it fits in that 18 days. So we can find out like which side has the most weight liquidity and where that liquid liquidity is. It helps you determine a bias and most of the liquidity is below dot. So statistically we'll go down.

[00:26:16]um and grab this liquidity and then we could maybe start looking towards the upside, right?

[00:26:26]We have quite a bit of liquidity right above around close to a dollar like 9822 on dot. It's way up here right above this little shelf here that we have.

[00:26:43]So if we come up at any point, we have to watch this as a form of resistance.

[00:26:48]So we could grab the lower side liquidity, right?

[00:26:55]Get acceptance in the valley area and then maybe we'll break to the upside and then all the people that use this as entry liquidity down here could use this as exit liquidity up here.

[00:27:10]So that's kind of like if I were a market maker for DOT, that's how I would view things right now. So I have a lot of money and I want to jump in, but I want to get in with the least amount of price impact. I don't want to create giant fair value gap candles. I don't want to create illquid price action. I want to get in without people noticing.

[00:27:28]Right? So as a market maker, that's what you'd be thinking in this scenario. You want the price action to be influenced to be pushed down and they can do so with spot or futures giant cell walls like we saw with Bitcoin, right? Because on Bitcoin up here, what was the the big dictator for me to jumping into the short wasn't the change of character this time. It was the 4,100 Bitcoin cell wall that was keeping the price from breaking past this point. Right?

[00:27:57]and they can do the same thing to manipulate price to go down into uh liquidity zones and then they reby in those areas.

[00:28:07]So that's what I kind of be planning on dot bigger picture is the the pathing to get below at least like this low here.

[00:28:21]But even better if we take out this low here.

[00:28:25]So, I'd mark them all. All the important key levels that haven't been swept.

[00:28:37]We got about three or four.

[00:28:47]Yeah, those are the big key areas that will come with the valley area low confluence.

[00:28:53]So if we get a reversal structure in the form of like a change of character or an ascending double bottom like we saw here and what we saw here seems to be ascending double bombs are kind of like its thing lately.

[00:29:05]We have three in a row that kind of dictated a strong reversal. Um we have internal structure on some of them that did give us the change of character of course but um like here change a character then pulled back to like gold pocket area change of character and pulled back. It's like 76 area.

[00:29:32]So same kind of story guys. I'm betting on it going down. Then we can look for longs on DOT. Zooming in on DOT on the 15minut time frame. If we do hold off this momentum and bounce up for a move up, I like to see this low here taken first like this. And then we'd have this established as our strong high. get the change of character, break above the point of control simultaneously, break momentum simultaneously, and then prepare for a move up to our valley area high and downtrending momentum as an undercut. And you'd see the undercut in the order books, too. So, if you see the undercut, then prepare for rejection here around 868.

[00:30:22]But timing is important on that, too, because we're in a squeeze, right? And if we're constantly seeing undercuts that are trailing a trend line, then prepare the price to be potentially lower than over time. Yeah.

[00:30:38]But we're in crypto land. We don't normally meet the apex point, right?

[00:30:44]Normally, statistically, it's 30% prior to us hitting the apex point. So, I'd say DOT is awfully close to breaking out and finally coming down to sweep these lows and grab all that liquidity.

[00:31:02]I hope that helps you out. But that's what I'm looking at in terms of DOT's price action. All right, Bitcoin came down steeper.

[00:31:10]We tapped that 15minute order block.

[00:31:13]We tapped the orb.

[00:31:16]So this is the yeah last form of bullish confluence to dictate the reversal. This is kind of where we wanted to be at.

[00:31:26]Now what I want to see is a bounce hit or head maybe off the VWAP.

[00:31:32]Maybe take the low and then close above the VWAP before going up.

[00:31:49]Yeah, it's almost doing exactly what we wanted to do. It's just a matter of waiting for the confirmation now.

[00:31:57]Very slightly front ran the golden pocket.

[00:32:01]Maybe if we do come up and then sweep the low here, we'd have that golden pocket confluence on that sweep.

[00:32:29]Good morning, Josh. What's up, man?

[00:32:37]BSTRD.

[00:32:41]I see what you did there with your name.

[00:32:45]How you doing, man?

[00:32:51]virtual TA.

[00:32:58]I think I have a virtual chart.

[00:33:06]It's also getting kind of squeezed.

[00:33:21]Missing a red light here.

[00:33:35]I guess there's Yeah, it's good key levels. But um All right. So, uh, virtuals. Yeah, we had this little bit of squeeze event here. Hit our head off momentum, came back down, lost this uptrending momentum, and kind of on a path back to our valuary low. Uh, we've reached it. We haven't had anything other than internal structure on the daily to dictate a reversal.

[00:34:00]Uh, let's delete, delete, delete.

[00:34:12]Uh here's our key level at 6722.

[00:34:24]It is internal.

[00:34:31]Yeah.

[00:34:33]So we got squeeze ever since reaching 825.

[00:34:38]we have this descending triangle, right?

[00:34:41]This is our demand zone that's been holding us up, right? Uh we kind of fully mitigated on the October 10th crash, but it's still a big area of interest, right?

[00:34:54]So, I'm going to watch that right here at Yes, like I said, 6722 is a big key area of interest. We're getting currently squeezed between the 200 and the 50-day EMA.

[00:35:07]Um, so if we get that break to the upside, we have to watch the 50-day EMA in conflence with that daily opposing order block that's right in its face, too. Uh, just at I just adapted the fixed range profile pull our PC's here. So, we got Yeah, a lot of opposing confluence right on that bullish break.

[00:35:29]It's really annoying.

[00:35:32]So, you're going to expect a pullback even if we break this high off of that. What we have one, two, three, four opposing forms of confluence.

[00:35:49]So even though we flipped bullish during this moment, I would expect us to hit our head here to mitigate at least some of this opposing confluence, push some more buy side liquidity above us, pull back, maybe we'll find support off this 50-day EMA and then get the higher high break.

[00:36:15]As yet, I just want to be super cautious on that. Even though like our positioning is great, we're getting a we're getting close to the apex squeeze between our valley area low and this momentum.

[00:36:25]Um, but I'd rather you Yeah. be super cautious. We could just break right through this as well, right? Like crap like that happens all the time where we just break right through it and then we retest it as support. Like that could happen too, but we have to assume resistance first, right? and we we hit our head here, we pull back, look for support maybe in the moment around here or just bea uh be patient and wait for the break of structure and then use the newly formed strong low as your stop loss instead of using the original strong low once we have the initial break.

[00:37:01]So I would say yeah prepare to be bullish on this thing. Uh you the volume may be crappy on it right now, but we're we have stacked like without even looking at the liquidation heat map.

[00:37:16]We've stacked liquidity all above these highs, right? So it's going to be a big area of interest for us to kind of run up and I'd be looking at a paddthing target around a 165 to be conservative, which is the valley area high and prepare for reversal structure here.

[00:37:36]Right? We might not get it during this moment. We might get continuations. We might get a break of structure instead of a change of character. And that just tells you you can hold your trade a little bit longer and focus on the extreme highs.

[00:37:49]Um, so this is more of a macro view of things, but it is coiling up for a macro move. Now, if you're looking for something more when you're asking me to look at virtual and you're looking for something more like a local or lower time frame like a scalp, now you can use this information for that too. Right? If we're looking for a rejection off these highs, maybe we get an SFP on the daily.

[00:38:15]6722 will be a key area for shorts.

[00:38:18]Right? If we don't get the confirmation for a macro long and then pull back, then we can look for shorts off this too. If we don't even make it there, we can look at our current posture and we can see that we're currently trying we're failing to create a higher high, right? With our posture being like right on top of the 50-day EMA like what Bitcoin was currently previously doing, right? If we look at Bitcoin, it was failing to create support off the 50-day EMA. We got an SFP and then we kind of rode down. I wouldn't say virtual definitely didn't fail to create support during this moment.

[00:39:03]But we are seeing sellers kind of take over. So if we close below this low like structurally we'll have a gradient for a move down. But what I don't like about the low here is the 50-day being right in our face.

[00:39:23]So I maybe wait and see like how do we perform when we get down there if we get the break retest.

[00:39:31]You could use this as your stop-loss guide. You can use the head and shoulders as your momentum guide.

[00:39:41]I can bring us right back down to this demand zone.

[00:39:52]If you don't like shorting that, I'd understand. We did lose momentum, right? I would recommend maybe trying to get in on a front run of that.

[00:40:05]from valley. Yeah, from the high to the low pole. Maybe we come up and hit our golden pocket with alongside the confluence of this 15-minute order block and that will allow you to frontr run the break of this low. So, you can be more cautious here because shorting off of lows is always nerve-wracking, especially when there's a confluence of a 50-day EMA.

[00:40:41]When Bitcoin's positioning was way different, right? We were shorting off of a high and we lost that 50-day EMA, not off a low.

[00:40:53]So, we can wait till it gets to a high and then look for that reversal structure on the 15 like a bearish change of character.

[00:41:02]Right? Because we have this internal inverse head and shoulders that could drive us up pulling back to test it. Now we get that break structure continuation and then we get the reversal we can prepare for rejection front run the break here. If we get the bounce instead then you have your answer right? If you have a bullish change character here you just get out. But if we have the break structure continuation then you can hold it to the macro demand down at 555.

[00:41:29]That'd be the safer way of doing things instead of shorting off the low.

[00:41:37]But up here, if we instead, you know, break above this, we don't have that right shoulder formed for a move down, then we can start looking for shorts at the 200 day EMA PC daily order block and look for a reversal structure here on the 15minute time frame.

[00:42:02]I hope that helps you out.

[00:42:05]But remember, if the daily close is above here, even if you have that short criteria met, you have to listen to the higher time frame structural posture to help ground yourself when it comes to targets.

[00:42:19]What's the strong low that's not likely going to be targeted? For example, like broken, right? If you're shorting here, you're not going to be targeting down here.

[00:42:28]You're going to be targeting internal barriers for a bounce, for continuation since we broke bullish during that moment.

[00:42:35]So, always listen to the higher time frames. They're the boss of the lower time frames.

[00:42:40]Can help guide you into a more macro trade. Scalp into the short, prepare for the macro long.

[00:42:50]I hope that helps, man.

[00:42:54]All right, we're getting that bounce off of the order block and the orb confluence.

[00:43:02]We went down a little steeper than we thought.

[00:43:07]I guess we got right to the golden pocket, eh? Yeah, got right to the golden pocket. We were hoping that the second pullback was maybe the the tap of that, but we're at VWAP now, which is our primary barrier on the on the internal entry. So, we get a pullback. I would take the the bullish flip in this scenario. I wouldn't necessarily need to change a character as we're setting kind of a key level now. Have 40 seconds left in this candle. If we pull back, if we bounce, whether it's a higher low or a lower low, this is going to be an area of interest to prepare for a long to target the unclaimed high and then go up to our supply target.

[00:43:54]So, it's almost done painting the picture that we've got drawn here.

[00:44:02]So, this it be like this instead, right?

[00:44:04]From here, potentially like this.

[00:44:17]Good morning, Jill.

[00:44:33]Bitcoin got 30 minute SFP, I guess. So, right. Yeah, the remaining bearish change character I mean SFP. We flipped the SFP in the low targeting the strong high SFP that so the technical target for the 30-minut S&P is down here again. But we have opposing confluences that act as barriers for that rotation man.

[00:44:59]We'll see what happens.

[00:45:08]There are more trade participants on the 15 minute than are the 30.

[00:45:19]All right, we hit our VWAP.

[00:45:27]If it goes straight up from here, I'd be so annoyed.

[00:45:33]And pull back one more time.

[00:45:53]We had to go pocket quick. Yeah.

[00:46:04]The only reason why I didn't jump in on that is because the VWAP's above us, right? If the VWAP was like around here, I would already be in this trade.

[00:46:15]Um, so now I'm just waiting on maybe a pullback, generate a good key level, then close above VWOP, rotation to the unclaimed high, then yeah, here we go.

[00:46:41]Could use a strong low as a stop loss.

[00:46:48]or the internal low.

[00:46:50]The internal low is a bit iffy unless I get that pullback first. The pullback first, I'll use this low, this internal low as my stop loss guard.

[00:47:14]We got request looking at objective. I just we just close above VWOP guys.

[00:47:27]See if we pull back or not.

[00:47:38]Still got descending volume.

[00:48:08]You're testing the Clarevo strategy using the SVP indicator on the 3 minute.

[00:48:13]On the three minute interesting I guess we have like this would be kind of all the scenarios right on the three minute supply change character change character change character Yeah, this one maybe not too great of example, but coming in towards fly. Watch your head.

[00:49:09]Change character rotation to the very low. Change character rotation to Valer high. The reason why it's not a very good scenario is because the the chalk confirmation was right at the very high.

[00:49:20]And this one was not too bad.

[00:49:27]This is more of a front run of a prediction of a value area to be created and longing after newly established supply. You're always going to watch that as your first threat.

[00:49:51]You're mostly relying on break of trend rather than change of character.

[00:49:53]Otherwise, Arnara is sometimes you do definitely get a lot less opportunities waiting for a change of character, but there are a lot safer opportunities because you're not going to take all of them, right? If you took every change of character, your iron on some of them are garbage.

[00:50:25]Okay, let's do our giveaway here, guys.

[00:50:32]All right, the uh let's do the winner for $200 first.

[00:50:38]Get my announcement stuff set up.

[00:51:01]Friday. Friday. Okay, there we go.

[00:51:17]Okay. So, for the $200 draw now You won a couple three weeks ago.

[00:51:45]Congrats, man.

[00:51:50]All right, let's do our next one. Uh, screenshot this first.

[00:52:00]All right, cool. Uh next winner for 300 starting with different code.

[00:52:25]We got a UID number starting with 747.

[00:52:31]You won the $500 last week.

[00:52:49]You guys got to nickname your account so I know who you are.

[00:52:53]All right, let's go to the 500 now.

[00:53:10]They should make this faster.

[00:53:18]We got another iCloud winner.

[00:53:22]Uh, congrats man.

[00:53:31]Cool.

[00:53:37]So, just to repeat, yeah, you got seven days to claim these rewards in your rewards section in your exchange there.

[00:53:45]Um, so make sure you claim that and then you have seven days to use them. um because they do expire. So, you use those trading funds as quickly as you can. Um but don't do trades they wouldn't normally do just because you won. Okay?

[00:53:59]It's just makes no sense. Uh they help you mitigate 50% of your losses so you can risk to lose two times more than what you normally would. Um but still have the same, you know, stoploss budget that you normally would. So, you're not going outside your normal risk management parameters.

[00:54:18]All right, guys. Congratulations on winning. That's awesome. Um, we'll be doing it again on Wednesday for the giveaway there.

[00:54:30]Uh, for Bitcoin, yeah, we're starting to find support again off of the VWOP. We broke back above it after bouncing off our golden pocket. Pulled from this low to this high. We got the mitigation of our 15minute orb block that was here. We tapped the orb in confluence with that.

[00:54:47]We tapped a volume shelf, an important volume shelf actually.

[00:54:53]Sorry, I got hiccups right here. One of our forms of confluence for the support bounce that we're banking on here. Um, so now it's just a matter of are we going to get that full rotation? And that's going to be dramatically based on how we perform when we get to this high up here.

[00:55:13]So we if we close above this high that our probability of rotating to our supply this new supply zone is much much higher. If we sweep the high and then close back below then our probability of rotating back down is going to be much higher. Right? It would kind of tell us the story that we're grabbing the newly added liquidity still staying below our local supply and we could get stuck here in a range. Um, so just be cautious of that scenario.

[00:55:46]I'm not in on this trade. Um, I needed to see a better stage setup for a long here.

[00:55:57]Um, congrats to those who may have got in on the the confluence here that we mentioned.

[00:56:04]But yeah, I still need to see maybe a different maybe we come back down, consolidate a bit before running up. But uh just it wasn't what I wanted. The uh the VWAP was the main concern for me, how it performed against it.

[00:56:28]Well, we might run up now, honestly.

[00:56:37]All righty. Um, I think we caught up to everyone except for the injective request. So, let's pull up a rejective. Injective, sorry.

[00:56:50]Here. ING going on the hourly here.

[00:57:09]It was wild since we looked at you. We were watching this uh 4hour or block praying for a rejection off of it and we kind of went up to our 50-day EMA and previous low then came down.

[00:57:24]It's definitely kind of looking bare flaggy. One sec here.

[00:57:31]Got a lot of noise to get rid of now.

[00:57:54]There we go.

[00:58:04]And no.

[00:58:10]Okay. So, objective. We'll look at this more macro really quick first.

[00:58:26]Yeah. So, we bounced off of a a previous demand zone and valley area that we ranged within for 63 days. We found support off of that after sweeping the October 10th crash low and SFPD it. Uh we had this ascending double bottom break to the upside to leave this valley area here. We're using it as support now, right? We're kind of flagging our way up in a ascending regression trend which statistically breaks to the downside because of the nature and how it induces liquidity and takes liquidity. Right? So we take from the upside constantly all the newly added liquidity and we keep stacking below us.

[00:59:15]So statistically this breaks to the downside. It doesn't mean it will but I do want you to kind of prepare for that because that's what kind of stage is kind of setting for us. Um, the one criteria that I would like to see to kind of validate the idea this will drop is proper acceptance inside of this 15-day previous range.

[00:59:38]Um, I'd like to see that in the form we're now we're coming up to contest this supply and uh 200 day EMA. If we end up breaking above that, maybe we hit the PC, pull back, break a structure, then from there, I would be expecting a rotation to as high as if not more uh like $559 on Injective.

[01:00:00]This is more of like the macro view of things, but we are coming up right now to an area of interest where we expect to get a rejection right now as we speak.

[01:00:14]Um, so we'll see what happens. Prepare for like a pullback off the 200 day EMA.

[01:00:24]Maybe get the higher high and come after the PC in this previous high here.

[01:00:30]This stage looks a lot similar to how like Bitcoin was off of its 50-day EMA.

[01:00:36]We just we spedd came down lost the 200 was simultaneously giving us a change of character retest the 200 came down and we're getting squeezed between the 200 and the 50-day.

[01:00:50]I hate it when this crap happens. These squeeze events are really annoying. It makes your TA more cautionary, right?

[01:00:59]you're constantly having to worry about the algorithmic bots that are performed off these EMAs.

[01:01:09]So, I'd like to see like yeah, maybe a rejection off this pullback and create like a little ugly inverse head and shoulders to bring us back up to get acceptance into this 15-day valley area for maybe that full rotation to the battery high. But if we reject off of this, let's say we create instead like pull back, maybe sweep the high and get the change of character, then we could come down. But like I said before, like the 50-day EMA and the 200 get in your way of stuff. And you have to watch this along the way down.

[01:01:43]and then breaking that could be the this could be the front run to breaking this momentum that would drive us back down to our 63 day value area high where all this liquidity is kind of resting right so prepare for a scenario like that similar to how we're painted this picture here we could have it happen here again the head and shoulders posture fail to create a higher high rejection off the 200 and down we go. Watch this like a hawk and then see if we come down lower.

[01:02:27]But yeah, we're at a like a key moment right now as we speak.

[01:02:47]So, if we had like a pullback already, I could tell you a key level, but we don't have one yet.

[01:02:52]It kind of just went straight up.

[01:02:56]So, maybe we can check this out on Monday.

[01:03:00]Oh, by Monday, we might not. Yeah, this is Monday over here. So, we might have the move before the end of the weekend, honestly.

[01:03:15]Maybe. Yeah, maybe even today.

[01:03:22]Yeah, the 15 minutes already kind of generated a key level.

[01:03:30]We flip bearish if we close below 5013.

[01:03:39]Honestly, yeah, based on the structural posture of our current price action, the 15 minutes, great. I'd recommend, yeah, a close below here, watch out for a rotation down. And if we get the rotation down, like I said before, watch out for that 50-day EMA. And we have the confluence of a bullish order block here.

[01:04:14]I hope that helps, man. That's objective.

[01:04:33]Did we look at ETH? Uh, yes, we did.

[01:04:40]Kind of reviewed um what kind of happened here and why we were looking for shorts here yesterday.

[01:04:52]And now we're looking at potential longs here.

[01:04:56]We're kind of at a big make it or break it moment. the Ethereum closes below the newly created low that we have here, we'd mitigate this demand. We get below the 50-day EMA, we get acceptance to this valley area and we get a rotation down to uh 1,741.

[01:05:11]Uh if we start to get the bullish change of character, get above this VWOP um which is here, way up here, then we can come right back up to kind of where we were.

[01:05:25]But I expect resistance here.

[01:05:29]that basically the same area that we're looking looked at for a short 1862. It's going to be an area of interest for a rejection because of the previous lows we have here and the supply that we created.

[01:05:49]We had a little bit of front running price action prior to this like went kind of late for that.

[01:06:06]All right, guys. I got to go. Um, anyone who is a part of the community, David's call is today. It's at 1:00 Eastern.

[01:06:18]Um, if you're interested in learning more about swing trading and mindset, he's your guy. I'm gonna try to jump onto that call today, too. Um, I just want to see where he's at when it comes to the macro view of things because a lot of people are kind of bullish early and yeah, we kind of we got lots of work to do before we can actually assume that the bull markets started. I'm wondering what his uh his view is on that.

[01:06:52]All right, cool guys. You have a great day. I'll see you in the Discord. Reach out to me if you need help with absolutely anything. Our next live is on Monday at between like 10:30 a.m.

[01:07:02]Eastern, 10:40 a.m. Eastern is usually when we start. Um or any have yourself an amazing day. If you want to try out Investor Share for the first time, we have a code right now. The code is uh first 10.

[01:07:19]It allows you to try it for $10 in your first month. Uh so first the number 10, not the word.

[01:07:30]That call is for anyone in the discord.

[01:07:32]Yeah. So long as you're member. Yeah.

[01:07:34]Anyone who is a member like whether you're standard member, elite member.

[01:07:39]Yeah. You get access to it.

[01:07:45]All right, guys. You have a great day.

[01:07:48]Thank you. Bye.

[01:07:51]I'M ALL ABOUT THE CRYPTO. IN case you [music] don't know, it's the H IN THE SWEEP ON the mission. Every blockchain the same. [music] Let me let me [music] react to the max and turn to a fire. Down on your knees from the USD. We'll see you on the other side WITH THE BTC.

[01:08:15]>> It's time to rise up [music] like the phoenix from the fire. Every day we're going higher and we ride [music] it all the way.

[01:08:26]We're going to rise up the phoenix from the fire. Every day [music] we're going higher and we ride it our way.

[01:08:37]What's the difference between A BLOCK [music] AND A CHAIN? WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN TRADING AND DEFY?

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