This video presents a technical analysis framework for evaluating drone stocks (ONDS, RCAT, UMAC, KTOS, UAVS) using chart patterns like head and shoulders formations, support and resistance levels, and moving average crossovers, while also examining broader market indicators including SPY, QQQ, IWM, and Bitcoin to assess overall market bias and potential trading opportunities.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
Drone Stocks EXPLODE!! ONDS Stock | RCAT Stock | UMAC Stock | KTOS Stock | UAVS StockHinzugefügt:
Hey there everyone. We have big breaking news with the drone stocks. We're going to take a look at those in this video and of course we'll examine at the market bias with the spy, the queues, IWM. We'll also take a look at Bitcoin then we'll jump right into five different drone stocks in this one including ONDS, ARKG, and then we have UMAC, UAVS smallest one and then KTOS is the other one. So guys, I think you're going to like this and it could give us some pretty decent price action today and maybe gives us something to look at in the days coming.
Uh finding a bit of quite a bit of green in this morning's red pre-market. So we have news coming up about tensions between Iran and US and they just to keep on going on that yo-yo. So we were talking peace deal inflation down. If you look today the oil stocks are up, the futures are down and so we really need that peace deal to come through and blow the Strait of Hormuz wide open. And once again, I don't mean that militaristically.
Instead I'm talking about that just like open the darn thing up and let the energy flow freely and let's stamp out this inflation thing and get that bullishness back in. Look at the hourly chart for SPY. Left shoulder, head, right shoulder. As we look at this through the pre-market and the extended hours and we'll see if this neckline right here at 748.61 holds out. If it does, 754.61 is what we can once again look forward to which we didn't get anywhere near yesterday. But we did find some nice support before recovering into the into the market close and into the after hours yesterday. So breaking that neckline could send us back down technically to about 743 but our next major support that we have down below that is all the way down at 737 and then of course we have some bottom pivots down below that pretty significantly right around 732. When we go to the queues, we have once again head and shoulders. Now just to show you a little bit more on these lines, this one we actually did try out the 736.78 as we had to get above it to keep the punch going at the party. We're up in air resistance.
Left shoulder kind of distorted head.
Right shoulder on this one. Once again, there's that neckline 72579.
Breaking down below that if we get rejected when we try to break up above that. If we fall down below it, that could send us back down to about 715. Of course, we have this top pivot over here to watch for right around 722. That could also be very telling for us. Next major support is all the way down at 708 63 if we happen to move down that way, but you can see that we also have some other pivots that happen along the way, especially right around 715. IWM also up in air resistance. This one I have marked in red. There it is.
And you less plainly see the head and shoulders like we saw in the spine, which on the hourly chart was absolutely gorgeous in the way that it was constructed. So, market bias still generally bullish with some near-term concerns for showing some more green in the market, if you will. Right now, pre-market's coming out red.
There's a possibility that we sell down a little bit more. We've been running hot for quite a while, and there's some signs of bearish divergence also taking place. So, when we go to Bitcoin, we also have head and shoulders there.
And in this the daily chart, we actually have broken down below this last pivot low that we have here, giving us a little bit further of a sell. And I said after testing the 200, we wanted to hold on to the 50. So far, we have not. And right now, we're getting 13 down across 50, which is a further bearish sign after five across 50. And being down below the 200 itself is also bearish.
So, that's near-term bearishness. If we go to weekly chart, you can see longer-term bullishness is still in place by being up above the 200 week.
Once again, with some near-term concerns, we're down below the 50. We're down below the five and the 13. And the next thing we'll be looking for is whether or not we get those crosses down over that. So, market bias right now, near-term showing us still signs of further weakness. We really want inflation to just go the heck away. Now, mind you, 8:30 could change a lot of things because we get the PCE numbers. I think there's also a GDP update that we're getting today at 8:30. And I'm recording this video before those times.
So, if we get wildly surprising to the upside for GDP, if we get wildly surprising to downside for the PCE numbers, well, that could be really great for the markets. They should flip green.
However, if instead we go surprisingly high on inflation and surprisingly low on GDP, well, then the market's going to hate that and it's going to sell down pretty quickly. So, just be aware of that. Let's get into the drone stocks on this thing. Let's start off with my least favorite of them just because penny stock and that this thing's been diluted the the crap out of it over time. Too many shares float to really necessary We might not get a squeeze out of something like this, but if we can blow these tops, we might be able to shake out enough shorts on this thing to really show some outperformance to the upside. So, UAVS is that one.
And this is on the back of news that we got out of There we go. About the US government funding expectations. UAM up about 28%. I do have some technicals run on this one for you.
And as long as we can stay up above $24 essentially. This 2392 that we have here. If we can stay up above that, we could run this thing up to about $27 per share, which would be another 10% on top of where we're at during the pre-market hours. If we drop down to an intraday chart to see what that looks like, wow, we've already popped it actually. There you go. You can see the push up through.
And once again, these are like panes of glass that it's really easy to blast through them at first on high momentum, high volume. We can see these look like regular intraday volume bars that we have here. It came up and we pierced up through the $27. We couldn't make it to the 2883 up there.
So, we went almost up to $29. Break it out in the 5 minutes and you can see that initial pop that we got and now we've kind of been dancing around in between those.
And then sort of a bullish bounce look that we're getting here off the 50 and off of this area right here. So, Um, this starts to trade higher, we can head back up that way and we'll see what the market gives us. If we go to Arca, Arca's another one we'll be watching for. Tickers are all in the background, by the way. So, RC AT for this one. UMAC was UMAC. So, Unusual Machines Incorporated. So, uh, for Arca, let's go out to an hourly chart because the 5-minute one is going to be a bit noisy for us. That's 2 hours.
Uh, 1 hour. There we are. So, for the 1-hour chart, we are right up right now against that resistance at 12 28. The support down below is at 10 74 to 10 82.
Getting on top of 12 34, which is this, uh, 382 number here, could send us up in the mid to high 13s. Up above that, 14 80 is the next time that we really run into resistance on that one. We should be watching this one uh, for that volatility today. And, uh, for me, it's not something I'm going to chase. I'm going to watch for a pullback to critical support. And you can see the free rise and free fall areas, uh, that we have for this thing. And if you're wondering, you know, what do you mean by free rise? Well, just look, as soon as the news hit, we went from buttoning up against resistance just below $11 and immediately went north up to, uh, through all the way through that free rise territory up into where we have those retracements. And so, we might be able to see that throughout the rest of the market today. We'll find out. ONDS, looking at the hourly chart. Once again, look at that free rise territory. As soon as we broke up above this area of resistance and showed that we had a support, we rose right up to the 382 yesterday, popped up above it, kind of hung around near it. As soon as the news hit today, up to that 11 53. North of that, uh, 12 42. We have a lot of different lines up here that can act as resistance for us. 12 42, 12 91, 13 45, and 13 68. Wide enough that, uh, we can catch some serious, uh, price action out of this today and potentially over the next several days. We're going to have to watch how that volume plays out. Uh, and you do have some signs, by the way, uh, of, uh, some inside knowledge of these things. If you go and take a look over the last uh, couple days uh, after we get through those, look at what we said on Tuesday that we had that push right up to just south of $10. You broke up above it, north of $10, but then got pushed back down below the $10 mark.
Even more volume yesterday, and then the news hits this morning. Kind of suspicious if you ask me. If you look at ARCAT, same exact thing volume-wise, but UMAC, this one you've been getting extra day on this one. You have three high volume days going in there as well. Then it's up 27% and then KTOS, this one you don't see as much. This one is the largest by market cap out of all of them.
The market cap here is 10.74 billion, so that's about twice of what ONDS is.
ARCAT smaller, UMAC is even smaller than that, and then UAVS, like I said, I think that this one could show us because of its price, it could show us maybe some outperformance. We're going to find watch and see. Doesn't seem like the most direct or pure play. It doesn't seem to have that same favorability, especially because we're well down under this 200-day, and then this Kratos Security Solutions, KTOS, is one that's moving up significantly.
It has has a lot of shares to float here. So, about 184 million. Maybe this pushes up us up to the 50. Maybe it pushes us up even higher up above that.
We're going to have to watch and see.
And if we go to the hourly chart on this one, once again, you can see that gap up that we got, and we'll watch and see what we get out of it. I will say for KTOS, if we go to a monthly chart on this one, we can get a little bit more of the characteristics. Actually, let's drop down to daily. There we go, because you can see it took us right up to these bottom pivots. So, this one we're actually underneath some structure. If we can get up above those, it might actually take us up to these top pivots that are over here, but that'd be piercing through the 50 and the 200-day after this thing had a very significant sell-off over time. So, there's probably some fundamental story going on in the background for this one.
If I had to guess, it also has the highest stock price out of the three of them just on a dollar basis here, $57.30 per share as of the last close up at 63.
Uh we'll see if that this gives us that next push. So, uh I will say if we go out to the RSI for monthly, we're at 51, almost 52. Weekly, uh not showing signs of rise, although today could help that.
We're at 39. Daily, we're definitely showing a rise there for that momentum.
Uh we want to watch for that cross over 50 in the near term where we see that return to strength come into this. And um we'll see if these defense plays uh if they are something that hold out for us. Uh today, like I said, for these drone stocks, uh could absolutely be that area where we find that volatility that can lead to some serious alpha going into our trading portfolios. Guys, I'll be live streaming tonight at 5:00 uh up to 5:30 for the Discord and then for the earner plus tier, uh where you get access to the bread recipe indicator as well that would go on your charts and can help you find out when those big moves are coming. Uh that is also available with that earner plus tier.
So, that's 5:30 to 6:00 p.m. over at the Discord. Link's down in the description.
Using that link, you will get access to the indicator, to that earner plus tier, and you can check out absolutely everything from 5:00 to 6:00. I'll be back tomorrow as well uh for that live stream from 5:00 to 6:00. Uh and then also starting next week on Friday, start bringing in some live trading from 3:00 to 4:00, which is already people over there doing the live trading pretty much every [clears throat] day. You'll find one of the experts over there or Stock Moe himself doing those live trades uh at designated times. It's all on the calendar over there. It's all part of it. There's an entire ecosystem there waiting for you that can help you out on your trading and investing journey.
Guys, thank you very much for watching.
I am Dr. Stock, Doctor of Education.
Remember, my friends, that learning is earning. We'll see you in the next video.
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