When CS2 skin collections are discontinued, prices typically remain stable or slightly increase during the announcement period, making it an optimal time to purchase skins at lower prices before the actual removal; the ROI on discontinued collections like the Train collection (119%) indicates that current prices are not overpriced, and strategic investors can profit by buying during this period and selling after the actual discontinuation when prices typically increase significantly.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
CS2 Market Crashing... Time to Buy RIGHT NOW!Added:
Hello guys. So, a lot of you are sad that the train collection is forcing field and the stickers were not discontinued this week. But what I can tell you, this is actually great news for us. A lot of people expected these collections to be discontinued after 2 weeks after the actual announcement, which was on 21st. But what will probably happen will be 3 weeks till the actual removal as it was with last graphic collection and the gallery case.
Guys, I expected myself these collections to be discontinued for once faster, maybe at 5th, maybe at 6th. But to be honest, that's actually great news that they didn't discontinue them till now. A lot of people panic sold their items and prices right now are really good on a lot of these skins here. And it will be a sin not to pick them up right now. So, today I have a list of best skins to pick up right now. I will share with you what I think is really worth it to get at this moment from the armory. So, stay tuned and just before we start, skins.com, site on which you can buy and sell CS2 skins with 0% fee.
You just select the skin that you desire to own and purchase it with one of the many available payment methods. You can also sell your skins without need to wait for a buyer. Just select skins you want to sell and you click sell. You will sell them instantly. Shortly, site will also have the function of P2P. So, you will be able to buy and sell to other players. You can check them out right now with the link in the description. So, till this moment it was really worth it to pick up train via farming the search and redeeming the collection. But right now, the ROI went down to pretty much less than 120%.
And what that means it's really worth it to pick up some of these skins and I will explain why is that exactly. So, firstly, what we can start with is compare train to the graphic collection.
When it comes to quantity and how the skin looks. So, basically, train collection have really similar quantity to graphic collection. The collection that was also in the armory and was discontinued quite fast. Smek, which is a red in the graphic collection, exists in 25,000. The long dog exists in 32,000 at this moment, but it is still farmed by a lot of people. So, this quantity in the end might be somewhere around 40,000, maybe 42,000. We will actually see. One thing which is really important is that for 10 days after actually redeeming the item from the armory, we will not see it on the database because these items are hidden. So, this quantity with trade-ups with people farming right now, might go up to like 40,000, in my opinion at least. But, it's not a really bad news. And why is that? Because if we compare other skins, like for instance the pink to the graphic collection, the star gate exists in 72,000, the Halcyon, which is a train collection, is 74,000. This might go up to like 100,000 with some time going on, and with the trade-ups with people redeeming right now, with people redeeming till the actual removal. But, still guys, overall the train collection, when we look about the skins, they contain better skins than the graphic collection. I think, in my opinion, they have better pinks, they have better purples, and they have rarer skins. What I mean by this is the fact that we have here two skins that are float capped and consumers grade, two mill specs, and pretty much the Tec-9 that you need fillers that are 0.01 to actually get this in factory new, because this skin is float capped on 0.6, and it's also really hard, pretty much impossible, to get it via redeeming from the armory. Pretty much the only way to get Tec-9 Whiteout in factory new is to make a trade-up. Getting it from the armory directly, it's pretty much impossible. Let's face it. If you actually are lucky enough to get Tec-9 Whiteout in the armory, you have like one in pretty much 220 to get this in factory new. So, chances to get it in factory new are pretty much impossible.
So, what I want to say overall, that the collection is rarer, is better, better skins, while the quantity is only just slightly higher at this point anyway.
And the ROI, when we look about this, is 119%. So, prices overall on the skins right now aren't overpriced that much.
And if we compare on Steam market or on CS Float for instance, the prices before the actual removal announcement of the removal, they were at like $40, right?
Right now, the cheapest listed is 43.
The same thing is happening with Latterash, if we compare the Latterash.
So, right now, the field tested, the cheapest one is $33. Before the actual announcement, they were selling for 30, 31 dollars pretty much. So, the price difference is non-existing pretty much.
It's quite literally the same as it was before the actual announcement. And what I want to say, when we look about the graphic collection right now, Dust II Desert Eagle Stargate, that's a pink in the graphic collection. Let's check the graph. So, what happened here was something like this. Here was the announcement, the prices went up really nicely as they did for some time with Train, but after the actual removal, the prices went up really nicely. They went pretty much 3x, let's say, on some skins. I don't think Train will perform so well, but to be honest, guys, if Train makes a 2x after 2-3 weeks after the actual discontinuation, and the Overpass don't go up, and I think it will not go up so much because we're going to get two new collections, we're going to get hyped Train collection. I think it will be a sin not to look about the Overpass like 2 weeks after the removal. And to be honest, if Train collection makes a 2x, at least a 2x in first 2 weeks after the actual removal, I would consider selling all of my Train to get the Overpass. Guys, Overpass is not as over-invested as Sports and Field, but Overpass contains really nice skins, a lot of nice skins, which have pretty much float capped skins on 0 to 1. So, the float ratio is quite rare on a lot of these skins, and the quantity isn't that high. So, it would be a sin not to check the prices of Overpass if the Train goes up really, really nicely.
And the same thing is with the Missing Links. Guys, these will not be discontinued for the next half a year, but it doesn't matter that much because the prices will recover to 100% because if ROI stays on this level, people will just not redeem Overpass. So, the price after some time must recover to this point. And remember one thing, guys, the panic buy out is happening every single time when collection is discontinued.
Doesn't matter, even with Sports and Field, the panic buy out happened after the announcement, not even the actual removal. So, guys, ROI is here 77%. ROI on Sports and Field after the actual removal might be, let's say, 130% if we are lucky, maybe 125 if we compare the prices to uh before and after the removal. And what is very interesting.
So, if Overpass do the same thing, so for instance, Overpass in half a year at actual removal goes from 77 to 130 after some time, of course. Uh think about this. You can pretty much sell your train or Sports and Field with profit, then buy Overpass for really cheap prices if this stays on this level, and you can pick up really nice skins that you can play with for next half a year.
And then on actual removal, it will always go up. Like there is no way that the Overpass on removal is not going up.
Guys, every single collection at the actual removal is going up. And what will probably happen as well with Overpass is it will be discontinued alone, same as the Graphic Collection. I mean only of course the skin collections. So, basically Graphic Collection was discontinued alone. And I know for the fact that this kind of varied why it went so much up in price.
Because it was only skin collection that was discontinued uh at the time at once. And because of it people focused more on the Graphic Collection than right now they're focusing on Train. Because now the Sports and Field is being removed as well. So, these are two different skin collections at once. But what will probably happen? We're going to have two new collections for Train and for Sports and Field, right? Two new collections here and here. Overpass will stay alone.
So, I think in half a year Overpass will be discontinued alone as the sole collection. So, to summarize the things, if you can sell Train for a really good price, same with Sports and Field. Of course Sports and Field will not go as high as Train Collection. I think it would be really nice to pick up Overpass in some time, pick up really good Factory New skins, and sell them after the actual removal of Overpass in half a year. Because pretty much how this will look if it performs well. Basically, firstly, we do a 2x or something close to a 2x in Train Collection, and then we can pretty much invest into Overpass for this ROI. And that's what actually I will try to do. I find this as a really good idea, as a really good plan. Cuz basically, first you profit here and then you profit here. And in all of this time you have really nice skins to play with for pretty much whole period of the time. So, what I got to do, guys? I think it's really worth to do something like this. It's only my opinion. You can tell me what you think about this. Uh but to be honest, I don't see why it would not work. Pretty much the only thing why it would not work might be that Train is not being pumped as high, but I think it will be pumped. Guys, people are always panic buying after some time. They are very hyped. Right now the whole market is pretty much down. So, I think picking up train right now is a really smart move. Because paying overpriced prices at the start after the actual announcement would not be so smart. But now the prices are back to the level they were before the actual announcement. So, I don't see a reason why not to pick up some train. And to be honest, today I will do exactly this thing. Cuz I don't think update is happening today because it's Friday. On Friday they never do the updates pretty much. I don't think they'll do it today.
If they discontinue train, they will probably do it somewhere here, maybe at 12:00 like I said at the beginning of the video. So, maybe today, maybe during the weekend I will pick up some train collection. If you want to see what I'm picking up, check the live stream because I will stream today. So, basically 8:00 p.m. and on the stream I will just show what I'm picking up exactly. If you want to see, please check out Twitch. It's down below. And guys, thank you for watching. Let me know what you think. And I hope to see you in the next one. Bye. Bye.
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