XRP: "FINALLY LOOKS ABOUT READY TO GET STARTED" Popular Analyst Claims -Report

Added: 2026-05-26

[00:00:00]Hello, this is Matt on the Moon Lambo channel. I'm on board with the concept that we are not going to have to wait too much longer to see this market really start to heat up. Now, it doesn't literally necessarily mean today, tomorrow, next week, so on and so forth.

[00:00:13]But the bears who insist that we're not going to be seeing new all-time highs until probably the year 2030, I think they are disastrously wrong. And I want to share with you some of the latest macro data. Uh that leads me to believe this time is not different, which means we're going to be seeing much higher prices sooner than what those bears are expecting. So it could be later this year. It could be as many analysts believe beginning part of of the year 2027. It's possible uh anywhere in there roughly speaking. I know it's a fairly big range. Any of that would make sense from a historic precedent. And so I want to talk about exactly why. But before going further, I do want to be clear. I do not have a financial background of any kind. I am not offering financial advice. And you definitely should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or right. I'm just an enthusiast who enjoys making YouTube videos about cryptoreated topics, but just as a hobby and just for fun. All right, so here's a post from one of the more popular chart analysts in all of crypto, TechDev. He shared this post with his 557,000 followers on X. uh this guy is very uh informed uh when it comes to macro factors. Macro factors are what actually drives the market. Charts of course are downstream from macro. That just shows you what's happening as a result of various macro factors. And so look at what he wrote here just the other day.

[00:01:33]He said last cycle top was in 2021. And the fun part of this one finally looks about ready to get started. Okay, this makes sense. And so what you have here is is Bitcoin price of Bitcoin going back to the earliest days of being charted in the year 2010. And then what you have at the bottom is the business cycle. So this will show you effectively is the economy heating up? Is it slowing down? That's what we're looking at here.

[00:02:00]So these green bars, uh, this is not so much economic expansion where it's red.

[00:02:05]I guess he chose red to indicate like it's starting to get overheated, I'm imagining. Um, of course that's when the more fun part is, but that's that's where you're get you're really seeing economic expansion.

[00:02:15]That is also where you see the peak for Bitcoin. Every single time throughout history, we have not had that yet. This cycle is not over. And so one of the reasons like the the primary reason that I insist we didn't just have a bare market is because a like a market cycle is from trough to trough. So market cycle you start at the bottom that's the trough whatever the low point is then you hit the peak and then to conclude so so then you hit the peak and then you can say and entering bare territory fine directionally the market cycle then concludes when you get back down to a new trough that that's a full cycle from trough to trough okay so if given that we haven't had the peak happen yet where's where's the where's the business cycle we haven't had that yet because of that I'm telling you what we've gone through for the last eight months roughly is is a midcycle correction. Those things happen. We haven't had uh true economic expansion is measured by the business cycle which is fundamental.

[00:03:21]Look, going back to history, what hap every single time when Bitcoin peaked, it's when you had the peak area for the business cycle.

[00:03:31]It it that's just a matterof fact statement. And then you you'd have a you know that whatever cycle low you want to look at. You can see pick a year as it was cooling back down here, cooling cooling off. Uh you can see that's when you'd have your low like here in 2018. I remember that in December 2018, we had the literal low. It's the same for every cycle though. Pick look at the low point and you can see it's right around the area where things are flipping from one regime to another. That's it. So that that's why I keep saying the exciting thing is we haven't had this. And why haven't we had it yet? Why is this cycle taking longer? Because businesses um they took out longerterm loans because they're getting 0% 0% interest rates because of the pandemic. So that pushed out when businesses need to roll their debt because they had longer loan terms. When the businesses roll their debt, that is literally the creation of new money. It is that creation of new money that has resulted in people having more greater surplus. People, businesses and institutions when they have more money, well, they start to have a greater appetite for riskier investments. And that's why you see the Russell 2000 take off, the riskier stocks. That's why you see money start to flow into crypto.

[00:04:38]That's why you see even the small caps in crypto, they're the and they're the riskiest, so they're the last. you even see the small caps in crypto start to take off historically. So, what I'm telling you is we haven't had that yet.

[00:04:50]If you're wondering how how is it that we just had the weakest crypto rally in history, if you think the cycle's over, because you're looking at it, you're like, "Well, Bitcoin didn't even do a 2x and we didn't have an alt season."

[00:05:02]That's because we didn't finish the market cycle. Okay? I'm telling you folks, like we definitely did not finish the market cycle. The business cycle is measured right here. It ain't happened yet. But what TechDev is highlighting is that we're going to flip.

[00:05:16]Like we're right we are right there. And with all sorts of other macro factors that I keep highlighting um as supporting evidence, it just it doesn't make logical sense to believe anything different. And so this is also why all of the chart guys out there who say we just had a bare market, I think they're using the wrong thing to decide what a bare market is because they're looking at various uh things in charts, moving averages, this and that that may have lined up in some ways in the past. Okay, fine. But but charts are downstream from macro. What I'm telling you is a market cycle, you know, from trough, you get then you get the peak and then back down to a new trough from so you should say just from trough to trough. That that's a market cycle. Okay, that's the whole thing right there. If we haven't had that, then we're we're not just magically in a bare market. It's not over yet. That is what determines whether we're uh whether we've entered a bare market or a bull market. That's it.

[00:06:14]So all these other factors when you're looking at charting, I just respectfully disagree. I think you need to look at the macro first. That's why I'm making this argument. I I just I think you shouldn't be I don't think it's the right thing to do to look at various chart things and then say this supersedes macro. And the reason I say that is because charts are downstream from macro. Charts don't lead macro.

[00:06:35]Macro leads charts. Period. So that's why I feel that way. Now chart anal psychedelic, he certainly gets this. And look at the latest update here. You've got pu uh copper priced against gold up top. Then you have Bitcoin. And then you have what he labeled as the business cycle. Um this actually people in crypto conflate this. It's not literally the same thing. They're just interconnected in certain ways. But this is actually the PMI uh which is a monthly survey that the ISM puts out. Uh and it it does enter it does indicate though this is why it's useful uh that we've we've been in economic expansion for the last several months. Um, and it's just a survey of purchasing managers, um, manufacturing.

[00:07:12]Um, and so that's important. We actually flipped. So, if you're wondering, okay, like I just said, weakest Bitcoin rally, not even a 2x, no alt season. That's because we've been in economic contraction for years now. See how we're below this this this dotted line below 50. That signals economic contraction.

[00:07:30]We just flipped out of that on the PMI.

[00:07:33]That is why I'm telling you folks, like the cycle's not over. it's extended for all these reasons I keep highlighting.

[00:07:38]So then you take a look at copper priced against gold. Well, every single time when it starts to take off, that's because you're seeing economic expansion because first of all, gold's a riskoff asset. So when it falls against the dollar, then that means copper is going up against the dollar as long as it's not falling even faster against the dollar. So So gold's going down because you're switching from a riskoff regime to more of a risk-on regime. So that's one reason. Also, when the economy is picking up, copper is used in a whole bunch of manufacturing. So, if more manufacturing is taking place, there's a greater demand for copper. The price of copper goes up. What do we see happening literally right now as we're entering economic expansion? We are seeing that copper has bottomed against gold. It's been falling down for years and years and years and now it's up. And that's when Bitcoin does its thing every single time. And then you get an alt season.

[00:08:27]Look back last cycle and the cycle before that. Well, it just without fail.

[00:08:31]It has never been different than this.

[00:08:33]It is not different than this now. So, here's what Psychedelic had to say. He says, "The macro low is in. We will be hitting new highs way before we ever see $60,000 again. And the most important charts in all of crypto are signaling this beautifully. We have been analyzing and commenting on copper/go and the business cycle for some time now, and things continue to play out on that front as expected. Price action over the previous five months has been tricky, but the macro charts um have been straightforward. We have we have had the ultimate trifecta now uh confirmed together uh three things. Number one, the oneweek super trend flip bullish on copper/go. Uh love seeing that. That's another one where it looks like, hey, this actually might have bottom and now it's like pretty damn clear at this point. Uh number two, higher time frame reclaim on previous cycle low copper/ gold. Number three, business cycle in expansion.

[00:09:31]Every single time, this has confirmed Bitcoin has made new all-time highs within five months. There are no stronger two charts that show us the overall macro and risk on/off sentiment than copper/go and the business cycle.

[00:09:47]You are seriously at a disadvantage if you do not take these seriously. Do with it what you will. Exactly.

[00:09:55]So look, there are a lot of great chart analysts out there, but most of them don't have a macro thesis. Even if I even if I like certain analysts, just most of them just don't. They don't follow the macro stuff. And it's of paramount importance. It's critical to understand this because if you don't understand this, if we're, you know, if something's a little bit different in terms of, you know, historical timing, what we've seen ever since the inception of crypto, if we're in a moment where there actually is a regime shift, if you're not aware of that, then even if you're typically really good at charting, this is the curveball that's going to make your charts not work.

[00:10:34]That's why you you need to be aware of the macro factors. If you're uh if you're if you're a chart guy, you should start by learning the macro and then probably get into charts, frankly, like that would be much more useful in my opinion anyway. Um but yes, you can you can be pretty damn good as a chart analyst, but it to ignore this, you're going to be wrong on key things from time to time. That's the that's the truth of the matter. Now, during periods of time where there's not a regime shift, you're not at risk. At times where there's something a little bit different in the macro, you're at risk of being wrong in your charts. It just is what it is, folks. So that's why psychedelic to me, he's kind of rare in that he gets both. And nobody's right about everything. He's not either, but he gets it. He He really does get it.

[00:11:15]And so this is why I'm I'm saying guys, as an XRP holder, and this is why I'm sharing this. This is why I'm making this video. The number one reason that I am excited for this is for what it means for XRP when we have an alt season. that that historically that has been the only time where you see uh XRP actually enter true price discovery. That's it. And it makes sense. It it does make sense actually because that's the moment where the uh where the crypto sector and all the the speculators participating have the greatest appetite for risk.

[00:11:48]So when there's more money slashing around for people, businesses and institutions, which is what alt season is, of course that is the moment of maximum opportunity. And it also explains why we haven't had that yet. We haven't had economic expansion. We haven't had an alt season for that reason. And as far as it pertains specifically to XRP, uh 2021 was the last uh last alt season half a decade ago. Well, XRP directionally participated, but we didn't hit a new all-time high because of the SEC lawsuit, which means we've had exactly as XRP holders, we've had exactly zero chances for the entire last, I hate to say over eight years at this point.

[00:12:29]We've had zero chances to see if XRP how XRP will behave during those uh conditions which which prime the market.

[00:12:38]We've had zero chances. We haven't had one chance yet. We had zero chances. So, the reason I'm excited for what this means for XRP, it's that XRP now that it's got legal clarity, it outperformed the rest of the market. Think about this. We get legal clarity, the war on crypto is over, Trump becomes president, and suddenly, like snap of a finger, from that moment, XRP becomes the number one performing coin by market uh by performance out of the top 100 coins by market cap. XRP goes to number one in terms of performance from that moment.

[00:13:11]That is wild. That is the market playing catch-up, folks. So, that's why I'm I'm I'm excited to share what I'm sharing with you in this video because this is the setup. We will get ours. It just seems so clear that by a lot this is the most obvious thing. Alt season is coming. And take a look at this post from chart analyst Cryptoica. This is a market cap Bitcoin dominance percentage chart. He says, "The alt season gatekeeper. Most people are watching altcoins, but the real signal is still Bitcoin dominance. In 2017, rejection, collapse, alt season. 2021, rejection, collapse, alt season. 2026, Bitcoin dominance is back near the gatekeeper zone. This does not mean alt season starts tomorrow. It means the market is approaching the rotation decision.

[00:13:59]Hope does not create alt season. Capital rotation does. Yes, this is spot on. And it's one more point of confluence for all of this. And with XRP being my largest individual crypto holding by a lot, this is why I'm so freaking excited every day. I've been seeing this through. I'm gonna I will not stop. My conviction has never been stronger. I'm going to see this thing through. It's taken a lot longer than I would have necessarily guessed back in 2017 when I first started buying XRP. But I'm right about it and I'm going to be stubborn as hell because I see that the utility has never been greater. Fundamentals never stronger. Uh we never had a position where the war on crypto is over. The largest capital market on the planet, the United States is now fully free to participate or at least well almost I mean technically yeah we need to get the Clarity Act but in terms of realistically is are most are most institutions and so on and so forth comfortable participating. Now it does seem that way. I think there are a lot of banks that aren't and you could you know more money will be in once you have the Clarity Act. Okay, I get it. You know, no argument there. But that's why this is so freaking exciting right now and that is what's ahead. And take a look at this. This is also from Cryptoica.

[00:15:10]The alt season index. Most people will miss alt season again, not because the chart was hidden, because they will wait for the move to become obvious before believing it. This chart tracks broad altcoin strength against Bitcoin, excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stable coins. So XRP is included in this. Uh 2017 began from compression. 2021 began from compression.

[00:15:37]Uh both ended near the upper structural boundary. Now the market is back near the lower side of the uh of the same long-term structure. Low attention, weak belief, years of underperformance. This is not confirmation yet, but this is where rotation setups usually start to matter. Alt season is not one coin. It is not one candle. It is a risk curve.

[00:15:59]The crowd waits for green candles. I track the structure before attention returns. Yeah. So, look at this going back basically a whole freaking decade.

[00:16:07]Just just about. Look at where it peaked. And as I always say, markets find bottoms. The range of volatility for these altcoins priced against Bitcoin has been decreasing this whole time.

[00:16:23]Altcoins are in the gutter relative to Bitcoin. just on the whole like the market's you're not going to stay in that freaking range, Trevor. You will have instances where altcoins run substantially greater in Bitcoin. And yeah, you did have that last cycle, but what he's saying is before we get to this apex, you're going to see a move.

[00:16:41]And he his anticipation is we're going to break out and you're going to have perhaps, not to put words in his mouth, but maybe even getting closer to uh all-time highs for this particular segment of priced against Bitcoin. That's not crazy. and XRP is a part of this.

[00:16:58]So, we'll see, folks. I just most people have everything I just shared in this video, most people are just freaking clueless about it. It's just four-year cycle because reasons, magic internet money, number four, blah blah blah. Okay, but what is it that makes the number four be a thing?

[00:17:15]Historically has anyway. And it was the great financial crisis. That was it. All these businesses refinanced at the same time and it averaged out to four years.

[00:17:24]So, you ended up getting refinancing uh basically just about every four years.

[00:17:29]And so, you had a four-year cycle because every time there was the the rolling of the debt, that refinancing, that was the creation of new money. And that set things off. I'm just telling you, it's extended now because once you get uh those interest rates, it did change the behavior again. So, is what it is, folks.

[00:17:48]You you tell me what you think, but um I could not be more optimistic for what the hell is about to happen.

[00:17:54]I'm not a financial adviser. You should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or right. That would be a very, very, very bad idea. Until next time, to the moon Lambo.