Successful trading requires understanding the optimal timing windows for different financial instruments rather than trading based on personal availability; for US30 and NAS100, the best trading window begins at 15:30 New York time when the market becomes decisive, while currency pairs and commodities like XAUUSD should be traded from 23:00 onwards, with traders first identifying the market direction between 9:00-15:00 before executing trades at the 15:30 open.
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Deep Dive
Post market Analysis and Time To Trade.Added:
I mean, what up?
Welcome to the live. Welcome to the live.
Um, it's my first time doing this thing here on YouTube, so I've got, you know, don't laugh when I make some mistake here. Hey, maybe pressing wrong buttons and all that. Uh, don't laugh. Don't laugh. Don't laugh.
It's my first time uh first time doing this thing of live.
Um, even on on Tik Tok, it's been a very very very very very long time um conductings conducting like lives and all that. So yeah, um, welcome, welcome guys. Welcome guys.
Uh, so I'm open for questions, concerns or anything like that before I can even bring out what I want to share with you today and all that, you know. So this is uh some kind of a Q&As with post market analysis and time to trade. I'm also going to get into the part of when exactly it is a good time or the best time to to trade to be looking at the market for specific instruments because that is the biggest mistake that is the biggest mistake most people are making.
You know, you find people be um trading all day, looking at the market all day only to find out that the instrument that they are looking at is only to find out that the instrument that that that they are looking at that they want to take a trade on, it starts to be active a bit later in the day. You know, for example, you find someone be looking at uh to trade the USD early, maybe as early as around 12 South African time, you'll be asking yourself, what's going on? What is it? Why is he looking at the market early as that?
Because shouldn't be looking at the market early as that if you're looking at instruments like that. So we're still going to get into that part as to what uh are we looking at you know or when to trade exactly and also maybe looking at what is going on uh today now because I think even tomorrow around this time I will be doing a weekly postmarket analysis you know to be looking at exactly what is going on uh during the week. So now today if we were to do the post market analysis we'll be looking at it for today you know we'll be looking at it uh for for for today as to what is going on what were the possible opportunities and what was the things that you should be very very very careful of or that you supposed to be very very very very careful of because the market can be difficult and dangerous sometimes if you were to be looking at it uh almost every time. So yeah, that's what I will be looking at uh today. So you can come up with any of your questions if you have any of your questions, concerns, or any of those things. Um I'm open I'm open for all of those things.
I'm open for all of those things.
Uh there I'm open for the questions. Anyone who is brave, who will who will help us to kickstart our life by a question, you know, because it's no point of starting a conversation only to find out that um people have their own questions of they've got their own uh conversation to So yeah, let's let me hear from you first as to what is it that you would want us to get into first and then before I can bring up my um my conversation.
All right. So since this thing it is uh my first time doing it um I I don't know I I can't tell if you can hear me well.
or maybe I'm cracking like the sound is not good and all that. Anyone who is brave to let me know if the sound is good and you can see everything clearly right now I'm looking at the the charts right now. So let me know what are you see are you looking are you seeing what I'm seeing uh the charts and all that uh before we can continue you know it's no point of moving forward while people can't see or can't hear what's going on what am I trying to say all right Uh, Mr. Mr. Phenos want uh to look at the the NAS 100. Um, now you want me to um uh to um to reveal our secret here in public?
You want us to reveal our secrets in public? Uh yeah. Um but yeah. Okay. No, it's fine. I'm not going to get into much of the details, but I'm going to roam around in terms of the market condition, in terms of the direction of the markets and all that. I'm not going to get into much more of the details because um I'll be revealing our secrets here um uh in public. But uh with all of that, let's get into the next one and um see what we had right here. But firstly, we need to start from the USD uh to do the the market the market analysis of the of the of the USD before we can move maybe on to uh the next one the to the NAS 100 because I want you to see this thing. So now firstly the last 100 and date most of the time they moving in the same direction especially at the right time at the right time means that's from our time in the 15 because that is when we start to look for opportunities in the market you know if you want to trade NAS 100 and USD successfully with no issues start to you know you've got to start to look at the market or these instruments as from 15 because that is when Number one, they start to be decisive. That is when they start to be active and they don't waste time in in um they don't waste time in terms of distributing the movements. You know, you will find a lot of people trying to trade these instruments like maybe here at around this time. When you're looking at it from there, the market from there is not yet decisive, not yet clear. It's simply just floating around not doing much uh uh like yeah not doing much. So that's why it is so important to start to look for the market as from 15 day the easy as that because at first even at first place when we started this thing of trading we wanted freedom you know we wanted uh freedom as to know exactly the specific time to trade like 5 hours 4 hours looking at the market and then after that you're done continue with the rest of the day take care of that take care of other businesses and all the stuff that you're doing and then you're out. That's what we started that's why we started this thing of trading at the first place. So that's why you've got to have your timing element in place. So time to start to look for NQ USD BTC USD is from 15 to 18 going forward. Now what I usually use to explain or what I what I follow what I or what I trade in the market most of the time uh you've seen some of my videos explaining this thing of identifying the direction of the market. What I do, I like to look at the market as from 9 and 15. That is the time where I look at the market. So what am I doing right here? Because the game doesn't start here at 15:30 because I know someone will be saying, "Oh, this what it means. I've got to uh look at the market from 1580 just to check variations of what the market does from there." No, what you do is that you need to get the direction of the market first before we can get to 1530 where we are where we are expecting to take trades there. Now, what are we looking at now between 9 and 15? I've explained this thing a lot on my videos if you if you've seen them or if you um um yeah, if you if you've seen them, if you watch them. Yeah. So now there are two ways or two things that I'm looking for right here. Two things that I'm looking for right here uh between 9 and 15. I'm looking for if the market is going to give me a continuation or the reversal.
Continuation or the reversal. That's what is going to tell me exactly what's going on. What should I be looking for in the market? Now in this case what we had the market simply open and pick one direction. So from there that means I'm looking to what? I'm looking to continue to the same direction at the right time as from 16 to 80 going forward. I want to see the market moving inwards all the way to the up. That's what I want to find or that's what I want to see right there in this case. And then what I want to see two things at 1530 cuz this is where most people get are getting it wrong. People think that since I'm saying as from 1530 I want to buy this instrument in line with what market has been doing between 9 and 15 you find people wanting to the minute the market open here at 1530 they will simply want to rise within the market big mistake don't do that instead there are two variations that the markets will do as from 1530 the market will either open drop and then you will expect to buy that instrument strument or you're going to see the market rise and then your aim it is to sell that instrument from there.
Those are two things that you're expecting to do. Those are two things that you're going to do at the right time as from 15 date. You know, now with uh with this information, you don't simply just go in the market and only wait that 15 and say uh whenever the market open drop, you're expecting to buy and when the market open rise, you're expecting to sell. That's not how things work. your aim is going to be consistent uh in profit because once you do that the market will always play tricks on you. So what's so important get the direction first right here then when you watch the direction you know exactly where the market is going then as now since we said the market when the market opened in pick one direction we expecting to continue to the same direction. So if that's the case what you're going to see we are now know we now know that the market will have to open drop before we can rise which is the same thing that happened right here we saw the market okay now that's too messy so so the market that opened in pick one direction that means at the right time we're going to buy this instrument but we said we can't just buy at at 15 day open and continue no two variations we have to exceed The market open top before we can rise with the market. Now this is exactly what the market did. The market opened here at 1530 and then after that dropped all the way to the downside which is exactly where the 1530 uh lost momentum at and then we had an opportunity to buy. Easy as that. That's how you'll be doing this thing. Now there are so now with this it won't always be a case of 1580 taking you in into a trade.
It won't always be a case of 1580 because 1530 can have low volume you know not having enough volume or momentum to push us through or to our trade opportunity to our entry place.
You know sometimes the market can simply just open at 1530 drop a bit you know without having for example let's say an entry point is somewhere there uh so the 1530 open drop and place somewhere there that will mean that now we will need to have more and more of the candlesticks that will support this to drop all the way to the downside so that you can get a way to enter. So right here 15 day was able to throw a big candlestick which is the one that attacked us and into a trade right here to the upside. But sometimes it won't always be a case of the big candlestick like this. Sometimes it will open and be shallow. You know kept on playing like that. Therefore in those scenarios like that we will need to see more candlesticks dropping into our entry point so that we can take a trade which is exactly what happened right here. But the part that is so important it is to that you need to know it is to be able to read market between 9 and 15 read this way you don't need to go over last week last month and last year to understand exactly what is going on in the market. All you have to do it is to and it is to see or it is use the resources that you have for the current day. the resources that you have for the current day and then you're good to go you know because uh trying to use the stuff for last week, last month and all that meaning like an old price action you you don't know exactly you know um like what was it that fueled or that made markets to behave or react in that way in those days you know so that is why you will need a fresh market in order for you to understand exactly what is going on today. So that's why your aim your it is to look at the market on the current day. You know if you were to go back maybe um uh uh uh like to try and get the idea of what was going on in the market at least go back for about one day or two days only one day or two days only. Don't try to go all the way back, you know, um um um I'm um trying to go back about last week, last month, and last year and all that. Especially if you're a day trader, you know, that's the biggest mistake most people make. Some other people don't know exactly what type of traders are they. If you're a day trader, the idea is to take few pips from the market in and out and then you're done. You know, take few pips in and out and then you're done. not the idea of trying to hold positions for so long. Unless the market is slow, then if the market is slow, then there's nothing that you can do with the market from there. But um if the market is fast and then you still want to hold, then most likely the market will reverse against you. The market will reverse against you and take you out. Right? So that's exactly what is happening in the market.
Now there are some people who like to trade other instruments um without the ones that that I'm that are specializes on USD X no uh NQ 100 uh USD and BTC USD so other people don't like to trade those instruments now but they also when I know the timing element went to trade their instruments um like the XUSD which the gold spot uh the GBPUSD, the Euro USD, USD CAD, Euro CAD, USD CHF, USD JPY, all those instruments, when to trade them and all that. Now, let's get into that part. So, I'm going to show you exactly what's going on. So, this was just a snippet for you to look at and understand about the market. You know, what is it that I'm looking for like on a daily basis um and all that from there.
Now let's move to another but another segment was I said what this one um oh sorry this is what I want to say uh right here this is the timing element right here you know understanding when to trade you know when to trade all instruments out there you know I think this is a well definfined and the well simplified timing element um I've ever seen you you know um um um um um I think this is a well definfined you know even I myself when I'm looking at I'm like yeah yeah this is the this is a well defined uh timing element uh uh standard template I've ever seen as well right here you know any way of any way of like um looking at because I've seen most people like have been talking about XAUSD gold spots um uh they want to know the trading models of those instruments you know about XUSD and all other instruments of that nature. Now let's get into it because like I've been more about the um the indexes US indexes um I've been more about US indexes. So now I want us to talk about the um the currency pairs and sport metals.
Why this thing now?
Um, okay.
Or five.
No, I want this.
and the epic pen.
Okay, now let me do this. Let me do this.
I'll put it here and then fetch it from this right.
All right. No, I wanted to explain this thing like with an epic pen and also to try and write something here on the chart, but now I can't. Okay, now what we have right here is the timing element for all instruments out there. You know, when to trade exactly, you know, like instruments specifics, you know, like the specifics of the of the of the of the timing element uh in line with the um the instruments that you should be looking at at that time.
there. Okay. So, what we have right here is we've got the Tokyo, London S, and the New York Stock Exchange. Now, when you are interested in trading the X AUSD, Electric Gold spot, GBPUSD, Euro CAD, USD, JPY, USD, CHF, USD CAD, your your window of trading should start from one going forward.
But one is like a transision.
So there will be too much noise there around one. There will be a transision between the LTS to post LTS.
Then from there you are going to see too much chaos you know in that transition.
So you've got to wait quite some time to let the market do whatever it wants to do and then after that as from 230 when you are trading these ones uh the GBPUSD XUSD start to look at these instruments as from 230 going forward you know um do not try to look at this as early as 9 10 11 12 1. No, it's not safe. It is not safe to try and approach uh the market from there. Instead, try by all means to start to look at these instruments as from today going forward, you know, 280 going forward. If you're in if you're in South Africa, if you're in South Africa, uh, so the time limit for South Africa, it is UTC plus 2. It's UTC plus 2. So yeah, if you're in South Africa, just type in UTC plus2, convert it into uh your country, then you will you will see um then you you you will get the idea of the timing element when why I'm saying today you know so to make it simple today is when most of the US news announcement are being announced you know it's News embargo it's new Zimbago list of the United States you know that's when you'll find nonfer being announced that time that is when uh these instruments you will start to look at them GBBUSD euro USD X au XUSD and uh and all that you know easy as that that's how you will be looking at uh these instruments as from there and then New stock stock exchange 15K to going forward it's NAS 100 USDT and BTC USD then you will never go wrong from them and then you will never and then you'll never go wrong uh from there when you're trading these uh type of these type of instruments uh from there you know so yeah try by all means to look at the market as per timing element you know look at instruments as per their timing element not just to enter into the market when you feel like, you know, not when you when you when you feel like uh entering into the market, you know, or when you feel like um um uh it is good to look at the market. You know, the market is not about your availability because someone who builds their timing based on their based on their based on their availability. You know, you find someone who is busy maybe during like the whole day or during the day and then at around uh 6:00 p.m. and then that's when they get time to look at the market and then they will label that time as their their time to trade or their trading time. Big mistake. You know, you've got to have the timing element based on the market or based on the instrument that you are looking at. based on the instrument that you are that you are looking at you know. So um for those maybe for those people who are still joining in this live um uh uh uh uh the questions are open you know uh do not feel like you are uh disturbing me and all that you know you will not be you will not be dist disturbing me um instead you will be asking a question and a question must be asked and that questions must be answered. So yeah you will be doing that. So you can ask any question any consent that you might be having and all that any type of instrument that you'll want us to look at. Give you some pros and cons of trading that instrument and when it's the right time to trade that instrument that you like uh to trade and what are the techniques of profiting from the type of instrument that you're looking at or some some of the stuff that makes it very very very difficult to trade that instrument and what are the techniques of solving that problem uh in the market you know. So yeah, those are things that I'm open for uh today. You can uh throw as many questions, as many concerns as you as you wish. I think I'm going to answer them in this short time or in this short space of time uh that you have. All right.
So yeah, let's try and continue with our uh live in here. So I was still explaining here about this uh thing you know like the timing element uh when to trade, which instrument should you trade at what time and uh and all that you know because the the problem starts when you will jump in in the market like you know like when you jump in in the market without proper understanding of the understanding of the time big mistake don't do that you know don't do Um uh uh the market's going to show you flames. You know, the market's going to show you planes. If you're going to try and do that, if you're going to try and do that, you know, the market moves based on market move based on time. Moves based on time. You know, that one is so important. You know, this one is so important than anything else in the market. entries are not that are not that important, you know, compared to the timing element, you know, they are not that uh important when it comes to um the the timing element uh in the market, right?
Let me let me show you some few stuff uh right here in terms of the uh the timing element uh on the real price charts. Um, I think maybe I'm going to make use of the of the X AUSD and I'm going to make use of the scenario where uh uh uh uh um um okay I'm seeing uh zone Oh, setup zone uh zai saying uh why did you buy NQ? Why the strategy showed us uh to sell during the CPI day?
During the CPI day when was the CPI day before yesterday and then I bought NQ how I was looking at ENQ on the day. All right, let's attend ENQ there, Mr. Uh, calyps.
All right. Let's see. Let's see. Let's see. When was the when was the was it?
This is today. Yesterday.
And this is today. All right.
Uh, during the supply day. Yeah. Okay, man. I didn't I I I I didn't uh buy the ENQ. I sold the ENQ here because I think this was the day of CPI.
Um the day of the CPI was on Tuesday, right? This was on Tuesday.
I didn't buy the NQ. Maybe you didn't see it. Well, um it was like what was it today? Yeah, Coi Day was on Wednesday.
So, sorry, Tuesday. So by that I didn't buy the ENQ. I sold the ENQ. I I sold the NQ there.
Yeah, that's where that's how I did it right here. If you are to look at it, you know, check the video.
We have 15 and then we have nine.
Then with this the market opened and pick one direction there then try to close above there. So with this what I did I open the market opened rose to the upside then somewhere there that's when I took advantage of the market and top with it you know easy as that. I didn't buy the ENQ.
It was like uh uh buying the ENQ that means uh uh uh the market took me out according to the way you are saying it that like I bought the the ENQ. Maybe you are seeing a different instrument there.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Exactly.
Exactly. My man, the video was maybe the video was for another day. not uh the day, not on on on on not on Tuesday. But what I like what I like about uh you, my man, uh is that you now understand how to determine the direction of the market. That's what I like. you know exactly what's going on and you brave enough that man you came up with this thing but now why did you try and go against it now you know like you stood your ground like you didn't say like oh he bought he bought the NQ um in there while the while the while the strategy saying we should be selling you know you didn't like you didn't be like ah that that means we have to change no you like no I'm going to ask this guy now why you know why you have to uh uh buy the MQ in that way, you know, like I didn't buy, I sold it. What I like is that you now understand how to find the direction of the market. That's what makes me happy. That's what makes me happy uh in that payment. Um yeah, and I hope others are also getting the idea of what's going on. You know, here's the thing. The market may not give you opportunities on the daily basis. You know, that is when most people lose it. That is when most people uh that that's where most people get it wrong. Even every trading model, you know, you won't always get the um like you you won't always get opportunities on the daily basis. You know, some other days the market can give you an opportunity to take an uh to take a a trade, but don't take it. You know, if there's maybe one or two things that doesn't line up with what you're looking at, you know, for example, let's say the market open price, but you are looking for a buy. So, when the market does that, that doesn't mean it's going to it's going to sell. So, that means the market does that, that means there's there's a problem. you know, you've got to keep out of that uh trade or keep out of that uh scenario that it's not a good one to take uh from there. It's not a good one to take uh from there. Yeah. Yeah. So that that's what's going on on Tuesday. I didn't uh do I didn't take a buy there.
Instead, I took a S from there. All right. I'm saying a brother there saying or asking about a free uh telegram there man.
Yes, there is a free telegram, but there's a a requirement there. Uh, not just in in the form of money, but there's a there's a link in the bio there, man.
You need to open a trading account with the broker that I recommend with the recommended broker, find that account, and then you're in, you know, then you're in. Then you can let me know that, man, you've done all of stuff and then I'm going to put you on. Then I'm going to put you on that's how you will be that's how you will have access to the free group you know um getting all the benefits how to treat XUSD euro USD JBUSD all the instruments that are not listed on this part on the on the on the on my videos there you know so yeah that's what's going on all right so I'm seeing Mr there asking about the average uh daily range. Now, here's the thing. Most people have been asking about the average daily range.
Average daily average daily range shouldn't be a concern that much. You know, almost in in all videos that I make that I post there like people make make the average daily range looks like it is uh one major thing that is so important. you know others they call it they they even say the the the the ADR strategy no it's not an ADR strategy and all that you know that's what I at the first place when I learned about volume in the market because yeah when I learned about the about the volume in the market average daily range I thought that's it you know I thought it's some kind of um of a strategy that means when the market has achieved it or reached it ain't no way that the market will continue. It is 100% guaranteed that it won't continue. ADR guides you not to continue from the market that is done moving in the direction. For example, let's say we have now let's say we have the market that has been going up ever since they started from here. So as you know that like the way we are looking at it we have two places. We've got nine down there and then we've got 15 right here which is three. That is how we analyze the market. That's that's the window that we are looking at. Now when we have this part this you know this is the NQ that you're looking at right there and the ADR is 1.2%.
And here the market has reached the ADR.
So according to this with market open peation means at right time I'm expect to see the market open drop then around 15 day then we want to see the market then the market opened and gone all the way up to the upside right there. That's what we expect to see according to the general standard but standard form of this thing. But when the market has achieved or Then the market has achieved uh the ADR then from there that means chances of the market to continue as now slim you know and now like 10% chances that the market can still continue to the upside from there two things will happen when the market has achieved or reach an ADR the market will either consolidate or maybe the market will simply reverse all the way all the way back down. So those two things are what are almost guaranteed that that is going to happen in this case now.
So you can't say when the market has achieved the original ADR you can expect to sell right there because the market can still just consolidate when the market has done that then you're going to face a problem in the case. So it's so important that what you do uh when the market has achieved an ADR, you simply don't continue with the same direction. You don't continue with the same direction. Let the market run and look for another clear scenario, you know, look for another clear scenario and then you're good to go, you know, and then you're good to go and all that. Easy, easy, easy, easy as that, you know. So the average daily range changes over time you know it changes over time. I can't say I can't tell the maximum you know I can't tell the maximum as pro is asking there what's the maximum uh throw down there like what's the maximum ADR for the NQ and USD you know you always find out in a day start of the day um if like what's going on you find out at the start of the day the ADR that you're going to work with all that so yeah that's how That's it about uh the ADR and and all that. So yeah.
Okay. Another question right there. Fund how much there you can find with any with any amount of money there that you're going to trade with. You know that you are going to trade with you know you know how much you want to trade with. You know you know how much you want to trade with. Um and I'm seeing pro right there recommending a 500 trend.
Yeah. If that's what you are comfortable around trading with, yeah, that's perfect. You can also find anything any any amount of money that you want to trade with, you know, that you're going to trade with uh there. So, yeah. And then I'm seeing bro right there talking about today's trade on the NAS 100. Can you explain right now? Let us look at the NQ and versus the NAS 100. No, NQ.
It is the N 100. So let's look at the NAS 100 and the USDA because when you are looking at the market when you're trading in the market about those two instruments these two instruments they are compliments are like not not exactly complimentary they correlate they correlate a lot especially at the right time you know at some some point 5 minutes from the New York open they oppose each other 5 minutes from the New York open they oppos each other five minutes after that then they will start to move in the same direction. After that they will start to move in the same direction. So that means these two instruments they correlate they most of the time almost 80% of the time at the right time they are most likely going to move in the same direction. Now there's a brother right there who is who is fenos who was in the class today on zoom cloud meeting with uh the members of the of the team on the mentor program. So what we found there was the NAS 100 and US30 the overall direction of them they are opposing each other 5 minutes there's only 5 minutes on the chart where we allow these two instruments to move in the opposite direction but since they started these two have been opposing each other let's look at it here now open have been going down and then the USD team what it has been doing.
Okay, excuse my network. Don't know what it does, what's going on around it. And then what's happened on this side was the uh USD has been going up. That's the big red flag or that's the first red flag in the market. That is the first red flag you know from that. So when you are facing with those scenarios, one of those instrument is going to misbehave and then one of them is going to behave well you know. So two things happens from there. It's either the other one is going to misbehave or the other one will behave or it's going to be an in and out mission your trades or the way you enter into the market. It's going to be an in and out and then you're done. They're not going to hold position for so long right there because they are opposing each other you know. So at some point they will have to move in the same direction so that when when they move in the same direction whereas their market condition doesn't match it means one of them is going to take a loss or one of them is going to misbehave as as as it happened today. What we have right here we had USD opened one direction with an intentions of continuing to the upside.
Therefore want to see the market retrace giving us an entry rise. Perfect. This was clean. Now when we have when you are now looking at the US NAS 100 different story a different story there. Let me show it to you. Okay. Excuse my kind of slow you know it's a bit late now. So then now this is what you have on the on the what on the on the NAS 100 NAS 100 instead of the NAS 100 to open and pick one direction to go up in the same way as the USDA. No, this thing chose to drop. So when it drop in this way, some of us were waiting for it to give us the opposite direction then drop it dropped half then after that they both move in the same direction which is exactly what I told first place they have to move in this they have to oppose each other at first place then after that they will be allowed to move in the same direction.
So that means while this one here was rising the USD side was dropping you know then now after 5 minute then they started to move in the same direction that is why you saw even this one going all the way to the upside. So therefore this one was going to be if you entered somewhere there it was going you're going to get small profit but if you try to hold then you're going to get a smoke you know the market is going to smoke you easy as that. So yeah that's the thing about the market for today. So what I can say is that the market condition for today for these two instruments was a problem you know it was a problem. So by that you you you didn't do anything. If you found a sell on the NAS 100, you didn't do anything wrong, you know, and if you found a buy on the USD, you didn't do anything wrong. You know, you made a profit. So it was the case of the market today being indecisive in terms of the way it in the way it gave us opportunities. You know, it gave us opportunities. One was clear and then the one was wrong. So it was going to be a break even if you took both uh uh uh opportunities in there. If you took both opportunities in there, then it was going to be a break even uh in that case. So yeah, I think that's it for today. Um I think we'll meet tomorrow to cover some other stuff. Uh then yeah, tomorrow I think we'll be doing a weekly analysis like a weekly
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