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Will Zebec Crash This Summer?Added:
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[music] >> [music] >> All right. What's up, weirdos? What's going on, guys? Good to see you once again. Back at it. Let's bring up the Bitcoin chart. We just got our daily close a few minutes ago.
Let's get into that.
All right.
So, what do you say? What do you know?
Closed again around 79,133.
Bounced almost ex almost exactly off the 30-day moving average. How much longer can that 30-day moving average hold as support? How much longer can 79K hold as support before we see that rollover?
Well, we could jump all the way back up and retest. We see it's getting tighter and tighter here between the 200 day moving average and the 30-day moving average. We are getting tighter and tighter here. How much longer before we roll over? Now, there's a 30% chance, as always, guys, as you can see, that we break to the upside, but the likelihood is a 70% chance of a roll to the downside, right? That is what I'm watching for and that's what I think is going to happen. So, uh let's get into the chat a little bit, see what's going on. Isaac dropping that chatter. My guy, my dude.
Thank you so much, man. Absolutely love the support for the channel, man. Thank you so much. Lick a tongue in the house.
First Pokemon of the day. Got to catch them all, baby. What's up, Rob? Happy Friday. Happy Friday, brother. It is a good day to have a good day. You're absolutely bang on. Happy Friday, man.
Let's get it. Uh, all right. What else do we have? Go time. What's happening, brother? Good to see you, man. Blah, what's happening? Twice. Twice I've seen you now in as many days. Boss, I'll be on the moon if Zbec sees new all-time low. Right. You know how much you'll be will be be we will be able to buy at new all-time lows. But we're going to look at it. I'm going to look at the Zbec chart and we're going to see if it's feasible and I'll tell you what I think.
H Barbarina in the house. What's happening, man? Good to see you, brother. Good to see you. Christopher says, "New all-time low would be 30530 uh I believe.
Uh we will see 202 at the most and maybe two 185 new alltime low. Don't don't count on it unless BTC is at I think that's a little dramatic. That's a little facicious, right? I don't think it's going to take Bitcoin going to 20 grand for Zebec to see new all-time lows, but I get the point behind what you're saying, right?
Uh, but if I can pick up a million Zbec for 500 bucks each, uh, I can promise you I will be buying a 100 million tokens at Absolutely, brother.
Absolutely. You I'm with you on that, man. I am with you on that, brother. I would feel like a fool if I didn't do that, right?
Uh, what do we Silver Days, what's happening, man? XRP says, "Like and subscribe." Absolutely, man. Absolutely.
Thank you so much for filling up the chat. I appreciate you. Thanks for being here. Absolutely guys, like and subscribe. Exit Flip says, "Love to see Zvec at 3085 again. My goal is 100 million Zvec." I like it. I dig it. I'm picking up what you're putting down.
Christopher says, "Something like February 6th to 8th of this year. I can definitely see that scenario playing out for sure." Uh Trump secret plan dumps stocks 6 to8% soon and recovers before midterms guaranteed. February.
February is Oh, like February. I see.
[snorts] Scott Asent is tweaking the deals as we speak. Expected to see 6,600 on the S&P not too long from now. Uh following followed by new all-time low 8,200 by December. That's their plan, although not public. Not to mention the only way uh a rate cut is um is severe collapse of the market shortterm. I agree. In fact, the odds of a rate hike have been actually increasing. I think we're at 30% on Poly Market right now. Right. Let me see if I can find it over on Poly Market right now.
I think we're at about 30%, but I could be wrong.
Let's see.
Let's have a look.
Uh, see rate hike.
Uh, it's not on the initial page.
Rate hike.
Fed rate rate hike in 2026.
>> [clears throat] >> We have a 32% chance 32% chance of a rate hike in 2026.
Now, we had the odds as high as about 28% back in uh March, but then it dropped on March 23rd, but then it dropped obviously, right? And now it's been working its way back up.
Why is it working its way back up?
Because we have a war going on. We have oil supplies getting shorter and shorter.
And we see inflation as a result ticking back up, right? We haven't even started to feel the effects of the inflation yet, guys. Wait for two or three months.
Groceries are going to start going back up and everything. So, uh, the the odds of a rate hike will increase. I'm not saying they will rate hike rates. I'm saying the odds of it will probably go up though. Early bird says, "I'm buying at 202." There you go. King Pound, what's happening, man? Um, I'm still feel flash crash coming. That would draw back to 2025, 2028. Then we will hit 1 to 3 cents late spring summer pump. I dig it, man. I dig it. Exit flip says, "Think we will see another 10 event before the CL." Well, here's the thing about flash crashes, guys. Here's the thing, right? We've not we've not seen the last FRA flash crash in crypto. You will see probably 8 to 10 flash crashes throughout the course of the 2029 cycle, maybe more, right? So, I mean, get used to them and get comfortable with them because they are a part of crypto. We do not live in a world where there's not going to be any more flash crashes in crypto ever. It's going to happen. And you're absolutely right, exit flip. We are definitely due.
Flash crash is going to 55K, but most will uh not play and pump out of the 60 and 72 hours. Nice. I do agree. 50 to 55K is my target.
Yeah, absolutely. Guys, make sure you hit the like and subscribe to the channel. Uh guys, how much is enough to retire? I'm at a couple mil right now.
Well, it depends on where you plan on exiting, right? That's the thing. If you're planning to retire from your job forever, I mean, probably whatever you've got, probably double or triple it, maybe more, right?
10, 20, 30, 50 million coins, something like that is what some people go for.
But if you're looking to retire off one project, it depends on where you're selling really and what your price, what your entrance point is.
Uh if it does if it doesn't happen by uh buy Zbec at 2028ish Canton at 12 12 cents. Yeah, I think we're going to see about an 8 to 8 to 10 cent canton personally.
Uh but I agree with you. That's a good entry point. H bar at 8 cents is good too. XRP, I really hope I can get XRP at a dollar or below. Between 80 cents to a dollar is where I'm hoping we can see XRP move its way down to. Uh, Hyperliquid. Interesting you say that because uh I do have some a story to cover when it comes to Hyperlid as well.
Shane, what's up, man? Haven't caught a live in a while. Always re-watching on the Patreon, though. Nice. I dig it, brother. Good to have you here, man.
Stevie's in the house. What's going on, man? Jasmine or Zabbec is in the next uh sorry, in the next 2028 bull run. Well, they're both good projects, so I mean, I hold both of them. Jack Sparrow, what's up? Big boss. Can uh I can figure out the markets from your you mean beard. Uh it looks bullish.
Yeah, bearish.
Nice. Uh I should have bought flare instead. Thank you much for your time, brother. Should have bought flare instead of what? Instead of what?
John, blessings, my friend. Good to see you. Gamecast in the house. Hey, Rob.
First full week back. just noticed uh I have $300 in ZBEC. I must have left in staking. Nice. There you go. Uh cash up and be ready to buy. There you go. Not bad. Not bad tip, man. Flash crash is your friend. Exactly. Exactly. Alltime low on Moonwell. Moonwell is a great buy right now. Uh hold the rip by the dip.
Sell the tip. Adjust the tip. Uh if you want to retire this year or the next, you'll need 100 million. If you want to retire by 2032, you only need two millions of act. There you go. Uh, the goal is supplement the traditional income for the staking income. I will sell my XRP for upfront income. There you go. Uh, hi. Any info on Zebex's black card? Says coming soon. Super app.
Uh, the black card is already active.
You can already get a black card, but they're probably talking about your ability to utilize it through the super app is what they're referring to. So, because you can already get the carbon card, uh I think the silver card and the uh the black card. So, they're already active. It's probably just the integration into the super app that they're referring to. So, Wendy, Wendy, what's going on? Good morning. Good morning. Good to see you.
Coming from down under, baby. Coming from down under.
All right, we're caught up in the chat.
Let's uh let's get through some of the news here. Another uh another hit taken here by uh layer zero. I covered it the other day and this is this really upsets me because I really did want to get into layer zero, but uh I mean just keeps getting worse here. Lombard joins chain link CCIP as layer zero exodus tops 4 billion.
Uh Lombard has joined a wave of protocols switching to chain link as layer zero migrations top $4 billion.
The shift accelerates after $292 million exploit drained 116,500 uh RS from Kelp Dow's layer zero powered bridge on April in April of 2026. Layer Zero later said it made a mistake by allowing its own verifier network to secure high-v value assets in the configuration used. Kraken announced that it was replacing layer zero with chain link CCIP as the exclusive crosschain infrastructure for KBTC and all future Kraken wrapped assets.
They the exchange cited enterprisegrade security ISO 2701 compliance and sock 2 type 2 certification as the reasons for the switch.
Kelpdow moved RSH to chain links CCIP in early May while its dispute with layer zero over responsibility for the exploit continues to deepen. Layer zero denied that the single verifier configuration had been approved by its staff.
Solve Protocol shifted $700 million in tokenized Bitcoin, including Solve BTC and XSOL BTC from layer zero to CCIP on May 7th. Uh, REXYZ followed with $475 million in TVL, citing CCIP's 16 independent validator nodes and builtin rate limits as the deciding factor.
Chainlink CCIP has supported over $28 trillion in cumulative onchain transaction value and averages approximately $90 million in weekly token transfers. The protocol is the only oracle platform to hold both ISO 27001 and SOCK 2 type2 certification.
Layer 0ero has since removed support for one of one DVN configurations and announced plans to move most routes towards stricter five of five verifier setups. Despite the migration, the protocol said more than $9 billion in bridged assets moved through its infrastructure since April 19th. Layer Zero trying to hold on. I'm watching closely at this one, guys. I'm paying close attention to it.
Christopher, uh Rob, what are your thoughts on Anthony Pompiano's view that crypto will fall severely except tokenized projects like Canton? Uh is he just a BTC maximus and doesn't want to see? Yeah, I mean guy listen Pompiano is a smart dude, right? Don't get me wrong, he's a smart dude when it comes to the economy and stuff like that in certain ways, but as a Bitcoin maxi, um I don't take anything any Bitcoin maxi says seriously because they come from a position of intellectual dishonesty, right? I literally hear Bitcoin maxis like Pompiano literally say that no altcoin has any utility with a straight face to a camera, right? And that's either a lack of research and a lack of knowledge, which means they shouldn't be giving that kind of advice if they're not paying attention to things, or they're lying. It's one of the two, right? Either you don't know what you're talking about or you're lying. So, when it comes to guys like Pompiano, um what's that other guy's name? What's the other Bitcoin Maxis name? Uh the Cryptoverse guy into the cryptoverse. Uh he he comes from a position of intellectual dishonesty as well. Um I've said it before and I'll say it again guys. Uh Bitcoin maxis tell you not to do the exact same thing that they did when they got into Bitcoin and that is that they bought a small cap coin with high risk because they believed in it and it ended up working out for them. Now they don't want you to do the same thing with your favorite Ben Cowan. Yes, that's right. But they don't want you to do the same thing with your altcoins. They don't want you to take the same risk that they did on a low cap uh project with utility that you believe in. They think that's a bad idea and that you should just buy what they hold.
Right? So that's a position of intellectual dishonesty, telling you to not do the same thing that they did which made them multi-millionaires.
Right? I don't know. Sounds like bad advice to me. Dave, what's up, man? Good to see you. Good to see you. I am Jasmine. We're all Jazz me. You ain't going nowhere. I got you for three minutes of play time. [laughter] Absolutely. Absolutely. But let's keep it rolling. Let's keep it going.
Uh so we got this. We're going to cover this article and then we're going to go into a little clippy clip because they coincide. So the crypto market structure bill clears committee Senate vote in focus. Let's talk about it.
The US Senate moved a critical digital uh moved a critical digital asset framework forward as the banking committee advanced the digital asset market the clarity act with bipartisan support. While the development marks meaningful momentum for a long stalled market structure bill, its fate in the full Senate remains uh contingent on the broader political consensus, including ethics provisions and potential changes before a final vote.
On Thursday, Democratic senators uh Gallagho and uh also Brooks joined 13 Republicans in backing the Clarity Act, signaling cross party alignment after months of procedural delay within the committee. The House uh earlier cleared its own version of the uh substantial margin uh by a substantial margin sorry and the Senate agriculture committee had already moved its portion addressing commodities markets rules together. The uh committee tracked sign uh the committee track signals a coordinated effort across chambers, but final passage will depend on how the full Senate negotiates uh the contours of the bill before sending it to the White House for uh for signing off uh by Donald Trump.
Uh nevertheless, a number of Senate Democrats uh at at least one Republican signaled they would not support the clarity in its current form without ethics provisions, addressing potential conflicts of interest involving officials uh official ties to the crypto industry. Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott and the remaining 12 Republicans voted against an amendment that would have addressed President Trump's potential connections to digital assets, reflecting a broader policy debate about governance and ethics in the crypto space. So to simplify it, you have certain people in Congress who think that they should add an amendment so that Trump and his family cannot be involved in investing in crypto while he's in office. Yet those same committee members think it's perfectly okay for themselves to use insider information in the stock market to become multi-millionaires.
So, is it really about ethics, per se? I don't know. I don't know.
Uh following the committee's vote, Senator Tim uh Tom Tillis acknowledged that more work remains in the weeks ahead to make the legislation even better. Some industry advocates echoed the sentiment using sorry urging careful crafting of the bill to balance innovation with robust oversight.
Senator uh Waro War Waro addressing the markup argued that any final package should confront pure corruption concerns regarding executive branch and political figures. So like I said, they don't want Trump to be able to buy to make money off investing, but they want to be able to make money off investing. Funny how that works. Also of this report, no timetable has been set for a full Senate vote. The chamber calendar projected sessions through late May and again in June excluding weekends and holidays if clarity clears the 60 vote threshold to invoke uh cloer clutter. Uh it would move back to the house for concurrence before potentially reaching the president's desk. White House uh crypto policy advisor Patrick Wit has indicated the administration's target for selloff remains aligned with a July 4th timeline. That would be uh the kind of the perfect day, right?
Because then they would push the whole concept of uh the US being the uh crypto capital of the world even though they still haven't uh done anything about crypto taxes or anything. And you simply cannot be the crypto capital of the world if people are still paying full capital gains tax on crypto. It just doesn't work. Uh when other countries are are tax friendly, right? Uh I do see 95% of crypto down to close to zero. I disagree with that wholeheartedly. If you're talking See, here's the thing. If people are talking about meme coins when they say that, then obviously I agree.
But to say that 90 would you say 95 or n some people are saying 99% or everything basically everything but Bitcoin is going to zero uh just doesn't make any sense right that's like saying that 95% of the S&P 500 is going to zero because the top three projects or whatever it is uh the thought top three companies exist even though they have nothing to do nothing to do in the business world with with uh what all these other companies do. It's like saying that Toys R Us is going to go out of business because McDonald's makes good hamburgers, right?
If I said that to you, you'd say, "Rob, you're an imbecile. What are you talking about?" Yet, people will say that, you know, uh I don't know, people will say that all these other projects, an AI agent project oro, right? uh tokenization of of uh RWAS is going to go to zero because Bitcoin exists, right? It just it doesn't compute. It doesn't make sense. You you're looking at an industry of dozens of narratives across dozens of industries doing dozens of different things, but they're all going to go to zero because Bitcoin. Now again, I would stress most cryptos will go to zero, but that largely means that the meme coins because there's so many of them, those will all go to zero for sure, right? So that's kind of my stance on that. Uh stake canon 8% APY in one minute per long view, but I don't know. uh millions of cryptos and uh 10 10,000 main cryptos. I could see 500 main cryptos uh eventually. Interesting interesting take, brother. But let's get more into the Clarity Act here. Senator Cynthia Lumis over on Squawkbox say the Clarity Act provides regulatory framework for the digital asset world. Let's talk about it.
>> Bill uh designed to create a clear regulatory framework for digital assets could soon be heading to the Senate floor for a full vote in less than two hours. the Senate Banking Committee's markup process on the Clarity Act set to begin. Republican Senator Cynthia Lemus is here uh and she's the author and champion of that bill. She sits on the Senate Banking Committee as chair of the digital assets subcommittee. Um good morning to you. Sounds like we're here.
It's going to happen.
>> That's a fact. Uh we've been working for over nine months with Democrats trying to get this bill ready for today. It provides a regulatory framework that currently doesn't exist in the digital asset world. It's the wild west out there and that allows fraudsters to operate without a regulatory framework to respond to their illicit activity. It also uh allows legitimate players to set up shop overseas uh because they do have regulatory frameworks. This is a way to bring this industry into the fold into the United States, make it strong, robust, and serve the American consumer.
>> Uh what is the banking industry telling you about all this?
>> Yeah, they don't like it. Um this is uh some competition for them. They view it as competition that will hurt their ability to um sustain the uh deposits they need to make loans. I disagree with that. They want changes that actually would go back to the Genius Act we passed last summer and make changes to it. Um I think that they should embrace digital assets. It's going to be part of the financial products they can offer in the future. We're going to have a digital dollar, a digital Bitcoin, digital alternative coins. Uh, it's going to be a new financial landscape, and I'd like to see the traditional banking industry embrace it instead of fight it.
>> Do you think it will damage the banking business?
>> I don't. In fact, I think it provides them additional financial products that they can offer to their customers. Uh I think you'll see a lot of combinations of digital asset companies with traditional banks. We're already seeing some of the big traditional banks uh create back back office functions uh and uh digital protocols to accommodate uh assets that are offered on the blockchain. So the big banks are already embracing it behind the scenes but in their public facing views they oppose it. I think they just want to get uh a a lead, a heads up. Interestingly, the credit unions support the addition of digital assets and traditional community banks don't particularly. So, we're seeing an odd combination and alignment of pros and cons. Senator, there's an argument to be made that this could be very good for treasuries, oddly enough, because it will push uh the world of stable coins even more into the mainstream and to back such stable coins, there'll be uh a bigger market to buy those treasuries. Do you see that as a positive? Do you see that as a real market? And do you see some of that also being potentially damaging to other parts of the financial system?
You know, I see it as a positive. Uh there are already um firms that uh buy US treasuries that are stable coin firms. They buy them because stable coins need to be 100% hard assetbacked.
That hard asset that they're moving to are treasuries. And so we have firms in the top 20 holders of US treasuries in the world that are companies like Tether. Uh that's very good to have an additional market for US treasuries. Uh because we're issuing a lot of debt in the United States. Uh and since we don't get uh a hold of our debt and reduce uh the amount of money we spend uh we keep putting more of our um uh government spending on our credit card. That credit card comes in the form of treasury. So we need new markets for our treasuries and it's coming in the form of stable coin.
Sorry, I didn't realize I was muted there. Uh, Flight Fan says, "What the heck did I miss? Did Bitcoin gap up?
What's Bitcoin doing?" Oh, we're we're at 7985 still.
Uh, Rob is your opinion changed and potential delays and clarity. What's your guess by September 50/50? Um, yeah.
Well, she I mean the article said like I touched on that it could be a couple more months still, right? Uh so there is potential for delay. I'm hoping I'm hoping that it just happens. But here's the thing.
People are expecting too much in terms of uh uh the market pumping from the Clarity Act. We saw, you know, good news happened yesterday. We saw a little bit of a pump back up to the uh the 200 day moving average. and then it rejected off and we came right back down again today.
Right? And that's exactly what I've been warning people about is people are expecting this parabolic bull run when the Clarity Act passes and when it turns out it's just like a a green daily candle and then it gets eaten up within the next 48 hours after that. People are going to be pissed off and they're going to be disappointed and but it's their own fault for building up their own expectations to unrealistic levels.
Right. Zora for a long shot. What do you think uh of Vchain? I like Zora. I like Zora, but Vchain is good, but I'm not interested in holding it. It's It's too old. I haven't really seen any announcements or anything in a couple of years now. I haven't really seen anything of significance out of Vchain since they partnered with the the UFC.
Since then, I have not seen anything out of them that makes me want to buy the project.
Right. So, that's kind of my thoughts on that.
Uh, what else do we have?
Let's get into this here. So, you guys know I am interested in Hyperlid. I don't hold any right now, but they could be in some sort of uh an issue here. CME and ICE push US regulators to scrutinize Hyperlid.
uh CME and ICE warned that Hyperliquid's anonymous roundthe-clock perpetual futures trading could distort global commodity benchmarks, particularly in oil markets. The exchanges also flagged risks of insider coordination and sanction evasion by state- linked participants exploiting the platform's permissionless structure. Hyperliquid's uh Hyperlid holds a market cap of approximately $10.3 billion, making Hype the 13th largest crypto asset globally.
At its April 2025 peak, the platform accounted for roughly 70% of onchain perpetual futures uh markets.
The pressure campaign comes as Hyperlid has expanded into synthetic markets for stocks and commodities, placing it in direct competition with CME and ICE.
Both exchanges operate under strict regulatory oversight. The Hyperl uh that Hyperlid currently does not face. The hyperlquid policy center argued the platforms the platform provides markets that are more beneficial and present fewer present fewer risks than traditional uh centralized exchanges and and expects the CFTC to develop a tailored regulatory framework for onchain derivatives platforms.
[clears throat] Hyperlid launched the policy center in Washington in February of 2026, selecting uh veteran crypto policy lawyer Jake Shervinsky Cherinsky to lead the organization. The group has held direct meetings with the CFTC aimed at establishing a legal path for US retail participation. The platform has positioned itself as a beneficiary of rising oil per activity in early 2026 with open interest in oil linked perpetual contracts surging as the Iran conflict dis uh disrupts global energy markets. The Hyper Foundation addressed community concerns over validator configuration earlier this year, framing transparency and decentralization as central to Hyperlquid's competitive proposition against regulated venues. Uh so no formal regulatory action has been announced yet, but we do see like I said uh CME and ICE pushing to get the CFTC to go after or US regulators more accurately CFTC to give Hyperlids platform more of a hard time. And does this not sound familiar to you?
Think think stable coin yield on on centralized exchanges and banks, right? You've got the same thing happening here. Tell me that disruptive technology is starting to scare these industries without telling me that it is. Right? You've got banks who are terrified of yield being off offered in stable coins by centralized exchanges. So they're pushing, they're lobbying for uh the government to go and to go harder after centralized exchanges for that uh for that um very topic, right? And here you are, you have CME and ICE pushing for regulators to go after Hyperlid because it's a direct competitor to them that gets to operate outside the framework that CME and and ICE have to operate under. Right? So again, more disruptive technology scaring the living be Jesus out of traditional markets, right?
Chris, thank you so much, brother. Uh second uh second super chat of the stream. Thanks for supporting the channel. You and Isaac pulling the weight of the team today, man. I appreciate you guys. Thank you so much.
So I will be covering that story in another v in an individual video, guys.
Just kind of, you know, because not everybody watches the live streams and stuff like that because they're too long. But, uh, yeah, we will cover it again in a in a later video, probably tomorrow. Maybe a little bit deeper of a dive. Um, but let's go back over to Bitcoin, see what's going on.
Okay, so yeah, just kind of sitting around 792, not really doing too much.
When will we roll over and lose the 30-day moving average? I would guess within the next week. Within the next week, I would probably next week.
Depends on how we close the weekly, but I think we roll over next week, guys.
That's what I'm watching for. But for now, I got to get out of here. Thank you guys so much for popping in and spending some time with me. It is Friday night on the Patreon, which means it is open mic Friday night. I will be popping in there for a little bit later. So, hopefully I see you guys there if you have questions for me. Also, again, guys, if you're looking for 100x altcoin gems, we've got four we're looking at over on the Patreon right now. Get over there and check them out. You do not want to miss these gems, guys. Uh, I am super excited about it. I've been aggressively accumulating on a daily basis. And of course, this video is sponsored by Coin Vigilante, guys. Got my watch on right now. You probably can't see it. Got mine on right now. Absolutely love these things, man. I'm going to buy another one soon here. Uh, use our link down below. You'll get a fantastic deal on your custom limited edition crypto watches today. Check them out guys and I will see you in the next one. God bless.
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