HEDERA HBAR - Technical Altseason Coming?! Only This Stands in our Way!

Added: 2026-05-16

[00:00:00]You know, these past 90 days have been very good for all coins, but they're continuing to get better. In fact, this weekend has been an overall green weekend for HBAR so far. Right now, it's actually up about 2.5% at the time of filming this video. And we're starting to do something that we haven't again seen since all the way back in July of 2025. I will hint that the last time this took place, we saw a 77% rally from this point. Um will this repeat? Do you want to go over a few pieces of news cuz we obviously could be talking about potential escalations today and in next week. We'll discuss all that and more.

[00:00:32]So again, if you're new or haven't already, make sure you like, comment, subscribe. Show your support for the channel down below. But yes, it's been a very good weekend overall. We actually did finish green yesterday. We had some ups and downs as the day progressed.

[00:00:44]What we're watching is eight HBAR displaying quite a bit of strength in these ranges. Uh again, firmly above that 9.04 cent range. Uh right now at about 9.5 cents at the time of filming this video. But what I'm really loving here is that we are above closing candles above this 100-day moving average. This is the first time that we have done this on on a breakout type trend since all the way back in July of 2025. And from that point, we were actually able to break out 77%.

[00:01:16]Now, I'm not saying this is the same thing. I'm not saying it's going to all happen the same way. We obviously dealt with you know, a bunch of short squeezes at the time. There was obviously good news.

[00:01:25]The market was coming out of some pretty ugly times. We're still dealing with a lot of uncertainty. Obviously, that I talked about earlier in my Cardano video. If you haven't checked it out, there are obviously big tensions rising between the US and Iran. Um there are some more tensions that I'm going to talk about in this video. So it's just things we're going to have to monitor here. Now, coincidentally enough, when we did break this point, uh this move to our 200-day moving average was about 22%. Coincidentally enough, uh from this 100-day to our 200-day moving average, it's about 23%. So right about a similar similar spot structure-wise. Uh doesn't mean it's all going to play out the same way, but I will say here in terms of HBAR, excuse me, we are trying to again complete this Adam and Eve reversal like we talked about. And it's looking like we may try to test up around this 10.6 cent range if if we do get some um positivity remaining in the crypto market. I will say shorts have re-upped and they're trying to push the market back. Coincidentally or surprisingly enough, in the last 24 hours, we've actually seen more long leverage liquidations than short leverage liquidations, which is strange because shorts are still outweighing the longs in the market. They're trying to, you know, they're they're betting on downside.

[00:02:34]They're betting on some pushback here.

[00:02:37]It's very possible that that could be the case. Um did just want to show you guys here in terms of BTC what we're dealing with. BTC still below structure, not quite making that move yet. It's really toying with 81K uh at the time of filming this video, but this week is going to be very telling here. Now that being said, uh when we're looking at HBAR, looks like we're again still trying to complete this Wyckoff accumulation model like we're seeing around the crypto market. Just show everybody what that looks like. Uh it looks like we are working our way out of the spring event. The spring was basically back in February. It looks like this is our test. We're testing higher ranges of support.

[00:03:12]So could this mean as we start to get into the uh you know, mid to back half of the year that we're seeing some HBAR prices that we haven't seen since late 2024? I'm not saying that's going to happen for sure, but the news can get loud. We very clearly found support levels and we've hit a lot of uh of holder bases and liquidity levels that are feeling frankly unwilling to relinquish at least right now. Now that being said, um announcement sounds like strategy is going to be doing some BTC accumulation tomorrow. Back on track. I don't think they did any accumulating last week.

[00:03:47]So obviously that can cause a stir in the market. We've obviously talked about the things taking place in the middle of the week. Now here's another thing we're going to have to watch closely. The United United States has imposed imposed sanctions on Chinese satellite company Chang Guang.

[00:04:00]Uh this operates China China's largest commercial satellite constellation is accused of providing targeted or targeting data to the Iranian military. So, now >> [clears throat] >> the US might be involving some other regions in this this tech war, if you will.

[00:04:18]Uh so, that's something that we're going to have to pay attention to because obviously there there's been, you know, floating tariffs, supposedly further tariffs against China that the US was was mentioning. If they're going to give Iran assistance, they're going to get hit with these tariffs. And obviously there's a there's a lot of stuff going on, guys.

[00:04:35]It's definitely It's definitely uncertain times, if you will. Um >> [clears throat and cough] >> excuse me, I have something in my throat.

[00:04:42]That being said, um Grayscale the other day did a restructuring of its smart contract uh fund or yeah, smart contract fund. We actually did see again HBAR uh continue to to pick up some steam here, gain ground.

[00:04:55]So, from January we've actually climbed from 6.53% waiting in this fund to 7.32%, showing you that institutional money is is still very much focused on HBAR. And again, there will be more basket ETFs and spot ETFs coming over time that'll create obviously further HBAR demand.

[00:05:13]Something else worth noting here, too, is that we actually have now gotten to a point where over the last 90 days we have seen only 18 of the top 100 assets be red. What we're seeing right now is all coins are starting starting to live it up. HBAR is actually up 6.64 uh percent in that time.

[00:05:33]Obviously, we had a really good recovery from that drop in February. And Jeez.

[00:05:40]I should [clears throat] have some water ready to go.

[00:05:42]We had a really good rebound from that drop in February. So, we got a little bit of work to do here compared to some other assets that rebounded but didn't really have that strong of of a recovery. Um but could we in fact be on the verge of seeing a potential technical alt season? It's very possible. That would just be 75 of the top 100 assets outpacing BTC over the last 90 days. You guys can see right now we're only about a 10% move away from that being the case just in terms of HBAR load. Actually, if you see all these assets from basically HBAR up here past BTC in this timeframe, boom, we're in a technical alt season. It doesn't mean that we're in a true alt season because again, there's still a lack of new retail entering the space. It would be It would be [clears throat] kind of similar to probably probably what we saw um thinking late late 2023. That'd probably be the more more similar move just because obviously that was coming out of the bear market. There was a little bit of hesitance. You had a good floor set in the market, but there still wasn't new new capital entering the market, if you will. A little bit different because of institutional money, but that would probably be the most similar thing.

[00:06:48]Obviously, uh if we take a look back during that time, we did see some exciting things for HBAR. We saw it run all the way from about 4 cents uh all the way up to 13 cents. Doesn't mean it's going to happen again, but a lot of parallels right now. I appreciate you guys. I hope you enjoyed the video. Let me know your thoughts below. Are we prepping for a bigger move in the market? Will we get squashed down by some of this uncertainty? But have a great day. Show your love below. Catch you guys in the next one. Take care.