Why an Iran Peace Deal Won't Stop the Gold & Silver Surge

Ajouté : 2026-05-25

[00:00:00]A reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as a peace deal with Iran, it very well could be. How will it affect gold and silver? I'll give you a hint. I think it's going to go up. Uh let's talk about it as we explore.

[00:00:20]>> [music] >> Precious metals I think are going to climb after we this news gets digested.

[00:00:28]Even if we don't get the details, and by the way, the details are sketchy. And you know, the devil is in the details, and usually is what happens. But nonetheless, considering the parties involved, my guess is if this does not work out this time, then we're going to see a massive bombardment of Iran. Uh let's get into what the latest is as I record this video. But by the time you watch it, we may hear more details about this. Uh according to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, uh President Donald Trump announced on Saturday an agreement has been largely negotiated with Iran and several allied nations, signaling a nearing end to the end of the controversial 84-day war.

[00:01:11]The president wrote in a Truth Social post uh that following a very good call with leaders from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and Bahrain, the deal is nearly finalized.

[00:01:26]An agreement has largely been negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other countries as listed, Trump wrote in the post. Now, before I get into the next part of it, and notice he says the Islamic Republic of Iran, which means that there will not be a regime change, uh and the current leadership will stay in power.

[00:01:52]And of course, some are very concerned about that. And And talk about some of those concerns, but regardless, I think that that this is a positive sign that we may see the straits open. And obviously, the one thing that was not mentioned in the post, the Truth Social post, was about the nuclear material.

[00:02:09]About getting the nuclear material.

[00:02:11]That's part of the details or them pursuing a nuclear weapon. Largely, it's centered around the reopening of the strait, which obviously is the largest economic impact that we've seen of the war so far.

[00:02:24]And if we see the reopening of the strait, well, that means that oil prices will go down. Now, I don't think they're going to go down to where they were before the war, but I think we'll see a substantial decline in price, maybe $10, because likely the markets are going to be very skeptical about this agreement since we've gone and gone back and forth and there's been mention that they're very close to the deal. They want to make a deal.

[00:02:49]And obviously, there's a lot of nuance.

[00:02:52]And there's a lot of things that Trump isn't telling us that he probably can't tell us or should tell us about the leadership or lack thereof in in Iran.

[00:03:00]So, he goes on to say that separately, he had a call with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, which went very well. So, in other words, it sounds like Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel is on board with these new discussions and peace extension. Some say it's 60-day ceasefire extension to where we are right now.

[00:03:20]And what is that going to mean for gold and silver? Well, I think it means they're going to climb, but I could be wrong about that, but based off of recent history over the last you know, 80 days, then it would lead credence to this idea that whenever oil prices go down, silver and gold go up. Now, that does not mean that I'm right and that you should just stop what you're doing and and click the buy now button over at Summit Metals, a channel sponsor. But they want me to make you aware that they are there for you if you want to make a make a purchase. They are making a name for themselves in the community as being one with really good reputation for excellent customer service, fast shipping and the like. So, check them out. Link is in the description below.

[00:04:04]Gold, silver, you know, platinum and palladium they will all be affected by this I feel.

[00:04:10]We'll see how this plays out. Now, what we saw in the past is gold and silver climb up and maybe even fairly dramatically when we see oil prices go down. So, when I say that oil prices could fall $10 a barrel as of the recording of this video while the markets are closed, they had gone up over the previous trading session.

[00:04:30]So, right now they're at $96.88.

[00:04:34]So, it is possible we could see it go fall almost as much as $10 per barrel to $86 or $87 a barrel. That is quite a possibility. I don't think it's going to fall much more than that. In fact, that may that may even be a stretch. Because there's still a lot that needs to happen to get oil flowing and to reconnect those supply chains because of all the tankers that are stuck there. But, I think in a sense this is a situation that is involving a number of different countries that have asked Trump to to not to withhold his planned attack.

[00:05:07]And so, if you have those other leaders that can back Trump up in what he is proposed there.

[00:05:13]And so, this is a situation now where the there is a real possibility for at least a long extended peace. A ceasefire that can obviously be short-lived if Iran were to break that. And if that happens, well, you're going to see oil prices skyrocket again.

[00:05:31]Move back well above $100 a barrel. And with the summer blends of gasoline being pumped now, we're talking $5 a gallon gasoline easy as a national average.

[00:05:44]You know, if this does occur.

[00:05:46]And there's a break in it. And some feel that that is likely what will happen even if the details are panned out and we happen and then they do it, they break the deal, all it takes is one drone going in and attacking a ship.

[00:05:58]Even if there's very little or minimal damage to that ship, to that tanker, well, it's going to stop everything.

[00:06:05]That's all it takes. And then we're back to square one, and and then the Trump's got to decide whether or not that deal has been broken or not.

[00:06:14]So, there's got to be It's got to be very, very tough. In other words, they cannot allow even a single drone to enter and and attack a ship and or a mine. They must clear the mines out of the get them free flowing and no tolls on ships going through. That and then the the the uh any kind of ceasefire uh you know, violation of the smallest sort such as I just mentioned, there's got to be serious consequences if that were to occur.

[00:06:45]So, I think it's going to be and very interesting to see how this pans out cuz remember, there's a faction, especially in regards to those that are in control of the IRGC and the Khomeini Ayatollah, whoever that is in charge now, they are not about the good They don't care about the economics of Iranians or Americans or the world. They're all about bringing about the 12th Imam and Armageddon and whatever it means to get there.

[00:07:12]You know, there's not rational actors in that sect of of Shiite Muslim um entities. So, that's the difference that we're looking at here.

[00:07:22]So, this is why this is extremely fragile even if they get the details panned out. So, I think in the immediacy of this announcement when the markets open up on tonight, you know, which they will in Asia, but there's a lot of markets that will be closed including the United States for Memorial Day and Great Britain as well that will be closed.

[00:07:43]So, there will be somewhat light trading.

[00:07:46]But, they will react the markets will react to this.

[00:07:48]And I think we're going to see gold and silver prices climb up. In fact, I'm going to give a little short prediction here what I think it's going to happen.

[00:07:56]I think we may see silver move well into the mid-80s, up $10 an ounce very easily, just like oil will go down $10 a barrel. We may see silver go up to $85 uh in over the course of the next trading day. May not happen all at once.

[00:08:14]I'm not saying we're going to gap up to to $85 or anything like that, but I think we'll easily reach $80. And I think gold very well could reach 4750 um by the uh next trading day or two if this does hold and stick and details emerge that there is going to be uh some assurances that there's going to be safety for vessels flowing through uh the the Gulf and into the the the Persian Gulf and into the Gulf of Aden past the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:08:45]So, that's what I think will happen. The reason why I think that is just based off of what we what we've been seeing over the last 80 plus day days when oil goes up, uh gold and silver go down, which is the opposite of what we usually see. And we've seen that tested uh several times where there's a reversion back to the mean, but it has not happened yet. So, I think this is where we're at uh in the immediacy of this and the reaction of the markets will be very good, but I think that this snap reaction within the first trading day will essentially uh sort of consolidate yet again. And we may see those gains cut in half in the next trading day because there'll be a lot of skepticism out there as we've seen volatility play out. But again, I could be completely wrong. Uh no decision should be made about buying precious metals based off of what I think. They're literally just my opinions and nothing more. But of course, we have a little bit of pattern that we can check here. And obviously, you've got uh technical analysis as well. Those patterns that you have to uh weigh in as well as to whether or not it's going to occur. But there you go.

[00:09:51]Let me know what your thoughts are about what's going on. By the time you see this video, even at the minute of it being published, there will likely be new information that will come across that could maybe even nullify this whole video. It It It's that volatile and that quick.

[00:10:07]But my guess is likely it's not considering there's multiple nations that are involved in this, all the Gulf states and the like. So, likely this will probably hold at least uh for the as they pan out and get the details of it uh worked out. We'll see how it plays. Let me know what your thoughts are in the comment section down below. I strive to bring you the latest news and analysis in the world of precious metals, post content daily. So, if you enjoy what I do here, I hope you will consider subscribing to the channel. I'm trying to grow it.

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