Kaspa Odds of Rate Hikes increasing

Added: 2026-05-13

[00:00:00]Woody Guy coming back here with another one. Well, a lot of red in the market.

[00:00:03]Pumpy one day, dumpy the next day.

[00:00:05]Besides some scam or BS projects that are super centralized that Binance is pumping.

[00:00:11]Inflation surges to the highest level in 3 years since May of 2023.

[00:00:17]It's outpacing US wage growth, so people are losing money. When you go to the CME Fed Watch tool, you can see that the chances of a rate cut this year, the odds are going up. But still, pretty much the odds are there's just going to stay the same. It doesn't look like anything outpaces just staying at the same level. Now, Kevin Warsh should be getting confirmed in days or sometime this week or soon.

[00:00:48]Clarity Act is maybe going to leave the committee and go to a vote. So, you have some things on the table there that could, you know, as Warsh, you know, he's only vote one voting member.

[00:01:00]And actually, Jerome Powell's staying on. He's just going to be a a board member, which is unprecedented pretty much because the only time that's happened the last 80 years when the Fed chair stayed on, the president asked. And obviously, the president's not asking now. So, uh we'll see how that goes. It'll be interesting to see how the June meeting goes.

[00:01:20]Uh are they going to see reasons? Warsh going to convince everyone else to cut? 540,000 Casper addresses on chain with one Casper or more.

[00:01:33]So, that's kind of stagnant. It'd be nice to see that going up. Maybe hard fork. Um it'll be interesting to see after the hard fork next month how that works.

[00:01:45]Uh you can see that a lot of the markets are you red overall. It'll be interesting to see the US markets are opening up. You can see oil up, you know, copper's up, gold silver down.

[00:02:01]The treasury yields are up.

[00:02:03]Um most of stock markets in Europe and Asia are down.

[00:02:08]The VIX is up, so volatility is up a little bit, but man, the S&P just keeps ripping to new all-time highs. Bitcoin Bitcoin's holding a little over 60,000.

[00:02:19]The last month we've had some nice action on the CAS BTC chart.

[00:02:24]And it'll be interesting to see uh what KII's going to be able to pull off.

[00:02:31]If there's going to be some institutional adoption, some tradfi using some of their products.

[00:02:36]If some of those narratives can catch on.

[00:02:38]Uh you know, right when the the hard fork happens, I wouldn't necessarily wouldn't want you know, expect Rome to be built that day. So, sometimes there could be a little bit of like, ah. But, you know, if you can get more people with one wallet, more adoption there.

[00:02:56]If Caspa KII can uh come out and if there's adoption on that level, that could be really big.

[00:03:02]So, there's just so many macroeconomic conditions right now that which could be cool if there's some Caspa narrative that catches on and the market still kind of going sideways or hasn't really did a super pump. Might get some eyeball more eyeballs on Caspa, which would be cool. Um but, right now it's like, you know, the war is ceasefire is about to end, it's going to do this. Oil's pumping, you know, that Iran's going to cut the you know, the undersea internet cables or do something with that, you know, it's it's uh a lot of disruption, but the S&P 500 keeps pumping, so that's what's kind of interesting is uh all this is going on and the S&P just keeps ripping to the new all-time highs.

[00:03:44]So, it seems like the market on some level just doesn't think this war is that big a deal and we're starting to see that the it's obvious that the with the rising energy costs, you're going to see inflation creep up and uh it could carry on even if the war stopped today for for months, few months. So, we'll see. Anyways, we're getting closer, you know, getting close to halfway through May, not quite there yet, but um getting closer to the hard fork. It's exciting. I know it's going to be interesting to see what people can can build with that. And it'll be see if uh if KII hits the ground running. So, that's all I got. Thanks for watching.

[00:04:23]Have a good day.