This video explains that when markets rally too quickly without pullbacks (vertical moves), it creates unsustainable conditions that often lead to significant corrections. The speaker emphasizes that healthy markets should have pullbacks providing buying opportunities, while rapid, continuous upward movement without consolidation indicates exhaustion. Key technical indicators discussed include moving averages, support/resistance levels, and the Fear and Greed Index, which currently shows extreme greed (67) without profit-taking, suggesting potential market vulnerability. The analysis covers major tech stocks including AMD, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Tesla, and Nvidia, highlighting how earnings beats and AI narratives can drive rallies but also create overextension risks.
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Deep Dive
TECH STOCK ANALYSIS (Amazon, Google, Meta, Apple, Tesla, Msft, Nflx, Amd, ) #tsla #amzn #cryptoHinzugefügt:
Welcome back everybody to the daily update on big mega cap stocks. So before we get started, please hit that like button and that is greatly appreciated.
And if you're new here, definitely consider subscribing. Now, if you're really serious about trading, you want to do this fulltime and you want to support the channel and get all types of trade ideas, head over to Patreon and that link will be down below in the description for you guys. And now, let's get right into the market first.
>> [music] >> All right. So, welcome back once again.
First thing first, so uh that new project freedom now uh will be paused and you can see a little bit of a pullback on oil but that's not what's uh driving the market. You can see AMD stock soarses not 12% right now. It's up 15 plus% as data center growth pushes revenue and guidance past the estimates. So again AI narrative is alive and this is the only thing that we have seen since March 30th market going up on these names semiconductors uh historic rally a lot of people now we have to talk about it and I think it's better uh you know to show you guys what uh happened and uh some of the things that actually happened and some of the things that people are now just ignoring. ing because if you tell people uh you know especially when it comes to uh you know the market uh hitting any bottom uh people will say well uh you know crash is here and market just going to go and crash and go down to zero but then uh when the market does the opposite like right now it's doing the opposite market going up um you know people will say uh oh market cannot come down and you can see 328 and the reason for me to bring this up that this is just before market bottoming. Everyone is leaning bearish. Fear is loud.
Confidence is gone. That's exactly when market do the unexpected. Uh screenshot this. We're going back to all-time highs. This is me saying on March 28, 2026, bear will get crushed again. So in a longer run usually I'm always trying to buy those dips and if the market goes straight up yes I bought many dips we made money but if the market going straight up there are no opportunities. Now uh fast forward right now I just made a video on stock market update and people just get mad when you tell that stock market will pull back.
It's going to be really bad and uh it just not going to work out for you if you're chasing the market. uh they will come right uh you know to your uh video to your post to your face and say you know you're just a big bear market not going to come down ever you guys saw that you know called out exactly when market bottomed right and right now I have not seen this in last 20 years the way market is going up on just few names 10 15 names and I'm going to share those names with you guys and Now if you tell people like market is going to pull back, something's going to you know something's going to come and something's going to drive the market down. Uh the market like Tom Lee says you know it will test the new Fed chair uh this month uh that is uh going to come in and there is a lot of you know chaos going on. We're just covering all that. the government is covering all that and it seems like oil is getting you know like compressed down as it goes up and it feels like nothing is happening right so people get more bullish they buy into the rally buy into the that's that's what's been happening guys people think like why the market going up it's just buying into the rally buying into buying buying into buying and things just go up but at some point at some point we have seen these moves Before I even shared few moves from SMCI before look at what happened up 1,200, right? And then what happened now?
Nobody buys it. Nobody gives a crap. GME up up 500. What happened? Nobody buys it now. Even the other day the news came out. It was a pump and then a dump. Pump and dump. What happened to car? Now I'm not saying these stocks are similar to those names but the move can definitely happen the same way that actually happened on those names because how fast they're going up guys usually market takes step you know um stairs up and elevator down that's what we all know but this market right now and even before that especially right now I would say is taking elevator up and how we're coming down slow steps very slow. We're not coming down. We're not making no higher lows. We're not giving new buyers any opportunities. Things are just pushing higher. And who's actually doing that? Well, a lot of traders are just looking at it like I missed out. I'm just going to jump in. I'm just going to jump in the pool and start swimming with the market. That's what's happening right now. But trust me when I say this and this is coming out of lot of experience in the market. I have seen these moves many many times on many stocks where you know people will think they will never ever come back to earth and then they'll come back to earth just like the market right now. Nobody thinks that we can actually get a pullback. the comments I read like they're just really crazy that people if you just say that you're not bullish on the market and you don't think it's a healthy way of going the way things are going especially big stocks that are actually market moving stocks you get negative comment nobody wants to hear you just like when I was saying that market you got to dip 10% and market will hit all-time highs guess what how many negative comments came at me at the same time. Oh, we're going to crash. This is nothing. We're going down even more. The noise gets louder and louder. And then what happened now? If you go back and look at my channel, face ripper rally. Massive move is coming.
Bunch of videos came out before that also. And what happened? We I think we got more than a face ripper.
This is like a your face completely off.
Not only ripped, you know, ripper. It just ripped it off this rally, right?
That's that's what we got. So, you can see the Dow is still lagging behind and it's up today 73% thanks to Caterpillar.
NASDAQ firing up with semiconductor again 1% S&P up 81% and Russell going up also for the day. Uh advancing 58.7 declining 36%. Uh 11 sectors pretty much all in the green. Basic materials led the way on top. technology industrials consumer defensive stock market map.
What do we got here? Well, the same names. Amy was up. Now it's up close to 700. And there were some strike that came in the call 700 and not to mention guys further out it was,00. So I don't know if it's choosing the same path as SNDK and it just going to go up up and even more. uh Nvidia uh that's where you know things get really sketchy that Nvidia was actually down on the day 1% Microsoft half a percent Apple going up but look at these names SDX WDC Dell SNDK um and then we have uh AMU AMD QCOM uh Intel in Intel is up again yesterday was down $4 and today is up I think what 12 13 bucks which is huge and Broadcom of course hitting another all-time high today. A lot of the financial names are down on the day, but I guess nobody cares about these names anymore. Uh fear and greed index 67. We are still on greed, but I would call this extreme greed because we actually never saw any profit taking. We do have earnings like AMD just released earnings and this thing is going up. Uh then we have Disney tomorrow. That's another one that is up 7% right now. ARM. We'll see if tomorrow because of ARM there another gap up and go on uh especially uh Triple Q. Then we have uh some names like McDonald's, Data Dog. Then we also have uh Wendy's on uh Friday. I I believe this is before opening. So lot of earnings and uh yet to come inv earning on May 20th, I believe. Correct me if I'm wrong. And with that being said, guys, let's get started. And I think I'm going to start with Microsoft today.
So on Microsoft it was down half a percent. So one thing I want to point out here on Microsoft that um we actually have this uh channel here on Microsoft and we're just kind of uh flagging here on Microsoft. So you can see this thing is just uh pretty much uh coming down as we're just consolidating. Uh some would call this uh left shoulder head. Maybe this is that right shoulder if this is going to play out. But uh we're still far off these lows and we're just consolidating to uh you know just digesting that earnings because obviously market uh you know the buyers definitely not into buying software names and what they're into actually they're just into a lot of these semiconductor names uh whether it's Chinese or whatnot or whatever brand that is uh whatever country that is from uh they're just going to buy those dips.
So Microsoft here uh Kiki zone right here you can see that uh 411 to 410 if that gives up it did come down last week right here uh at 400 uh undershooting that 405 level we do have a gap at 394 so these are going to be some zones to watch align with this red line 50-day moving average if we can actually get over uh right here that 5day moving average 414 we can possibly move into 420s and then we'll We'll see if this thing can push higher above these highs which is uh 433 on Microsoft.
On AMD it was up 4%. So yesterday we got that mini dip and the dip was bought up and today gap up and go and not to mention now with double beat on earnings and the guidance and few uh times mentioning AI on the earnings call. Look at the results guys. up almost 15% $51 and we're trading over $400 per share over 400 I think it was 408 we can look at extended hours here what was the high uh this was the uh first candle and look at the dip uh it was uh 336 so it actually made a big move almost 411 came so that is just insane we will see the biggest green candle weekly candle uh if the gains can hold up tomorrow. That's going to be the big one. But we saw same with Intel's earning uh you know market gapping up everything going up all the semiconductors and they never came back.
Intel gave a little bit of dip yesterday. I think it was like $23 I believe and today it was up to a brand new all-time high. And now AMD I'm not going to do too much of a prediction.
See tomorrow if this thing comes back gives back maybe 10 15 bucks you can get in somewhere here 385. uh it would be just for a day trade because if you are just insanely uh uh addicted uh to this uh rallies like you you want to jump in that you know I don't know I mean you can jump in but knowing how much things ran from the bottom not only this stock I'm talking about overall uh entire sector semiconductors this is not healthy I don't care you know I don't care what the earnings uh calls are uh if this wasn't priced in with the earnings then this is what we got right now which is massive. So tomorrow we'll see how that actually uh opens up uh if we can close over 400 then possibly more upside and this Ballinger band will ex you know expand as the stock moves higher and I think this one is also possibly going to shoot for that $1 trillion market cap.
So I mean there is so many trillion dollar companies that are being uh made right now because of these massive massive rallies to the upside. So I'm not going to go too much into detail with the technicals because nobody knows where things going to open with AMD but just so you know AMD they beat on earnings double beat and the guidance and the uh you know few times mentioning AI on the earnings call. Uh this is what we're getting out of uh that earnings call up uh 14 15%.
on Meta it's down 89%. So Meta came back down to that uh was that earnings day low which is 600 and this is going to be crucial. Meta has to hold 600. If this thing gives up 600 look at what's uh below 600 massive gap 575 and I think we can come into that gap. If this thing gives up 600 and obviously they spent too much money uh into AI and uh that's what causing this drop uh here on Meta.
too much spending on AI and now if it breaks below 600 we will see that gap fill here on meta to the upside looks like that 615 that's going to be a key key zone if we can get over that maybe the 5day will come into play that's going to be 621 629 and then 638 these are going to be big levels of resistance to the upside on Meta on Apple it's up 2.66% 66%. So nice move up, nice bullish engulfing candle, not like the one we saw with earnings move.
And I think this one, I mean, this is what I like, guys. And this is uh what I would call a healthy looking chart. Now, if this breaks out, I have no complaint.
It can go 300 plus. I don't mind. I can even go and start maybe looking for a new breakout trade on uh Apple because look at what's happening. Look at the weekly chart. Uh what we're doing here on Apple. uh we're just flagging here, you know, some sort of a wedge flag we're forming and if this uh high gets taken out and we close over it, definitely Apple will run. But this is uh you know how Apple is going up. You can see lot of pullbacks happening back and forth in between. So if this thing actually I mean this thing has been trading here for quite some time. I mean uh almost an year, right? And even before that uh you know this thing uh went back and forth so many times. You can see right here we came back in went back up came in back up came in double bottom here and now we are uh possibly uh you know breaking out to the upside.
So this one here 280 key zone uh support uh over 280. Watch out for a retracement back up to previous all-time highs 28862 over that we'll look into 294 into 300.
uh 280 breaks 277 and then uh 272 right here but so far it's nowhere near that 272 range. So I would expect uh Apple here to do something in next couple sessions.
Amazon like it's up half a percent. So Amazon made another brand new all-time high and this thing you can see the ballinger band pointing down slowly coming down. So I don't think too much gas left in the tank and very soon you're going to see some digestion happening here on Amazon. And the first level of interest to watch out for would be that uh 5day moving average which is sitting close to 269 270 which is going to move up. And if it comes down here around 265ish then watch for the next level into 258 and then possibly even lower. If this thing continues and gets over 27856, maybe we go a little bit uh you know more uh up here maybe 280 to 285 and I think a short-term top will be there at that point. But I think this thing is getting exhausted uh especially with the runup and now it's about time where uh Amazon comes in and you know pulls back and maybe some consolidation before going even higher on Google like it's up 1.22%. So Google was trading I think close to 400. Let's just have a look at after our session.
You can see uh uh 395 almost. So it actually took over Nvidia's market cap as the most valuable company on earth Google for at least that moment. We'll see how the market cap adjusted tomorrow. But I think that headline will come. It came out already once. that headline will come out possibly tomorrow before Google coming down and maybe consolidating or even filling this gap from earnings. But as of right now, strong earnings and Google heading higher. If we come back in uh 380 will be a support level to watch underneath that 375 and then maybe bottom of this candle which is at 363 into the gap 353 to the upside opening at a brand new all-time high. So, uh, watch out. Maybe we can take out that, uh, overnight high, which is, uh, almost, uh, 394, 395. If that's out, we can go possibly into 400s right here on Google, which is going to be a massive move. Uh, especially when you look at all these gap up and go here. That's what I'm, you know, saying, guys. I mean, look at this move. How many gap up and go? And this is going to open up on another gap up tomorrow. So, you think this is a healthy way? I mean, we're like, we literally got any dips here on Google.
It's going vertical straight up. Usually in a healthy market. Look at this run up here, guys. Look at this run up. Okay, from here, uh, we went higher. We came back in a little bit. We went higher. We came back in, went higher, came back in really fast. Then we went higher. Even on the way up, we had red candles. But this is vertical. So uh this is not a move that you would see every day in stock market but it's happening and we just have to live with it right now until we get big opportunities in the market and a lot of people are just ignoring that because now all of a sudden like they're a big bull and if you talk about a pullback they're going to come at you and hunt you down like no we're not getting a pullback. What are you talking about? You're bare. You know market is never going to pull back. Same thing when market goes down. Now you're bull and uh they will be uh bear at that point.
On Tesla it's down 0.80% so not participating in that rally. We had a little bit of push to the upside but again backing off. So Tesla I would say if this thing breaks over 400 then game on for possibly a move higher but as of right now barely holding on to these moving averages 383 to 384. That's going to be a key support zone. If we get under that, watch out for 375 and even lower uh you know move to the downside can happen on Tesla on Nvidia stock is down 1%. So I don't know if Nvidia just letting or Nvidia's investors letting Google go ahead of uh Nvidia. Is that the game plan or Nvidia is actually weak and we're just going to come back and fill that gap from three Friday ago where we gapped up. entire market gapped up and this one is not too far off from this gap. Only $6 away, guys. So, that is concerning. Nvidia already coming down off of these highs.
It was a fake breakout at least from a technical point of view. And now 196 gives up, it's going to fall into the gap 189.66 to the upside. Now, Nvidia has to break over uh 199.19 and then 203. only over two or three Nvidia will look more bullish for more continuation to the upside otherwise this is actually a red flag for the market where market making new highs but Nvidia is not moving with the market so Netflix another down day 3.44% 44% and if you look at my screen looks like we're going to fill that gap around uh 85 86 and it's not too far off. We can get there early as tomorrow. So the earnings didn't play out really well and a lot of people were chasing this move and now I think it's the right time to possibly uh get back into Netflix. So if this thing comes back down here uh that's going to be a fantastic area of support. As long as this support holds this is a good uh you know opportunity.
But if this thing reverses back up and gets over 91.7, we could be going back up again to the upside here on Netflix.
But I think, you know, the way this thing is looking, we're going to fill this gap and possibly will consolidate here before the next move to the upside.
Broadcom is up 2.61%. So, another all-time high today. So, this one hitting an all-time high, backing off.
Uh, now we do have resistance around 429 to 430. if it gets over that. I think it's over that right now because of AMD.
Uh, and yes, right here, 432. We're trading at 432. So, if this thing gets over that, I mean, I don't know where this thing can go. But look at the move here, guys. I mean, how many gaps? Gap up and go. We had this uh little bit of pullback, at least some sort of a pullback here. But again, continuation back up to the upside just like every other semiconductor. And this thing can possibly move into 440 into even 450 if this all-time high gets taken out and we're trading over that. So 429 430 a key zone if it comes back in maybe 422 to watch for underneath that uh previous all-time high that's going to be around 413.39 on Broadcom. Now, quickly before we wrap up this video, just want to show you guys this chart of uh SOXS. And look at this move, guys. I mean, this is just getting insane.
And it's not going up by 1 2 $3. I mean, look at this move here. And now we're trading actually at 4934ish, right? So, it's up, if you look at my screen, 61% since March 30th, the bottom without any any pullback. It just going uh straight up. And uh uh even if you look at uh some of these levels uh especially when it comes to uh fib levels, uh look at this right here.
Uh it's just right here. So, even at 38% retracement, we'll get down to only 423.
Not even at previous all-time highs. And so far, it's not even happening. So, even if we come back down to today's candle, that's going to be around 418.
And we're nowhere near 418. As a matter of fact, we're knocking on the door uh at five, like almost at 500. Uh same thing goes for SMH. I mean it just ballistic move. We had this little bit of a bare flag pattern here. But guess what? Bare flag played out to the upside. There was a 4hour chart and same thing. It's trading where look at this 533.
Even if you get some sort of a you know retracement here from these lows to the uh today's uh top or even if you want to go to uh let's say 533 which is trading at 533 right now 38% a small retracement a small one would get down to 467 as of right now I mean this thing is nowhere near even if we come back down uh top of this candle from these lows 38% retracement at 463. It's going to come at some point, you know. It's going to come because nothing goes up forever. Uh these moves, especially when you look at these kind of moves. Look at this move right here. These moves, vertical moves, uh cannot hold up for too long. Uh you can see time and time what happened?
This was pretty vertical. Even though we had some red days here, but it was going up, right? And then what happened? Boom.
Right? This was a 5% pullback. So, this cannot continue. and people that are getting extremely bullish here that is just too dangerous and that's why uh the warnings are out there and people that are experienced in the market nobody's chasing but some people are chasing like I said buying into buying and that leads to a massive massive rally and that's where we're that's what we're seeing in the market guys and that's all I have for you guys. Thank you so much for watching. [music] Heat. Heat.
[music] >> [music]
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