Canada's real GDP declined 0.1% annualized in Q1 2026, following a revised 1% drop in Q4 2025, sparking debate about whether the country is in a technical recession; the decline was driven by softer government spending, business investment softness, and higher imports, though partially offset by inventory adjustments and stronger household spending in financial services and food, with April's advanced estimate showing 0.4% growth suggesting potential recovery in Q2.
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Canada Economy Slips Again: Is a Recession Starting?Added:
Statistics Canada says real GDP fell 0.1% annualized in the first quarter of 2026 after a revised 1% annualized drop in the final quarter of 2025.
The two straight declines have pushed the technical recession debate into focus.
The weakness came from softer government spending, continued business investment softness, and higher imports.
Those pressures were partly offset by inventories and stronger household spending, especially in financial services and food.
Economists say the small decline could still be revised, so the recession debate may not be settled yet.
An advanced estimate for April showed 0.4% growth, which suggests the second quarter could start on firmer ground.
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