When testing dropshipping products, use a systematic decision framework: first define your stop loss based on budget and cash flow, then evaluate buying intent metrics (add-to-cart rate, checkout rate, purchase rate), assess niche characteristics (churn rate, demographics, competition), and rate the product opportunity on a 1-10 scale based on market saturation, product appeal, and content quality. Cut the product if you've exceeded your stop loss, CPA is 3x above break-even with no improvement, no angle breaks through after 20+ creative variations, or competitors are clearly outperforming. Double down if there's a genuine market gap, CPA is trending down, organic signals appear (unprompted reviews, repeat buyers), or the category is growing. The key is distinguishing between skill issues (requiring more learning) and product issues (requiring cutting), and recognizing that lack of direction often indicates insufficient research rather than a bad product.
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how to understand when to cut a product when dropshippingAdded:
What's going on guys? So today we're going to be talking about one of the most common questions that I get when it comes to drop shipping e-commerce is how to know when to cut a product test. So throughout this video, I'm going to give you guys kind of a step-by-step process that I recommend everybody go through.
Um it could be for you know MRR product, it could be for a normal product. Pretty much any product this is what you want to look at. Um and then at the end we're going to go over kind of like a decision making thing right here.
A Venn diagram that I created for you guys. So number one, um how do you know when to cut a product test? So number one is to clearly define your stop loss, right? So how much money are you actually willing to lose? So this depends on your budget. So let's say that you have, you know, $2,000 saved up to start e-commerce to do e-commerce, for product test you're probably not willing to lose, you know, more than $300. So keeping that in mind is a really a really good thing to understand because the less cash flow, the less money you're able to spend, the more you're going to have to see profitability up front. So understanding that and kind of understanding what your stop loss is around that per product, um that will give you a better figure to kind of clearly define when you should stop.
Another one is, you know, obviously how much cash flow you have. So maybe you have $2,000 in cash, but then also you have, you know, $2,000 in, you know, credit card um availability to spend, right? So that can change things a little bit. So maybe your stop loss is still 300, but let's say maybe the product is showing some signs that it's at like a 1.2 or something like that, you're willing to invest another 300 because you have this extra cash flow here, right? So that's something else you got to keep in mind.
And then also you got to understand are you doing MRR up front product because these are both different games. MRR you're playing the long game. Like you're trying to get subscriptions in and try to profit a month two, month three.
Um where up front you need to be profitable day one. So an MRR product like if you're testing and it's at a 0.8 day one, um that's actually not too bad.
That's something that you can double down on and make very feasible, depending on what we're going to talk about next. Up front, it needs to be like, you know, at least above a one, usually day one, or else like, you know, why are you selling it? So, it's something to keep kind of keep in mind. And these numbers, they depend on your skill level and your ability as well, but we'll talk about that.
The next thing we need to talk about, right, is niche matters.
Niche really matters, especially and mostly for MRR. And I want to just briefly talk about this, cuz I know most of you guys don't do it. But if you're doing MRR product, you need to understand what your churn rate's going to probably be like. So, for something that's more actually like health related, rather than, you know, looks related, the health stuff's going to have a much lower churn rate than the looks stuff, because it's a more of a commodity, so you're going to have much higher. So, you need to understand that and be able to prepare for what you expect it to be.
You can just use Qualid, you can talk to people in the space, Twitter. Try to get an idea of, you know, where they're at.
Um, where people in your your niche that you're testing, like, what's their their rates, you know, what's their churn rate, what's their failed payment rate, which is something that people forget about, um, because every transaction, every rebuild you get, it doesn't always go through. The payment sometimes fail.
And then, you also need to understand demographics in terms of like chargeback risk.
So, just to sum that up for you guys, the more broke your demographic is, the higher percentage is that they're going to have a chargeback risk. So, you can use kind of some stereotypes there to understand what's like the worst and what's the best. Um, and then the next thing is how much buying intent is there. And this is one thing that I tell people over and over again, because sometimes, let's say, um, let's say it's day one, right, and you get no purchases, but you get maybe three checkouts and like 11 added to carts. That's still some pretty good buying intent. You got some out of carts, got some checkouts, so you're probably going to need to go to day two to let it optimize, right?
Like this is still has some potential there. Because sometimes I've tested products where on day one they do this and then um on day two it'd be something more like you get like three purchases, you get six checkouts, and you get 12 out of carts. Now, it kind of starts to optimize and find customers that actually want to purchase from you. Meta starts to actually kind of optimize. And so you got to understand that that is how it works as well. And especially with an MR product, one thing that I look for in the attic already is an 8% or above, right? So, uh 8% or above is usually a good area where there's a decent amount of buying intent that if you double down on there's a good chance that you can make it work. If you anything above like a 10, um where I've gotten like a 20% and then I ended up converting that really well.
So, you just need to understand if there's any buying intent. If it's zeros across the board or maybe it's like you spent $100 and it's like 100, that's like almost nothing, right? So, that's like, okay, this is probably going to be a dud and not worth my time.
So, you have to understand the intent.
Next thing is how much conviction do you personally have in this product? So, your gut is is a powerful tool and it's something that you need to rely on more and more the further you get into your e-commerce and just entrepreneurship journey. Like your gut does tell you things and it tells you things for a reason.
Um and so, one thing I'd like to create is kind of like an opportunity rating. So, basically I'll kind of rate how good this this product opportunity is on a scale of 1 to 10, right?
Based on um saturation, so how many Facebook ads are actively running, you know, based on content available.
And then also based on the product, right? Like is the product like this super eye-catching? Is it got that that crazy um what do people call There's something There's something called I forget. Something like shocks you when you look at it. You're like, "Wow, that's a cool new product." Does it Does it stick out? Does your product stick out? Does it have amazing content that you can test? And is there like nobody running Facebook ads? If all these things are true, then it could be a 10 out of 10 and then like, "Okay, yeah, I need to keep going with it even if I don't see results like super early on." But if it's not, if it's more like a three to like, you know, five out of 10, if it's anything less than that, why are we testing it? Then like maybe you got to be like, "Okay, I'm going to give it a shot, but I'm not going to expect to put a bunch of effort into it because in my opinion, the opportunity rating is pretty low, right?" And also like your personal feelings, like I said, your gut does matter. Your gut is a very powerful weapon that you need to learn how to trust.
Um and as a beginner, it's hard. Like your first product test, you don't know anything. Over time, you get to, you know, build some trust with yourself and understand what works and what doesn't and what will probably have a try You'll You'll get that pattern recognition and then you'll understand. Like right now, I've pattern recognition is amazing.
Um and I'm able to find products that way.
And then another thing, after you've done all that and you've asked yourself those questions, and let's say it's This is for if it's like a really like a seven plus out of 10 uh opportunity.
Have you exhausted all your options?
Is it an effort issue or a skill issue?
This is very, very important because um let's say you're putting in Let's go through a couple of scenarios, right?
Let's say it's a seven out of seven plus out of 10. It's showing some buying intent, right?
And you're putting in a lot of effort and you have nothing's really sticking.
Um that could be honestly an issue for the product because I mean there should already be some decent content if it's a seven plus.
And you're putting in a lot of effort and it's still not working off the bat, then it probably shows that like there's something fundamentally wrong with the marketing or your skills.
Um and the vice versa could be true as well where like you have high skills but you're not putting in the enough effort.
So, you need to ask yourself, does this product have similar ones printing?
Is there just too much competition? Do you need to work on a certain area? Like do you need to like get better advertising? Maybe your landing pages aren't that good. Like you need to be asking yourself these questions before you even think about stopping to run any product in my opinion.
Um is it ideation or execution that's lacking, right? Like you have a plethora of ideas, are you doing research and like okay, this is how I can market it.
I can try this, I can try that.
Or is it like the ads actually don't look good or to you they don't feel like they're actually good enough to, you know, sustain scale.
You need to ask yourself all these questions, right? And really understand why is it not working right now so you can understand what you need to fix. And if if you if it's just a skill issue and let's say this there's similar ones printing, maybe it's like a very You don't want it to be too similar. You don't want it to be your exact product.
But if it's something like and yours is like a different form or something like that. I don't know. Yours is like even better. And there's other ones printing, then maybe this is a product you double down on and just improve your skill. You just work on improving your skill through a product, which is one of the most beneficial things you can do in e-commerce is to just stick with a product and really try to improve your skills, um improve your ads, improve your landing pages, improve your offers, everything. And then the next product, just even if the product doesn't work, it'll be so much better and more likely to hit. So, you got to ask yourself these questions um 100%. And then that brings us to this Venn diagram that I made for you guys, right?
So, in the middle um or not in the middle. On the left we have cut. So, this means you're going to cut the product. If you're see signs like this, most likely it's a cut.
This side is most likely double down.
And then the middle means that you're All right. All right. Now, if either need to do more research or you need to learn more about e-commerce, simply. One of those, you need to learn more, do some more research, or work on your skills, or something. So, I'm going to talk about the middle first, because I feel like this is where I find most people, most of my students, and stuff like that. I see them in the middle. All right. They are uncertain. One, they're uncertain about the product. Like, they don't trust themselves enough. And so, clearly there's a lack of knowledge if you have uncertainty. You should be able to tell if this is a good opportunity or not if you're doing e-commerce.
Like, you should be able to tell that.
So, if you don't, you need to work on learning and do more research, and really dig deeper and get more clarity that way.
Um if there's a learning curve, so if your skills aren't good enough, then it's not really cut or double-down. It's just you need to get better yourself, right? It's not the product, it's you. It's lack of direction. It's also not the product, it's you. Because lack of direction sometimes you be like, "Okay, I don't see where this can go." Any product can sell. You should have your extra for any kind of product. So, if someone comes to me and they have lack of direction, it's a sign that they haven't done their research, and they haven't learned enough, right?
Uh they can't tell if it's offer, the creative, or the funnel that's broken.
That's another sign that you need to do a little bit more learning, a little bit more research. If you haven't talked to a single customer, this is more advanced, but this is something that everybody should do, honestly. You guys get your customers' emails and phone numbers. You should be asking them why they bought the product, and ask them questions about it.
Um and so, if you haven't done that as well, then you're not doing enough research. Um no clear hypothesis on why current creative isn't working.
You need to do more research, more learn, and honestly, I'll put in more effort as well.
More effort.
Um you haven't read the top three competitors' ad libraries. So, this could be like similar stores, or something like that. Clearly, it's you're not putting in enough effort and research, okay? You can't articulate the customer's before state in their own words. This is a kind of an advanced one, but if you're going to be running a marketing you expect it to print 10K days, like you should be able to do this stuff. Like you guys don't realize like you should know the customer like the back of your hand. Like if you really expect to market to a product and market to a customer and understand them and make them feel felt and seen in your ad, then you're going to have to know them pretty well. So, that just obviously goes back to research, effort, and learning, right?
So, now let's talk about the cut.
So, if you've been doing this stuff, like you know that stuff and you're good, and you see that no angle is breaking through after 20 plus creative variations, then like yeah, okay.
It could be a skill issue, but also it could just be the product if for whatever reason it's just not hitting and it's not working out, and so it's time to cut and focus on a different area because you have the skills and you have the effort. Maybe you just need a different opportunity.
And if the direct competitor competition is clearly better, so like you go on Facebook ads and like you're competing with like a rise or someone who's willing to go more negative than you are or something like that, um then you clearly are just going to get out competed. So, you either need to niche down here or just cut or just reframe your product. Doesn't need to be necessarily just straight up cut. It could be reframe your marketing.
Um but that's something that you need to understand is where your competitors are at.
Uh one is that you spent too much already, so this goes back to our stop loss example. If you spent too much and it's not showing any signs of life, cut.
Um if you see CPA is three times above break even with no improvement trend across iterations, then definitely time to to cut.
Um if there's too much competition, like there's just so many flooded people in the the space selling your exact product, you should probably cut. If the costs are too high to manage, so you can't even get, you know, like the the shipping and the perceived value, it's just not lining up. Like, let's say you have a product that you the perceived value of it is like $50, but it costs $25 to fulfill, that's just not economically there's no room for you to make any profit, right?
Forget about making any profit if you are paying $25 to fulfill and 50 for the product price, like it just not work out.
You're the only one excited about it.
This is something that you need to understand is you need to like kind of get rid of your your feelings. It's kind of like trading. Like, you can't be super emotional. You need to like make analytical decisions. So, if you're super excited about it because it's something you really like, but there's not really market for it, you should probably cut it. The hook requires a trend that's already peaked, you should cut it.
If there's regulatory or platform risk, like it's a product that's selling cancer angle or I don't know, something crazy, you should probably cut it. It's just going to give you headaches, like it's not worth it at all.
And also, if you hate the customer or category, this matters than more than people admit and you won't push through the dip.
You won't push through the dip. So, if this product you don't like the product, you don't like the customer, you're not stoked about it, you're not going to want to do it, so you probably should just cut and find a better opportunity.
Now, for double down, here are some signs that you should double down on the product and actually put more effort into it.
Is there a genuine gap in the market?
So, you've done your research maybe on Google Trends, Amazon, similar like I don't know, you've done keyword research and stuff and you've seen that there's people who want to buy this product, but there's no one selling on Facebook, then yeah, double down on it. If it's under $200 in ad spend, you probably should double down on it because there's not enough spend to make really any to make any basically decision about it cuz it's only $200 and also like yeah, maybe if it's like 000 like add to cart, check out, in purchase, but it's likely not going to be that, right? So, you you haven't even tested enough concepts with $200 spend to really to even a decision.
One creative angle is clearly out for me from the rest. Maybe you're unprofitable, but this is the this is the truth. That's a sign to double down on that angle. Um, the CPA is trending down across iterations. So, like you're actually getting more profitable the more you iterate. That's a sign to double down. It's a strong organic or signal. It's unprompted reviews, DMs, repeat buyers. Like you see a lot of like good people in the comments like good comments about this product. And people are like, "Where do I buy it?" Like double down on it. You can name the customer and angle one sentence. That means that you have clarity and conviction. You should probably double down on it.
Um, one ad is carrying the ad account kind of goes to this one as well. Double down. Hook rate is unusually high.
That's a sign to double down. And maybe you should see to find a little bit of a different angle or a different way to sell it. Um, but clearly the product is getting attention, which is a good sign.
Category is growing. So, this is also, you know, new trends, new competitors, and stuff like that. Like it's a growing category, which means there's room for you to actually grow into it. There's there's an opportunity right there for you. And so, that's another sign to double down.
New concepts are multiplying organically. Now, every new test you do, you start becoming up these new angles and you're like realizing the more even just like when you're walking around, you're coming up with these new ways to sell the product. Like yeah, you should double down and definitely test.
Um, if the AOV is climbing as you add all these bundles upsells and the customers actually want to buy more either of this product or of or of similar products, that actually gives you more opportunity to scale. So, they give you a bigger AOV, more competitive leverage. You should probably double down. And so, like none of these are like exact, but I'm kind of bringing you guys through my thinking process, right? And how when people think about cutting or doubling down on the product, it's as simple as what their meta horizon is.
It's really not. There's all this that goes into it, guys. Like you should be looking at the bigger picture, 100%. And hopefully this gives some of you guys some clarity on what to actually do when you're testing your product. So, one of the most common questions I get, hopefully you guys enjoyed and yeah, thank you guys.
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