The best time to invest is when widespread pessimism is priced into the market, as this creates opportunities for asymmetric returns; when complacency and optimism prevail, the reward for bearing risk diminishes and there is little to get excited about.
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The Best Time To Invest is When Everyone is ScaredHinzugefügt:
The stock market has rallied for almost 2 years. Mhm. Um and uh the aversion to extending credit >> [music] >> has weakened so that the uh reward for bearing risk in the credit market has declined.
>> Mhm. Uh so [music] you know, I like to buy when everybody's pessimistic and there's no optimism [music] priced in.
Right.
>> Today, most people are fairly optimistic, not crazy, but and so there's little pessimism Mhm.
>> priced in. I like to buy when there's a lot of pessimism [music] priced in.
That's not the case today. Yeah. So uh I think that you can invest today, but there's nothing to get that excited about.
>> Mhm. Got it.
I get excited [music] when people are jumping out of windows.
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