The financial oil market (paper market) operates as a popularity contest driven by sentiment and speculation, while the physical oil market functions as a scale based on actual supply and demand; when these two markets reconverge, physical barrel owners typically suffer the most significant losses.
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Paper vs. Physical Oil Markets: The Looming Danger #shortsAdded:
The financial press wrote oil falls on ceasefire optimism. Look, the paper market is a popularity contest. The physical market is a scale. They diverge sometimes. Right now, they are not diverging. They are in different zip codes. And when they reconverge, and they always do, somebody is going to get hurt very badly. My read of the data, it ain't going to be the people who own physical barrels.
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