In technical analysis, key support levels (such as the 21-day EMA, previous resistance levels, and round numbers) serve as critical inflection points where traders should watch for potential trend reversals; when price breaks below these levels, it signals a pullback or correction, while maintaining support indicates continued bullish momentum.
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Deep Dive
Technical Analysis of Stocks: SPY / QQQ / NVDA / TSLA / AMD / PLTR / DELL / ORCLHinzugefügt:
Okay, so once again our stocks are exploding. We see the spyQ flying and apparently this market is just unstoppable. So let's see what's going on right now. What kind of strategies we can apply from now on. Welcome to the Finania Hydra channel. My name is Nathan. In this channel, we always talk about our stocks through the lens of technical analysis so we can identify the most important inflection points so we can react to them properly. Welcome to another daily update. So, we see the spy going up nicely. Okay, we see another bullish candle. We are still going up. If we take a look at the 1 hour chart, we still see a sequence of higher highs, higher lows above the 21hour EMA. So apparently we are just unstoppable. However, of course, nothing is truly unstoppable. Eventually, we're going to see another pullback. So, what to expect next? What is the most important inflection point on the SPY ETF right now at this very moment? If you ask me, is still the 749, which we did talk about yesterday. This key point was yesterday's support level. this candle's support level as well and this candle's support level too. So apparently the previous resistance level at 749 is now acting as a support level for this spy. If we see another bearish reaction powerful enough to reject this support level to break in order in order to see a true pullback we got to see a breakdown of the 749.
So that's the most important inflection point we should watch from now on. 749 only the loss of it could bring another pullback. Ah Nathan what if we see another pullback? Well our next support level is right here near the 21day EMA near the 731. So this double support level in theory should hold spice price in case a pullback materializes.
Now another question. Ah, but Nathan, what if we see the loss of this double support level as well? Okay, that's a totally different story because that could be a true reversal on the daily chart. Okay, and the reversal on the daily chart could bring a pull back on the weekly chart back to the 21 weekly moving average near the 700s again close to the 697 the previous top level as well. Possible support level in the future. So that's what to expect next depending on how the spy reacts near our inflection point. Okay. Now we see the cuck. This one is also going up. In this case support level is 722. Only the loss of the 722 could bring something new.
Could bring a sharper pullback a sharper correction ahead to our next support area. Okay. So far so good for now.
Apparently, we are still very bullish.
We are still above the 722. So, no pullback is going to materialize. We are still maintaining the uptrend on the daily chart, on the 1 hour chart. As we can see over here, we see sequence of higher highs, higher lows, right? We are still going up nicely. So, so apparently there's nothing to worry. But if we see the loss of the 722, well then okay, then we can expect another pullback ahead. Then remember guys, any pullback to our double support level down here could be another possible buying signal.
Now what if we see the loss of this double support level? Okay, then we don't buy. Then we wait for the pullback on the weekly chart because once again that's the most likely scenario. Any pullback to the 21 weekly moving average near the 737 could be just another harmless pullback. What's more, by losing this double support level on the daily chart, we are going to reject the 700s. Okay, by rejecting the 700s, which is a technical inflection point. It is a round number. Okay, the market has a thing for round numbers. So, by losing the support level, okay, a sharper correction on the weekly chart would be totally expected.
Now, we have Nvidia. This one is go is going down today. We see another bearish candle right below the 216. What a coincidence, right? The 216, the previous top level here is working as a top level again on the daily chart.
What's more, on the 1 hour chart, we still see sequence of lower highs, lower lows instead of higher highs, higher lows. So, we are bearish. We are still bearish on the 1 hour chart. We really tried to reverse the trend. Okay. But uh now by seeing this reaction, this gives me the impression of a false breakout of this resistance level. So we are maintaining the bearish bias for now.
Yesterday's reaction was very good. Was a very nice bullish candle. However, we are losing momentum right now. So it feels like we are not there yet. Okay, we are not making a good movement yet.
Only a true breakout of the 216 again could bring something new on Nvidia. But I do understand that since we are near a support area, now would be the best time for us to see a meaningful true reaction.
That's not happening right now. Okay, let's be totally honest. It is not happening right now. But if we see a good reaction breaking the 216 again, okay, that's going to be phenomenal.
Then possibly Nvidia is going to make another bullish rally, maybe to make a new record high. But in the absence of such meaningful breakout of such reaction, we have to wait for a better signal.
Okay? Of course, I'm not giving you any advice. Okay? I'm not I'm not a financial advisor. I'm just a guy sharing my ideas here on my YouTube channel. Okay? So, and by the way, this reminds me if you are still watching this video and you're not and you are not a subscriber, consider subscribing because we are here every single day.
Okay? I just started this channel to practice my English and somehow we have a nice community over there. So come on join us for daily updates, daily analysis, daily ideas and of course ideas about trading strategies, ideas about trading psychology etc. You are more than welcome to join the finance hydra channel. Now any video on the weekly chart it is trying to make a top signal. Okay. And that could be the trigger, that could be the catalyst for a pullback on the broad market as well because if Nvidia goes down, well, maybe many other stocks are going to suffer as well. So, we got to be extremely careful with that by losing last week's low and closing below it. Yes, we are making a top signal right here, right now. And this kind of spooks me out of any video.
Okay, we are not trading any video. I do not see a clear opportunity. It is not a buy. Ah, so it's a sell. No, it's not a sell either because we are still near a support level on the daily chart for swing trading purposes. I would be way happier to see Nvidia actually making a bottom signal and then reacting from here, maintaining the uptrend instead of making another collapse over here, making a top signal on the weekly chart back to the back to the 21 weekly moving average. Okay, that's not the ideal. I prefer to see a decent reaction near the support level, but unfortunately that's not happening. So hey, we can't buy Nvidia right now. So Nvidia is not a buy, it is not a sell. I'm just waiting for another clear signal. So far there is no clear signal. So let's wait and focus on other stocks because we can always find other opportunities in this market. Now we have Tesla. This one is materializing a pullback over here.
Okay, we are losing momentum. uh we were collapsing more in the beginning of the day right then we saw a recovery but still this chart gives me the impression of a double top then a pullback before another collapse okay we have not truly uh we are not truly trading above the 21-hour EMA yet so we are still looking very weak on the daily chart we are closing below yesterday's low making another bearish candle so that's not the ideal Tesla is now losing momentum If you ask me, any pullback to this 21 day MA to this purple trend line, I'm so sorry I said purple blue trend line.
Okay, any pullback would be a normal harmless pullback. Another totally normal movement. However, the loss of this double support level could bring a much sharper pullback because on the weekly chart, we could correct a little bit more. Okay, we simply could. I know we are near the 21w weekly moving average, but what if we see the loss of this support level? We may see Tesla back to the back to the $338 again down here, which is our next support level on the weekly chart. So, we got to be we got to be extremely careful. We got to pay attention on how Tesla Tesla is going to behave after making this pullback if we're going to make such pullback of course as we are trying to do right now. So it all depends on how we are going to react near our support level. Okay. And guys, by the way, this reminds me uh I don't know why this reminds me, but uh somehow this reminds me of my Instagram. Okay.
Follow me on Instagram at the finance hydra. There I'm posting new stuff, new content there. Today, no, no, next week on Monday, I'm going to open a new question box. So, so you guys can ask me anything. You can ask me anything you want. I will answer you there. All right? I'm gonna try to open question boxes every single Monday. Okay? And then and then I will answer your questions during the week. All right?
But uh follow me on Instagram. So you can keep in touch with more content, more analysis, more ideas and of course with my daily life here in Brazil because I am Brazilian. Okay? So I'm here in Brazil and then I share my life over there too. If you want to keep in touch, follow me over there at the finance hydra. What's happening? Okay.
at here at the finance hydra. All right, take a look over there. So Tesla looks very nice but uh only after a pullback we may see a new meaningful opportunity.
For now we do not see any clear signal.
So let's wait for a better opportunity.
As far as I know we are just making a pullback after closing this gap. So yes, we have to wait a little bit more. Okay, just a little bit more on the one hour chart. We got to see bullish pivot point in order to avoid a sharper pullback.
Okay, if we don't see that, a pullback is the most likely scenario. For now, that's what I expect. And then we'll see if Tesla will give us another buying signal or not. Because remember, since we are still bullish, any pullback should be another buying opportunity.
And yes, we have been reacting very nicely near our support levels. We did we did not buy here, but we bought Tesla here. We bought Tesla here, right? We bought a few times Tesla. We have a good track record trading Tesla. So if you want to trade with me, remember to join our telegram channel. Only there you will have access in real time to our trades, signals and strategies. There I teach you guys how to trade correctly using risk management, using technical analysis to enhance the odds to your advantage like a true professional trader without stress, fear, anxiety. We only focus on the technique. So, if you want to trade like a pro, join our Telegram channel for more information.
The link to my website is in this video's description. Take a look over there. Join our community. We have literally we have hundreds of traders over there. Okay. So, we can help you too. All right. Now, AMD lady AMD it is still going up. Okay. I know today we are going down, but overall we see massive rally. Okay. Massive rally near the 500s. Okay, this is not a buy. If you if you still if you bought AMD, okay, I'm very happy for you. But uh if you want to buy AMD, you got to wait for another pullback. Any pullback to the 469, to the 21day MA, to the 400s could be just another harmless ordinary pullback. Not a reason to panic, but a reason to buy to finally buy AMD near a support level with a good riskreward relationship. On the weekly chart, we see another phenomenal, powerful bullish rally. We are just going up, breaking records. If you ask me, Nathan, is there any sign suggesting a pullback right now? No, there is not even a single signal suggesting a pullback right now.
We are still maintaining the uptrend on the 1 hour chart. Unlike other stocks, AMD is above the 21-hour EMA, making higher highs, higher lows, respecting the 21-hour EMA as a support level. So, definitely we are not making a pullback right now. We are still maintaining the bullish bias totally intact. If we see the loss of the 21-day EMA, then okay, maybe we may see a sharper pullback on the weekly chart. But guys, 21 day EMA, we are literally uh 15% away from the 21 EMA. So, we should we would have to make a very very sharp and intense pullback before making a decent correction, okay?
Decent reversal. So guys, for now, that's why I'm telling you AMD is so bullish. It is so powerful that is very hard to think about the idea of a reversal right now. A pullback would be acceptable. Okay, totally normal. But a reversal that's unthinkable right now.
Okay, AMD is simply unstoppable. And then we have Palunteer or dear Palunteer flying very nicely. Uh I gave you guys a call to buy Palenter over here down here. Today it is reaching our first technical target, our first resistance level. To me, Palenter is a sell right now. Okay, we are going up 9% today.
Okay, 9%. So, we bought down here. Now is the time to sell after a rally of let me see roughly 16 17%. Okay, it is going up nicely. So, to me, right now is a sell, at least a partial sell. Okay, if you still want to hold Palunteer, if you still believe that Palunteer could fly to higher and higher levels, okay, you can hold a few shares. But uh now is the time to sell at least partially according to my strategy, my swing trading strategy. Palunteer is another stock that uh we have a nice track record. Okay, we bought here and then we sold here. We bought here and then we sold here, then we bought here and now now we're going to sell right here. If you want to hold some shares, okay, you still can hold, of course, because there is no clear top signal yet. But if we see Palenter making another bearish reaction next week closing below the 156, okay, that could be a technical top signal suggesting another pullback. In this case, yes, you should sell. Okay, you should sell the remaining of your shares. All right, that's a very nice idea. Better be safe than sorry. So to me, Palanteer looks very nice, but uh now since it is near a technical resistance level, to me is a sell. Okay, remember guys, you can trade with me.
Join our Telegram channel. Link is in this video's description. All right, now guys, Dell, you have been talking about Dell Technologies. And guys, today this one is flying 32%.
32%. We see an insane rally, higher highs, higher lows. It is very bullish.
There is no top signal yet. There's not even a single bearish reaction on Dell.
Now, the most dangerous aspect of Dell is that even if we see a harmless pullback, harmless pullback that is not going to ruin that is not going to ruin the bullish bias, a pullback to the 21.
I'm so sorry. A pullback to close this gap would be a correction of more than 20%. Okay, just to close this gap. So that's why I always tell you guys if your stock is flying, if you're performing very well, okay, consider consider selling at least partially.
Okay, if you ask me, if you are on Dell, if you are still holding your shares, now is the time to set a trailing stop gain on it. Meaning set a trading stop gain on today's low. If we see the loss of the 402.27 next week, okay, you sell. If you hold above it, okay, you keep it and then you move your stop gain to the next day's low and then you keep doing that until the market will cash you out. All right, we did that with AMD. Okay, we bought over here and then AMD cash and then we sold over here. Of course, we missed another rally, but in the end, we did a phenomenal trade. What's more, either way, we we would have to sell before earnings report because swing trading for swing trading purposes, we have to sell before earnings. Okay? We never hold stocks during earnings report. If you are a long-term investor, okay, you can hold them. Okay? That's your problem. However, for swing trading, that's not how we do. That's not the strategy we apply. So, for Dell, that's what I would do if I were on Dell right now. Okay? Which I'm not. All right?
Right. So, I would set a traing stop gain below the previous low and this is it. Okay. I would let the market cash me out. In this context, this strategy is very nice because this one is going to is going to relieve you from the burden of having to make a decision. Okay? You don't have to make it. You you wait for the market to decide for yourself. All right? If we see the loss of the previous candles low, okay, you sell. That's not going to be a problem if we do not see. Okay, hold your shares. All right. Now, we have Oracle. This one is also flying 10%. This one went up 6% yesterday. Now, we see another massive rally. We are finally closing this little gap over here, 217.
We have more gaps above the price. To me, they're going to be closed. Okay, D, I'm so sorry. Oracle is going to close every single one of its gaps. But right now, what's the problem with Dell? Well, there is no problem at all except that we have earnings in 18 days. So, for swing trading, you know, you would have to sell before earnings. However, there's no top signal yet. Nathan, what could be a top signal on Oracle right now? If we see next week another bearish candle closing below the 217. If we see that going on, yes, then we have a top signal. Then we have a more delicate, dangerous situation.
So far so good. For now, we are maintaining the bullish bias. As long as we stay above 217, great. Oracle will maintain the bullish bias totally intact. If we see the loss of it, yes, we may expect another pullback. All right. And guys, I'm going to keep you guys updated every single day. You can join our next live stream on Monday, if you are a member of our Telegram channel. And guys, I have another message for you. Next Friday, I'm going to do a open class. Okay? Another live stream. But this live stream is going to be totally for free with you. All right?
So, you can join me instead of a video.
We're going to make a live stream. So, you are invited to join us over there.
Okay? I'm gonna keep you guys updated.
All right? I will send you the link in this channel. So, keep in touch, subscribe, follow me on Instagram for more updates. Thank you so much for your audience. Stay safe. See you next week.
Bye-bye.
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