A Slow Moving Storm Is About To Unload...

Added: 2026-05-25

[00:00:00]It's Sunday, May 24th, 2026. It's the 144th day of the year, and there's a big story brewing for Memorial Day. While millions enjoy a picture perfect Memorial Day, the South is bracing for a soaking wash out that could derail cookouts and travel plans from the Gulf Coast and even farther inland. So, let's jump right into it. Picture this. Clear blue skies, mid70s, a light breeze, and a burger on the grill. That's Memorial Day for millions of you tomorrow. And the bullseye for this gorgeous weather stretches from the central plains up into the Great Lakes, plus even a chunk of Southern California. So, Kansas City, Detroit, and Minneapolis, you guys are really hitting the jackpot here. While Seattle, New York City, and uh places like that are kind of sitting this one out. First things first, there's no severe weather risk because the atmosphere is too capped to fire storms, which means you get the warmth without the violence. Okay? A lot of times whenever you get warm air, you get unstable conditions and you get thunderstorms. But no, not tomorrow. You do not need a backup plan in this zone.

[00:01:02]You do, however, need sunscreen, water, stuff like that. We're going to have a big old dome of sinking air, scrubbing the sky clean, and shutting down any rain chances across the area before they even start. Rain chances are essentially zero. Uh, and due points are going to be sitting in the mid-50s, so you won't be a sweaty mess from just sitting in the the lawn chair. In Kansas City, we're looking at about 85° with barely a cloud in the sky and comfortable humidity.

[00:01:27]That's pretty much a flawless cookout day if you ask me. In the Twin Cities are pushing the upper 80s and Cleveland lands at that perfect mid70s zone. And Detroit comes in a little cooler in the low70s with a soft 10 mph breeze, which is fine for, you know, kind of like walking around the neighborhood, having a patty on the grill, whatever it is that you got going on. You know what I'm saying? The only catch across the central plains and Great Lakes is going to be the air quality. It's going to be a touch elevated and the UV index is pushing eight, which means that you could get a little bit of a sunburn. You know, if you're out there for longer than 30, 40 minutes or something like that. But from sunrise to sunset on Monday, the air mass is mostly rock solid. So, if you're in that shaded zone, Memorial Day is going to look like a postcard. So, get outside and enjoy it. Now, forget everything I just said about the, you know, nice weather, the beautiful weather, the cookout weather, because you guys in the south are looking at a complete wash out and a pretty serious flash flood threat. The weather prediction center has put out a slight risk for excessive rainfall from the central Gulf Coast all the way up into the southern Appalachins. We're talking about New Orleans, Mobile, Atlanta. You guys are all in on it. And uh overnight the high-res models lit up a pretty big bullseye of 7 to 10 ines of rain across southeast Mississippi and even down into Mobile County for just Monday alone. So my concern has jumped for that specific area. Models are still a little bit all over the place. Some of them show lower totals and that's pretty common with this isolated stuff. It's not like this big giant blob of rain.

[00:02:56]It's going to be thunderstorms causing problems here and there. So, it's not going to be widespread, but people who get the most rain are going to uh get a lot of rain. Okay? So, if you're anywhere along I 85 in Georgia or I 10 along the Gulf, you've got to be ready for water on the road. And if you have a barbecue planned in central Alabama or northern Georgia, make sure you have an indoor plan B locked in before you wake up. This ramps up Monday morning, and it keeps pulsing in waves through Monday night. The worst window for those blinding downpours is going to be between 2 pm and 7 p.m. right when the atmosphere is most cranked up. And of course, I've got to recommend having weatherwise on your phone so you can spot that next band of rain moving towards Atlanta or Mobile long before it hits. And you can let everybody know, hey, let's go get in a carport. Let's go get under the umbrella or whatever real quick. Let this one pass. We'll get back out there doing whatever we're doing.

[00:03:43]And the reason you guys are getting plum smacked down here on Memorial Day is because we got a slowmoving low a loft uh which is acting like a water pump dragging all that deep tropical moisture out of the Gulf. And we're talking about moisture levels that are like two and a half times above normal. Okay. The air is absolutely loaded with water, son.

[00:04:03]And that's going to lead to rainfall rates of 1 to 3 in per hour. And that's going to overwhelm storm drains in minutes. Water's going to go over the roads. Cars are going to stall. And people don't realize how deep it is until it's too late. Louisiana and Mississippi already got hammered with 4 to 8 ines of rain over the weekend. Uh but this is just a Monday threat. This is an additional threat. So parts of the southeast are going to see flash flooding potentially over the next 5 days in a row for this same exact area.

[00:04:30]So we're talking about Jackson, uh Birmingham, and everywhere in between.

[00:04:34]Those soils are already maxed out. They can't handle much more water. And with daily rounds of heavy rain expected through late week, every new drop of rain is going to run off into those creeks and streams instantly. So, if you're in the flood zone risk this week, uh, an umbrella isn't going to cut it, okay? Turn around. Don't drown. And we're about to dive so much deeper into that. But first, let's shout out today's awesome sponsor. When you're feeling under the weather, the last thing you want to do is spend hours on the phone trying to find a dag-on doctor. You call around, you wait on hold forever, and then finally you get someone on the line just to find out that they don't even take your insurance. It is incredibly frustrating, and that's exactly why I partnered with today's sponsor, Zot.

[00:05:14]Zoddoc is a completely free app and website that allows you to find and book local doctors who actually take your insurance. You can read verified reviews from real patients, so you know exactly what to expect before you even walk into the waiting room. Whether you need a primary care doctor, a dentist, a specialist, Zachdoc has you covered.

[00:05:31]Literally, all you got to do is open the app, filter by your location, put your insurance provider in, and then they're going to help you with booking an appointment. And it just takes a few taps on your phone. It's really easy, and appointments happen really fast, usually within 24 to 72 hours. And you can even score some same day appointments in some instances. I've had this luck before. No more waiting on hold or guessing if you'll be covered.

[00:05:53]Go to zdock.com/ryanhall, y'all. or download the ZDOC app for free to find and book a toprated doctor today. That's zooccdoc.com/ryanhal.

[00:06:05]Y'all, thanks to Zdoc for sponsoring this video. And now, let's get back into the weather.

[00:06:12]All right, looking ahead to Tuesday, the severe weather lull is about to end and West Texas is about to wake up. The Storm Prediction Center already has a slight risk across western Texas. We're talking about Midland, Odessa, places like that being right in the smack dab middle of this slight risk. And it's probably going to increase in confidence over time. We're looking at potentially a day one enhanced risk by the time we get there because we have a dry line setting up across the region, which is something we haven't seen down here in a little bit, and that's going to be the trigger. Uh easterly UPS slope winds are going to shove moisture into the higher terrain, and it's going to fire these storms off like crazy. cloud cover might actually keep temperatures stuck in the 70s and 80s Tuesday, but there's plenty of wind and uh plenty of wind shear and like kinematics uh that are going to be on our side. So, even if the thermodynamics aren't completely fleshed out, uh we are still going to be able to have storms and they're going to be able to start rotating and that's going to help prime the atmosphere for discrete supercells dropping very large hail, potentially stones up to the size of hen eggs and capable of producing significant damage. We're also of course looking at potential 60 to 70 mph wind gusts and an isolated tornado or three with all this low-level wind shear cannot be ruled out. So the Peran Basin, eastern plains of New Mexico uh and everywhere in between Tuesday afternoon is your window. Picture hint sized hailstones coming through the back windshield while you're sitting at a red light in Midland after dinner. You don't want to be in that scenario, okay? So do everything you can to avoid it. And those West Texas storms are really just the opening act. Uh the bigger water problem is headed for the rest of the Lone Star State on Tuesday. A slight risk of excessive rainfall and flash flooding uh zeros out in South Central Texas, hitting areas that absolutely cannot take any more water. By Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, atmospheric moisture surges up to close to 1.8 in. That's way above normal for late May. And that's going to fuel widespread moderate to heavy rain. The ground is already saturated, so this new rain won't soak in. And uh we don't need as much rain as last time to reach flash flood levels. So, it can happen quicker than you think. It runs straight into creeks and city intersections, and that's how you get flash flooding fast.

[00:08:19]So, this is a pretty good signal for uh flash flooding, especially across the I35 corridor. That's where my biggest worry is. A couple inches of rain in a short period can really turn the evening commute into a water rescue down here.

[00:08:30]So, we don't want to be playing around with this. The Texas soil is a wet sponge right now, and a heavy downpour on Tuesday has the potential to cause life-threatening problems almost immediately. And just real quick before we end this video, late tonight we do expect to see some storms probably around the time you're watching this video uh popping up in the plains, especially up there around uh Sou Falls and places like that. We could have some large hail tonight. So keep that in mind as we continue to see uh you know severe weather in in these intermittent spots throughout the plains and in the southeast uh during these hot days. But it's not too much to worry about. The thing that I'm more focused on tonight into tomorrow morning is actually the heavy rain a little bit farther to the east over here in the Ohio Valley. We do have a chance of excessive rainfall potentially dropping in enough rain to cause uh problems with flooding. We've had a couple areas that have already had flash flooding over the past couple of days. Similar to the Texas situation, like if you add a couple inches of rain in a short period of time on top of what we've already got with those saturated soils, you could definitely see flash flooding, especially if you're closer to the hills. Remember, all that runoff goes down into these select valleys whenever you have hills in the Appalachin Mountains, and that could make flooding much worse. So, definitely keep an eye on those creeks and streams, but for the most part, um you know, it's it's not like a widespread flooding situation or anything like that. But if you live over here in Kentucky or Tennessee and you're interested in keeping up with the storms tonight and the potential rainfall, we do have the Kentucky Tennessee 247 Yawbot channel.

[00:09:56]Now, okay, this is uh something new that we're doing. We've got the 24/7 Yawbot channel that focuses on the whole US and you know that people love that, but some people don't care about what's going on in California if they live in Tennessee, right? So now we've got the the regionally focused Yawbot. Uh I recommend going and check it out. It's pretty cool. And it looks like we're going to be doing Ohio and Indiana next.

[00:10:17]If you want to be on the list of states or regions that we're going to do next, make sure you go to ryanhal.com/yallbot and vote for your state. And that's pretty much all the weather talk I have for you today. Thank you so much for watching. I will see you in the next one. Goodbye.