IBM predicts 2026 as a turning point for tokenization, with the market expected to reach $16-30 trillion by 2030, creating a significant opportunity for Hedera (HBAR) which has substantial development in this area; however, current market conditions show HBAR retesting support levels below its April trendline, with Bitcoin weakness and leverage liquidations creating uncertainty, suggesting that while long-term tokenization growth presents potential, short-term price recovery depends on market sentiment and institutional adoption.
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HEDERA HBAR - 2026 A Major "Turning Point"?! This Trend Hasn't Changed! Watch These Levels!Added:
So, it obviously has not been a fun couple days so far uh in the crypto market for Har for others, which is really disappointing. Uh unfortunately, the news right now is pretty loud. It's negative news. It's causing uncertainty and fear yet again. Uh but 2026 is still giving us something to look forward to.
In fact, IBM is saying that 2026 is probably the turning point. I want to talk about what this means, how this relates to har. do want to also look at some other trends that uh have continued here. So again, if you're new or haven't already, make sure you like, comment, subscribe, show your support for the channel down below. We can see that after that that nice breakout for H bar, that push up, we've gotten a couple days of red that have kind of smacked us back down. Today, we were down about 2 and a/4%. Yesterday, we were down about 4.4%. And unfortunately, we have fallen below that longer that longer term trend, the one that was building uh from all the way back here in the middle of April. We're retesting that 9.04 cents.
We're just down below that right now.
And unfortunately, what we're watching is a lot of Bitcoin weakness here.
Bitcoin uh has gotten to a point where it has fallen below a bunch of different trends and is not looking that great in the charts. It would help if I looked at this on the daily. Uh but we can see that Bitcoin right now is below 711.
It's below the ascending channel that we were building, the bare flag. It's below the longer term trend from October. So, like I talked about in my Cardano video earlier today, this is not a good look for Bitcoin and we have to wait and see, you know, what comes next here. Do we get a test at 684? If we're down here right now, that that's likely. Bitcoin does not like to stick in the middle uh of this range here. If we cannot hold this structure, we're probably talking about BTC trying to make a run back down towards potentially 62K. There is still support here at about 65, what was it, 658 or so. So those are some levels to watch here in very short order. Uh but the news as of late for those that have missed obviously escalations in the Middle East. We had strategy selling yesterday. We had Mount Gox moving BTC overnight. And a lot of this, again, like I talked about earlier today, feels very similar to some of the events we've gone through in the past where we've gotten to a point where the market has tried to hold support on a major major retest and there's been basically a manufactured week in terms of news to drop us down below those levels. That's what it that's what this truly feels like. It feels like a manipulated uh event in terms of timing. And maybe we're just the market of major massive coincidences that we can trace back throughout history. But it is what it is. It's what we're dealing with in terms of price. It's giving us again further opportunity in the crypto market. Now, I will say that again, a lot of this has to do with leverage liquidations. People put up positions thinking that BTC was going to hold this structure. Unfortunately, we saw liquidations to the downside. Just to show everybody what we've been dealing with here, this is the liquidation heat map in terms of Bitcoin. And you guys can see that very clearly since uh you know early early May probably about the last 3 weeks longs have just been getting crushed crushed crushed in terms of Bitcoin. This is why it's hard for the market to gain traction right now.
It's because Bitcoin keeps failing time and time again. And I will say that just looking down below here we have some more leverage for Bitcoin. Actually, coincidentally enough, this next big block of uh leverage here, where does that run down to? About 681 H. pretty pretty uh coincidental, right? Just taking a look back at some of the charts. So, just know that again that could be the next stop for Bitcoin is testing that 684681 level. Um, now I will say here this hasn't really come with a massive boom in terms of volume. We're up to about 110 billion in trading volume over the last 24 hours. Um, this is obviously been an accumulation event, if you will.
Just taking a look at what capital is doing or not what capital what what's happening in terms of assets in the market. This is the H bar spot inflows and outflows from exchanges and we're once again seeing just days after days after days of exchange just leaving supply. Yesterday we saw what was it $1.85 million worth of H bar leave exchanges. So this again has continued on uh another week so far of exchange supply removal. So people just continue to build for the future and it's not really that surprising. Uh shoot I got ahead of myself here. It's not really that surprising with this uh announcement. For example, this is from IBM. They say 2026 is a turning point. I just want to read through this quick.
Say we expect 2026 to be a turning point for tokenization. Stablecoin transactions are already expanding rapidly. They account for roughly 7% of the total cryptocurrency market uh capitalization. Although 97% are pegged to the US dollar. Two stable coins, USDT and USDC dominate 90% of the market concentrated in Asia, uh, Pacific, and North America when measured to relative GDP. Wow, I can't speak. Relative GDP.
Uh, the Middle East and Africa stand out as high growth regions. Meanwhile, Chinese banks uh remain constrained by regulatory restrictions and the EU's emphasis on the digital euro is channeling greater attention to CBDC frameworks. Industry executives have taken notice with 26% saying tokenization is now core to their strategic direction. Still only 9% report being live or ready to deploy initiatives in 2026. Talent is a key factor in holding them back. 71% of executives say they face talent deficiencies while 14% saying these gaps are profoundly limiting. So here's the thing is there is basically this big hole in the market. Tokenization is coming. You're seeing this targeted in a big way by enterprises and institutions.
And what is what chain has some of the largest amount of development in terms of tokenization? It's Hideera. And if you remember, if we talk back about how big tokenization is expected to be by 2030, the expectations are between 16 to 30 trillion uh in terms of that tokenization market. So there's a huge void there, a huge opportunity for Hideera to take big steps forward in an area that it's already starting to do some dominating in, if you will. So that is where there is a huge opportunity and this may not this may not yield what people are are hoping for in terms of price. I saw there was a post on Twitter uh Twitter about H bar reaching a dollar by the end of the year. And you know what I'll say I' I'd love to see that be the case. Obviously, at the same time, we have to understand that this is a bare market. If we do get a shorter bare market, uh V-shaped recovery from here, if this was a a you know, less deep, shorter term, uh bare market than we've historically seen, then sure, maybe the market decides to rebound. A lot of people get stuck chasing shorts get liquidated to the upside. You see a huge institutional push. Maybe that even triggers retail to start get getting back into the crypto market. But I've said for a long time, I would definitely manage expectations. I would expect this year to be green, but the green could be a very slight green. That that's been my thoughts. That hasn't really changed at this time. Again, even with this local weakness we're seeing in the market, the summers tend to be kind of dog crap anyways, uh, if you will. Now, that being said, there was one thing I forgot to discuss here for just a moment. We are seeing in terms of leverage, uh, we're seeing shorts start to follow down. Now, we haven't seen a local push quite yet. Uh, but they have actually moved in terms of big leverage liquidations down towards about uh 71, we'll call it 718 or so. That is where if Bitcoin does get kind of a rebound and a push back to the upside, there's a lot of local leverage that could be liquidated the opposite direction as well. So, that's where we're at. We'll see where the day takes us. Hopefully, we can get to a midweek pivot. I like to throw those out there every week. But, have a great day. Show your love below.
Let me know your thoughts. Catch you guys in the next one.
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