High pressure systems create beautiful weather with sunshine and minimal precipitation, while the interaction between polar and subtropical jet streams (especially during El Niño conditions) brings increased rainfall potential. As seasons transition from spring to summer, weather patterns shift from cooler, drier conditions to warmer, more humid conditions with potential thunderstorms, particularly when cold fronts approach.
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Plenty Of Sunshine Today!Ajouté :
Good morning. Welcome to the forecast discussion for Tuesday, May 12th, 2026.
Of course, I'm your meteorologist Steven DeMartino, CDM number nine. High pressure is in control for today with beautiful weather conditions, plenty of sunshine, barely a cloud in the sky as that high pressure system continues to build down from the Great Lakes. We have winds from the northwest from 5 to 10 mph. Temperatures range from the lower to mid-40s over the northern interior, mid to upper 40s in the suburbs, upper 40s to lower 50s on the immediate coast, and lower to mid-50s in your urban areas. Overall, beautiful morning is setting up, right? And you can see on the weather top radar and surface map, not much going on. High pressure is building in, no sign of any precipitation, and we can verify that with the satellite picture. Look at this, not even a cloud in the sky throughout the Philadelphia, New York City metros. You got a few clouds here passing through Connecticut, that's about it. Beautiful out. It's actually going to be pretty nice this afternoon, too. Temperatures in the 60s, very comfortable if you have any outdoor activities, maybe going to a baseball game, seeing a new rookie, something of that nature in Queens, for example, perhaps.
Uh you'll have excellent weather conditions. I don't know about the game itself, but the weather conditions will be absolutely beautiful. So, we definitely have that going for us, but trouble is brewing off to our west as we have a strong shortwave here in the polar jet stream, and plenty of moisture here in the subtropical jet stream.
Hello El Niño. Yep, we're going to be hearing that quite a bit as we move forward through the rest of the spring and the summer with the interaction of these two jet streams. And for that, well, that basically means more rainfall potential. So, not a washout, but certainly more showers as we move on through the rest of the week as these two interact. We get an upper level low set up right around the region that's going to basically rotate showers around the area with variable cloud cover. Not a washout, but a nuisance. And enough rainfall where you get a moderate downpour from time to time and you could easily push over an inch of rain over the next 3 to 4 days. So, that's basically what we're dealing with right now. Let's dive into this forecast. For today, again, beautiful. High temperatures in the lower to mid 60s, plenty of sunshine, excellent weather.
Tonight into tomorrow morning, look for increasing cloud cover and isolated shower to is possible over the interior, but for the most part quiet. Look for low temperatures in the lower to mid 50s. Tomorrow afternoon, a warm front lifts through the region with variable cloud cover, a few widely scattered showers becoming more more coverage as we move into the evening hours.
Again, but not a washout.
Look for a high temperatures tomorrow ranging from the lower to mid 60s on southeastern Long Island, upper 60s to lower 70s in northwestern Long Island, lower to mid 70s in the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas, and mid to upper 60s over the northern interior.
Then, as we move into tomorrow night into Thursday morning, the cold front will follow while we get a new low pressure system organizing right over the region. That's going to lead to more widespread showers capable of some moderate downpours at times. Look for low temperatures on Thursday morning to range from the upper 40s to lower 50s over the northern interior, lower to mid 50s along the coast, high temperatures in the afternoon will range from the mid to upper 50s over the northern interior, upper 50s to lower 60s on Long Island, lower to mid 60s in the New York City metro, and mid to upper 60s in the Philadelphia metro. Why is it warmer in the Philadelphia metro? Well, a little bit less rainfall. You're going to have more of your focus of rainfall over New York City and Connecticut and over the interior. We'll have a little bit of a dry patch here around Philadelphia, so a little bit more sunshine, a little bit more drier conditions, therefore a slightly warmer. But, that low pressure system will linger around the region producing periods of showers again capable of some moderate downpours Thursday night into Friday morning. So, again, not everyone will see the rainfall, but where you do see it, you will have a shot of some moderate downpours with low temperatures by Friday morning ranging from the mid to upper 40s over the northern interior, upper 40s to lower 50s along the coast.
Friday afternoon, the low pressure system slowly pushes out into the Atlantic with variable cloud cover and isolated to widely scattered showers.
Again, this isn't a washout, but it is a nuisance and it's kind of raw out and damp. With low temperatures on Friday morning ranging from the mid to upper 40s over the northern interior, upper 40s to lower 50s along the coast. High temperatures ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s on Long Island, mid to upper 60s in the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area, and lower to mid 60s over the interior. On Saturday, hey, beautiful out. High pressure in control, plenty of sunshine, beautiful start to the weekend. Look for low temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s over the northern interior, lower to mid 50s along the coast. High temperatures range from the upper 60s to lower 70s in southeastern Long Island.
Mid to upper 70s in northwestern Long Island. Upper 70s to lower 80s in the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas, and over the interior, lower to mid 70s. On Sunday, we'll have a trough / cold front, kind of a weakening cold front, pass through the region with scattered cloud cover and isolated shower or two.
Most locations in the afternoon will have plenty of sunshine. So, overall, not too bad of a weekend at all. Look for low temperatures on Sunday in the mid to upper 50s over the northern interior, upper 50s to lower 60s in your suburbs, lower to mid 60s in your urban areas. High temperatures starting off summer-like with temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s on southeastern Long Island, lower to mid 80s in northwestern Long Island, mid to upper 80s in the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area, and then mid to upper 70s in the higher elevations, and upper 70s to lower 80s over the rest of the northern interior.
So, nice range of temperatures. The higher you are in elevation, the more likely you'll be in the mid 70s.
Then we get to Monday. We have a warm front that lifts through with a few scattered clouds and isolated shower or thunderstorm, but for the most part, the theme will be scattered clouds, possibly some low clouds in the morning via fog as warm air surges into the region, summer-like air, tropical air, in a way.
With low temperatures in the mid to upper 50s over the northern interior, upper 50s to lower 60s in the suburbs, mid 60s in your urban areas. High temperatures will vary quite a bit as we have a nice southerly wind, so you know what that means for Long Island. Look for high temperatures in the mid 60s to lower 70s on southeastern Long Island, mid 70s to lower 80s in northwestern Long Island, upper 80s to lower 90s in the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas. Then over the northern interior, look for lower to mid 80s.
So, we get the heat returning. And then we get to [clears throat] Tuesday. We have a cold front that is slowly approaching the region, so most of the day will have scattered cloud cover, more humidity.
That's right, that word humidity is back. Certainly a summer-like day with low temperatures ranging from the lower to mid-60s in your suburbs and northern interior, upper 60s to lower 70s in your urban areas. High temperatures will range from the lower to mid-70s in southeastern Long Island, upper 70s to mid-80s in northwestern Long Island, upper 80s to lower 90s in the Philadelphia New York City metropolitan area. If we get enough mixing, possibly a few mid-90s in there. We'll see how that works out.
And then over the northern interior, mid-to-upper 80s.
By the evening, that cold front will press southward, and that's when we have the potential here for some thunderstorms. And given the temperatures I had this cold front, they could be rather strong. So, we'll have to watch out for that next Tuesday evening. So, something to certainly monitor as we go forward. That is your forecast discussion for today. Have a wonderful day, and as always, stay safe out there.
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