A Super El Niño is defined as an El Niño event that reaches historically strong intensity, requiring sea surface temperatures in the Pacific to remain 2°C warmer than average for approximately 3 consecutive months. According to NOAA's official scale, there is currently a 67% probability (37% for strong + 30% for very strong) that a strong to very strong Super El Niño event will develop, potentially becoming one of the strongest on record.
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What Does Super El Niño Actually MeanAdded:
Everyone's calling this a super El Nino, but what does that actually mean? And what's the real number? To hit historically strong, the top of NOAA's official scale, sea surface temperatures in the Pacific need to stay 2° C warmer than average for about 3 straight months. Right now, NOAA gives out a 37% chance. And in strong, different category, add another 30% chance. So, there's a 67% likelihood we have a strong to very strong super event developing to be one of the strongest on record, potentially. I broke down regional impacts in my latest video. The link is below.
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