Iqbal Mamdani: Iranian Situation Reaching Boiling Point

追加: 2026-05-25

[00:00:03]Hello friends, I am Dinesh Kera.

[00:00:05]Welcome to the latest version of News Time.

[00:00:09]Friends, today we are going to talk about India and abroad with our dear scholar friend Iqbal Mamdani ji who has joined us from Mumbai. Hello Iqbal ji, welcome.

[00:00:19]Welcome you. Thank you.

[00:00:22]A Iqbal ji, a lot is happening in the world and this week is such a week where the world has suffered more losses in this ceasefire than we suffered during the war. This is amazing. We could not imagine that ceasefire could cause so much damage. The situation at this time seems as if the economy will collapse with huge buildings, sir. And America is also included in this, sir. Let no one say that America's economy is surviving. That too is collapsing, sir. Inflation there is absolutely unbearable and their currency may be doing well but if the economy is weak then the situation is bad. The amazing thing is that the rate of their oil is $ per gallon in California and $45 in other places also. Now people will say why is it $6 in California, brother?

[00:01:27]California exports oil to the US at 6 million barrels per day and imports oil to the US.

[00:01:34]People do not understand this combination.

[00:01:36]Actually what happens is that there are one or two refineries in Western America.

[00:01:42]That refinery is not fit for American oil.

[00:01:44]All the shale oil can only contain Gulf oil. Oil is not coming from the Gulf, sir. Today the situation is such that oil is not available in one of their own areas in California, sir. And you are exporting oil from here and want to import oil from there and import is not available because your refinery is not fit for it.

[00:02:03]By the way, it is the fittest refinery in the world which can refine every type of oil.

[00:02:08]People will be surprised to know that the top number one refinery in the world which can refine whether Russian and Venezuelan and American and Gulf and any other oil, that is Reliance Refinery Sir.

[00:02:24]Reliance's refinery can refine every type of oil in the world. This feature is not present in any refinery in the world. Sir, she can do Russian also. Venezuelans can too.

[00:02:33]Now California has such a large population there.

[00:02:40]What do you say, the economy of California alone is more than four trillion dollars, which is more than India, sir, because it is the center of IT.

[00:02:47]But he doesn't have oil.

[00:02:49]Sir, he is craving for oil and how will the oil come in trucks from such a distance? So first on this oil situation and the rupee falling to ₹96.40 in India at ₹11. Let's talk a little. Let me take a comment from you. Then let's move on to the next question.

[00:03:08]Thank you Dinesh ji. Look, today the first thing I want to tell you is that I think it would be a big mistake to consider whatever is happening in the Middle East today as only an Iran versus America or Israel conflict. In fact, this is becoming a battle for a future world order. There are many hidden angles which are still being discussed very little.

[00:03:29]Look, first of all we should see that the most dangerous point is that the Gulf countries have now understood that the biggest target in this modern war is not the entire field but the confidence of infrastructure. Cities like Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha are very worried about what could happen not because of missiles but because of the fear of collapse.

[00:03:50]If international investors and tourists feel that the Gulf is unsafe, then you should understand that the trillion dollar economy may come under pressure within a few months.

[00:04:03]This is why UAE is looking at every statement very carefully. You see inside the people. Well, secondly, you should understand that the big nuclear plant attack that has happened recently has shown a new fear to the world, due to which experts are discussing that in future war it will not be necessary to completely blow up the nuclear reactors, only by hitting their power points, pulling lines or support infrastructure, the entire country can be physically pushed towards collapse. Secondly, look, inside the war zone, Israel now only has cooling plants, it is not necessary that those cooling plants are not underground, they are outside.

[00:04:49]Absolutely, they are out. There is a fear about this, that you can blow up the cooling line gradually and show that you have completely destroyed the economy. Well, while America is doing its own thing, Israel is also playing its own different game. It is not just a military war, but you see, he is working on a multiple front strategy, he wants to maintain a different level of pressure on Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and then Yemen.

[00:05:22]These are not separate conflicts, but if you look at them, they are interconnected within a pressure pull zone, due to which Iran remains in constant defensive mode. This is one of Israel's tricks. Well, Iran's biggest hidden strategy is that Iran knows that it cannot defeat America completely in a conventional war.

[00:05:48]Therefore, he is working fully on the Tehran Cost Acceleration Doctor Line.

[00:05:51]That is, in a way, war should be made so expensive and unstable for America and its allies that long term war politics continues, which becomes impossible for America. One surprising point you should see is that it is being discussed in the intelligence circles that if the Gulf escalation increases further, then the world may see a concept like emergency refugees for the first time. That is, workers and professionals who will make mass relocations due to Gulf stability.

[00:06:23]This will have a huge impact on many countries like India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Philippines.

[00:06:28]Well, another thing you can also see is that many of the world's largest hedge funds and oil traders are making record profits from the reported easing of tensions. Whereas in the war economy, the most earnings come from these stability. You should understand this thing. The world spiked, shipping spiked, insurance spiked, gold rallied and currency panicked. All this is becoming a huge opportunity for global finance players. So on one hand, while the world is going into crisis, America, which is carrying on this war, is also going into crisis. There are also some people who are making a lot of money from this.

[00:07:05]Very strong. Well, very few people understand that America's biggest concern is not just Iran's nuclear program, but rather that the China-Iran- Russia corridor. If Tehran completely falls into the Beijing-Moscow bloc, then you can assume that US influence in the Gulf could suffer a major blow, and this could happen in a way similar to how many countries quickly turned to emergency cyber defense during the Gulf crisis.

[00:07:33]So you can look at it in different ways.

[00:07:39]You will see that the next big attack will not be by missile but by Po, airport, stock exchange, banking network, it can happen in the form of cyber paralysis.

[00:07:49]So there is a huge fear among everyone regarding this.

[00:07:54]You said it right. I was coming to this point. The next blow is on Hormus' internet lines, sir. Because Iran has captured the weak point. He has found out that one thing is oil weakness. He has destroyed the world and darkness has spread over the world.

[00:08:14]And if I disrupt the internet from here and from Babar Mandab, then the entire Europe and America will be cut off from the entire Asia, sir. The entire world will be divided into two parts. It will become darkness, sir.

[00:08:27]And this darkness is worse than the darkness that we say that if you switch on the light, the light will come but you are disconnected from the world and you do not know what is happening, then you will be back in the Stone Age. That is what Iran is working on right now sir. Yes, see, experts Dinesh are also believing this and are especially warning that if the situation becomes seriously unstable, then you should understand that the world can see an economic shock which is bigger than the 1970 oil crisis. The only difference will be that this time the world is more interconnected and depth driver than before. This means the hobby will spread faster.

[00:09:06]Iran has now become very aggressive in physical warfare. The purpose of civilian defense training, media messaging zones, footage releases and public mobile campaigns is not just defense but to demonstrate that Tehran will not collapse. He is completely focused on that. If you look at this, the messaging from Israel has also changed. Earlier the focus was on short dissipation strikes. But right now this red language is increasing on the long confrontation red line.

[00:09:35]This means that oil is still seeing little hope of a quick resolution. The Gulf conflict has been going on for a long time, so keep this in mind that the impact that you have just mentioned, not just on the banking sector, I would say that global aviation routes can also change permanently.

[00:09:53]Especially, let us assume that due to the insurance risk, airlines and cargo companies are already considering alternative options. This will clearly impact both travel cross and international trade. Now there is no direct need for a world war in the world.

[00:10:10]Small regional conflicts have led to oil depletion, cyber attacks, proxy wars and financial pressure. Together we can stabilize the entire global economy and perhaps this is becoming a new water model and the biggest question now is that see, the world has now entered such a phase where the uncertainty of missiles has become more dangerous because whenever market, currency, shipping, energy and public care come together, it can trigger change, you can completely accept this, Israel is very afraid of one more thing. It is said that everyone feels fear. A Ram Gopal Varma film had released. Everyone feels fear.

[00:10:57]Israel is also afraid. The thing is that Israel's energy security is also in danger. Half of Israel's oil comes from Baku, sir. It comes from Azhar Bhaijaan and your so called pipeline is basically called BTC. It reaches your place via Baku, Tbilisi and Sihan and goes to the refinery in Haifa. Now the amazing thing is that it is just a few kilometers away from the Iran border.

[00:11:27]Sir, this pipeline is just a few kilometers away from the Iran border. That means, even if 100-150 Iranian fighters cross the border and go there, it is a deserted area, completely desert type, they will blow it up and come back. Otherwise they will send four drones and there is no security for all four drones, sir, let me tell you, because it is coming after passing through many countries.

[00:11:47]Now Israel is afraid that if this goes away then the security of my entire energy will also be destroyed.

[00:11:56]So whatever I have with me, even that Hafa becomes useless.

[00:11:58]So I said everyone feels fear. It is not like that this pipeline coming from Baku, what do you mean, it is a neighbour of Iran's border, sir, if these people blow up this Kharak, if they blow up that, then they blow up Iran's weak point of security, sir, this of Israel too, sir, this is also a threat, so it is not that only Iran will die in this war, we will die, we will all take you down too, Iqbal sahab, Neeraj ji, see, what you are saying is absolutely correct.

[00:12:31]One very dangerous and under- discussed aspect of the Middle East crisis that is happening in a way that we are not acknowledging is that the intelligence and strategy crisis is beginning to emerge.

[00:12:42]Especially if you look at what that is? If you look at it one way, it is controlled acceleration.

[00:12:47]This means that many powers neither want to completely stop the war nor want to completely change the world war.

[00:12:54]Because limited stability leads to geopolitical control, and this oil tracking power and military influence are easier to maintain, in a way, you can assume that the Shadow Alliance is now growing rapidly in the Dries. Many countries appear publicly neutral. But if you look at it privately, whatever sharing is there, they are doing it. Coordination and emergency access agreements are being made. This is the reason why many times the official statement and ground reality appear to be different. Today, even though we are talking about Israel, but as you said, it is also afraid because the internal situation is gradually changing and the outside world is showing its anger. Well, experts have also started believing that the biggest fight in this entire crisis is regarding time. Wants pressure in America.

[00:13:44]Whereas Iran absolutely wants this to be a long war. The physical game should continue.

[00:13:50]Tehran knows that a prolonged conflict will gradually erode the Western economy and public opinion.

[00:13:59]Well, if the Gulf conflict continues for long, then you understand that as I told you, the insurance industry itself can move towards a global crisis figure because shipping insurance, aviation insurance and infrastructure risk insurance, the premiums can become so expensive that the trade costs will automatically create an inflation explosion. Well, you can see that another hidden danger is that many Gulf countries are now quietly going into food security panic mode.

[00:14:29]Just like Israel's petrol problem, the Gulf also has problems because the Gulf largely depends on imported food.

[00:14:37]If shipping routes become unstable, the overall pressure on food storage, grain imports and cold chain logistics could increase.

[00:14:48]If I talk about a very shocking strategy point, then till now in the modern mode, you can assume that economic paralysis is more effective than military destruction.

[00:14:59]If the courts slow down, internet cables get disrupted, insurance rates rise and the currency falls, the economy can [ __ ] even without destroying the city. Be it Israel or the Gulf.

[00:15:16]America is also dying, sir, and by the way, let me inform the viewers that this pipeline runs on the parallel border of Iran. Its distance is only 20 km. Is 20 km. Only sir. 20 km You don't even need a drone for this. You fire four shells from the 155 gun. Your work will be done cheaply. The entire pipeline will blow up, sir. From a tank or a gun, there is a 155 mm gun, there is a 105 mm gun which has a range of 20-30 km, the shell goes and falls, you don't have to do anything, even if you use it, it will happen to him, so you are so venerable in this world that if you suppress the weakness of others, then you will realise that your weakness will get ready to be suppressed, what will you do, you will also feel pity, so these are the things, our effort is to bring that information to the people about which people may not have so much information, so when these come one by one, then people come to know that everyone has a weak point here, no one is immune here. America has alleged that Russia and Iran are jointly supplying drones to Cuba and 300 drones have already reached there and these drones have become a threat to America, sir. Now look sir, Cuba was once a Russian territory, if you look at it, it was considered a colony of Russia and Russia had a big influence there. Mr. Fidel Castro was a very big man. Even America was afraid of him.

[00:16:40]Many poor people of Offlet have fallen into poverty.

[00:16:43]But Russia's oil supply etc. is still going on. Ships etc. are going there. Everything survives because of him.

[00:16:51]Or even if supplies go there, they go from Russia.

[00:16:53]But the latest report says that 300 drones have reached there. This is a threat to America. So this is a new angle, Iqbal Sahab, please tell me what is happening in a minute or two? Look sir, let me give you even bigger news than that. These 300 doses that have arrived are fine.

[00:17:11]But in the last few days, America has quickly created a huge stockpile of drones and it was prepared for this fight.

[00:17:24]America's intelligence report is telling that those doses have become a threat for them. It turns out that the doses they are testing explode near them.

[00:17:33]So the manufacturing in such large quantities has reached their neck. The way you just said that the ropes were delivered to Cuba by China and Russia. So these allegations kept on being made and if you look at this entire war, both Russia and China are looking at this conflict from different perspectives. Russia may see this as an opportunity to strategically export to the US. The war with Iran is completely on the horizon, whereas China's focus is on uninterrupted trade and energy.

[00:18:08]Therefore, both of them do not want open war. But he is also completely unhappy with America's regional difficulties and is continuously doing such things which increase America's problems. So, they are continuously supporting all the enemies of America from behind, even though they don't want to.

[00:18:27]Inside him, he knows that if trillions of dollars are invested in America, then it is Gulf's. Well, if it becomes unstable here then this situation will be for everyone. So that will directly impact America.

[00:18:42]So if you see that Gulf stability is big then especially you can assume that the strategy of Son Wealth Fund can change completely.

[00:18:53]As I said, trillions of dollars of Gulf countries are invested in the global market. If regional fears increase, this capital movement can completely shake the world market.

[00:19:04]And secondly, if we consider it a choking point, then what these experts are discussing is about future conflict. It is not the cities but you should understand that the system will be the target. Power grid dissemination plants, telecom hubs, satellite links and financial exchanges can become better in the future, so now gradually these drones or such things are things that create fear in America that America remains entangled, the more America will remain entangled in it and especially Donald Trump is such a country that whatever he talks about, his planning is different and the army establishment there is thinking completely differently. Now both of them are moving in different directions. They want the war to escalate but the establishment there is thinking that if this war escalates then it will be more costly for us than Afghanistan and Iraq.

[00:20:00]Therefore this war should not escalate.

[00:20:02]This matter should end. But there is Donald Trump who is not ready to understand.

[00:20:09]I think this has become a big foreign problem for the Pentagon and if you look at the same thing, Russia, China and all of them are gradually trying to strengthen America's enemies so that America remains busy and they can continue to work peacefully.

[00:20:26]America has faced a big problem that in the last two and a half to three and a quarter months now, all the money from the Gulf used to go there, it used to go into their equity stocks, it used to go into property, there was funding in AI, there was funding in stocks, there was funding in property, all of it which was approximately 200-20 billion dollars annually which used to go from here, this money, that is 20-25-30 billion dollars used to go to America every month, the profit money, these are the Sheikhs of the Gulf, all of their money used to flow.

[00:20:58]Now the flow of money stopped there, sir, and everyone started losing their lives. The property owners in America who used to be very happy earlier, saying that the prices have increased so much, so much, because there are takers there. It seems that money is not coming in so all the takers are gone.

[00:21:10]Stocks are running out and one by one they are now feeling the pinch that the Gulf money will not come every month. So we cannot survive. So this is one of the biggest pinches. And this is the question. After that we will take one last question and end the program.

[00:21:25]Look, let me explain to you that the most dangerous part of the Middle East crisis is not a missile or two, but you should consider that invisible war preparation, which is being considered, many intelligence experts of the world believe that the game going on is going to be much bigger than what is visible, that is, the underground infrastructure in the Gulf region is now increasing very rapidly.

[00:21:52]According to the report, many countries have started shifting critical data services, military command systems or emergency oil control units underground.

[00:22:01]Well, this clearly means that this country has now started taking the possibility of long-term conflict seriously. Secondly, if the Gulf conflict escalates, then for the first time the world, as you talked about AI etc., can see integrated war management within AI on such a large scale, be it Israel, America or regional LE, if we talk about interception surveillance and analysis and assume that the use of target prediction or AI systems has increased, then in a way, a part of the decisions in future wars can be influenced by algorithms.

[00:22:42]So for this you should believe that the countries of the Middle East have now completely understood that the atmosphere created by America and the things it did have not been able to support them.

[00:22:56]Secondly, he has supported Israel even while living there.

[00:22:59]So now they believe that they should slowly withdraw the trillions of dollars that they have invested, even if they do n't want to, and quietly prepare themselves so that another hidden layer of Iran's strategy is becoming visible, through which you should especially understand that analysts are now believing that economic is now called absorption water, which in a way Tehran knows that America is militarily stronger. But I would say again that Iran is also trying to make the conflict so long and costly that the Western public itself starts running away from this war. So, the people of the Gulf have now understood all these things, so they are trying to manage this situation by bringing back their money with great love and making themselves stronger.

[00:23:49]And this is the only thing that a lot of money used to go from here to America. Whatever investment used to happen is now slowly getting exhausted.

[00:23:57]Well, we have already talked about its impact in the show earlier, Dinesh ji, that you will see that we will come to know that within a few days America will be completely destroyed. A new currency will start becoming available to you in the world against the dollar. At the same time, China and Russia will be powerful in themselves. And Israel has the biggest advantage in this. Israel has this advantage that if America attacks Iran in the Gulf, on the one hand Iran gets weakened, then it is beneficial for it and even if Iran gets destroyed, it is also beneficial for it. He has nothing to do with America, what will happen to America's features? She is worried about herself.

[00:24:37]His dream, unwillingly, is of a religious fight and he is moving ahead with that.

[00:24:47]GG takes one last question. Today is the 18th.

[00:24:54]Putin sir will reach Beijing tomorrow morning sir. To meet Mr. Jinping. There is a gathering of media. Mr. Trump came out and the announcement was made. I think preparations are made in advance. It does n't happen suddenly. Such a big summit does not happen overnight.

[00:25:10]But preparations had been going on for many months. If Putin sir goes, will there be no preparations? Does their planes, their intelligence department people, their own cars, everything reach there first? I think this meeting itself is very important. I would like a couple of minutes of comment from you about this. I will finish the program. Dinesh ji, look, this is really a big shocker. What is shocking is the way Putin's visit is sudden.

[00:25:40]You can assume that America has suffered a setback there.

[00:25:43]You see, when the entire American delegation returned, we saw that in every country gifts were given to each other. The gift is shared. You know that the delegation that went there, first of all they left their mobiles at home.

[00:26:08]He was afraid of bugging.

[00:26:11]They were asked to use temporary mobiles.

[00:26:13]Secondly, when he leaves from there, all the gifts he receives are very expensive.

[00:26:18]Obviously, when one country gives to the people of another country, it is obvious that it will give good things. All of them were lying in a heap of garbage, not a single thing was taken on the flight.

[00:26:29]Meaning, you can guess what is fear and what is terror. However, China, being what it is, will not do such stupidity. If he had done so, his reputation in the world would have been very bad.

[00:26:40]But I don't know, there is an atmosphere of fear inside America, you can imagine yourself Dinesh ji, how much fear China has created in America today, that neither did they gift anything nor did they send anything there, if you check the condition of their routes etc., you will find that Americans were afraid to trust anyone, so it is clear that Putin's sudden departure will definitely be a shock for America and look at this entire war, the way Moscow has said that if this war escalates, then how much danger it can pose to the region, how much danger it can pose to the world and the way the closeness between China and Russia is continuously increasing. The way Iran is getting support. On one hand, the way Israel is becoming weak there.

[00:27:33]America, I think its condition is very bad internally. So it is clear that this meeting will decide many such things due to which I feel that in future, whether it is GC countries or Asia, if we talk about power, then we can see a big change in that power in the coming days and it can also happen that the dollar, about which America is constantly dancing, will be changed.

[00:28:00]If there is some such deal in which petrol is bought in the currency of the world, then I think America, you will come to know that it has collapsed within a few days and perhaps China and Russia have been trying for the last several days with this planning and this is also a way in which Iran put forward the conditions, America did not accept them, Iran completely rejected the conditions sent by America.

[00:28:31]This clearly indicates that he has the full support of the huge force working behind him. Perhaps this is the only thing that will be decided in this meeting as to what kind of strategy will be made in the coming years or in the coming days.

[00:28:49]Yes, this was our offering today. Along with this, I am telling my viewer friends that very soon a program is going to be aired on our channel in which I am going to talk about Sun D.

[00:29:04]I talked a little last night too.

[00:29:06]This is the world's first 5.5 generation stealth fighter aircraft of Russia. Su 57 D, you will not believe that this aircraft is going to do what even America's F2 or F35 cannot do and you will be surprised to see its amazing capability that this aircraft is a drone controller, it is a stealth aircraft, it can do bombing.

[00:29:35]It can also launch missiles. It can also fight. But it flies with four to eight drones and the speed of those drones is 1000 kilometers.

[00:29:47]That single aircraft, along with its eight drones, directs the drones to the enemy camp without actually entering it. And the so-called speed of those drones is 1000 km. Per hour. 1000 km The speed is per hour.

[00:30:04]And the name of this drone is S70 Okhotlik.

[00:30:09]S70 Okhotlik. This is heavy stealth combat and these are stay drones. These don't catch you on the radar.

[00:30:16]This means that the person sitting behind our fighter plane is actually the drone controller inside that fighter aircraft. He controls his eight drones in front of him and attacks and confuses his enemy.

[00:30:34]This is a miracle being produced by Russia in military technology.

[00:30:41]I am going to give you a little detailed program on this in one episode. I think Sun De will fly with a fighter aircraft with stealth capability and eight drones, all with a speed of a thousand kilometers.

[00:30:56]I understand to what level a person's thinking can go. If you want to say something, I have not told you much yet. If Iqbal Sahab wants to say something, he can say it for a minute.

[00:31:06]No, I just want to say that Dinesh ji, no doubt the way China and Russia are moving towards the next generation.

[00:31:17]The way this is 5.5 generation sir.

[00:31:25]Taking yourself to a different level in the world. I feel that for the last few years we have probably become mere rhetoric.

[00:31:30]Which we did not need.

[00:31:33]We are not able to do what was needed.

[00:31:41]In our pursuit of becoming a superpower and who knows what else, world guru, I feel that we are nowhere left. And you should see that the world is such that one thing after another is being done in the world which people have not even imagined, you are absolutely right and among the big countries of the world, India is such a country which is technologically the poorest, we do not have anything in the name of technology, so with this information we take your leave and also take leave and Iqbal sahab, thank you very much for coming, thank you very much