Iran has issued strong warnings about potential US and Israeli strikes, with Iranian analyst Seyed Mohammad Marandi explaining that Iran has extensively prepared for war by reorganizing its military, developing hundreds of missiles and drones, and protecting critical infrastructure underground. Marandi argues that Iran's missile and drone capabilities, developed over decades, significantly exceed US capabilities, and that Iran will outlast any military assault because it will continue fighting until it has adequately punished its adversaries. The analysis suggests that Iran's strategic position is strengthened by its ability to sustain prolonged conflict, while US military operations face challenges including ammunition shortages and potential regional escalation that could destabilize neighboring Gulf states.
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Mohammad Marandi: Iran Issues Strong Warning on Potential Strikes #newsAdded:
Hi Nima, thank you very much for inviting me. It's always a great pleasure.
Yeah.
What are we supposed to see with the conflict between Iran and the United States? Donald Trump has announced that he canceled the attack on Iran today, which was supposed to be today. And because Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and other GCC countries as they have asked him not to attack Iran.
That's why he's not attacking Iran today.
And what is the assessment on the part of Iranians? And what do we know about the American forces in the region?
Well, the Americans definitely don't make their decisions uh based on what the Emirates or what the uh Qataris or what the Saudis ask them to do. I mean, if the Saudis and the others had blocked their airspace, that would be a different story. If all these countries said no to the United States, and you're not going to be allowed to use our airspace or land or sea, that would be a different story altogether. You have You have to leave our countries and we want to have peaceful relations with our neighbors.
That would be a different scenario.
But based on some um requests, that's not going to change anything uh in any significant way. So, just like if you recall when uh they carried out uh the operation 2 3 weeks ago in the uh near the Strait of Hormuz, and then when it failed, they said the Pakistanis asked us to discontinue it because we were close to an agreement. Or something like that.
Uh Obviously, it had nothing to do with Pakistan, and it wasn't due to a Pakistani request that they ended a major military operation that was supposed to open the Strait of Hormuz for ships that the Americans wanted to get through. Uh That definitely wasn't the case. The operation failed.
Now, in the case of these three countries, either they put a request to Trump and out of and he because of that he he delays this, then that basically means that the calculations are still the same. In other words, what was supposed to happen that say today will probably happen in 2 3 days from now.
If if it wasn't based on their calculations and if it wasn't based on the request of these three countries, like in the case of Pakistan as I mentioned earlier, then again, it doesn't change the calculations.
So, based on what we see in the region, on the movements of troops and equipment in the Emirates and Saudi Arabia, in in Qatar and Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, and in the Israeli regime, based on on that, on all of these, the Iranians believe that uh the chances for war very high. The chances for a a major assault against Iran are very high.
And the last 2 3 days they've been on uh they've been on full alert for quite a while, for 2 3 weeks. The last couple of days might more so than before because they're constantly monitoring the movements.
So, nothing really has changed.
Oh, if we believe that Trump will actually wait a couple of days, he says 2 or 3 days.
Um and if we believe that he's honest that he won't carry out some sudden attack today, which I don't think anyone in Iran would say that that's impossible or that's uh that they they're not going to prepare themselves with this scenario.
Then it's just a we'll have to wait just a we shouldn't even wait wait 3 days. We'll say let's put it 2 days. 2 days uh after last night after that you can be pretty sure based on what we're seeing now that an assault will take place. Does that mean it's will necessarily happen?
No.
But the assessment now from my understanding is that an assault on Iran and the Iranian people is high. The the the the chances for an assault uh are are high.
The New York Times reported that Iran has extensively reorganized and prepared for a new war, ready to fire hundreds of missiles and drones a day.
And this assessment is on the part of New York Times. You know about them and but on the part of Iranians, how do they see the conflict? If the war happens, it's going to be from the air, the same sort of strategy they had with the first and the second round of war?
Uh again, it depends. Uh the Americans have capabilities in the region that they did not have before for ground operations.
Uh meaning that they could attack islands or they can they can attack the mainland and they can also carry out another operation like the one near Esfahan which failed because it wasn't that wasn't about saving pilots or anything like that.
That was an operation to extract Iran's uranium. So, the Americans have uh capabilities in the region that they didn't have before. So, they can carry out a ground assault. Also, they've been funding terrorists inside Iran.
Uh the remnants of those who carried out the uh the the the the uh assaults on January the 8th and 9th the ones where the Americans keep saying 40 million people or 40,000 people were killed or whatever. Um those terrorists the the remnants or or and they are being uh prepared.
Uh but also on the border with Pakistan, ISIS, and well the out the Takfiri Al-Qaeda the um Wahhabi Salafi Takfiris that are funded by Western intelligence agencies and Israeli regime.
They are being prepared.
And um in Iraqi Kurdistan uh they're also being prepared. Some say roughly 5,000 people uh these terrorists are being prepared. So, there are multiple scenarios. What is What is uh So, these are the capabilities that the Iranian side uh is preparing itself for.
Uh and they could be a part of this broader operation.
But what is also the case is that the United States has a a certain difficulties now that it didn't have before. One is we've discussed before on your show is the weather.
It is becoming very hot in the Arabian Peninsula.
And uh if there is an assault uh then and Iran's critical infrastructure is uh targeted, which is highly which is quite possible.
Then it when Iran retaliates, that could end those regimes. So, for example, if Iran strikes the Emirati critical infrastructure, its electricity, its water, then everyone in the Emirates will have to leave. They'll have to go to Oman. They'll have to go They'll the country will just will collapse.
So, and the same is true with the other five.
So, everyone will immediately have to They're these tiny countries except for Saudi Arabia, but they'd all have to leave. And that would really be the end of these regimes. And so, and I think that would basically mean that global economic depression, far worse than 1929, the 1930s, is uh will is is inevitable.
The second point, the second disadvantage that the Americans have.
So, the advantages were that they brought in ground troops, they brought in capabilities, uh and they're they're funding their terrorists, and as I explained, uh but another disadvantage is that they don't have the sort of uh ammunition that they had the last time round. As you know, and as you've said before, and as your other guests have pointed out, uh US ammunition is very low. In in with regards to the key uh tools uh on that that they were key types of ammunition that they would like to use. So, 40 39-day assault on the Iranian people is would be impossible uh with uh to carry out uh with this amount of ammunition. Uh some some are critically low, some are low, but it's 39 days is not possible. But the Iranians do have that ability. So, and this is what the Americans should be worried about.
The Iranians are not going to necessarily stop the war when they feel that they can no longer continue.
The Iranians are going to stop the war whenever they feel that the other side has been adequately punished.
So, Iran's missile and drone capabilities, and other capabilities, are much greater than the capabilities of the Americans.
Because Iran has been producing these weapons for decades.
And the Iranian Iranian military industry is different from the United States, where they're just making money.
Where the companies, you know, they take billions and they produce nothing or they produce very ex-expensive equipment with very little ammunition.
Iranians, when they build missiles, they build them, you know, one after another.
So, they have, you know, in all these underground cities, they're full of missiles. And many of the underground cities have not been used yet.
So, Iran has no shortage of firepower.
And as I just explained earlier in a in a in a previous in a couple of previous shows on that we've that I you've invited me.
Um the Iranians at the beginning of the war, they were using a lot of their older drones and older missiles.
And but what they're producing now, they're newer drones and newer missiles.
Remember, a number of things have happened since and the New York Times article remind it remind should remind us of what happened after the 12-day war. After the 12-day war, Iran redesigned everything.
So, a lot of its buildings were emptied.
A lot of its high-tech equipment were removed from the places that they used to be to in order to preserve them in case of attack. So, and a lot of Iranian facilities were taken underground.
So, a lot of expensive Iranian equipment are hidden here and there in places where they can't be bombed. And a lot of them that are necessary for war, they are they've been they're in factories underground to produce goods. So, uh the Iranians can can easily outlast Americans.
So, there's no logic in this, as we were discussing before the show.
The US policy towards Iran is not logical. The siege, yes, it's going to hurt Iranians. It hurts Iranians as we speak.
But, the Iranians will outlast Americans.
And the global economy is going to go down.
Militarily, yes, the United States when they and the Israeli regime when they strike the Iranian people with the help of our neighbors, uh they hurt us.
But, we will still outlast them.
So, but still the belief is that the United States is not taking a rational approach and just as they haven't so far. Uh we're approaching 3 months now.
And uh if if there if the if the 39 days of war was a success, then why did he did Trump begin with uh unconditional surrender and then ultimately by the day by day 39 accept the Iranian 10-point plan as the framework for negotiations?
If the siege was working well, then why did they try to open the Strait of Hormuz with an operation 2 or 3 weeks ago? If the siege is still going well, then why is uh Trump planning for another assault on Iran?
Again, the assault is not based on my understanding and based on the assessment of people who I consider to be reasonable and rational and who I learn from, uh both your guests and other other friends, uh based on my understanding, this is going to be another failure for the United States. But, the difference is that now the global economy is in a very precarious situation and uh much more vulnerable than before.
And a continuation of the current policy by Trump, I think, will destroy him, his presidency, his party, and US hegemony.
Is there any way for Saudi Arabia and Qatar to stay out of the war if the war starts again?
Well, if they stay out of the war, that would mean that the Americans would not be be to use their airspace, their their territory, their uh nothing. They'll have to leave. There'll have to be no troops on their territory.
That's not what we see at the moment.
So, there's a enormous American presence. Some some assets of the United States have been taken further away for protection.
But, they have lots of assets in the region.
But, yes, if I mean if if these five countries were to tell the Americans that you cannot wage war against Iran using our territory, using our capabilities, then war would not be possible because the logistically speaking, it would be very difficult for the Americans uh to carry out even limited strikes.
So, um yes, it would make a big difference, but I don't think that that's happening.
My understanding, and I may be wrong, but my understanding is not that the Saudis have or the Emirates or I mean or the Qataris have said, "You cannot use our territory." They pressed Trump to delay it to see if they a solution can be found.
That's not a a very big deal. That's not going to change the situation. It makes it a bit more difficult for the United States, true, because um because we're three more days of shortages across the world.
Uh three more days closer towards the hot weather. Three more days of US soldiers in very uncomfortable uh in an very uncomfortable situation.
Three more days of extra expenses for the US military. And some believe that the US military has spent well over uh well over I mean some calculations here that are being made in Iran are that the United States has spent well over 200 uh billion dollars, not 25 uh billion or not 50.
Uh just today actually someone was showing me a calculation on, you know, and this is has nothing to do with the price of oil and all that, but the count but based on their own calculations at the prices the price of this war has is much higher. But in any case, each day makes it more difficult, but it's not going to be a big difference. It It's something that Trump can do. He can say, "Look, I'm taking this extra step for the sake of peace." And then later on he can, you know, carry out his assault.
So, the calculations in Tehran have not changed.
We know that Donald Trump the reason that he's talking about the war he they want to force Iran into a new position or accept the terms of Washington. And how is that possible with the mindset you see in Tehran? We know what's going on. Many people don't know what's going on in Iran. They want to know what is the position of the government if the escalation happens, if the new attack's happening, not on on the part of the United States, but Israel is all together coming back to the war. Is that going to change or force Iran into a new position?
No. And even if the Americans succeed in murdering senior Iranian leaders again, which of course and you know, just talking about this is strange. The fact that this has become the new norm where the Zionist regime and the Trump regime they can just murder people. They can invade. They can threaten to take over Cuba. They can take uh Venezuela hostage. You know, it's we're you know, it's just amazing how how they've uh where where they've taken the world in just uh a year and a half. I mean, the United States has always been very sinister the regime, but uh we now live in a completely lawless world. But even if the United States succeeded, and the Zionist regime succeeded, and let's say taking out or you know, murdering our leaders, a series of leaders are martyred again.
It's not going to change anything.
The the next, let's say, layers of leaders are going to be the same.
They just don't comprehend Iran.
And uh And right now, uh during these 3 months, new leaders have come. They are now acquainted. Now they have their own deputies. Their deputies are like-minded people. So, what? So, are they going to kill another, you know, what's going Nothing is going to happen.
All they're going to do is dig themselves deeper into dig dig themselves deeper in into this hole that they've already made for themselves.
Nothing is going to change in Iran. In fact, all that they've done during this period is show how credible the Iranian leaders are.
Because during this war, Nima, no one resigned.
No one uh left his or her position.
Everyone, whether the military or civilian, they stood their ground.
No one went with their families and hid somewhere in like the north of Iran in the you know, in the in the forest, in some villa, and and so on. Everyone was at work.
Everyone, you know, and and those who are martyred were immediately replaced.
The next person in line took charge, and then their deputies moved up. And so So, for decades Americans have been trying, you know, through their Persian media, have been trying to convince Iranians that the state, the so-called regime, they're separate from the people. But, disproportionately we we've seen uh commanders and people of of influence being martyred, and then immediately being replaced by others who then were martyred, too. And then so people are seeing that these people are paying a heavy price, yet they remain steadfast. What the Americans have unwittingly done in the Israeli regime is that they've strengthened the credibility, the legitimacy of the Islamic Republic in the eyes of its people and across the world. Because they you know, people are outside of Iran are looking and think, what is this country? Who are these people?
That they're able to stand up against the superpower in this way, give these martyrs, yet still remain steadfast. So, you know, obviously it causes damage to society when elites are murdered, when scientists are murdered, when commanders or military command commanders are martyred. But at the same time, it has created a certain bond within Iranian society that will make it much stronger in the months and years ahead. Does that mean that the Americans will not be able to I don't know, carry out terror attacks in Iran? Of course they will. Will that Does that mean that we in the coming weeks or months they may not be able to um carry out riots here or there? Of course they they'll try and they will do that as they've done in the past.
Uh and every time there's some riot somewhere because of some shortage, that you know, that they've instigated or terror attacks or they'll say that the regime is about to fall. These are the you know, it's finally uh collapsing. But it it won't it's the opposite has a fact has in fact happened. Iran will be is much stronger today and it will persevere during this period of crisis, come what may.
So, in my opinion, all their calculations were wrong. As I was saying to you before uh the show, um everything that the Americans have done, I mean, they're in in it has has damaged the United States and the and the Israeli regime. And the Israeli regime has sacrificed the United States for its own selfish interests.
But the Israeli regime is working against its own interests.
So, some of the things that they do may be logical, but when you put them all together, this entire policy has been illogical. It may be logical, for example, to take out a commander, but the way in which all of this has been put together, it has only enhanced the strength of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It has made the armed forces more credible. It has made the uh the the those who lead the country more credible in the eyes of the people.
And so, if they continue with this, all they do is they further these bonds.
Uh but, you know, they they they will continue to miscalculate. So, a particular action may sound logical at one level, but when you look at the bigger picture, everything they've done has only served to empower Iran, the Islamic Republic, the axis of resistance, and it has made people across the world, let alone many young people in Iran who had no interest in any of this before.
I students of mine who have completely indifferent to everything political.
They are they've changed.
So, um all everything that the United States is doing and the reason why this is not to the benefit of the Israeli regime either is because uh I- Iranian influence is growing and then Israeli ally all those regimes that are allied to the Israeli regime, they're being undermined.
As a as a result of Gaza, as a result of these wars, so you know, b- they if they think that the status quo in the in the Arabian Peninsula is going to remain the same, perhaps, but that's not that's not predetermined.
So, I think that uh there you know, this is based on the selfishness of Netanyahu for his own selfish gains. And what I was saying the other time that I was on the show turned out to be correct. Um I said that Netanyahu he revealed his trip to the Emirates for all his own selfish gains. Now, we're hearing that uh that his the opposition uh leader was supposed to go you know, whether that's correct or not I'm not I'm not saying it's correct, but these are It's not as if Netanyahu is working for Israel.
It's not as if these people are working for the interest of of of the Zionist project. He's working for himself, and I think that all these policies during the last 2 and 1/2 years in Gaza and Lebanon and elsewhere even in Syria.
Even in Syria. What they did in Syria I I said this after Syria fell.
Uh what they did in Syria was they exposed in the long run. For those who are fair-minded and those who are really look seeking truth, they've exposed that Iran and Hezbollah and the resistance were right all along about the nature of the so-called Syrian revolution.
So, I I don't think that anything that Netanyahu has done in the past 2 and 1/2 years has been to the benefit of the Israeli regime in the broader sense.
And I think all of this is horrible for the United States.
And Iran has the upper hand, and we'll have to wait and see what the next round of of war brings to the world.
There's some rumors about the new proposal Iranian proposal 14-point plan.
It was updated. It seems that in the latest version some you know, some reports saying that Iran has mentioned finally the Iranian nuclear program, but it said that they're not pursuing nuclear bombs. You know, that was that was mentioned in the new proposal.
The other one says that Iran has agreed to send enriched uranium to Russia instead to What what is that? Is that all about rumors and some sort of allegations with no basis or we have something about that being discussed in Iran?
Yeah, this is all speculation. The Iranian position has not evolved. There may be changes in tax a tactical changes or or or or changing of wording or prioritizing somethings over another.
But nothing has changed in the Iranian position.
That And and and why should it? They Are the Iranians demanding like the territory of neighboring countries?
Are the Iranians demanding the United States give up its nuclear weapons? Is Iran is not demanding anything unreasonable.
Iran is demanding reparations for all the kids that the Americans have murdered, that the Israelis have murdered, all the civilians that they've murdered, all the civilian infrastructure that they've murdered.
that they've destroyed.
What what is strange about that? It's a war of aggression. It's an illegal war of aggression.
The Strait of Hormuz These are not international waters.
It's a tiny waterway that belongs to Iran and Oman. And Iran is saying from now on it's not going to be like before. You brought this upon yourselves.
Americans, Netanyahu, and Trump brought this upon the United States and Israeli regime.
Does Iran want the Strait of Hormuz closed? No, it's not Iran that's closed the Strait of Hormuz, it's the Americans.
It's the It's the United States at the on behalf of the Israeli regime that has done this. Iran wants the Strait open.
We had a We had a ceasefire agreement.
And in that ceasefire agreement we were to have a ceasefire in Lebanon and Gaza and across the board.
And then we were supposed to allow the ships ships that were linked to those countries that helped the United States in the war to get to use the Strait of Hormuz. Otherwise, uh ships are passing.
Yeah.
It seems that we've lost Professor Marandi.
Let me just check out. Then you're back.
You're back.
So, um Am I back? Okay. Sorry.
Uh So, um the the Iranians do not want the Strait of Hormuz closed, but the Iranians they you know, ships, Russian ships, Chinese ships, Iraqi ships, ships from Oman, Iran, others go through, Indian and Pakistani ships. But the limitations are for those regimes that have been at war with Iran.
And in the ceasefire agreement, Iran was going to allow many of those ships to go through. But the Americans and Netanyahu and Trump violated the ceasefire. He imposed a a siege on Iranian on the on the Strait of Hormuz.
And Netanyahu uh continued with the slaughter in Lebanon. So, they violated the ceasefire agreement that Trump agreed to.
It wasn't Iran. So, Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz is is nothing extraordinary. Iran doesn't want US forces to be able to rebuild bases in the in the Persian Gulf for obvious reasons. They've killed so many kids.
So, nothing in the 10-point Iranian plan is extraordinary. It's all normal. But for the empire, for any country to say we want our rights as a sovereign country, that's that's abnormal.
For the empire, for Iran to say we are you know, we you have to respect our sovereignty, they say, "No, we don't Look, we're not going to respect your We have We have rights as a a country to have a peaceful nuclear program. They say, "No, no, you don't have any rights."
We have, you know, you you you must give assurances that you'll never attack us again. No, no, no, we won't give you such assurances.
That's the mentality of the empire.
And that's why we're not seeing any any real real progress.
There were disagreements between Saudi Arabia and UAE. That's why we had UAE criticizing Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
But when it comes to the that concept of non-aggression pact, is that going to Do you How do you see the role of Pakistan in that? Pakistan has some sort of agreement, military agreement with Saudi Arabia. Is that of concern for Iran or is that something that Iran has totally Iran knows about each and every aspects of that cooperation with Saudi Arabia? That would because we know how close the government in Pakistan is to Iranians.
I think it's obvious right now the part the cooperation between the two governments. How do they see the situation with Saudi Arabia and how can they facilitate or they to help the situation with this new pact as you're talking. Saudi Arabia is talking about it together with Qatar and they need it because of the Strait of Hormuz as time goes by.
No, it's not going to make any difference to Iran.
Iran's relationship with Pakistan is very good. People the Pakistani population is with Iran.
Uh the polls show that in Pakistan Iran's popularity is through the roof.
And that's during the time when Iran was bombing US targets and and uh and and and targets affiliated to the United States uh or to the subordinates of the United States across the Persian Gulf region.
People know what's going on.
And Iran is not as did not start the war. Iran did not initiate any escalation.
As we speak, Iran right now can carry out assaults.
Major assaults, but it doesn't do so.
Because it doesn't want to initiate war.
That's not in it for for Iran, it's not a moral it's an immoral position.
Contrary to in the West, Iran has moral values. That's why Iran is opposed to the genocide in Gaza. That's why it's opposed to the holi- the holocaust. The ongoing holocaust. And that's why the West supports the ongoing holocaust, because they don't have moral values.
The Western elites. The regimes. And the Iranians do have moral values.
So, Iran is not going to initiate any war against any of its neighbors. But if the United States attacks Iran, you know, those countries that host US bases, those countries that facilitate US strikes, they're part of that war, just like during the 39 days. There's no escape. And there's nothing I mean, the Americans couldn't defeat Iran. No one else can defeat Iran.
General Keith Kellogg said that this only solution for the United States is to occupy the Kharg Island and the islands close the islands close to the Kharg Island.
And what is the capabilities of Iran with the Kharg Island and and the air defense system?
We've learned that Iran has improved its air defense system, but do they have air defense system on these islands and the the territory close to this island?
Nima, the Iranians want the United States to take some of these territories.
They want them to come in.
That's where the war starts.
They're not going to keep them out. They want their forces to come on Iranian territory. And then those capabilities that Iran has hidden for decades and has has has been preparing for decades against the Americans and they'll begin using them.
They'll begin striking the American troops.
They'll begin to hammer them, counter strikes, whether it's on islands or whether it's on the mainland.
They'll just They'll just They'll make them miserable.
Ultimately, the Americans are going to have to leave. We discussed this at the very beginning of the war.
Almost at the beginning. I don't know when was our first conversation after the war began. I said that the Americans want this to be short war.
And the Iranians want this to be a long war.
Remember during the 39 days of fighting initially?
The Americans, they uh said unconditional surrender. They thought it'd be over in a couple of days. Many of Iran's friends thought it would be over in a few days.
Iranians took fighting this for decades Iranians were planning for a long war.
So, the after a few days when the Americans saw things were going downhill, they kept sending messages.
Iranians ignored.
Until Trump accepted the Iranian 10-point plan. Which was a humiliation for him.
And people attacked him and and and uh and then ultimately his folks went and said, "No, no, no, we threw it in the bin." But, you know, he accepted it. He tweeted it.
So, then came the the uh the ceasefire.
The longer it lasts, he's Trump is bringing down the global economy.
Time is not on his side.
So, if they carry out an assault, let them take the island. Like, what difference does it make to us?
There'll probably be some defenses, then they'll draw they'll they'll allow them to take territory over, wherever. I don't know the military plans. But, the plan is to fight them on the ground, not to prevent them from getting there.
They could Americans can bomb a few places, take territory, but then they have to keep that territory.
In the counterattacks that can last weeks and months.
Then and then Americans will have to stay.
Because if they leave, they're humiliated.
So, they have to stay so the Iranians can keep hitting them and hitting them and hitting them and hitting them.
So, bye. I mean, these these generals are, you know, former generals uh of the United States, they are, you know, they are fools.
But, you know, these are political appointees, as you know. We To become a general in the United States, you have to become a part You have to be obedient to the military-industrial complex. Why?
Because after they retire, they want to get on the board of all, you know, these different companies and make their millions.
And they've lived They've lived in a you know, a general with their entourage and so on, and then when they retire, they have nothing. So, they want to be a part of something big so that they can keep that lifestyle. They're not like Iranian generals.
Iranian generals, you know, they're like us.
They're on the front line.
It's a different world. It's a different mentality.
They're the first to to put their lives on the line.
So, you know, it's it's a completely different world. So, he can talk this way. Yes, fine. That's That's exactly what the Iranians want. Not that the Iranians want war. No one should be mistaken. Because many people think, you know, in the West, they say they The Shia uh Shia Muslims have a what they call it? Something like uh martyrdom complex or something silly like that.
No.
They're prepared for martyrdom.
But why?
Because for the right cause for the right cause if you sacrifice your life you're a martyr.
And what is the right cause? It is supporting the children of Gaza.
What is the right cause? Supporting the people of Cuba.
What is the right cause? Opposing racism in Southern Africa. That's the causes that the Iranian That's why they hate Iran.
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