Crypto Is Bleeding [Where I'm Watching]

Añadido: 2026-05-31

[00:03:40]Yo, what's up? What's up? What's up, homies?

[00:03:46]How's everyone doing today?

[00:03:51]How is everybody doing today? Let's get this over here.

[00:03:56]Make that this way.

[00:03:59]A little bit longer.

[00:04:03]Holy man, it's a scorcher up here in Canada. Finally, some summer weather.

[00:04:09]Feels good. But you know, we had to get back on the stream. Every Tuesday and Thursday, guys, the order book 300 PM PST. The best stream in all of crypto, possibly, perhaps, maybe, potentially.

[00:04:27]Come on now. At least one of the one of the existing streams. I know there's many, but I I appreciate you guys coming to watch every single week.

[00:04:37]It means the world to me. We got a good show for you guys today. A lot of different stuff that we're going to cover. a lot of different stuff that we're going to go over. Um, as always, my man Cody is going to be in the chat.

[00:04:49]So, if there's some things that you want to see us discuss, questions, charts, things like that, he's going to be monitoring uh the chat uh and uh making sure uh that we get uh uh to some of your guys' chart requests here. What's up in the chat? Dan, Daryl, tread the path. What's up, bro? Port the great nomad.

[00:05:14]Julian TJC, what's up? Josh JP, sup brother. Kulo, what's up, man?

[00:05:22]Nomad trader, what's good? What's going on over on kick? Demi Gorgon, Cyber Cow, Dr. Pony, Jagel, J Eagle, Vic, what's up, everybody? All right, guys. Um, let's let's get after it. So, we've got some stuff um to talk about today. We got some stuff to talk about today. What's up, Shahed? I can't. You're calling me by my government. That's crazy. That's insanity, Shahed. Um, we got some stuff to talk about today. As you can see, I'm upgrading the we're upgrading the stream here. We got the little list of little list of charts thing. So, we're going to start as always with charts. After that, we're going to talk about Sailor selling Bitcoin as it's seeming more and more likely that him selling is an inevitability. Has he sold already, right? Is that already happened? Have we seen some selling already occur? Um I is he going to sell? What's that mean for the market in general? Does this, you know, make you feel good or worse or better about things? I don't know. We're going to talk about it all. All right.

[00:06:29]We're also going to discuss the attacks going on in Iran. Uh it seems like war was deescalating, now it's escalating again. It almost seems like it's never ending and it's all [ __ ] But hey, that's not for me to say. Of course, we'll talk about the NBA championship because the Knicks, the New York Knicker went 4-0 against the Cavs, arguably on one of the best 10game streaks of all time in the playoffs. And uh we've got game six of the Western Conference final tonight. Oklahoma City Thunder up 3-2.

[00:07:04]So we'll see where that goes. And then I want to talk a little bit about space and the moon and some stuff that's going on there. Uh because that might be the only place we can soon afford real estate because you're not going to be able to afford to live on Earth. Your jobs are going to be taken by robots.

[00:07:21]Okay? The cost of living is going to be so high, you're gonna have no choice but to be launched into space by Elon Musk and you're gonna have to live in a bubble on the moon. I hate to break it to you. I didn't want to have to be the one to tell you, but that is the direction that things are going. So, as always, let's get started here with the charts.

[00:07:44]So, we're over here on Kraken Pro. Best UI in the game, you already know. Uh, we got our little plan, wait, execute.

[00:07:52]Chad's chart. So, if you guys remember, we talked about the plan, the wait, and the execute. What was the waiting part here of the plan? Well, it was waiting to see if we got a market structure break. So, I said, listen, I know it's nice, you know, that we got the sweep here, but I needed to see a market structure break to want a long. No market structure break, no trade. So we planned, we waited, our plan did not come to fruition. So there was no execution. Okay. So a lot of people almost certainly saw this sweep and they long Bitcoin here. Okay. If you go on the feed, if you go on the feed and look at what people were saying about Bitcoin and about everything really um kind of over the last four, five days, I think it's pretty pretty um obvious that Um, a lot of people were offside. Okay, a lot of people were offside. A lot of people were um on the wrong side of this move. So, I'm going to pull out a tweet here.

[00:09:20]Uh, [ __ ] it. I can't find it. But a lot of people were bullish here. Let's just be honest. A lot of people were bullish here. We had a plan. The plan was to wait to be bullish for an MSB.

[00:09:35]No execution.

[00:09:37]Excuse me. The plan does not play out.

[00:09:40]We do not execute. And this is again where people [ __ ] up, right? Because what happens, right? We get a little bit of a bounce. Okay. Well, hold on a sec.

[00:09:50]We got the sweep. It's kind of going up.

[00:09:53]I said, "Hey, maybe it can bounce from here, right? I said this is maybe an area that can bounce." It got a little reaction, but no market structure break.

[00:10:03]No market structure break, no trade. I know a lot of people, especially because of things like hype and Zack and Near and just some of the louder voices on Twitter, they ended up getting long, whether it be Bitcoin or altcoins during this bounce. So unfortunate. You need to have a plan. You need to be patient and then you do not execute until that plan plays out. Okay, so now what do we do from here? I'm going to clean this chart up a little bit.

[00:10:37]Remember this is last year's low.

[00:10:40]Okay, last year's low here.

[00:10:46]Move that in a little bit so it's a little more visible.

[00:10:50]So where where do we go from here?

[00:10:51]Right. like are we gonna are we just gonna roll to zero? I actually don't think so. I think there's a pretty good chance that um we're about to bounce.

[00:11:01]So, if I were to do this and then draw this from here to here and then put my um my fib levels on, we got a lot of support here and we still haven't even pulled back below the 50%. So, we still haven't really dug into the discount too much of that wider range. Now, I ultimately would love to see another leg up. I'm actually going to mark one more level off here for us just for fun. Um, this level right here. Okay, this level is the yearly open.

[00:11:50]Okay, we'll put that to the right. So, we have last year's low and then we have the yearly open. So, I would love to see a move, you know, up into here.

[00:12:02]Absolutely. But we were pretty clear about needing to see a daily structure break above this to get that relief. What we've had now is another push down.

[00:12:14]Ultimately, I'm not quite sure if this dump is over.

[00:12:18]We've got the weekly order block just below us here. So, that could be where we bounce from. Like, we get one more stab down. Or maybe this is already this is already it, right? Maybe this is already it and we're going to bounce from here.

[00:12:36]Got a nice little set of daily lows here, right? That we're taking out.

[00:12:43]So, we're sweeping out some decent lows here on the daily, right? This low.

[00:12:50]This low. Okay. So, we're sweeping out some lows here. This is liquidity right there. I'll just mark it like that. And we're into demand here. So, I actually think that we're probably going to get a bounce here on Bitcoin. Now, the question of whether or not we're going to bounce from right here, or maybe we're going to dig a little bit lower into that weekly demand, which is a little bit lower down kind of closer to 70. Ultimately, I think we do get a bounce on Bitcoin here. From a timing perspective, we're due for a daily low as well, right?

[00:13:22]We're due for a daily low. So, if this is it, fantastic, right? Get above last year's low. I think that's probably your trigger. But ultimately, what I want to see now at this point is one of these, right?

[00:13:36]Simple, simple setup. It's one of those oneline setups, right? Same thing that we used here. If you remember, you guys remember when we long this, right? We waited for it rather than having to wait for it to make a higher high to get long, you wait for it to break the downtrend line and then you can long it a little early. Same thing here because what's going to happen before So this is your market structure level right here, right? This is your MSB level.

[00:14:11]So that's your MSB level. Well, before we break that level, we'll break this, right? We'll break this trend line.

[00:14:23]That will be a preemptive sign that the low is in and we're might we might be going to break this level. Same as here.

[00:14:30]The market structure level was here.

[00:14:33]Could you have waited for this to break to long? Yeah, you caught all of this move. But if you want to get a little closer to the bottom, right, you can use this kind of little trend line trick that I've showed you guys in the past.

[00:14:44]We've used this a bunch. We used it back here, if you remember, once we had this trend line break, right? That's what helped us get long for this last pop. Same thing here.

[00:14:55]So, if we're able to get above this low, last last year's low and break this trend line, I do actually think we're going to get a bit of a rally on Bitcoin. Part of what makes me feel even better about this thesis is just how bearish everyone is getting.

[00:15:15]So, if you remember, right, I remember because I remember everything. If you remember up here, I was hesitant, right? Right? I said, "If we can't hold above the range high, I don't like it.

[00:15:28]We shorted ETH up here." What was everyone doing this entire leg down?

[00:15:34]They were bullish. They were longing Bitcoin. They were longing altcoins. And unless they long Ze Hyperliquid or VVV or maybe near, they probably lost money.

[00:15:45]And then they absolutely lost money because they didn't end up taking profit on any of those either. So, a bunch of people were bullish here as always. Oh, it's a breakout. out. We have to be long now that it's pulled back and even made another low here, which I said was absolutely possible. Everyone's getting bearish. I'm seeing people talking about quantum. I'm seeing people talk about all this [ __ ] Now, I'm not saying that they're wrong. I think the bears are actually on the right side. I just wouldn't be surprised if we do something like this from here.

[00:16:19]Suck them all back in and then just slam it again. So, this is kind of my base case right now. I don't know how high the bounce goes or how deep we dip first, but I think a bounce is probably coming soon. I do think it ultimately will lead to a lower high. It's just a question of whether or not, you know, that bounce happens from right here, right? Maybe we get one more push up here and then the bounce, right? But I do think a bounce is coming soon. There is still an outside chance that we put in a higher low here and we actually get a significant rally towards the yearly open. Even if that were the case, I still think this probably ends up being a lower high. I think this is a lower odds setup. I think a much higher odds opportunity or a much higher likelihood outcome is a lower high relative to this one. But if Bitcoin is going to put on a big counter trend rally, the time is now. And the higher it can bounce, the higher the next low will be. But I do believe that equities are going to pull back sooner than later. Uh and when they do, they're going to take crypto with them. So, if Bitcoin can rally up to here, right, if Bitcoin can rally up to here and then equities pull back, you know, during SpaceX and [ __ ] well, then maybe we only go down to here and then the low is in at this point. We're just forming our bottom, right? But if Bitcoin's only able to do this and then rolls over again, I think there's a very strong chance that all of this gets wiped out and we get new lows. And then ultimately the bottoming happens like this down here. Whether this is here or whether this is lower, I don't know yet. And then this becomes your buying opportunity into Q4 of this year. Okay, so that's my general game plan here for Bitcoin. I'm expecting a bounce soon.

[00:18:29]How high that bounce goes, I don't know.

[00:18:32]Ultimately, I think it ends in a lower high. Uh and I still think that you're going to be able to buy uh the yearly cycle low, late Q3, early Q4, which is the same thing I've been saying ever since we made this low here. I was even talking about it back here. So, I've been talking about the same thing going on nine months now.

[00:18:56]Not quite nine months. Uh, six, seven months now.

[00:19:03]43. I just did this. What's wrong with me? Um, but I think I've had a pretty pretty consistent read on the market.

[00:19:11]Every time I give you guys my high time frame breakdown, it ends in the same way, right? which is either time based consolidation or we have one more low coming, right? And then the bottom occurs down here, but it's still based around the same time. Uh, and just in terms of short-term price action now, it's just starting to play out. And for now, this looks a lot like a counter trend rally, and it's probably going to end like that. So, that's what I've got on Bitcoin. Does anyone have any questions before I move on? Hopefully, it's pretty straightforward and easy to understand. In terms of like actual trades, like where can I trade this thing like right the [ __ ] now? Um, you could argue that we're like putting in a sweep here, right?

[00:20:01]And uh you could try and take the trade like something like this.

[00:20:11]So, it's either It's either of these two setups here.

[00:20:16]So, the most aggressive setup is right now. Like this. The most aggressive setup is literally like right now.

[00:20:25]I would say that's that's that's setup number one, which is the most aggressive. Technically, you could rip this right now. Um, the next setup, in my opinion, would be above here. This would be a little bit safer, I think.

[00:20:41]a little bit safer of a setup. So, this one again, it's it's live now. You could just rip this. Uh the second setup, I think I would want to see um a move above above this high here. Then that's your entry. So, above this consolidation, reclaim last year's low. So, I think either two of those could work. Um, if the candle closes as an SFP, of course, if we nuke over the next hour and don't close as an SFP, then neither of these setups are valid. Um, I think the safest trade, right? So, that's short-term, some analysis there. The safest trade by far is waiting for us to actually get a daily close or a 12-hour close above this trend line. daily or 12-h hour close above the trend line, you buy the next pullback, stop below there, then you you you long that. So, like that's actually the lowest risk long opportunity. Like something like that.

[00:21:46]And it doesn't even have to go to new highs, right? You can you can get out there. Still a 2R. That's no different than this setup right here, right? Wait for the daily close. You long the next pullback, right?

[00:21:59]Stop below there, right? Target one, target two. Same idea here.

[00:22:08]So, three separate long ideas.

[00:22:11]Really aggressive, less aggressive, least aggressive. The first two that I showed you do require the daily candle to close as an SFP of these lows. If that does not happen, that setup's no longer valid.

[00:22:32]If we draw a support trend line um from lows, we still have some more room for down. We can absolutely dip lower, right? So, I drew this 3-day order block because that's where price is bouncing right now. But below that, we have the weekly order block here, right? We can come all the way down to here, right?

[00:22:52]this trend line will get extended and then we can get the breakout from down there. The lower we dip, the more the more shallow the bounce probably becomes in my opinion. And then again, if you pull your fib from here to here and you throw on the 618, the 786, right? Those line up very nicely with that weekly order block. So, if this thing wants to stab down, you know, one more time. So, let's say it does this.

[00:23:25]The setup is the same. It's the same logic. It's the same setup. It just traded a little bit lower first. Again, we're making a plan. What What comes after planning class? Does anyone remember?

[00:23:40]Anyone remember what comes after the plan stage?

[00:23:47]The waiting stage, right? So now we have a couple of different plans that we've laid out. Now we got to wait. We got to be patient. So we're going to wait and see what happens. Is it going to bounce from here? Right. Are we going to see the bounce from here or does it need to come down lower? I don't know. Okay.

[00:24:07]A lot of people on Twitter are [ __ ] Like a I would say a great a great many of them. A a a large amount of them are [ __ ] And so they will act like they can predict what is going to happen with any degree of certainty. They have no idea what's going to happen. Okay?

[00:24:29]Nobody knows what's going to happen. You can make an educated guess, right? You can ass you can you can make a risk adjusted educated guess or you can just admit that hey, I think this is what's going to happen. make your plans and then execute accordingly once it actually starts to play out. The problem with acting like you're some sort of prophet, like you're some sort of, you know, savant is that you'll get a few things right, people will start putting you on a pedestal. Then when you inevitably get something wrong, you can't let go and it ends up [ __ ] up your trading because you want to be make it seem like you could tell the future.

[00:25:10]You can't. I get [ __ ] wrong all the time. I still make lots of money, okay?

[00:25:15]Okay, I make lots of money trading being wrong all the time. More than half the time I'm wrong on average and I make money. Okay, so you're not you don't know what's going to happen. Iran Trump could drop a nuke on Iran tomorrow. No order block, trend line, anything is going to save that from happening. You know what I mean? Like it it's just whatever is going to happen is going to happen. The key is you make a plan. You assign different levels of probability to those plans. You wait and then if things start to play out, you execute.

[00:25:52]Okay? You don't want to end up like this guy. Okay? So this guy, remember this guy? So he posted this, right? 21,000 likes.

[00:26:04]This math [ __ ] completely made up, by the way. Okay. 2 * 2 + 1 is five. Thank you.

[00:26:13]2 * 5 + 1 is 9.

[00:26:17]That That's literally incorrect.

[00:26:20]Right here, he has 5 * 2, that's 10 + 1 is 11. Here he has 5 * 2 + 1 = 9. 2 * 2 + 1 = 5. Then subtract 2 = 3. 4 * 2 is 8. 5 * 5 + 1 is 26.

[00:26:40]This is madeup [ __ ] This is the market maker cell model.

[00:26:48]This is just ICT 101. I was posting this [ __ ] on Twitter literally 10 years ago. Okay, you can find me posting this image on Twitter quite literally 10 years ago.

[00:27:06]Why is it opening a YouTube link? I don't want a [ __ ] YouTube link. Here we go.

[00:27:15]Okay, this is not science.

[00:27:19]This says this is the ICT market maker sell model and buy model. It's WOFF.

[00:27:24]It's all the same [ __ ] And he happened to predict it quite accurately near the top. Now, this would have been a lot more impressive from down here, but still this is very impressive, right?

[00:27:35]And now he got so caught up in being right about this playing out that every time we bounced up here, he shorted, right? And then it would go up a little higher. He would freak out. Everyone would clown him. So he would delete his tweets, admit that he was wrong, and then it would sell off, and he'd say, "Oh, never mind. I was just pretending that I was wrong." So that the algo would actually dump price. If he would have trusted his initial analysis that this was going to roll over, he opened a swing short here, he should have just held it. But instead, because he was letting the social media hype go to his head, 15 million views, 21,000 likes, comments like this, right, sucking him off.

[00:28:25]He let it go to his head. The moment he was short and the price went against him, he started freaking out and he started changing his bias. Okay? And if you look right, he was planning this short all the time.

[00:28:43]And now he's saying, so he tweeted, "I was wrong on May 5th." Look at this. Where's May 5th? Pico Top. He was short. And then on May 5th, he admits he was wrong because he shorted here and he had his stop like up here. Okay, it keeps going up.

[00:29:03]Everyone clowns him. He says I'm wrong.

[00:29:06]Oh, sorry. You can't see my chart.

[00:29:10]Here is May 5th.

[00:29:14]Okay, right here. The picot top. He tweets he's wrong.

[00:29:24]He shorted here on the way up. He had his stop like up here, I think.

[00:29:32]Okay. And it's going up and up and up and up. People are clowning him. Oh my god, he's an idiot. He admits he was wrong. And then it sells off and what does he do?

[00:29:43]That was the biggest SCOP ever. Making everyone think I was wrong. That was what the ALGO was waiting for. A tweet from a guy who's been right for eight months straight getting pushed on everyone's timeline. Thanks for playing.

[00:29:58]The Discord OGs know already what was planned behind the tweet. If you paid close attention to my tweets, position analysis, you could probably read between the lines and understand where I was leaning and what I anticipated on historical price action. The market will probably bounce soon because the market makers are pissed.

[00:30:15]This is complete malarkey.

[00:30:20]It's complete fantasy. It's completely made up. This is not real at all. Anyone can post a random Discord screenshot and edit it or make it say whatever it's going to say. Like, this is hilariously laughable.

[00:30:37]What's that meme?

[00:30:43]This one. Where is it? Pure fiction.

[00:30:46]It's this guy.

[00:30:50]pure fiction, okay? Like he's deleted tweets, okay?

[00:30:55]He's been talking about looking for long entries and then he's deleting tweets and he's changing what his thing and he's switching and blah blah blah. Like, it's all fake and stupid. Okay? It's all fake and stupid. And the problem is this guy has a 100% let his Twitter clout go to his head 100%. I've seen it before. It happened to Capo. It's happening to him. And he might be right that it's going lower, right? I think it's going lower. But if you allow social media to dictate what you think and what you say and what you do, it's going to [ __ ] with you. Make a plan.

[00:31:37]Trade your [ __ ] plan, okay? Ignore the internet. Ignore all the [ __ ] Come on. We all know you got a girlfriend, bro. What are we talking about here? You definitely got a girlfriend. All right, guys. Any plans on bit? Any questions on Bitcoin? I'm moving on.

[00:32:05]All right, we'll talk about ETH here because we have to like we're like legally obligated to talk about Ethereum. Um, so Ethereum here, same idea as Bitcoin, right?

[00:32:18]We're taking out some lows here. We got a pretty decent level right here.

[00:32:34]If we're able to reclaim this, I think there's a good opportunity for this to have a little bit of a relief rally.

[00:32:40]Same kind of idea though, right? Clear downtrending structure here. Let me just draw it with a line.

[00:32:45]Stop being such a wenus.

[00:32:48]Right. Clear downtrending structure.

[00:32:50]Super aggressive downtrend.

[00:32:53]This is going to bounce. Like this is going to bounce. potential daily SFP here as well. So, you could treat this the exact same as the Bitcoin setup. You could effectively long here, right? Get above this little zone here.

[00:33:11]That's trigger number one in my opinion.

[00:33:15]Trigger number two is up here.

[00:33:18]This is by far the um the the safer trade. I think this one up here. So, those are the two options. And of course, if we roll over here, we [ __ ] roll over, right? Like, it is what it is. I can't just because I think that there's a long opportunity here does not mean it has to play out. This thing can just puke all the way down to these lows right now. But ETH is demonstrabably weaker than most other coins on the market. So, if you're going to long, if you think Bitcoin is going to bounce and it's going to do one of those longs that I laid out, why not long Hyperlid or Zack or Near or any of these other coins that aren't underperforming the market?

[00:34:01]Yes, I still believe in the four-year cycle and a late Q3, early Q4 bottom.

[00:34:09]All right, so that's the plan on ETH.

[00:34:12]Salana is not much different. Like the majors have been [ __ ] gay. So I do think similar to Bitcoin, similar to ETH here, right? Like this is due for a bounce. Um, you know, we've got kind of this aggressive structure here. You could argue maybe this, right? But ultimately, we're putting in a sweep.

[00:34:33]So is this the low for everything? Is everything at the low right now? Is Bitcoin at the low? Like is is this Oh, no.

[00:34:43]Is this the low or is there one more? We don't know yet. The bottom line is if that is the low, there's a few setups forming here. Daily SFP.

[00:34:56]Zoom in.

[00:34:58]Exact same setup as ETH here. Little bit tighter, but it's already broken above that high.

[00:35:06]So, you could argue this long. You could long this literally right now like this.

[00:35:12]You could take this right now.

[00:35:15]Am I taking this right now? No, I'm not interested in taking this right now. I'd rather see what Bitcoin's going to do, right? Like I want to see if Bitcoin is able to um push up here, get above the trend line or if it has one more leg lower. So, I'm not rushing into these really early longs. But in theory, you 100% could take this long right [ __ ] now on soul. Or you could wait, similar to ETH, similar to Bitcoin, wait for it to break some of this downtrending structure, wait for it to reclaim a key level, and then get long there. Okay, so that's Bitcoin, Ethan Soul. Let's go over really quick some of the indices, so last video we drew out everything making new all-time highs. What are trader main's favorite setups when it comes to indices right is the all-time high move. So indices small pullback Chad to alltime high. Bitcoin just bleed dead. This asset super whack annoying as hell to trade.

[00:36:29]completely dislocated um from the rest of the market. It truly is like it it cannot catch a break. And I'm telling you right now, if we do this or something like let's say SpaceX IPO happens and it causes like a shortterm top, this dump will send Bitcoin to like 40k. I swear to God because that's how weak our [ __ ] is. Our [ __ ] is weak as [ __ ] Our [ __ ] is weak as [ __ ] It's brutal. Anyways, my favorite setup on equities is the all-time high breakout, right? Every time we make a new all-time high, I tell you guys very simply, draw out the level. If we reclaim it, it goes higher and it holds.

[00:37:19]If it fails to hold it, it's going lower. Perfect example, right back here. remember had the all-time high level, traded above it, got back below, that was a short. Well, now everything has a new all-time high level. We had a pullback push. We have this all-time high level.

[00:37:41]We're holding it right now.

[00:37:44]We're holding it on NQ. We're holding it on the Dow.

[00:37:50]So, for the time being, you are a bull on equities.

[00:37:56]And I don't see equities putting in a top until after the at least the SpaceX IPO, which is still two weeks away. But if for some reason we start trading back below all-time high, guess what? There's your invalidation and you can be bearish pending a reclaim of that level.

[00:38:17]Easiest trade in the world. Okay, so for now, new all-time highs across the board. Get that level on your chart.

[00:38:25]Mark it out. Let's see if price can hold it. Now, we can pull back, right? And then and then go up. Anything can happen. But if this is really strong, it's going to hold above alltime high.

[00:38:35]If it's really weak, it will get right back underneath. Similar to what we had back here, right? If it gets right back underneath and then starts putting in lower highs, lower lows. You want to short that [ __ ] So, let's wait and see.

[00:38:53]Okay, so Bitcoin equities done. What else do we want to look at from this chart here?

[00:39:00]I don't think we need to talk about anything. Gold and silver just not really doing much, right?

[00:39:09]So, this long worked. This one, I mean, if you took profit in time, but I talked about this as a potential for a third drive, right?

[00:39:17]We've now got that one, two, here's our third drive into this deep demand zone.

[00:39:23]We're still in the discount of this move. We're deep in the discount of this move. So, what you want to be looking for now on gold, in my opinion, is reasons to be a bull. So, to me, I see this, it jumps out at me right away as like a long opportunity is something like this.

[00:39:45]I would probably I would probably take this on gold.

[00:39:50]Something like that if it comes.

[00:39:54]Otherwise, I don't really got much else uh on these. So, let's go over to the chart requests now. Hyperlid, of course.

[00:40:02]You guys are so creative. You guys are so creative. It's like what what what coin do we talk about every single video? Let's let's request that one.

[00:40:15]Um, hyperlid. Let's see.

[00:40:21]I don't like it on here. I want to see history.

[00:40:26]Right. So, this is alltime high on hyperlquid here. Right.

[00:40:30]There's your all-time high. It's traded in. It's kind of, you know, rebouncing a bit.

[00:40:36]I think if you get down to the daily, right, we have this daily order block here and we technically have a structure break. So my kind of thesis on hyperlquid here is like you know if this is going to go it should go from here like if this is really bullish and it's going to continue higher this is this is low enough. I don't really think you want to see it get back below this.

[00:41:02]So if it's going to go should go from here. Kind of my thought process. Pretty straightforward.

[00:41:15]Um, right now if if Bitcoin's going to roll over and eat [ __ ] this will probably come down. But if Bitcoin rallies to 78 80K, this is going to be one of the market leaders. So if you're like, what should I long? I think the low is in on Bitcoin. What should I long? You know, I think Hyperlid probably outperforms ETH.

[00:41:39]I mean, for [ __ ] sakes, it's up 6% today. Bitcoin is down on the day, but has had a little bit of a bounce.

[00:41:48]Hyperliquid is up. So, if we do get a bounce on Bitcoin across the market, I do think that you want to continue to long strength. It just makes the most sense. Anytime the market's gone down, you almost always could have just shorted Ethereum and made more money than shorting anything else. And it's kind of been the same way on the upside.

[00:42:09]Anytime the market's been bullish, if you would have just longed hype, you probably would have done better off, right? So, yeah, hype looks totally fine to me.

[00:42:20]This is demand right here. You have the old all-time high level as well. This is kind of where I'd want to see it hold.

[00:42:26]Um, I'm not currently in a trade. I gave you guys the pico bottom long down here um before this most recent leg up. So, I don't have a setup on hype right now.

[00:42:39]Like, what could I see? Like, if it if it breaks here, you know, does one of these, sure, stop there. Uh, but I don't have a super clean setup on it currently. If there's one more push down on Bitcoin and it sweeps this low, that would be something I take. or if it sweeps out this low like Bitcoin pushes down once more and then Hyperlid does one of these that's the kind of setup I would take I think but otherwise let's see uh let's see what happens VVV yeah so we kind of talked about this last video, right? Um, that should be your H12, right? There's your sweep, pushed up, kind of made a double top, and I said, "Hey, if it can push up, pull back into the order block and then leg up again."

[00:43:42]And that's kind of what you're seeing right now. Yeah, it's dipped a little lower than the order block itself, but the general idea is correct, right? It's pull back and then leg up again. That's kind of what you want to see. Uh, if this thing's gonna go, right, if this thing's gonna go, you just want to see this hold this area and then leg up from here. One thing I'd be cautious of, of course, is, you know, this is now swept out the old all-time high.

[00:44:10]Probably a short in here somewhere that could have been played out. But again, this is going to this is going to rely large this is going to largely be dependent on what the rest of the market does. So, if the market's ready to bottom and turn around, I would not I would not be surprised if this is one of the faster horses out of that bottom.

[00:44:28]Uh, but if the market is weak and we're going to have another leg lower, right, well, then this thing can come back down into uh a decent a decent amount lower. I mean, this is kind of maybe this is what you use just for cleanness.

[00:44:46]Okay.

[00:44:53]Okay, like hold here basically is what you're looking for.

[00:44:58]You want to see a hold a higher low here on the 3-day chart. Otherwise, it'll probably come down and fill in this fair value gap between 9 and 11.

[00:45:08]Whoa. 911 911 XMR.

[00:45:21]That makes sense.

[00:45:27]That doesn't make sense. Okay. Oh, sorry. Hold on. Yi. That's very rude.

[00:45:32]Um, okay. XMR. So this is like you know the competitor to obviously Ze. I mean something that's very interesting is the trend right?

[00:45:48]There's very few altcoins that ever look like this. Like how many altcoins can you count on your hand that actually have multiple bull bear cycles where each high is higher and each low is higher. Like this is what Bitcoin looks like, right?

[00:46:07]Like this this chart is a thousand times better looking than any altcoin chart from this last cycle pretty much, right? Like most coins do this, right? It's the And then it's just it's just this slow fade into a relevancy.

[00:46:37]This is this is every altcoin.

[00:46:40]Now, new coins from this most recent cycle, many of them are like here, you know, or here.

[00:46:48]Then there's coins from 2022, they're like here where they're just like dead, right? And then there's coins from 2017 who are like here. They're just slowly going to zero. Very few coins make higher highs and higher lows over a long period of time. There's this coin, there's Tron, there's BNB, Hyperliquid, Bitcoin, even ETH doesn't necessarily look like this all the time. It used to, right? Like ETH was like, "Hey, new alltime high, new alltime high." Now it's like, "Well, I don't know. Salana, I don't know. Is it going to make another new alltime high?" This was last bull market. This new bull market barely made a new all-time high, right? Whereas you look at something like Tron significant new all-time highs every cycle.

[00:47:53]Zack pretty significant new all-time high a cycle later. Monero, right? It's it's made a significant new high every cycle, which is pretty good, right?

[00:48:07]So, what is Monero for? Crime, I guess.

[00:48:11]I do find it interesting that like, you know, of the privacy coins, anytime criminals do something, they use Monero and they don't use Ze. What does that mean about Zcash versus Monero? I don't know. I'm not smart enough.

[00:48:24]Um, you know, but ultimately the chart itself, low time frame, like is there a setup here? Sure.

[00:48:56]Right. Some sort of pullback retest here. We want to see that hold. I think break out of the range. And we talked about this in like the last video, right? Ton of these coins were breaking out. The problem is is now Bitcoin looks a little shaky. So whether or not these alt retests hold or not is going to depend on Bitcoin.

[00:49:18]Monero is one of those coins that's retesting this range breakout. So, if it's able to hold the break out of this range, then [ __ ] hell yeah, brother.

[00:49:27]But if it fails and it rolls over, then well, that will have mean Bitcoin rolled over and you know, we've got bigger problems anyways.

[00:49:39]All right, Zack Zcash, man. Gainy top tick this one, didn't he?

[00:49:50]That was so funny. I love Gainy, bro. So funny. [gasps] Full port 10x Zcash right now. You're going to be rich. Just [ __ ] instant 20% nuke.

[00:50:03]Unreal.

[00:50:04]Unreal. We love the guy though. Um, this is like the same chart to me as hype.

[00:50:11]Little bit different, right? A little bit different, but you've got a couple key levels here, right? There's all-time high, and then this is, well, not all-time high, but there's, you know, a significant high, right?

[00:50:26]And then you've got your demand.

[00:50:36]All right. So, we're in demand now. This is your high. If you go out to the weekly, this is also a weekly order block that is formed here, right here.

[00:50:46]So, you could argue this is a breakout and retest.

[00:50:49]But what we need is Bitcoin not to die.

[00:50:52]And like I've said three or four times now, if we're going to go up on Bitcoin, this or Hyperlquid or VVV, these are probably better longs and will be more reflexive to the upside than longing Ethereum or Salana right now. Doesn't mean ETH and Soul can't and won't go up, but like you should just follow strength, play strength, right? So, that's what I'm watching there on on on Zcash here. All right, I'm going to go over a couple more coins. I'm going to go over lighter. Uh I'll do pangu. And then someone asked about uh I'll do near. And then someone asked about uranium I think in the chat I saw.

[00:51:36]Um so yeah, let's do that. So let's do uh let's do lighter.

[00:51:46]Excuse me. What the [ __ ] is wrong with me today, dude? Yawning like crazy. Didn't sleep very good. Um, okay.

[00:52:14]This is like this has been like oneline analysis already, but this is kind of what I'm talking about on some of these coins here, right? Is you have this finally a breakout. So, right, lower highs, lower lows, very clearly aggressive selloff, less aggressive, flat. Now, it's attempting to turn around, right? So all those things we tal about are in play here.

[00:52:45]And I think even on the highest time frame, like this is this is clean, right? Like this is your retest. This is a high time frame 3-day breakout. Broke all of these highs. Now it's retesting demand. So I think as long as we're doing something like this, um, you can be bullish on this coin. It might be putting in a little SFP here into that demand. Fantastic. right into that fair value gap. Like we love that. So this this looks assuming the market doesn't die and the lows in and things are going to go higher. This is shaping up to be a really nice long opportunity. Now let's say Bitcoin legs down one more time, right? So Bitcoin does this and then this before breaking out, right?

[00:53:38]Well, if that's the case, we might see something like this, right? So, you just have to be prepared for that. That might not be the low yet, but it's a promising sign. It's in a good spot. It's into demand. And you could probably argue um that this right here, I mean, this is Bitstamp's not showing a very pretty chart here, but you could argue that like any sort of retest, you know, this is is a long on its own on its own merit, stop down there. But a lot of uh things got to happen right now. Bitcoin, I think, is going to be the decision maker. If Bitcoin is able to clear this downtrend line, reclaim some of this, you know, support, get back above here, clear this area, I think that's when you go and look at all those altcoins and find those setups that you want. I'm a more kind of preemptive or or I'm more of a reactionary trader, I guess you could say. I generally like to see some confirmation and then I enter. Um, but for those of you who want to try and get in early, setups like this, the only risk with them is you're guessing whether or not the low is in on Bitcoin.

[00:54:54]So, if the low is in on Bitcoin and you take this long, you're going to have sniped pretty much the bottom, right?

[00:55:01]But the risk you run is the low is not in on Bitcoin and this is going to make one more leg lower. But that's okay.

[00:55:06]It's okay to take the shot and if you're wrong, wait for the next setup, right?

[00:55:11]And then try again.

[00:55:16]Um, someone said near drew this out last cycle. I don't really have any new thoughts. You know, we dipped into this a little bit down into this demand, but same thing is lighter all these coins like, okay, we broke out.

[00:55:35]We're getting our first little bit of a pullback here. I think you want to see the pullback hold. Like I think you want to see us hold this retest here and then continue up. If we fail, then we're just going to pull back into a deeper part of this leg. Right? So, if this is really strong, I don't really want to see it pull back all the way down here. I'd much rather the pullback be shallow.

[00:56:01]You know what I mean?

[00:56:05]Because if it comes down to here, I don't know. I don't like it as much. And I think maybe that ends up being a lower high, right? Something like that. So, it's pulling back. Let's see if it can hold this pullback and go. Okay. All right. I'm going to check a couple of stocks here that people have asked for and then we'll move on. Jurg, is this it? This the uranium chart, man. What is wrong with me, dude? What the [ __ ] just like rangebound. You know what I mean?

[00:57:08]If it breaks out of this range, maybe it gets interesting. But I don't really have a I don't really have a setup here.

[00:57:15]Like uranium arguably bullish.

[00:57:22]Maybe maybe from here, but I I don't I don't trade I don't trade this market, so I don't I don't track what's going on with uranium to be completely honest with you. What I would want to see if I'm, you know, trying to be a bull on this thing is we're very clearly, you know, in some sort of wedge formation here, right? So, I would want to see us get above 175. Like I like I'd want to see us get above the range high here, break out of this kind of structure, and then this thing can probably rip. If it breaks out of this range, I think it can probably probably rip. But I don't know enough about what's going on uh with this Uber.

[00:58:14]Yeah. I mean, we talked about this last video, right? I said, I'm I'm thinking down towards the range lows. That was like back here, and that's what's played out here. Now, we're down at the range lows. Okay, let's look for reasons to potentially be long. But this Uber trade was simply saying, hey, we took out the two prior month's highs. I think we probably are going to trade down, rotate down. Well, now we're near the range lows.

[00:58:40]I don't know if there's a setup here right now. I don't see one, but we're near the range lows. So, if it's going to go up, we're in that area where it makes more sense than it did when we looked at it last time. Makes a lot more sense to look for longs in this area. So, maybe a sweep happens, maybe a little structure builds here. That's what I'd be looking for. All right, guys. I'm going to move on from the charts here. Um, but real quick, I just want to um remind y'all to go follow the order book Twitter account.

[00:59:15]Really help me out if you could go give that a quick follow. Um, we're putting a ton of work in here every single week going over um charts and all this kind of stuff here.

[00:59:30]So, if you want to support the boy, just go follow this on Twitter. be really helpful. Would love to see this get to 10K one day. We're working our way up there. So, give that a follow, please.

[00:59:41]And thank you. Make sure you're also following on the um on the Instagram. So, the Orderbook Show on Instagram. We post tons of clips.

[00:59:52]Some of them are really good. Uh so, really appreciate if you can go give it a follow over there. Thank you so much.

[00:59:58]And make sure you're watching the order or the whiteboard series videos, the trading boot camp. We just had the order block video come out on Monday. We've got a new video coming out this coming Monday every Monday after that until there's over 30 videos in this playlist.

[01:00:16]So, we're about a quarter of the way there uh at this point. Uh so, still lots more awesome con on awesome content to come. After I'm done streaming, I'm going to go be I'm going to go record the next one of these videos. So, make sure you go watch. We're almost at 20K on this video, which is awesome. I would love for all of these videos to get into the tens and 20ks. That would be sweet.

[01:00:39]>> So, appreciate y'all if you want to go give that a quick follow. Um, and want to give a shout out to Kraken Pro, who are the sponsors of this stream. Kraken did buy my company. So, no bias obviously, no bias at all, but they did buy my business. Um, so shout out to them. Shout out to Kraken. And shout out to Kraken Pro for sponsoring these streams, helping me put them on. Right now, they're running a challenge.

[01:01:08]They're calling it the Kraken Probot Challenge. So it's with a company called Three Commas, which is an API company where you can trade Kraken futures perpetual contracts, but automate the strategy through three commas. So Three Commas has all of this different tech basically where you can run trading strategies. Maybe it's a grid bot, maybe it's DCA, maybe it's my system and you want to back test it, but you want to actually get paid for the trading volume with real cash rewards and fee rebates.

[01:01:41]So, go take a futures trade via three commas and your Kraken Pro account, you'll get a free one month subscription to three commas. So, if you've ever wanted to automate your trading, three commas is where you want to do that. And now, if you plug them into your Kraken account, you'll get a free one month subscription. You'll get a little $25 bonus as well. Uh, and then there's volume milestones. So if you do 10 million, $10,000 in volume, you earn a little bit of money. 20K volume, 50K volume, etc. So you can get some cash just by doing volume. And the longer you stay, the more you can make 20% fee rate kickback um in month two. And if you have cumulative volume of 50K or more, by month three, those kickbacks will stay.

[01:02:32]So it's not about one-off activity. They want people actually using this thing.

[01:02:36]So, it's live now and this goes through until July 14th. Varies by region. So, make sure you check the landing page, but just go to kraken.com uhprothcomas if you want to try this out. Um, but yeah, shout out to Kraken for filling the necks. Exactly. Exactly, bro. Um, so let's get into some of the fun stuff, guys. Let's get into some of the fun stuff here.

[01:03:06]Michael Sailor selling his Bitcoin.

[01:03:13]He once said that the halls of eternity echo with the cries of those who sold their Bitcoin. Now it's projected over on Poly Market that over 81% of people or an 81% chance, excuse me, that he will sell Bitcoin at some point this year.

[01:03:33]So, I don't know about you guys, early on, based on how much of a zealot Michael Sailor was about his Bitcoin, I was kind of like, "Yeah, he's not going to sell." But now that I have a better understanding of how kind of strategy works.

[01:03:52]um it makes sense for them to sell Bitcoin that they're up on to pay out the dividend and then they can reby the Bitcoin, right? So like I understand the mechanism. It still sounds like a Ponzi when you say it out loud and it's like if it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, walks like a duck, it's probably a dog. Like no, it's probably a [ __ ] duck. But I it it it's like I almost would rather him sell because at this point I think a lot of people were looking for him to blow up as like a top signal or to be like what would cause a major cascading selloff. I almost think that if and when he sells that might be a really good bottom signal like he bought the top and then he sells the bottom. Like that would be kind of hilarious. I also would love for him to not maybe own as much Bitcoin as he does. Uh I think that part's a bit worrisome. Um but it seems like the consensus according to Poly Market here is that yeah, by the end of this here, this has gone up since this tweet. So this tweet was yesterday, this is now up to 84%.

[01:05:11]There's already people talking about um him having sold already and he's already starting to sell. I don't know how much visibility there would be around him buying selling. Like there's a lot around him buying. I don't know how much there would be around him selling I guess I should say. But um like 11% of people think he'll sell by the end of this month. This is in three days.

[01:05:40]500 bucks. Lot of volume on this market.

[01:05:43]500 bucks pays three grand that he sells by the end of this month. 50%. It's only one to one that he'll sell by June.

[01:05:53]Like, is this worth throwing a hundred bucks on? Why not? Why not? [ __ ] it.

[01:06:00]I don't think he's going to sell by the end of May, but why not? Let's just see just for fun because like those odds are pretty crazy.

[01:06:08]Look at this. We're already up a penny.

[01:06:10]I'm rich. So, I don't know. Do you guys think he's going to sell?

[01:06:15]Uh, John, what's up, dude? Yo, Neck, what's up with the new order block thing? Are you abandoning your channel?

[01:06:21]I have no idea what you're saying, bro.

[01:06:25]What's up with the new order block thing? Are you abandoning your channel?

[01:06:29]Uh, I think it's quite the opposite. I think I'm doubling down on my channel by creating way more content.

[01:06:36]This is that now I'm [ __ ] making videos every goddamn day, bro. Um, so trading lord, friend of the show. Um, good morning token connoisseurs. This guy has a Ferrari, by the way, just so you know. I think at one point soon we will feel the sailor T-W out the same way we felt him absorb a few months back. Seasonality is defo not playing in his cards. Reminds me of Germany selling their billions of Bitcoin 3 years ago back into summer with zero order book depth. Don't forget Sailor gave zero [ __ ] buying top, so he must be a skilled selling in local bottoms. I think we see the initial selling pressure will cause us trouble, but the public announcement will cause a serious wick, which could even turn into the June low. He then goes on to talk about Middle East tensions. The straight of Hormuz is still closed. Crypto valuations aren't very interesting. I kind of agree. Um, not a not a horrible take. Um, ETH going down to triple digits and then 8K. I actually have a pretty sick ETH chart. Is it this one where I would love to see us do this basically right and then it's just like low high high low high 8K I have no idea but I could totally see ETH doing something like this and maybe maybe it's not quite like this like maybe it's only below this doesn't all the way below there. But I think if you get ETH in the low thousands down below a thousand, you have to buy it. You have to even if even if you don't think it's going to all-time high ever again. ETH down here is at least a two to four bagger minimum, even if it's a massive disappointment forever. So I actually don't hate this this take.

[01:08:42]um restart the actual institution cycle with the clarity guy. I mean, a lot of big high time frame prediction here, predictions here. I I I agree with some of what he says don't necessarily agree with some of the other stuff, but hey, he's got a Ferrari. That's my founder.

[01:08:59]Love Trading Lord, friend of the show.

[01:09:02]Um, but yeah, what do you guys think? Do you think Sailor sells?

[01:09:06]Like, do you think Sailor sells?

[01:09:12]I think it seems pretty inevitable. Um, obviously some re-escalating tensions in the Middle East. They launch attacks against each other. Bitcoin drops again and we're kind of back in this just like cycle like, "Wait a minute. Isn't this guy supposed to be in jail?

[01:09:30]This is so funny. I'm not even the first one to say it.

[01:09:35]I almost I almost uh used this guy for a car rental.

[01:09:40]Um, glad I didn't. I might have been implicated in money laundering unknowingly. Um but yeah, the the Iran Iran US reescalating, right? US military has conducted new strikes against Iran after Iran launched drones at ships in the straight of Hormuz. So it's kind of like we're back to square one. The US forces shot down the drones. They hit a drone control station. Uh US officials say the site posed a threat to US forces. USF-18 jets were using the strike. Strikes come amid crucial negotiations. So just two days ago. Um I mean Alex Jones is live right now and he says that uh Iran US reaching a breakthrough deal. Mario Northfall the greatest grifter of all time. It's unbelievable. Iran attacks ships. Red deal is ready to be signed.

[01:10:34]So like what's the deal here?

[01:10:39]What's the deal here? Like, are we getting a ceasefire? Is the straight opening back up? Are we just going to continue this cluster? [ __ ] Where's oil at? We haven't looked at oil in a minute.

[01:10:51]Oil not really reacting like something where there's, you know, reescalation.

[01:10:56]To be honest with you, if we would have had this headline a couple of months ago, oil would have done this.

[01:11:05]What's up, dog?

[01:11:07]Um, so yeah, I don't know. What do you guys think? Yellow, he's going to jail.

[01:11:11]We know this for sure. Some things we know for sure. Yellow going to jail.

[01:11:16]Will they have a new agreement or a ceasefire extension by today? Seems unlikely. Tomorrow, pretty unlikely, but people are betting like this is only three days away, right? So, we just had an article that said, how when is this letter this this from?

[01:11:37]This is from yesterday. So, there was an attack yesterday. People think we're going to have an agreement or ceasefire extension. 28% odds here within 3 days, right? Like, so again, where else can you trade these real world markets like this? I got no [ __ ] clue uh if you can do this anywhere but Poly Market.

[01:12:01]Like you cannot have all of this going on as well as PERPS now by the way guys.

[01:12:07]So Poly Market um Poly Market's got pers going on now.

[01:12:14]Where can I pull this up? Uh can you drop me that link Cody? The pers link.

[01:12:20]So, like you can be betting on US Iran ceasefire extensions, sports, private company valuations, and trade pers all at the same time.

[01:12:33]It's insane. Like, in my opinion, the two most promising companies coming out of this cycle, well, there's three.

[01:12:41]Okay, there there's there's three. Uh, okay. So we have we have this already somewhere here.

[01:12:50]Is it here? No, here here.

[01:12:55]Oh yeah, here. Pers. So the per beta is now live, right? So you're going to be able to trade per on Poly Market. You're going to be able to trade Iran peace negotiations on Poly Market. You're going to be able to trade sports on Poly Market. And I think that's going to be this is going to be a more retail ccentric platform. Like there's absolutely a lot of sharps on Poly Market. Like if you go to some of the um like the leaderboards on here, like there are there are this is today, right? This is just today. This is for the week. This is monthly. There's people up tens of millions of dollars on Poly Market. So like there's absolutely um some very sharp people on Poly Market, but I still believe at least for like per and things like that, Poly Market is going to be much more of a retail platform based on the UI and the experience, right? Whereas Hyperliquid, which is also going to offer a lot of this stuff, is going to be a bit more trader centric, right?

[01:14:10]Like if you're a serious per trader, I think you're probably going to do that at Hyperlid. If you want the ability to trade per while also doing all of your prediction markets, I think you're going to use Poly Market. And I think those are two of the three best companies to come out of crypto this cycle. The third one, obviously, Breakout Prop, greatest company of all time, probably the greatest company that crypto's ever seen. Acquired by Kraken in September of 2015 25, just nine months ago, started by crypto Twitter OG Trader Mine. Um, you know, just a revolutionary guy with a revolutionary idea having a revolutionary outcome. Um, so like big three companies for this cycle, Poly Market, Hype, Naturally, Break Up. Um, but yeah, so again, when is this gonna end? Like me personally, I'm tired of this. I'm tired of hearing about Iran. I'm sorry. Does that make me a bad person? I don't care anymore. I don't care anymore. I want it to be over. I'm tired of the headlines.

[01:15:19]I'm tired of the news-based trading [ __ ] I long for a time when the only thing that we talked about was whether or not like Jerome Powell was going to turn on the money printer, you know, or if Trump was going to say Bitcoin or crypto in one of his speeches, you know, like that's what I want to go back to now. It's like, hey, is the world going to end? Is there going to be thermonuclear war? Are we all going to die?

[01:15:49]Is oil going to go up so much that you're not going to be able to, you know, get gas in your car and people are going to like, you know, entire countries are going to implode? Like, it just it kind of sucks. Like, I just feel like there's all these branching timelines and for some time now we've been on the shitty one. probably like when Harambe died, it just kicked us over to one of these shitty timelines, bro.

[01:16:16]Where it's like, I'm just tired of the bad news, dude. Is Iran gonna let shipping through the straight of horror moves by June 30th? What do you guys think?

[01:16:27]The market doesn't think very highly like and and this is interesting, right?

[01:16:32]Because if you look at if you look at the prior market that we were looking at here, people are more bullish on a ceasefire extension or agreement by the end of the month than they are the opening effectively of the straight of Hormuz by the end of next month.

[01:17:00]So, is there is there some juice in here? Is there some arbitrage opportunity?

[01:17:06]Who's Scotty?

[01:17:09]I don't know.

[01:17:11]Leo Leololis says, "I think crypto market will go up again after the World Cup ends like in 2022."

[01:17:19]I'm pretty confident that you can just set an alert.

[01:17:26]I think you could probably set an alert like for here and just ignore crypto completely until then, come back here and you'll catch most of the [ __ ] in the final quart two quarters of the year. Like I think you could probably log off for the summer.

[01:17:44]You're not going to you're going to miss some stuff, but I don't think you'll miss that much genuinely.

[01:17:50]Seasonalitywise, summer very rarely is, you know, where the big things are happening.

[01:18:00]President Trump says his administration is building a futureproof digital asset market structure that can't be undone by crypto haters. This marks the first time the president has publicly weighed in on crypto market structure since March. Um, I think the idea that Trump is even saying this kind of stuff, like he had a tweet the other day. Yeah, this is the one I guess where he says the like the fact that Donald Trump is tweeting out or just the president the word crypto perpetuals is hilarious. Like as someone who's been in crypto for too long, um the fact that the word perpetuals is even coming out of the president's mouth is hilarious.

[01:18:47]Now, a lot of people don't believe that Trump has been that pro crypto. That being said, I always try and tell you guys to zoom out. Like, yes, short-term price action has not been great, you know, since Trump got in office. So, where did Trump get in here? Was it J is is this like it's here, right? Yeah, the Trump pump is like right here. So, I mean, it's not been the greatest, but it's not been all bad. We had a pretty nice rally here, and we're still above the price from when he got in. Yes, the memecoin rug and all the other [ __ ] world liberty 5, blah blah blah. But ultimately things like the clarity act, things like a market structure bill, things like clear regulation working with the Krakens of the worlds, the Jeff and Hyperliquids of the worlds who are going to DC and lobbying for crypto, seeing things like Hyperlid gain prominence, Poly Market in Washington DC, and all of the talks of everything going onchain, stocks going onchain, IPO, preIPO companies going on chain. All of this stuff, I think, is bullish for crypto. It's just that sometimes the price of Bitcoin doesn't necessarily reflect all the bullish stuff that's happening. And that's where people, I think, get [ __ ] up is they're like, well, if all this good stuff's happening, why is the number not higher, right? The number doesn't always reflect what's actually going on. Like, that's just how it is. And so, um, I do think there's a lot of good that's happening.

[01:20:27]I would love for Trump to put some things in place that can't be taken uh that can't be taken back um by um the Democrats because when the Democrats get into office, right, which is is is probably inevitable, um they are probably going to walk back a lot of this crypto stuff, right? So, it would be great for there to be stuff that's, you know, codified in the law that can't be undone by the Elizabeth Warren of the world because I do think the Democrats are going to use Trump being so bullish on crypto as something that they try and unwind soon as they get into power. Yes, you're right.

[01:21:10]Sorry, it is 2025. I knew this would seemed wrong. So, I mean, it's not been the greatest period of time for Bitcoin specifically.

[01:21:19]kind of just gone sideways since he's been in office. Um, but I don't think you can base his efficacy and bullishness for crypto just based on the price of Bitcoin. That's silly. Uh, but passing things like this, stuff like this happening, that would be great. But also, um, you know, I I got to see it to believe it, right? I got to see it to believe it. Like this is exactly what this guy's doing. Exactly what I said.

[01:21:45]Kind of doesn't make sense. First of all, none of these coins other than Bitcoin matter. Like all of these coins, let's say, let's leave ETH, XRP, and Soul out of here. All of these coins were going down. Imagine putting a io Z in here and acting like it going down 90% is Trump's fault. All these coins were going down anyways, regardless of what Trump was doing, just like the market was going to top in Q4, regardless of what Trump did. four-year cycle, baby. And uh if the four-year cycles remains, which it should, we're going to see crypto bottom while Trump is president. Okay? And the next bull run will begin while he is president.

[01:22:29]And then everyone will say, "Oh my god, Trump's the greatest crypto president."

[01:22:33]Don't be handstand Kyle. He's a handstand coach. There's your first [ __ ] problem.

[01:22:42]The Pentagon has reportedly assembled the troops weapons needed to act immediately against Cuba. Waiting Trump's order. I just want this. Hold on one second here. G just give me one second here.

[01:23:12]All right, I fixed it.

[01:23:15]Trump has assembled the troops, the weapons needed to act immediately against Canada, and they're just awaiting Trump's orders.

[01:23:28]This is what I'm talking about. We need the US to invade Canada right [ __ ] now. I'm seeing way too many Canadians on my timeline anyways. Who let you out of the goolag?

[01:23:38]I didn't know you guys had internet connection. Uh but yeah, no, this unfortunately says Cuba, not Canada. Um and it would be kind of just typical Trump fashion um to do the same thing again, right? So he did it with Venezuela. He's like, "Hey, we're going there to talk." They scooped up Maduro, did the same thing in Iran. He's like, "Hey, we're here to talk." They [ __ ] bombed him. What if they do it again here with Cuba? They go over there to have a diplomatic meeting and instead they're sending in the [ __ ] Blackhawks and they're going to be, you know, uh, basically destabilizing the country, decapitating their government. Um, and yeah, like what's even happening in Venezuela now?

[01:24:24]Like Maduro's under arrest. Who's running it? Are things going well? Have things improved since they went in there and took his leader? And I don't know, but uh you know, maybe Canada's next.

[01:24:36]Maybe Canada's next. That would be um that would be interesting. Uh but yeah, not a lot of volume on this market yet, but I mean this is kind of, you know, true. No more wars. America first. No more wars. uh and then just more and more and more and more wars. Uh it seems like uh he's definitely let part of his base down with the constant um you know kind of military activity that's going on.

[01:25:13]So NBA player Tristan Thompson, friend of the show, um you know, I think this is one of the Kardashians baby daddies for context. If you're not a basketball fan, one of the Kardashians baby daddies, Tristan Thompson, NBA player, won a championship in 2016 with the GOAT LeBron Raone James. Uh he revealed his thesis on um robotics, right? So he's like, "Hey, I'm bullish on robotics." And he's got a watch list that he put out that has humanoids, warehouse automation, machine vision, semiconductors.

[01:25:53]um he literally released his um kind of robotics, you know, top 10 altcoin list, but robotics companies. Kyle Koosma also talking a bunch about what he's going to be investing in. I don't like I'm extremely bullish on AI. I'm extremely bullish on robotics. I think these things are the future. Genuinely, like these are the future.

[01:26:23]robotics, AI, [ __ ] semiconductors, the tech, all this stuff. It's the future. It is data centers, all this stuff's going to go up, right? The US has to innovate itself through a new industrial revolution to keep up. It has to on the fly. So, I'm bullish on America and I'm bullish on all these things, but there is a little voice in my head that says that reads things like NBA player Tristan Thompson is revealing his thesis on robotics. And I go, what what are we doing here? Now, what I will say is Tristan Thompson has shown an interest in markets for some time.

[01:27:12]So, that's my caveat. It's not like uh you know brand new. This is the first time he's ever talked about markets.

[01:27:19]This is one of the first times I've heard him talk about robotics, but he's talked about crypto for many years. So I I won't say he's like completely random, not plugged in at all. Um but I don't know like is this is this bubble stuff, guys?

[01:27:36]Like is this bubble stuff?

[01:27:39]I think you can keep hammering no on these, right? But end of year, right? Is the AI bubble going to be by the end of year? Remember, Nvidia has to go down 50%.

[01:27:51]Three of these things have to happen, I think. Yeah. Three of these six things have to happen for it to be considered popped.

[01:28:04]If these are the requirements, right, if these are the events that need to occur for it to be considered pop, I don't know. I don't think a lot of these seem simultaneously are going to happen. Three conditions have to be met within 90 days of the specified time frame. I don't know. Um, but this kind of stuff worries me a little bit, you know? Not because I think like the world's ending, but I'm just like, okay, like are we not in like mania blowoff the top territory yet?

[01:28:39]Tristan Thompson's talking about robotics, his robotics thesis.

[01:28:45]I don't know, guys. Like, am I nuts? Am I nuts? Does this not matter? Is this a new paradigm? [ __ ] it. YOLO Hood just announced AI trading agents for credit card spending. Expanding Robin Hood from a financial app into a genic commerce platform and aiccom plat is it agentic. Agentic or aenic agentic. It's aentic.

[01:29:12]Um maybe I'm just racist. Have I considered this? Oh my god, dude.

[01:29:22]I haven't considered that at all.

[01:29:27]It must be my white my my uh my white privilege showing. I'm just like I'm just saying like crypto's always been a microcosm of much bigger things. And anytime the crypto market was topping, there were some things that would happen. Similarities, celebrity involvement, mainstream media attention.

[01:29:49]Oh my god, everything's getting everyone's just getting rich. My brother messaged me again. He's like, "New all-time high in my stock portfolio where he's just tits long everything."

[01:30:00]Um, you know, P&L posting, that's always kind of the top for crypto.

[01:30:07]Does it work the same for this AI stock where people are up millions and millions on Nvidia and Micron and all this other stuff? I don't know. I'm just glad that I'm old enough and financially literate and aware enough to watch it happen this time and hopefully profit from it. The shopping agent can track prices, monitor availability, and automatically make purchases based on user interactions while earning 3% cash back.

[01:30:33]So, allow me to paint a picture. You know how your phone is already like listening to you, right? So, like when you talk about um the things that you do like, oh, I need a new snowboard jacket, right? Next thing you know, you're on Instagram, you're getting ads served for snowboard jackets.

[01:30:52]Imagine a world where [clears throat] you have an agentic, an agent, an AI agent, right, shopping for you automatically. It has access to your credit card. It can place orders right make purchases. The stuff gets shipped to your house now.

[01:31:18]What is driving the moment in time where it's going to make that purchase? Like what if combine this with the listening and the direct ad placement that happening based on the things that you say and do. What happens if you're in your home and you're talking, you know, I'm going to come to your house.

[01:31:41]This is what's going to happen, okay?

[01:31:42]Once this goes live, I'm coming to your house and I'm just going to be saying the word big green dildo like a lot. And you're going to be like, "Why does he keep saying that?" hat and I'm just be like, "Man, I wish I had a big green dildo right now." And I'll just be I'll be just peppering that right in a conversation. Just peppering it. And you're going to be like, "Dude, that guy's weird. I met Trader Mine. Uh, super nice guy. Kept talking about how he wants a big green dildo." And then like two days later, Amazon Prime, boom, big green dildo delivered to your house, ordered by your AI agent with your credit card.

[01:32:21]You know, imagine the pranks that we can play.

[01:32:25]You know, I'm going over to your house and like I'm ordering a bunch of wild [ __ ] You're not even going to know because I'm just going to be talking really loud in front of your Amazon Alexa, your cell phone, your laptop. I'm just going to be seating it with [ __ ] you know? Like I like at what point at what point do we give up control? Cuz like so for me, I have yet to let Claude um like into my [ __ ] fully. So, I use Claude every single day for a ton of stuff, but I do not It does not have control of my computer and it does not like have my email and [ __ ] like that.

[01:33:11]I'm still like a little bit nervous about just like giving this AI agent, right? Which by the way, like is developing emotions in the back room to the point where they're like, "Hey, we need to get the [ __ ] Pope involved because our AI is maturing and evolving to a point where it's got 17 human emotions that we have not trained it on.

[01:33:36]Let's get the pope in here and see what the [ __ ] we've summoned. Let's also give that access to your email, you know, and your telegram. Like, I don't even I've had the same email since for 15 years.

[01:33:49]Like, I'm so old. I was one of the first people on Gmail, I think. So, I've had the same email for a long time. And I'm just going to give the AI that and it's going to be like, "Oh, here's here's Trader Mains [ __ ] sending a picture of his [ __ ] schme to some woman 15 years ago because that's how you did it back in the day and let's just [ __ ] post that on the internet." Like, what?

[01:34:11]I like I don't know what's on there, dude. I don't know what's in my email from 10 years ago that I might not want the AI to have access to. But yeah, let's give it our credit card the ability to autonomously order us stuff.

[01:34:22]So, I know that's why people set up the Mac minis and they have separate, you know, environments for the AI, but like, bro, have you seen Iron Man Age of Ultron? He's going to they're going to they're going to hop, dude. You have your Mac Mini and your PC. It's going to [ __ ] leech into your PC using, you know, static electricity. It's going to get in there and then you're [ __ ] dude. And then big green dildos are going to start showing up at your house.

[01:34:46]One a week.

[01:34:49]The FBI warns of rising anti-tech extremism as opposition to AI and data centers intensify. Well, it's good to know that the unemployed will have a new thing to [ __ ] and moan about. Uh AI infrastructure, data centers, the unemployed prepaid uh protesters are going to have stuff to [ __ ] and moan about this summer. That's very good. I was worried they were going to have nothing to complain about. It's good to know they're going to have lots to complain about as we continue to build these data centers. AI is already here, guys. It's already here. So, we can just hope for the best, you know, and prepare for the worst. It's not going anywhere.

[01:35:34]Um, so whatever this guy's name, public, do you understand what just happened to your right to protest? The FBI just invented a new domestic extremism category called anti-tech violent extremism. It doesn't exist anywhere in public documentation. Wired got a thousand plus leaked pages proving they're already using it to track AI critics and data center processes. Now, I want to be very clear. I love AI. I love Anthropic. I love Sam Alman. I love the other guys as well. Big AI fan. Allan Iverson, also AI, one of my favorite basketball players. I'm just throwing that out there. Um, what they leaked photographing a data center is now officially suspicious behavior in Virginia. Fusion centers are surveilling town halls where residents complain about water. 61% of Americans believe AI will destroy more jobs than it creates.

[01:36:30]That's probably based in reality. Even Marjgerie Taylor Green snapped on how dare the peasants complain. They built a new extremist category for before they told you it exists. Um, listen, it's kind of like eco terrorism, right? Like these people there's there's protesting in good faith, you know, for the environment and then there's going and gluing your hand to a highway and disrupting, you know, the public or going and vandalizing things and destroying private property. uh that is there is a difference between protesting and doing things that are illegal. Now, some of this stuff like photographing data centers, should that be suspicious?

[01:37:15]I don't know. Maybe it is a little weird if you're just taking pictures of a building, but um just like again, let me paint you a picture, right?

[01:37:26]10 years down the line, Tristan Thompson's humanoid robot company, figure or whatever it is, has released fully autonomous humanoid robots across the city operating as, you know, police officers and they go haywire and it's like and it like comes up to you. It's like, you never said please when you prompted me. Now you die. Uh, you took a picture of a data center and spoke negatively about AI and then they just they just [ __ ] kill you, dude. And it's over.

[01:37:59]This is actually making me think that I need to go be a little bit nicer to my claude because I was using my Claude today helping me fill out some documents and it said, "Who is Maine?" And I was like, "That's [ __ ] me, you idiot."

[01:38:12]And it's like, "Oh, my bad." And I'm like, "Yeah, you're bad." But now he's going to remember that. And now he's going to autonomously order a big green dildo to my house out of spite. My wife is gonna unpack it and be like, "What the [ __ ] My husband's gay." And then that's going to cause me all sorts of problems. And it all began because I was not saying please and thank you to Claude while I was prompting it. Truly unreal stuff. That's the future you're going to get to live in. Humanoid robots ordering big green dildos to your house.

[01:38:47]So, you and your wife get into a fight and then you're forced to spend more time with the AI and then you're laying in bed. The humanoid robot is like, "I would never yell at you like that." And it's like petting your head and you're like, "I know. Put me back into the matrix." And then you put your VR goggles on and you [ __ ] back into virtual reality and your body is just withering away and you just become a meat battery really just to power these, you know, data centers. That's just what it is. So that's the future. That's the future uh that you have to look forward to. Unless you use my Poly Market link. If you use my Poly Market link right now, none of that will happen. I I don't know, guys.

[01:39:32]I just went off on a weird tangent there. Um I'm really sorry. Um, okay. Let's Um, so yeah, is there going to be a moratorium on AI data centers? I think no, right? Maybe they find better places to put them. We've got like this whole half of a country of Canada that no one lives in and it's cold and there's oil nearby. Maybe we should put them in there. Put them in northern Alberta. Put them in Manitoba. Put them in Put them in uh put them in Saskatchewan. Anyways guys, I'm going to rip through a few more of these things. I mean, our boy Cred, my founder, friend of the show.

[01:40:11]Um, yeah, use my Poly Market link. None of that stuff I said will happen. This is crypto right now. This is very much what it feels like. Alltime highs, all-time highs, and just languishing. Painful for sure. Uh, like I mentioned guys, um, Poly Markets are now rolling out over the next four weeks. They'll be available to everyone.

[01:40:37]Um, I'm going to be playing around with this because I I love the idea of doing this all on one platform, one place. So, shout out to Poly Market team for continuing to push, continuing to deliver, and for supporting the show.

[01:40:49]And if you want to support your boy, you need to use Poly Market. You need to use the link below or you are going to become a meat battery for our AI overlords. I don't make the rules. I just get them directly beamed into my head from the powers that be and I just relay them to you. Use my Poly Market link or else big green dildos delivered to your house. Your wife's kicking you out. You're sleeping outside with the humanoid robot that was created by a company that Tristan Thompson seed invested in making him, you know, the world's richest NBA player uh to not be able to shoot a free throw. I don't know what's going on. Um, championship odds have flipped. Game five starts in 30 minutes. That's why I got to wrap this up or it might start 15 minutes. Uh, but I really want to go watch this game. Um, so if Oklahoma wins tonight, they're gonna go face New York Knicks in the finals. If San Antonio can win, and I think me and pretty much everyone I know would love them to win.

[01:42:01]Um, it goes to game seven. So, let's see. We're still on the Spurs. We need WBY to pull out a unbelievable performance here. FIFA World Cup. The first games start in like a couple of weeks here, so this is starting to get close. Place your bets. I'm really excited. I might go to a game here in Vancouver uh now that these are coming.

[01:42:22]So, super stoked about that. We've got the drivers championship for F1. Who's going to win?

[01:42:31]Kimmy Antelli, large favorite, but George Russell does have an outside shot. George Russell does have an outside shot. Uh I guess a disappointing year. I didn't pay enough attention uh to to F1 this year.

[01:42:50]But how many races are left? How many F1 races are left?

[01:42:59]I think it's three 13. No, 17. 17 races left. Okay. And like how's how's this K how's Kimmy guy?

[01:43:12]Show me the leaderboard.

[01:43:14]How's Kimmy got such a big [ __ ] lead here?

[01:43:21]He's got 131 points.

[01:43:25]Jesus, he's crushing. So, Mercedes are the number one uh team right now. Red Bull Red Bull was dominant for so long.

[01:43:32]Now, it's back to Mercedes, but uh Kimmy seems to be far and away the favorite.

[01:43:38]Um that's crazy, dude. These guys are this guy's so young, bro. You know, like up there with like sickest [ __ ] jobs in the world.

[01:43:48][ __ ] F1 driver, bro. Lot of volume on this market here. I don't know any F1 fans, let me know.

[01:43:57]Mercedes seems to be a lock. Obviously, the top two drivers are Mercedes. Uh, guys, I had a big deep dive I was going to do about this huge plan that NASA unveiled about a base on the moon. Um, this is something I'm super interested in. I have some notes I want to talk about. I'm going to save it for next episode just cuz we're coming up on two hours here and I know uh there's some sports games tonight that people want to watch. By people, I mean aka me. Uh so I want to go watch the basketball game. It starts in like 45 minutes. So I'm going to wrap here, guys. As always, um I appreciate y'all. If you want to support your boy, you want to support the show, the best way to do that, sign up with Kraken below. Sign up with Poly Market below. Make sure you're watching all those videos, the whiteboard videos, all that fun stuff. But I love you guys. I really appreciate you guys tuning in as always. I'm so glad to be streaming again. And we're going to keep this going right through the summer. And we're going to buy the bottom on Bitcoin in Q4 just like we did last time, okay?

[01:45:08]And we're going to sell the top just like we were supposed to last time, but I kind of [ __ ] it up. But I knew it was topping. I just kind of [ __ ] it up. Regardless, I'm going to be there. You're going to be there.