A BIG Storm Pattern Is Coming Together...

[00:00:00]Good morning, good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to Weather on the Go, all your weather coverage. My name is Hunter on this Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026. Hopefully, everybody's having a wonderful Wednesday, wonderful week out there so far. It's the 203rd day of the year. We're talking severe storms, Tropical Storm Bertha making impacts along the Gulf Coast. What impacts will it bring over the next few days? We'll answer that in this video.

[00:00:21]We'll look long range at the weather pattern going into late July and into August, and look at the Pacific side with the tropics as well, all in this video. So, make sure to like the video, give it a thumbs up, share this video with friends, family, and on social media. And of course, subscribe to the YouTube channel. It's free to do, and thank you all for getting us over 164,000 subscribers. I couldn't do it without you, and we're making a big push toward 200,000. You want to help me get there?

[00:00:47]Again, it's free to subscribe, and you get a daily accurate weather breakdown across the United States, southern Canada, the tropics, and the world at times as well. So, make sure to subscribe to the channel. Without further ado, let's get into the forecast details here for today, and let's look at our robust El Niño that continues to blossom across the Pacific equatorial Pacific, right? This is going to become a super El Niño, regardless of what you may think.

[00:01:14]We are at plus two right now in the middle of summer, and you can see we are Look at that, plus two. This is a strong El Niño already, and we are going to be going into a super El Niño. I know a lot of people have been denying this, but again, folks, this is plus two, and this is only rivaling the 1997 El Niño. Outside of that, this stands alone as the strongest El Niño in this early in the season, by the way, as well. And you can see that just simply by looking at the equator, and look how far it extends from the coast of South America across basically to the international date line. Just impressive look and imagery there for the water temperatures with this El Nino. Now, in the short term, we are keeping tabs on tropical storm Bertha and the National Hurricane Center has this as a medium-range tropical storm, right? This is a maximum sustained winds 50 mph.

[00:02:15]It's moving west-northwest at 6 mph.

[00:02:18]Tropical storm warnings already up for New Orleans and areas near Gulfport, Mississippi and into Mobile. We have a tropical storm watches now that extend all across the Louisiana coastline into the Houston metroplex area. So, we'll be keeping an eye on that as a tropical storm is likely to be landfalling in there in Houston. So, it's going to make two landfalls, one near New Orleans and then a second landfall likely near Houston and that is going to become a tropical depression by Friday morning as it moves into southern portions of Texas. So, this system's going to be pushing to the west-northwest here the next couple of days, making landfall in New Orleans by this evening and into tonight.

[00:02:57]It's going to move out likely just barely over the open water again, just south of Lake Charles, Louisiana going into midday tomorrow on Thursday and then make a second landfall in Houston and this could bring a little bit of some impacts to the city of Houston as well. And one of the impacts we're going to see along the coast is those swells, right? The storm surge. We could still see one to three-foot storm surge in areas here near Lake Pontchartrain and New Orleans. Again, this is not a formidable system. It's a weaker mid-grade tropical storm. So, again, no hype here, folks. One to three-foot storm storm surge, that's pretty much about it. Rainfall, a lot of it's going to stay offshore. You can see you can sit here all day and talk about, you know, there's two feet of rain coming, but it's falling over water. So, I do feel that the worst of the rainfall impacts are going to be well offshore.

[00:03:46]While there could be an inch or two here or there from New Orleans to Corpus Christi and Houston and Galveston, but I don't really feel this is a big rainmaker for anyone here outside of maybe southern Texas that could see an inch or two of rain. It's not like they haven't seen that before. And we look at the wind field, it's not like we haven't seen this before either. Again, no hype on this channel. You can see maybe 50 mph wind gusts sustained, maybe 60 mph wind gusts at its peak um through the rest of its life cycle. Other than that, it's going to be weakening as it pushes westward regardless if it makes another pass through the water, it's going to still be just a tropical storm as it makes its way into Houston by the end of this week. Outside of that, we are watching severe weather across the Mid-Atlantic and up into the northeast where we do have a couple of slight risks in yellow across portions of North Carolina, Virginia, southern Maryland there and into Delaware, and then we have another one in the North Woods of Maine where scattered severe storms could be possible as we go into this afternoon.

[00:04:47]Now, severe storms are not expected anywhere across the nation tomorrow. And then as we go into Friday, isolated severe weather eastern North Dakota and far northern fringes there of Minnesota.

[00:04:58]So, pretty far north. And if you're in southern Manitoba or parts of western Ontario, we could see some stronger storms up there as well. So, going through the afternoon today, we are watching some storms that could start to percolate across the Mid-Atlantic coast up to the northeast. These are not going to be covering a lot of people. There could be a few of us that could get storms. A lot of us may stay dry as we go into the afternoon. that in mind, but if you get a storm, damaging winds, hail, and it may be an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out there. Going into the day on Thursday, we're going to watch more storms start to form in the monsoon going big out across the west mountain west on Thursday afternoon.

[00:05:33]Heavy rainfall in Colorado, the panhandle of Nebraska, and western Kansas. And now, this area needs the rainfall. We've seen a lot of drought building across this region, and I don't even have to tell you. Look at the red.

[00:05:45]That's extreme drought. The maroon red, that is exceptional drought. That's in Colorado, that's in the panhandle of Nebraska. Western Kansas has been doing okay, but there's still some drought there as well, especially the southwest corner of the state. So, that's some great news to see some rainfall out there.

[00:06:01]And then as we extend it over into Friday, we're going to see more storms popping up. Again, severe weather up into eastern North Dakota and northern Minnesota. Watching for strong storms, too, from Manitoba into Ontario, especially the southern side of the provinces going into Friday evening.

[00:06:17]Now, getting into the weekend, a little bit of a different beast. We're going to be ramping up the heat and humidity as another heat wave, I know, it's a broken record, another heat wave developing, and this is going to lead to high storm energy levels as we go into Saturday, but especially Sunday and Monday. You see these charcoal colors starting to emerge, that is extreme amounts of storm energy, and that is going to lead to as soon as Sunday evening storm clusters that are going to develop over top the ridge that's placing across this desert southwest into the central plains. So, over top of it, Minnesota again, the eastern Dakotas, Wisconsin, the UP of Michigan, get ready, we could be seeing more clusters of severe showers and storms, and then as we go into Monday next week, we could be watching one of those convective systems that bring damaging winds down to areas near Chicago, Detroit, into Indianapolis, Toledo, and Columbus. Now, the spatial extent of this could change a little bit, could go a little bit further west, could get a little bit further east, could stay the same. We'll keep an eye on it and its intensity as well as we go through the next few days, but generally the European ensemble guidance shows this across the Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley.

[00:07:27]A little bit more of a cap on the atmosphere the further west you go, especially west of the Mississippi River. It's just simply too hot for it to storm, so the cap will hold strong and keep storms from developing. Now, here's the rainfall totals we see through a next 7 days, taking you through next Wednesday, July 29th.

[00:07:44]Monsoon going big. Colorado getting some nice moisture, also Wyoming. And then we'll see some moisture across portions of the Missouri Valley and the Ohio Valley. Heavy amounts of precipitation with tropical moisture down here across the Southeast, including northern Alabama, north Georgia, eastern Tennessee, including the Smoky Mountains vicinity, and even in getting into the Carolinas. And that could extend up toward Virginia Beach, where we could see multiple inches of rain and some flooding concerns along the Outer Banks, where some areas could see over 6 inches of rainfall, including Wilmington, up there toward Norfolk, getting into the next week ahead. So, as we look at the wind, not really anything notable for wind on outside of the monsoon. We may have some stronger winds out there with storms, but other than that, a lot of our wind will be tied to Bertha or up here into portions of Canada, and it could be gusting over 30 mph at times.

[00:08:36]There is that aforementioned ridge that's going to be developing this weekend. Again, another heat wave will be developing here across the middle of the country. Northwest flow though, going to be pretty far up to the north and east with this one. And look at our heat indices this afternoon. We are closing in on 115 for heat indices in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, Houston, Shreveport, and all the way down to Alexandria, Louisiana. It's going to be a hot scorcher today. And further north though, we're getting a relief from the heat across the Midwest. In fact, crack open the windows and take a dog for a walk maybe today. It's going to be nice.

[00:09:11]70s further to the north in places like Minneapolis, Green Bay, Chicago, and over there into Cincinnati. And as we go into Thursday, much of the same northward and except areas near the Gulf Coast, where we're going to be again baking over 100-degree heat there. And then going into Friday, we're going to start to see some return flow of the heat and humidity coming back across the western plains. So, that means Montana, the Dakotas, and Nebraska will start to get over 100 with the heat indices by Friday. Saturday, big heat wave develops across the central plains. Cities like Omaha, Kansas City, Wichita, and Oklahoma City could be over 105 with the heat index on Saturday. Sunday could be one of the worst days of heat where we could see locally 120 with the evapotranspiration of the corn crop.

[00:09:56]It's transpiring moisture back into the lower part of the atmosphere and directly increasing the dew point temperature. Dew points could be in the low 80s as soon as Sunday across the central plains and Monday, Tuesday across the Midwest. Dew points in the low 80s. So, make sure you're watching out for that corn sweat, staying hydrated, and taking frequent breaks in air conditioning, especially if you do work outdoors. Taking a look at the Pacific, we already did with El Niño.

[00:10:20]Now, let's look at the tropics because we do have tropical storms that are forming here. One east of Hawaii and then another one over here toward eastern Asia. And there are probabilities high enough to be uh watching out for hurricanes out here, especially in the East Pacific, as they have a probability 70, 80% here well east of Hawaii for now. But, we already showed you the El Niño. Look at that.

[00:10:43]That is starting to build and this water temperature extends way out past the international date line. This marine heat wave is pretty elongated. We got another marine heat wave up across the northwest and north Pacific as well, working in tandem. So, what's going to happen over the next few days is if you do have a vacation destination, we did mention this several days in a row.

[00:11:06]After the 25th of July, we're going to start to see a tropical system move close to Hawaii. Now, does it make direct landfall or does it kind of fizzle out but once it gets toward the islands or maybe move just north of Hawaii? That's been the consensus right now. Is it looks like it's going to bend a little bit north of Hawaii. But, things can change as this is still around a week out. I think this could get to Hawaii or so around that kind of uh area about a week from today. So, we're going to be keeping an eye on that. Another system right on its heels, but we also have to watch a typhoon that could develop over here in the West Pacific for our friends that could be impacted in Eastern Asia by that typhoon. Now, back here closer to home in August, if you're wondering about football practice, getting back to school maybe, or just, you know, late summer plans and activities outdoors, it's going to be a hot August across the middle of the country. You're going to have to go pretty far north to see some more frequent cooler air. And I'm not saying it can't be cool in the middle of the country in August at times. I just feel we're going to have more frequent heat waves in August than we will have cool downs. And it does look like it's going to be a drier spell as well across portions of the middle of the country, including the Midwest, the plains down there toward the Gulf Coast, where the Eastern Seaboard, the monsoon, and the West will be seeing quite a bit of moisture in this pattern. And that extends up there toward Alaska and Canada. Over top the ridge, we got to be watching out for more storms systems that could bring us more heavy rain and severe weather in August. So, make sure to like this video, give it a thumbs up, share this video with friends, family, social media, hype this video, subscribe to the YouTube channel. It's the best way to stay up-to-date on the latest weather conditions across your backyard here in the United States, Southern Canada, the tropics, and the world.

[00:12:54]We'll cover it all as much as we can here on the channel on a daily basis.

[00:12:57]So, come back tomorrow. And by the way, turn on post notification bell to all when you subscribe, so you get all my videos, all my live streams that I do post on my YouTube channel. Thanks for watching, everybody. Stay safe, stay cool, have a wonderful rest of your Wednesday out there.