Ten Day Forecast: Warmer And Drier Mid-June Perhaps?

Added: 2026-06-04

[00:00:00]Hello everyone. Thanks for tuning into today's second video. We're going to have a look at the weather for the next 10 to 14 days. For today's second video, day 10 will take us to the 13th of June and we'll be able to extend out beyond that with the extended GFS EM ensembles.

[00:00:16]They are running around a couple of weeks. We'll have a look at CFSB2 at the end of the video for the next four weeks and I shall get on with that for you in a moment. to say the first 6 UK weather forecast. Please like subscribe on both of everyone for uh dear I've been doing the at 6 a.m. till 2:00 p.m. shift at what the gap means I have to get up at 5 a.m. As you probably hear I'm feeling pretty tired and so I'm going to get this big done and then have a sleep.

[00:00:48]live with channel members tonight at 8:00 p.m. So if you're a channel member, please check in to your channel member live stream and I shall see you then.

[00:00:59]Okay, well let's start off with latest wind blow map from earth school.net Next show, but low pressure is dominating to the weather city to the west of UK and Ireland and bringing a wind from off the Atlantic bringing showers and long spells of rain in on those westerly winds.

[00:01:18]Central England temperature is sitting at 15.8 that is 1.7° above the 61 tonight on average perial to be second. So uh for the first two days of month anyway very warm start to the month but peace with GFS upper air temperature precipitation ensembles the next couple of weeks at Cardiff today. The red line is the third year upper air temperature as your C cardiff starting off around to below average for next week but check this out into the second week which like second week of June really up to middle part of month we've got a warming trend yet again. So temperatures might be on the rise when we get into the second week of June. Precipitation wise, well, we see large numbers of precipitation bites for next week. Looks like there will be bouts of rain coming through and showers in between. Maybe a drying trend later on. So as it turns warmer, it may well also turn drier.

[00:02:18]Temperature anomalies for the next 5 days. to the 8th of June around to a little bit below average 10 to 14 day is above average though precipitation anomalies for the next 7 days September June wetter than average in the west related chart data latest UK Euro run looks like this low pressure bringing unsettled wet wind in from off the Atlantic and we keep those westerly coming uh through to around the middle of next week there is a transient ridge building there around Tuesday, Wednesday next week, perhaps drawing up some warm from the south, but the next area of low looks like it's about to roll in over the top of that quite unsettled UK met today. Uh icon looks like this again.

[00:03:03]It's um rather showering with those westerly winds continuing through to the weekend. Next week, we keep verbal low pressure pushing through. That's how we look when we get through to midday next Tuesday. Another low is downream. GFS got two GFS runs. Starting off with the uh midnight run looking like this.

[00:03:26]So again, low pressure bring unsettled conditions in from off the Atlantic as we going through into uh next week. It's a mix of yesterday and today's GFS midnight run, I should say. Um but anyway, we keep those westerly coming.

[00:03:43]Some high pressure starts building in there uh with the GFS midnight run.

[00:03:49]Okay, so turning drier and warmer there.

[00:03:53]GFS midnight run. Um as we go through into the department, high pressure takes over mainly dry and potentially warm or very warm conditions with that. Back to high and dry weather then from about day eight onwards. for GFS6Z.

[00:04:12]In comparison, again, missing is partly Wednesday, partly Tuesday, which is pretty annoying.

[00:04:19][snorts] Um, GFS uh site looks like this. So, again, unsettled, low pressure being unsettled in from off the Atlantic, wet to the north, mainly dry down in South Builder pressure maybe until we get about the middle of the month. Then it does start to settle a bit but still with low pressure not far away. So not as much high pressure not as dry and warm there through the middle phase of June 6 as we saw with the midnight run. Well if you enjoyed video please like share subscribe. Thank for dear Matt. Drop a comment so what you think about this all my videos and content. Don't forget to about get subscribe too. Thanks one for dear GM.

[00:05:01]Again looking unsettled as we go through the weekend into next week. We keep low pressure coming in from off the Atlantic. Quite a deep low there. That looks quite autuminal, doesn't it? Through the middle part of next week. That could bring some severe gas to the far northwest of country. And overall up to day 10, rather flat and westerly and mixed. And then the ECM is looking like this. So once again, it's a mixed bag through the remainder of this week and into next week as well with further areas of low pressure in control and image sensing. However, day 9 10 started to build some high pressure. So turning drier and warmer around day 10 under that anticyclone. The ridge gradually begins to weaken and moves away to the east as we get about 360 hours. We're back into westerly throw.

[00:05:55]That gets us to Thursday the 18th of June. This precipitation forecast based on East from.com. So showers, long spells of rain at the moment and further wet weather to come through to weekend as well. Next week brings more bouts of rain at times too. And then we may start seeing a drying trend developing. We get about days 8, 9, and 10.

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[00:06:42]Thank you so much everyone for doing that. These are the oxes on the table within the ECM ensembles. Day four, day 10. Three is met guest to the 13th of June. 23 members of the ECM ensembles with a ridge through the northwest Europe. Low pressure out to the northwest. We've got 21 low pressure to the north, high pressure to the south, looking rather flat and westerly.

[00:07:03]And then we've got seven with low pressure more or less over top of the country.

[00:07:08]And then in time, these are the options that we got. It gets us to the 18th of June. 13 to the east end. So, low pressure to the north, high pressure to the south, rather flat and westerly. 12 with low pressure away to the northwest.

[00:07:20]Another 12 with high pressure building up from the south. We've got seven with high pressure more or less up top country. And we got another seven with low pressure country. So a range of options day 10 day 14 telling us that obviously there is a lot of uncertainty but we may be seeing a trend here towards higher pressure and drier and warmer conditions taking us through into a middle phase and the second half of the month CFSB finally means a 500 millib bar high broken down into week be first week be takes from a third to the night for June next week looks unsettled with low pressure dominating week two also looks unsettled attempt to sit think of June low pressure the north high pressure the south rather flat and westerly with that week three is going to be the uh 17th 23rd of June low pressure still over duck victory and then finally week four rounds it all off it will be the 24th through to the 30th of June and we have high pressure out to our west and some low pressure to the east probably still quite unsettled and probably quite cool with that winding from the door. So pretty mixed rather cool and rather unsettled tune there if CFS is right. Remember just one CFS run.

[00:08:41]So it could look completely different tomorrow. So we'll see how it's looking then. Right, we're done. If you've enjoyed the video, please like, share, and subscribe. Thank everyone for dear Matt. Drop a comment. Let us know what you think about this and all of our videos, content, live stream, etc., etc. Don't forget to tell friends and thanks everyone for doing that. Have more content for you tomorrow. But for this one, that's all for now and thanks for watching.