The Delta Break and Retest strategy involves identifying key price levels where significant buying or selling occurred (indicated by large delta values), waiting for the market to break above or below these levels, and then entering a trade when the market retests the level with minimal opposing pressure, confirming the continuation of the trend.
Deep Dive
Prerequisite Knowledge
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Deep Dive
The Delta Break&Retest Is My FAVORITE Confirmation! Full Live Trading Session Recording +3.5R ProfitAdded:
All right. So, what I'm noticing right now is that we have a bunch of trapped selling efforts down near these lows that we keep bouncing up off of. Quite a bit of absorption in this area. Um, ideally, we see some some very aggressive buying start to show up and try to lift this thing back up towards these 30s, 35s. Um, I'm not going to jump the gun and get long right now, but I'm definitely interested if we fake out this low or we see a bunch more absorption and then continue back up into this range. Um, like that little pullback right there.
We just briefly came down to this low again, popped right back up. We have a lot of negative delta right here at 27.
Oh, big buying.
Big buying right there.
Going to watch the retest of the 30s where this big positive delta is.
If that holds, I'm getting long.
Yeah, I'm going to give it a shot.
Stops going just under that delta to 29.
Just under that delta, 28 and a half.
really like that spurt of buying that just came through.
This significant positive delta 2,348 over one. That means that there was an offer for 2,300 contracts by a seller that that much buying matched. Uh we rallied up above that earlier this morning at about when did that occur?
840. Pulled back and then failed beneath it. And now we're chilling above and there's a lot of buying coming in. So I want to be long this market going for a high a day push.
If that big buyer can get paid, that would be a significant uh thing in this market right now.
I'm joining him at the 32s.
Ideally, I would have a stop under this negative delta, but that's a little bit too wide for me right now.
like to see a strong push above this high. There we go.
Nice good aggressive buying there. This offer get filled 35 All right, we got a little bit of a rebid here at 33 and a half.
Rebid. Some passive buyers showing up trying to defend this uh possible dip.
Pardon my voice, guys. Today, I'm I'm still kind of getting over a sickness.
So, my voice sounds kind of like [Β __Β ] Yeah, I definitely like this trade. I wanted to give it a shot down here at this low. Um, but I felt that number one, doing that just off of this absorption alone, um, is not enough. I need to see that buying come in. And then secondly, I would have a better idea and opportunity seeing that delta get reclaimed, which it did. So, my confirmation was seeing the delta get reclaimed. And then on the pullback right here, basically a lack of selling effort and a lack of staying underneath um the 30s. So the 30s are right here.
You see we popped up above, pulled back and held perfectly and no sellers hit the bid. So I definitely want to stay in this trade long.
There we go. More rebidding.
Yeah, 30s definitely has to hold if we even test that at all.
Pretty decent buying right there.
The next high that gets made, I want to be higher than this one.
Continue that bullish structure to the upside. I don't really care about geometrics that much, but it does matter whether the market's making higher lows or higher highs. um or lower highs, lower lows.
It does matter.
Computer's almost dead. I got to plug this in.
Nice defense at the 30s there. That's what I like to see.
All right. Big buyer showed up earlier, right? big green ass bar on this rally basically saying that uh they wanted to lift a ton of offering 2,300 contracts.
We pull back beneath it. What I see over here is a bunch of negative delta form right here. All these sellers trying to drive this market down. I wanted to get long buy the market down here somewhere, but I missed it and not the greatest idea without seeing the buying come in.
Now, we reclaimed the 30s where that big delta was right here. And look, we just pulled back perfectly and held there.
Um, really, really solid. So, I'm in this trade. I'm green right now. I'm going for the high a day about a 3R. If that hits, that should be pretty fire.
All right, let's see this high get taken here at 37. Really need to see this high get taken. The longer that we stay beneath this, the more opportunity sellers have to keep bringing this market back down.
There we go.
There we go. Very nice to see. Very, very nice to see. Oh yeah.
up about seven and a half points. I'm going to go break even on this trade. No more risk on for me at all.
Still going for high a day of 44. We don't really have much offering up there right now.
I'm going to watch this level too and see what forms up here.
We got a pretty big offer at 48. Four points higher than high a day.
pull back and retest of this high 37.
Got a hold Have a feeling I might get break even on this at 32.
kind of low-key holding on by a thread.
There we go. Pretty good buying coming in.
I think this thing's good in my opinion.
You really shouldn't use the words I think when you're trading. But once you're in the trade and your risk is managed and your your target is where it needs to be and there's really nothing else you can do, yeah, you can make assumptions. But if you start adjusting your risk and adjusting your your management of the trade around your I thinks, that's not going to do you any good. You got to use the data in front of you and make decisions that represent your best interest and uh not chasing back a loss and not um you know widening your stop when you're already when you're already at break even. Um very very very rarely will I ever touch my stop once it goes to break even. You guys can see that from all my past videos.
There we go.
Yeah, I think they definitely want a high a day push here. We got some staggered offering below 44. What I want to do is is see how these offers get reacted to. If the buyers are very willing to keep eating these up, may possibly look to target this 45 or um or this 48 offer. This one's been here the whole time. That thing has not gone anywhere since like early morning or uh what is that? Yeah, 7:56.
So just before in in the pre-market Good.
These bids are slowly chasing this market up. It's a good thing to see.
It's a good thing to see. Now, currently, the buying is a little bit stronger than the selling. I like that a lot.
Get through this 40.
Order flow is king, guys.
Little value area high break and retest.
I have this profile drawn from this low at about 7 a.m. So, this is not a session profile currently, just from 7 a.m.
Oh my god.
Oh my god.
Holy moly, guys. Did you see my fill on that? Did you see my fill on that?
Wow. Okay, we're out of that trade. We are out of that trade.
Oh my goodness.
That's insane.
That is actually insane.
I got filled right there with the 44s.
Holy crap.
I need to check the news immediately.
What just got released? All right. Yeah, we just reached a deal with Iran. We just reached a deal with Iran. That's what that pump just came off of. Holy moly, guys. That is insane.
Remember what I was talking about? I may want to hold this a little bit higher.
You never know when something like that's going to happen, though. God damn. That's insane.
That is insane. Yeah, we just reached a deal with Iran.
So, that is definitely going to help the uh that is definitely going to be able to help the market continue to rally up.
Um unless we have some more news that comes out that the deal fell through. I doubt it. Um we've been trying to reach a deal for weeks now. That's really, really good. I'm out of that trade at the 44s. Really, really solid. I got in at the 32s. That is a 12point profit on about three and a half points of risk.
About a 4R. Very very solid. Not unhappy with that at all. Not unhappy with that at all.
Very very happy that I I could show you this uh this entry down here around the 32s. Again, I'll scroll back to show you.
Basically what happened was we had all of this selling effort into these 26s coincidentally in the same place yesterday where sellers got absorbed about midafter afternoon um and then we moved up above uh this delta level that occurred at the 32s we had had more buying on the way up right so big delta came through and then on the yeah I believe 7530 right here 7530 is where that plus 2300 positive delta occurred earlier this morning on that first on that first rally up.
So, right here you can see 2,452 contracts hit the offer. Um, I believe it was like 2,300 and we basically got above that, pulled back and retested right here. And then sellers just did not get very aggressive beneath that price, beneath the 31s. And then I hit this market long right here at 32 with my stop right here at the 28s. Really, really solid trade. I'm glad I could show this to you guys. Thank you for watching this full recording. Really good day today. 10:16 day is over. 12 points of profit. I have no complaints.
Really solid setup. Um, honestly guys, I have no interest in trading after something like this just occurred. I it's really really hard to play price action after you get a jolt of volatility like that, especially war news. So stay on your toes. Do not force setups, especially after jolts of volatility and follow your plan. Right?
My plan was to get out at 44 and then uh this thing just continued to rally up.
Yeah, I could have I could have held it.
I could have made more money, but that wasn't my plan. I had no idea that the deal was going to be reached. And that's pretty much all I got.
Um, again, sorry for my voice. Just getting over a sickness now. So, thank you guys for watching. I hope you enjoy the rest of your day. And peace.
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