South Florida sees renewed risk of heavy downpours on Thursday ahead of lower weekend rain chances

Added: 2026-06-04

[00:00:00]to all of you. We are tracking a wet work week across South Florida, but now we are seeing a little bit less activity on the radar for areas such as Broward, Miami-Dade. We are seeing quite a bit of rain uh closer to the Keys, though. Let me give you a look at the setup and why we are expecting more widespread showers and storms on the way for today. That cold front that we were tracking yesterday that was moving through Central Florida successfully moved through the area and then stalled right there along the Keys, and that's locking in us kind of a in a more unstable atmosphere. A lot of moisture lingering across the area. We are going to hold on to this tropical moisture throughout the next day or two, but notice that as we head into tomorrow, into the weekend, some drier air starts to start moving into the area. That doesn't mean that it'll be entirely dry, but our rain chances are going to taper off significantly as we head throughout the next several days. Let me go ahead and give you a look at the rain chances over the next several days. Today actually be our highest rain chances throughout the rest of this week. In fact, a 60 to 70% chance for showers and storms. That drier air starts to filter in as early as tomorrow afternoon, so we drop those rain chances to a 30% chance. 20 to 30% chance over the weekend, but then we start to ramp things right back up as we make our way into next week, where we'll be tracking about a 50 to 60% chance for showers and storms as we head throughout the first half of the upcoming work week. Now, with these showers and storms today, we will have to monitor a minor flood risk. You'll notice that the area shaded in green, which includes all of Broward and most of Miami-Dade and the Upper Keys highlighted in green, that's that level one marginal risk out of four. Doesn't mean that everyone here will receive heavy rainfall, but it does mean that the ingredients will be there for some isolated heavy downpours to develop. So, let me go ahead and time everything out for you here on the next weather rain tracker. Best rain chances throughout the rest of the morning are favoring areas south of I-75, especially down in the Keys where we have the most amount of moisture. That doesn't mean that Broward and Miami-Dade will be entirely dry. In fact, I see some isolated to scattered showers starting to bubble up around 8:00, 9:00. That will grow more widespread through lunchtime into the early afternoon, where we'll have that 60 to 70% chance for showers and storms. Will everyone receive rain? No, everyone will not receive rain, but we could see some isolated heavy downpours, especially, like I said, south of I-75 and Alligator Alley is where the models have been honing in on the past couple of runs, and we are looking at widespread totals under 2 in of rain with some isolated heavier pockets. As we make our way into tomorrow, notice that those scattered shower chances will favor the Keys, especially the middle to lower Keys, but with just a few isolated to lightly scattered rain chances for Broward and Miami-Dade. That drier air will completely arrive as we make our way into Saturday. Hour by hour today, temperatures are going to be stalling out in the mid-80s because of the cloud coverage and those widespread showers. Area-wide, I'm thinking mid-80s is going to be really the ballpark that we're all playing within. It is humid out there, so it's going to be feeling like the upper 80s, but our temperatures are staying below average on the thermometer. Rip current risk stays high today because we are going to be monitoring elevated wind speeds. This is an increase from yesterday's moderate rip current risk. Small craft advisory in effect for the Atlantic waters, but no alerts out in the Florida Keys, and there are no areas in the tropics that we are concerned about at this time.

[00:03:01]7-day forecast shows we are warming up for the weekend in the upper 80s on Saturday and Sunday. We warm up even further as we head into next week with highs in the lower 90s on Monday and Tuesday.