In cryptocurrency markets, significant price corrections (such as XRP potentially dropping to 37 cents) are often natural results of rapid price movements and market volatility, rather than indicators of fundamental problems; reputable chart analysts use technical analysis to identify potential support levels and price ranges, but these predictions should be considered alongside broader market context and long-term adoption trends.
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XRP $0.37 WARNING From Top Analyst -Report追加:
Hello, this is Matt on the Moon Lambo channel. Now, this one really surprised me, folks. But one of the most accurate and wellrespected chart analysts in all of crypto just put out a warning that XRP could dip as low as roughly 37.
And I got to tell you, I really was surprised to see that from him. But uh I want to share his rationale and uh I'm gonna take him seriously because this guy he is not a hype guy nor is he an irrational alarmist.
He's saying what he actually thinks.
He's a reasonable guy and he takes a measured approach to his technical analysis. And I will also note at the outset that he's not promising that such a low level will be hit, but he does genuinely believe that it's plausible.
And that was enough to catch my attention. I was like, "Oh, I got to cover this. You guys have to see this."
Because look, this is the lowest price warning that I've seen from any chart analyst that I follow uh that at least that I follow regularly. So, so it stood out to me since it's it's just such a low price and be and and also because of who the warning came from.
So, uh sit tight here. And I look I know that this isn't something that anyone wants to necessarily hear, but on this channel it's not all going to be like sunshine, rainbows, lollipops, and cute little puppies. You know, sometimes uh you get uh you get treacherous market activity, and I am going to cover the the potential negatives out there. Now the good news is even if this happens and I just to be clear higher time frame big picture nothing is actually broken.
Now uh as long as we get to the upper end now if we actually hit the lower end of what he's saying of what he's he's charting here I I don't I'd be surprised if he would say then that the higher time frame perspective is still intact.
But I don't know. I'm not going to put words in his mouth. I don't know. I'll show you what he has shared. Um, and then I'm I'm going to highlight other examples of reputable chart analysts kind of warning, yeah, price could go a lot lower because it is true from a a handful of analysts that I do follow on a regular basis. And so, uh, I just I got to highlight that. But either way, the fundamentals for XRP have never been stronger. And in terms of the odds of XRP actually going to 37 cents, I'll just say this. if that actually happened, like the entire market is even more on fire than it's ever been. And and look, and I've been saying this, too, so like as I'm recording this, we haven't yet dipped below a dollar. Who knows? By the time you're watching, it's certainly possible. Um, but I've been saying for months now, if XRP were to dip below a dollar, then I told you there's it's a virtual certainty in my mind that it means that the entire market's on fire because the idea that XRP would just like do that in a vacuum.
why that that that never made sense to me. Um but even though people didn't want to hear it and even when Bitcoin got up to 82,000 and XRP was back at like a buck 55 or so down from the lows, um I was still willing and I did share the the perspectives from analysts out there that were warning no actually we're going lower first because I do think it's important to have diverse perspective out there. And so the uh by the way as I'm recording this XRP is at $19 Bitcoin just below $61,000.
And so here's the post. The analyst I'm talking about is none other none other than credible crypto. Uh very popular chart analyst, one of the best in the biz, a well-deserved 482,000 followers on X. And uh he shared this uh just yesterday evening, Friday evening. And you've got an XRP price chart on the screen there. And you can see that he's got this green box, which he's he references in his post. I'm going to read in a second. And this green box is in a price range of on the low end it looks like about 37 cents and then on the high end closer to 94 maybe 95 cents somewhere around there. So let's just call it 90 I'm sorry let's just call it 37 cents to 95 cents. That's about what this range is in this green box which is relevant based on what he's what he says here and I'm going to read it now. So we wrote uh local range lows on XRP have been taken. Would make some sense for a move to range highs assuming we get some relief across the board. But I would be very cautious if slash when we get that move because XRP/BTC still sits some 30% above my downside target. So I don't quite think this will be the ultimate bottom for XRP just yet.
Even if we do see a move back to the local range highs, ultimately think XRP will find its way to our higher timeframe demand zone in green one way or another and that is when I would consider it worth buying uh assuming XRP/BTC has also hit my target zone by that time. So when he's talking about higher time frame again of course as he cited that's the green box here higher time frame that just means big picture he's expecting XRP to fall within this range somewhere within this range. Um, now I also will note I haven't seen any it's possible I missed something, but I I've checked his account and I I haven't seen anything from him indicating that uh his high his is very big picture price expectations for XRP are different. And so his expectations have been at a minimum $10 plus per XRP and he has been saying for years now that he believes what's most probable is during the when you actually do get to the peak of the cycle XRP would end up somewhere between 20 to $30. Now, if he no longer believes that, I have not seen him articulate that anywhere. So, I'll just assume he does still believe that and that no because nothing's been broken to this particular point. He doesn't think that XRP is screwed forever or anything of the sort. You can see he's speaking very logically, rationally about this.
He's just like, "Here, matter of factly, here's what it looks like to me." Uh, he doesn't think that it's ruined. It's just regular volatility in crypto to him very obviously. He's been around for almost a decade at this point. He gets it. And then he wrote, "Keep in mind this correction is in the context of correcting our impulsive move that took us from 50 cents to around $360."
So while this looks scary, it's a natural result, not result, it's a natural result of such a quick 7x move that now need now needs to be digested.
So, he's saying, "Okay, we had a rockous move around 50, got to $3.60." He's saying it was actually closer to 360, $3.65, but uh splitting hairs there. Um that's a big move in very short order.
So, the fact that we'd come back down to ch to to like test the area roughly where we broke out from, he's he's just saying, "Yeah, that's actually normal and healthy. It's not fun." But I will tell you this. Like look, we're now down over 70% from the all-time high for XRP.
Um I've I've run through worse from this. In fact, my initiation into crypto was percentage-wise change just a disaster. I mean, first it was euphoric because we, you know, when I first bought XRP, it was like 20 or 21 cents.
Rocketed an all-time high of $3.30 like weeks after I started buying it. So I I I first bought it November 17 and then you know by January 4th it hit its all-time high of $3.30 in 2018 and of course then it fell. It fell ultimately all the way down to 10 very briefly in March 2020. So that was like a 97% fall.
So I I held XRP through a 97% drop. If you think a wimpy little 70% plus draw down is going to get me. Hell no. That's a draw down for ants. You damn fools.
Hell no. It's just I know it's wild. I get it. This is crypto though. For crypto, this is normal. Price changes in and of themselves themselves. The price changes themselves almost never indicate that that it's over. It It almost never indicates Yep.
Okay. Because it almost never has anything to do with fundamentals. It actually is just volatility and crypto is highly speculative.
So, no one knows what's going to happen.
I don't make price predictions because I admit I don't know what the price of XRP will do. Um, but I I'm with the rest of you in believing I hope you guys are still like this anyway. I sure as hell am. I believe anyway that over the long haul that the price of XRP will continue to trend up and to the right. It's just taking longer than what you want. Fine.
But as I've been talking about recently, chart formations can take way longer than people want. I've recently cited a couple times uh it's true for stocks.
I've cited Tesla from 2013 to 2020 ex you know Tesla stock price it basically just chopped sideways for like seven years it must have felt to all those Tesla holders who held all that time like it was just never going to go and and the whole time what frustrated them even more is the business if you were paying attention what's going on the business uh metrics and factors just kept getting better and better and Tesla was dominating more and more and there was reason to speculate that it was going to get even bigger and better and those people that thought that ended up being proven correct and the the stock price ultimately just rocketed from there, but it was undervalued for the better part of a decade. So, I'm just telling you those types of things happen even with valuable assets. People figure it out too, most people figure it out too late. So, the fact that XRP has been kind of in this range of those lows and the highs that we've talked about for the better part of a decade, uh, that in and of itself doesn't mean there's something fundamentally wrong. It's just a baby asset class that's highly illquid, highly volatile and people are still trying to figure stuff out. But uh it to me it just couldn't be more obvious. XRP is an obvious early winner of the the crypto space. I mean just look at the actual adoption. I keep talking about this what's been happening with Mastercard adopting not just a pilot anymore, but they're using XRP in production for for settlement on their traditional payment rails. That that's incredible. that that that's like that's that's the dream, you know, from the XRP community from a decade ago. It actually freaking happened.
And so I understand that price isn't reflecting all of this, but I think over the long haul price catches up with all that. So we'll see here. Uh separately, somebody named our XRP scan here separately asked, "Do you mean we're heading down to 50 to 90 range?"
Incredible crypto responded. Ultimately, I think XRP will see under $1 before it's ready for its next expansion phase.
However, we could see some relief first back to $180 plus. So, look, I understand that's all over the place. It is normal for crypto. Like it or hate it, uh I happen to like it. I, you know, I understand the downside's not so fun.
Trust me, my net worth is down tremendously as a result of this, but it's also been up tremendously and it keeps trending the right way over all these years. So yeah, I'll freaking take it. And if I'm wrong and XRP goes to zero, which is possible, I'm a big boy and I'm just going to suck it up and be like, well, that was an unfortunate, not good use of time. But I don't think that's what's probable. I just I have strong conviction for a reason. I have genuine strong conviction. It couldn't be more obvious that this technology is actually being adopted. And how could that not impact XRP positively over a long period of time? Just seems so obvious. Um, here's a post from chart analyst Captain Parabolic Toblerone. Uh, pretty popular chart chart analyst, 60,000 followers here. Not somebody I regularly follow, but I thought I'd highlight this because, um, he's charting XRP down to it looks like 32, 33 cents, something like that. Somewhere in that range, maybe closer to 30 cents.
But then he's also charting upwards ultimately. So, he's an XRP bull. It looks like probably closer to like, you know, 14 15 bucks for a cycle peak. Um, so that that's what he thinks is coming.
But I just want to highlight there are analysts out there who have been warning about this. Um, chart analyst has been or chart nerd rather has been warning about this literally for like the last several months very regularly. It seems basically daily. Um, and so I've highlighted it a lot of times over the months because I like to share diverse perspectives. Uh, now Chartner is an XRP bull. He's just been warning that he firmly believes that we are going to see a pullback under a dollar and it hasn't happened yet. Um, I'm sure a lot more people are thinking it's plausible as we get closer to that $1 mark. But, uh, he shared this post on Friday afternoon, just yesterday. He said, "The moment of truth. Over the last four months, XRP spent the majority of its time hovering just above its upper regression band.
That changed in June. Price is now sweeping below $1.35.
Uh that's the that's the part of the band he was talking about. He says which historically points towards the middle regression band for a potential low of about 84 cents. And again, he's been calling for this type of price range literally for months. And I keep highlighting it even though it's been a minority perspective because as I've been pointing out the whole time, sometimes minority perspectives end up becoming reality. And what's happened as we've gone lower and lower, more analysts have actually started to jump on board the bandwagon of yeah actually it looks like we are going below a dollar. So maybe he saw something before other analysts did. And um and that's why I always said like even you know if this ends up happening and it's a it's minority viewpoint. That's what I've been saying for most of the last few months as I've been covering this. I said if it happens all the credit in the world. That's what I said. Not because I want the price to go lower. Duh. Of course I don't. That that's not good for my net worth. But for somebody going against the grain, telling people something they didn't want to hear and then being right now. It hasn't happened yet and maybe it won't. I'm just saying it's on the table and we're going to see. And as I cited the whole time, if it was going to happen, it would have to mean the entire crypto markets on fire.
Just to me personally anyway, the idea that it would be just XRP that would that would go that low and then everything else just chugging along fine. That that didn't make logical sense to me. And especially knowing because I've been in crypto almost a decade. I know the crypto asset class moves in tandem. Yes, you can have outlier moves like for good or bad. For instance, when XRP got legal clarity in 2023, the price doubled and you know just about doubled anyway in like four hours. So like you can have outlier instances. I'm just saying in general uh the asset class does move in tandem.
That's certainly true of XRP. Uh here's a post from more crypto online. Uh he was warning XRP and this is just from uh June 4th just the other day, but he's been warning this for warning about this for a while. Uh here is charting XRP potentially as low as like 73 cents or so. Chart analyst uh Ali Martinez in this post here, this is from May 25th.
He's been calling for this for a while.
Also calling for XRP to fall to about 73 cents. So there are analysts out there that have been highlighting this. Here's a post from chart analyst grid crypto from May 24th, but he's been warning about this even longer than that. Uh down to 77 cents is what he he charted on the low end here. So, I'm just getting I'm just showing you like there are analysts that I follow who have been warning about this and I have been sharing it on my channel even though I don't want it to be the case. They don't want it to be the case. You don't want to be the case, but we still got to talk about the potentially negative stuff, too. And then there's this uh here's one more example. Tread analyst Casey Trades. I highlighted this the other day, June 3rd. She's been calling for this also for gosh, it seems like probably months at this point. So, she's part of the the the minority of analysts I follow who have been warning about this. Um, and in this particular post citing potentially XRP as low as 87 cents. So again, hasn't happened to this point certainly might um before this is all said and done. I don't pretend to know. I don't make those types of calls.
Uh either way, I see that macroofactors are absolutely spectacular. The stock market has been responding to those macro factors. Crypto has not yet. So that's the last piece of the puzzle. But to think that the macro factors are no longer going to impact crypto, even though they have for 17 plus years at this point, I think that's silly nonsense. Uh there's been a delay. We can have adult conversations about why there's been a delay of macroofactors positively impacting crypto since the macro factors are positive. But to think that it's never going to impact them, I think that's just silly nonsense because you'd have to give me a Now I'm open-minded though. If you can give me a true fundamental reason as to why the crypto asset class is no longer an asset class that responds to macro factors, I'm all ears. And I do mean that. I genuinely am. I'm not being flippant about it. But you have to tell me why.
And outside of that, if you can't tell me why, I do not believe it. I just think that it's much more likely that there are reasons there's a delay. for instance, uh you know, a boatload of money, huge dollar, like several hundred billion dollars just in recent months has has uh gone into and this is risk money going into like AI stocks which are highly risky because it's it's like this is a race who's going to win there's going to be a bunch of failures.
Um you know, just back in the day like when there was like remember Google versus Ask Jeeves. Do you even know what Ask Jeeves is? Is a search engine you know it's like who's going to win that race? Well, you didn't know. And so like a money a lot of money went a lot of places and then you get you don't get a winner or two. Uh well, it's kind of like that with AI. So several hundred billion dollars, but where would that money have other gone otherwise gone?
Well, I'm not saying all of it would have gone into crypto if it didn't go there, but that's risk money. So it would have gone somewhere and it's but eventually profits are going to be taken from those stocks and they got to be rotated somewhere. So to to think that no none of this money is ever going to make it into crypto, I think that's silly nonsense. I think there are reasons it's a delay. But this this market cycle is already delayed anyway. So this is not something to be concerned about so far as not not big picture anyway in the short term. Sure.
We'll see what happens. I get it.
Everything's on fire. But um this is not doomsday stuff. You know, welcome to crypto, man.
I'm not a financial adviser. You should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or right. That would be a very very very bad idea. Until next time to the moon Lambo.
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