WATCH THIS BEFORE CPI REPORT GETS RELEASED TOMORROW...

Ajouté : 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]If you want to laugh real quick, head on over to HIMS and check out the stock and how it's trading during the aftermarket hours. It's actually still aggressively selling off. It's down 17% during the overnight hours. And that's because it reported worse than what was expected when it came down to earnings per share.

[00:00:20]A terrible miss. Yep, you're seeing that correctly. Minus 4,100 uh% and revenue, a miss of 1.4%.

[00:00:27]Remember, not now, not one week from now, but eventually every company will have to deliver solid fundamentals, especially when they're beginning to show signs of disappointment. HIMS is just at that point, right? It was trading at an inflated level because of all of its partnerships, but yet it delivers terrible earnings. Hype will only take you so far when eventually fundamentals do matter. But again, I don't want to talk too much about that.

[00:00:59]As of right now, NASDAQ markets actually freef falling. This is the part that's so annoying is that all day markets traded sideways, kind of remained elevated for what?

[00:01:13]We saw that the peace deal between the US and Iran were falling apart, right?

[00:01:17]We saw it firsthand if I'm not mistaken.

[00:01:19]Um we could see here that supposedly US stock futures steady with CPI print and Iran tensions in focus. We saw that there is no peace deal. We have the CPI data report tomorrow and we did want to quickly talk about that for the markets expectation.

[00:01:36]But why were markets pushing higher?

[00:01:39]Your guess is as good as mine. markets are so incredibly irrational and everyone will tell you that oh you're just trying to fight the trend or you just don't see the benefit of the the future and AI AI again don't get me wrong I think everyone with any form of common sense understands that there is value behind AI but we are seven weeks in during this peace deal or ceasefire and no agreement has been signed Right? Markets pumped for no reason.

[00:02:13]We're now at extreme greed and elevated levels and tomorrow the market will have to deliver. Right? The big focus is because of what's been going on in the Middle East and because of this Iran war. We know that inflation is going higher overall inflation, right? Markets expectation tomorrow for overall inflation is expected to jump from 3.3 to 3.7%. That's not the surprise. We all know that inflation is going to gap up, but core inflation is what a lot of investors are paying attention to. Core inflation is only expected to go from 2.6 to 2.7. Core inflation, for those that do not know, are all items less food and energy, oil being part of energy. So, when you remove oil out of the formula, is inflation still going up? The question we will get answered tomorrow again, I wanted to go live.

[00:03:08]I'll leave it up to you guys. If you guys get get this video to over 500 likes, I just want to make sure enough people show up 1 hour before the markets open. We're supposed to see the CPI report getting released. And if core inflation comes out worse than what was expected, let's say that it, you know, expectation is 2.7. If it comes out at 2.8, 2.9, maybe even 3%. that will show that higher oil prices, which oil is pretty much a contribution to everything, has now seeped into higher prices for pretty much everything. Now, consumers do not have that same type of disposable income that they once had.

[00:03:46]The average consumer, especially in America, is struggling. That's not, you know, a secret. It's common sense, especially right now with oil prices at these elevated levels. We all know that fuel oil is more expensive. But is everything else also going up? Tomorrow we will find out. For those that do not know what site this report gets released on, even if you don't tune on in to our live stream, I want to make sure that you have a full understanding of how the report works. You can look this up yourself. It's the official official website. It's bl.gov/cpi.

[00:04:24]You can see that this is the homepage.

[00:04:26]Tomorrow, one hour before the markets open, this will refresh, right? And then we will see the new CPI report being released. We'll click on PDF. It's my favorite version. You can click on the other one if you prefer. And then you will refresh this. And instead of saying March, it will say April because now the month of April is completed and being reported in the month of May. So now we will see the new month of April being reported and then they will remove the last month of April and by you know uh based off of the prior month based off of all these line items the CPI report pretty much just tracks hey is food going up or down month over month is food at home going up or down month over month all the way down the list from new vehicles commodities used cars and trucks shelter transport transportation services and then of course the energy sector, fuel, oil, gasoline, energy services. It tracks inflation on all of these line items month over month. And by that we get a better understanding of what the consumer inflation is for that given month. Based off of markets expectation, they only expect core inflation. So all items less food and energy which are food and energy is this sector. Core inflation is just this area right here. So they expect with only this section right here that inflation will only go from 2.6 to 2.7%.

[00:05:58]Overall inflation is expected to go from 3.3 to 3.7. And again you can figure out what the market's expectation is by either Google searching it or you can have access to an economic calendar.

[00:06:10]Right? They tell you right here previous 2.6 forecast 2.7 core CPI overall CPI you can see that it's from 3.3 to 3.7 just so you could see that I'm not making these numbers up out of thin air.

[00:06:23]Okay so to tomorrow CPI report and what also seems to be happening is Trump is also considering resuming the attacks in the Middle East. I just feel like we're getting you know a treat dangled in front of our head. I don't know at this point what can drop the market. The market seems so incredibly irrational.

[00:06:45]There's no reason to jump the gun. I'm just I'm trying to wait for confirmation with my LP team. So when direction becomes favorable, we can take advantage of the market selling off and we can short the market. But most importantly, once the market does sell off and then it becomes maybe oversold, we can pick up a few good companies at better deals than where they're currently trading at.

[00:07:10]A lot of these companies are trading at such elevated levels that they don't seem sustainable, at least not in the short term based off of what is currently presenting itself. So again, we'll talk about this a little bit more tomorrow, the CPI report, but the big focus, especially for a lot of you guys, is pay attention to that core CPI. Hope that ended your thumbs up. Please consider subscribing and don't forget I do trade live every morning. If you ever want to tune on in, it's the second link in the description down below. Like always, let's make sure that we end the year on a green note. The care team.