🥵Extreme Weather Is Heading to The UK Right NOW!

Ajouté : 2026-05-07

[00:00:00]Record-breaking heat waves, 40° temperatures, a risk to life, droughts.

[00:00:07]Is this all in store this summer with a super El Nino?

[00:00:15]>> [music] >> What's up, preppers? Welcome back to another video. Right, you can blame somebody else on this. During our live stream the other night, somebody mentioned the words super El Nino to me and they sent me down a rabbit hole, which I've been on for the past 2 days, reading, researching, making notes, things like that.

[00:00:34]And I thought what I found was probably worth sharing to other people that don't know it. And, you know, maybe I'll spare you the 30-odd videos I've watched and the different articles I've read by kind of summarizing it up what it all means.

[00:00:49]I've got notes and I'll try and put as many graphs and details on and make this as visually appealing as possible um to keep your attention during the boring science-y bits. Well, a super El Nino is a term used to describe an excep- exceptionally strong El Nino event where sea surface temperatures in the Pacific rise at least 2° C. So, that's 3.6° F um above the historical average. As of April 2026, climate models are now showing a high probability that we're heading into one of these rare events.

[00:01:23]Now, when you actually look at the probabilities and look at all the different research, there's a 1 in 4 chance of this happening, according to some people, even more of a chance, according to others, and some just think it's inevitable at this stage. So, high probability when it comes to things we prepare for, this is definitely up there with something that's going to happen.

[00:01:44]The major effects of an El Nino event um when it reaches super levels is not really concentrated around the UK. So, we're not really the ones that are under the direct threat where um we talk about places like India having temperatures that become threatening to life. It becomes an un-survivable temperature for humans, which is a scary thought anywhere in the world. One of these events, what you would expect to see is in Southeast Asia and Australia, you'd see severe droughts, record-breaking heat waves, an increased risk of bushfires and haze. In the west coast of the Americas, increased risk of heavy rainfall and flooding. Likely decrease in Atlantic hurricane activity.

[00:02:28]In India, potential for weaker monsoon season, which can lead to lower crop yields and higher food prices. Um and when we talk about shortages like rice and things like that that could all This could genuinely have a knock-on effect of a famine status for a lot of places.

[00:02:46]The global temperatures themselves will have a massive spike. The global heat um and peak effects are usually felt the year after it starts, meaning 2027 could get even hotter.

[00:02:57]So, we could see the effects immediately in 2026 through the summer, but it means the year after, if it is the case, could be even worse.

[00:03:07]So, this is not a one-time event. This could be back-to-back that we see this progressively worse. So, the 2026 super El Nino acts like a giant atmospheric engine, pumping heat and moisture from Pacific Ocean into the global weather system. Because it's expected to be exceptionally strong, it doesn't just change the weather, it pushes it into dangerous extremes. As well as the non-survivable heat in parts of South Asia and India, Pakistan, places like that, Thailand, Malaysia, then we can also expect to see heavy flooding in East Africa and South America, which often leads to surges in cholera and malaria and things like that. So, massive disease outbreaks that come alongside that. In agricultural and food security terms, we're talking about crop failures. While the Americas might see a boost in soybean yields due to extra rain, staples like rice, wheat, maize in Asia and Australia are at high risk due to drought. In drought-stricken areas as well, fresh water sources dry up and salt levels in the soil rise, potentially making farmland barren for years to come. So, this is not just a short-term thing. This could really destroy a lot of agricultural land. So, this is both extremes. We're looking at major fires, forest fires, bushfires, and stuff like that on one hand, and then major floods on the other hand.

[00:04:33]It's just absolutely insanity when it comes to weather going on all around the world.

[00:04:39]But, I suppose the question is how could it affect us here in the UK directly?

[00:04:45]Cuz generally, we're far enough away from the Pacific that it avoids most direct impacts of an El Nino. However, super El Nino uh presents specific risks because its sheer power can bend the Atlantic jet stream in a way a normal event cannot.

[00:05:03]Based on current 2026 forecasts and historical super events like 1997 and 2015, the risk profile for the UK is that there's an increased probability of an intense, record-breaking heat waves during the summer of 2026.

[00:05:19]Uh because 2026 is already starting on a warm baseline, super El Nino could push UK temperatures towards the 40° C mark again, increasing the risk of wildfires in in the south and east.

[00:05:33]And, you know, we've all seen them. We We've seen these fires happen and it's getting drier and drier every time that that ground grows back. So, this could be a real big effect this summer.

[00:05:45]On the same foot, we're also going to have the backlash off the back of that when it comes into autumn, where it's going to be extremely stormy and wet.

[00:05:52]Historical data from strong events suggests a wetter than average second half of the year when something like this happens. Expect higher frequency of Atlantic storms. Uh this increases risk of localized flooding, wind damage during October and November.

[00:06:09]Now, the hidden factor in that as well, don't forget, all of this wind power that we've got in the UK, if it's too windy, if it storms, it has to be turned off. If it has to be turned off during October and November, we also have high demand through them times cuz it's a lot colder.

[00:06:28]This could also be the catalyst that sparks a major blackout throughout the winter.

[00:06:35]Something we've talked about in the past without the effects of major weather.

[00:06:40]So, without the major effects of a weather increase like we're going to see with this super El Nino, we're already talking about potential blackouts.

[00:06:50]So, this almost puts the final nail in that coffin. So, if we start to see great summers and temperatures soaring past bearable temperatures in the UK, where it's getting to 37, 38, 39, 40°, you best also be ready for that winter power outage. In very strong years, El Nino can disrupt the stratospheric polar vortex.

[00:07:13]If this happens, it can break the westerly winds that usually bring us mild air, potentially trigging triggering a prolonged severe cold snap or the kind of thing we had with the beast from the east. So, something like that on top of all this, and yeah, we are talking major, major reasons to prep, and this time it's not man-made. So, we can break down the risks to the UK into four sections, really. Uh the first one is flash flooding. Likelihood of this is very high. Heavy autumn rain saturating ground already hardened by summer heat.

[00:07:51]Wildfires, the moderate risk to that, but we have seen it happen more and more year on year. An increased risk of the projected summer heat spike increases occurs usually June and July. So, we're not far off that now.

[00:08:04]Energy strain, a potential severe cold snap in late winter could spike heating demand. And, of course, we know that our energy is becoming less and less reliant on fuels that are stable and more on renewable-based energy, which is much less controllable. Food prices, the most This is the most certain risk. Crop failures in Australia and Asia will likely drive up global price for grain, sugar, coffee, everything like that in the UK supermarkets. So, that's just the start of me diving into this El Nino rabbit hole. It's a bit of an introduction to it. So, hopefully, it made sense to you and I could display that best I possibly could. Um I am reading a lot of notes cuz I'm still studying this myself. This is not something I'm an expert on by any means, but hopefully, maybe it'll trigger you to have a look into it yourself. I'd love to get somebody who's an expert in weather, an expert on subject like this to come on the show and have a chat with me. That would be absolutely awesome.

[00:09:05]So, we'll hopefully try and arrange that. If somebody out there knows somebody or is somebody, then please do get in touch with me.

[00:09:12][email protected] cuz I would love to speak more about this. Now, if you couple what I've just said with the risk of food increased prices, with the risk to um crop yields and stuff like that, if you marry that up with the stuff we're seeing with the fuel issues and the oil issues caused by the Strait of Hormuz and the war in Iran, uh we have got an absolute catalyst for complete collapse. And this collapse starts to look like something beyond regional, national, country.

[00:09:47]It looks global in some cases.

[00:09:50]We could see a massive shift in how the entire world economy and the food and stuff like that works.

[00:09:57]If you've got places in the in the world that are unsustainable to human life, people are not just going to sit back and take that. There's going to be mass migration, which we all know comes with its own issues.

[00:10:12]So, loads to think about. Obviously, not trying to put the fear into you, but maybe just it's time to start thinking about preps preseason, which we should be doing anyway.

[00:10:27]You prep in the winter for summer, and not many people prep a lot of things for summer because we just like to enjoy the summer.

[00:10:35]But if we're talking about 40° temperatures, are your preps and your food in a room in an area that is controlled, that is temperature controlled, so that won't be compromised?

[00:10:47]Have you got backup water?

[00:10:50]Cuz we're not just talking about hosepipe bans, we're talking about shortages.

[00:10:54]So, these are the things we should be thinking about.

[00:10:57]And as we get through that summer, then we start looking at floods. Are you on a potential flood plane? And that doesn't just mean living next to a river. You could be at the foot of a hill that's had all that dry heat all summer and suddenly gets a downpour, and that's suddenly not soaking into the ground like it was before, and that causes your flash flood.

[00:11:19]So, honestly, there is so much to unpack here. This is just a little introduction to it. I'll be monitoring it closely.

[00:11:26]Dying to speak to you experts about this. Anybody knows about this, please comment below more on it. But this really has gave me a lot to think about.

[00:11:36]Um really massive rabbit hole. I am down that rabbit hole now. I am lost in that rabbit hole. So, be careful if you follow me down this rabbit rabbit hole.

[00:11:48]But because of the likelihood compared to other things we prepare for, then this is something we should take really, really seriously.

[00:12:00]Okay.

[00:12:01]Stay calm. It's not something we can't survive.

[00:12:04]The UK has got much less effects than some other countries in the world, but we still will be affected.

[00:12:14]So, stay calm and prep on.

[00:12:18]Thanks for watching, and I'll see you in the next one.

[00:12:21]Goodbye.