Trump Was Right: Iran Just Admitted Total Collapse

追加: 2026-05-08

[00:00:00]A lot of people don't really understand how important the current internal divisions within the Islamic Republic is. Many people are finally talking about it, but the importance of it and how key this is when it comes to fighting the Islamic Republic and eventually causing regime change is something that most people don't still have a good understanding of. Not only that, they don't understand the details and other people think about it as hardliner versus moderate, which is not at all an accurate way of looking at it.

[00:00:32]I will explain to you in more detail one of the more important divisions that are happening right now, which is not the only one, but this is the one that matters the most right now, and I will also show you some examples and evidence that this division is happening with a much deeper understanding of this division, we will be in a position to take full advantage of it against the Islamic Republic.

[00:00:58]One person that seems to understand this better than most people is Marco Rubio.

[00:01:02]The one best way to understand Iran is you have a political class. Now, I think look, I people talk about moderates and and and hardliners, they're all hardliners in Iran, but there are hardliners who understand they have to run a country and an economy, and there are hardliners that are completely motivated by theology. The hardliners that are motivated by theology are not just the IRGC officials, but obviously the supreme leader and the the council that surrounds him. That's a much better categorization than what most people say, which is a hardliner versus moderate. But I want to go into even more detail so you have a much better understanding of what's happening. And to do that, instead of just making a claim, I'll tell you what the evidence is that this is actually happening. When President Trump came out and highlighted the divisions within the Islamic Republic among the people who are the most influential right now, the Islamic Republic, as I predicted, wanted to come out and challenge that narrative and to show that they're not divided at all. By the way, we already predicted that this division would happen before it happened, and then now finally people are talking about it. And I also predicted exactly how the Islamic Republic is going to respond once more people highlight the division, and now that's happening as well.

[00:02:15]So, one of the first things that the Islamic Republic did is they got the three heads of the different branches of the government, Peseschkian, Ghalibaf, and Araqchi to come out and post the same message saying that we are uh united. Basically, it was the copy-paste message that they all put out at the same time trying to show there is no division within the Islamic Republic.

[00:02:37]Another thing that they did was that some of the chance of the pro-regime street protesters ended up being about unity and how there's no DIVISION AMONG THEM.

[00:03:10]SOMETIMES THE CHANCE ARE suggesting that they have unity and sometimes the chance are about them needing unity.

[00:03:17]Then we had the state media coming out and talking about unity, unity, unity.

[00:03:22]And even before President Trump made that announcement, you could see the word unity being mentioned more often on state media. To me, that suggested that there is less unity, or else you wouldn't be talking about it so much.

[00:03:34]Then another thing that happened is that in the Islamic Republic parliament, known as the Majlis, the members of parliament came out and they signed a statement saying that they support the negotiating team. And this is actually now gets us to what is the main source of division, and the main source of division has been what it has always been within the Islamic Republic, which is the more revolutionary approach versus the more pragmatic approach. And again, this is not hardliner versus moderate. This is revolutionary versus pragmatic, not in the sense that let's act like a normal country and serve the people and become more secular and democratic. Pragmatic in the sense that how do we survive so that we could continue being radicals?

[00:04:25]It's not about how to stop being radicals, it's about how to be more strategic with our radicalism so that we could survive this. The more revolutionary side, and again, when we say revolutionary, we're talking about an end of times ideology where it believes that we need to prepare for the coming of the Mahdi.

[00:04:46]Because a lot of people hear the word revolutionary and they don't question the word because how could you be revolutionary if you are the government?

[00:04:55]It's interesting how not enough people ask this. Revolutionary means that you're against the government, right?

[00:05:02]So, how could the government be revolutionary? Have you ever asked yourself that? Revolutionary forces are usually forces who challenge the government. So, the way that the Islamic Republic is revolutionary is that it's challenging an order above it. So, within a country, revolutionaries are people who are challenging the order of the government, and they want to bring that down to bring their own new order.

[00:05:28]But when the Islamic Republic is revolutionary, it's trying to bring down the global world order led by United States. This is why a lot of American isolationists don't understand this.

[00:05:39]They think that the Islamic Republic is not United States' problem. They shouldn't have been involved with that.

[00:05:44]But the Islamic Republic, when they say they're revolutionaries, they basically mean that they're trying to completely dismantle the world order as it is and bring about Islamic world order and prepare the world for the coming of the Mahdi. The more pragmatic elements, they just believe that we need to be able to afford this economically, so we need to make things more stable. Let me go back to the main source of division now, right? So, this revolutionary mindset means that we need to enforce Islamic laws completely within Iran, and the more pragmatic side thinks that the maximum enforcement of Islamic laws might cause an uprising that will end us, and sometimes we need to be more strategic about that. It's not that they don't believe in these Islamic laws and the enforcement of them. They just want to make sure that they could survive this, and maybe sometimes they need to delay the full enforcement of it so that they don't cause an uprising that will end them.

[00:06:42]But when it comes to foreign policy, the more revolutionary side believes that they need to ensure absolute strength and aggression towards the enemies of Islam, namely Israel and United States. They need to defeat them. They shouldn't be negotiating with them. They should just be on maximum aggression mode all the time. In the parliament in the Islamic Republic, when there was a vote by the members of parliament supporting Ghalibaf and Araqchi and the negotiating team that went to Islamabad to negotiate with United States, this was in response to the more revolutionary elements within the Islamic Republic condemning and criticizing Araqchi and Ghalibaf for the way that they negotiated with the Americans, right? And not only condemning, sometimes accusing them of being Zionist spies or traitors and their actions to be a treason. And it's interesting because they are saying that they're criticizing the way they negotiated because it's difficult for them to condemn the negotiations as a whole sometimes because there was a statement by Mojtaba Khamenei, the Schrödinger's supreme leader of the Islamic Republic, that he endorses the negotiations, right? Which is something that many of these people are now becoming skeptical whether or not Mojtaba Khamenei even said that or not, or other people are saying it on his behalf. The issue is that many of these more revolutionary people within the Islamic Republic feel humiliated that they even went to Islamabad to talk to the Americans because the Americans basically killed Qassem Soleimani, and now they're responsible for their supreme leader dying. They're the Great Satan. The only proper response to the Americans is to fight. Remember, some of the people from this camp are even less flexible than Ali Khamenei used to be.

[00:08:32]And many of them are part of this camp, which is referred to as the Paydari camp. And you have to remember this name because we're going to come back to it often in the future videos as well. I've been talking about this camp for a while now, and I'm now seeing that finally the mainstream media is talking about certain people within this camp. It's It's still not referring to the camp, but the people within it are now being mentioned more often. The statement that the parliament put out there for the members of parliament to sign to show unity and support for Ghalibaf and Araqchi and the rest of the negotiating team was supposed to give us the understanding that they are united, that they are supporting the negotiating team. However, when it was happening, I was mentioning on our live show on Iran Revolution Live, I was mentioning that the fact that they have to put the statement out there shows that this is in response to an actual division that is happening internally. But it got even better because then we got news that certain people refused to sign that statement. If you look at the list of people who refused to sign the statement, it's exactly the people who you would expect, which is the members of the Paydari camp. By the way, this should give you a lot more confidence that what we say here is legit because we saw this coming a long time ago. And we saw it coming from the exact people that we suspected. The people who are not signing the letter, they are part of the Pydari camp. And when I mentioned the Pydari camp, one name that you need to remember is Saeed Jalili. Saeed Jalili is now serving in the Supreme Security Council, and some people are talking about maybe he's the one who's going to be leading the negotiations if they put Qalibaf aside, and if there is any rounds of negotiations. Saeed Jalili might be the person that would be leading that. We don't know if that's for sure, but that's something that is being discussed. So, Saeed Jalili, remember that name because he's a main figure within the Pydari camp. This person is much more revolutionary than even people like Ali Khamenei used to be. Some of these people who didn't sign the letter are include Sabati, Rasaie, and Nabavian, who was actually part of the delegation team to Islamabad, but still criticized it anyways. These people didn't sign the letter, which shows that the division is real and that we haven't been imagining this. And it's interesting because if you listen to Nabavian's statement on state TV, you could see that his criticism was that during the negotiations, they shouldn't even have talked about the nuclear stuff, the enriched uranium. That shouldn't have been even part of the negotiations. And he came out and publicly said that on state TV in Iran. There's another sign of division that I want to point to is something that recently happened. By the way, the signs are plenty. There's so many that we see happening every day.

[00:11:29]I'm just highlighting some of the interesting ones so that you know where we're getting this information from.

[00:11:34]These are not just theory, we have evidence for all of this. The publication Tasnim, which is an IRGC-linked publication in Iran, it criticized the 10-point framework for the negotiations with United States. The reason why that is significant is because that 10-point framework was said to be by Mojtaba Khamenei, and Tasnim criticized it and referred to it as magic beans. It's important to understand that different publications like Fars is IRGC-linked, Tasnim is IRGC-linked, but each one of them represents different camps within IRGC.

[00:12:14]So, by Tasnim coming out and calling the 10-point framework delusional, it means that Tasnim is now demonstrating that it's in favor of being more flexible towards United States, being a bit more flexible during the negotiations.

[00:12:34]Because the point they had against the 10-point framework is that it was something that the Americans would never agree to. It's important to realize how big of a division this is that we have now IRGC-linked media coming out and openly mocking the officially approved red lines by Mojtaba Khamenei. Remember, some of the 10 points include United States removing all sanctions, allowing the Islamic Republic to have complete control of the Strait of Hormuz forever, allowing the Islamic Republic to enrich uranium and keep its enriched uranium, and long-term guarantees from United States that they will never fight them again. It also included United States just leaving the region entirely. So, that is magic beans level delusion. Like they're right about that.

[00:13:21]But it is crazy to see them mocking this framework. They didn't mock the Supreme Leader, but they mocked the framework, this 10-point framework, and the framework has been something that at least the claim is that this is by Mojtaba Khamenei.

[00:13:35]So, in response to Tasnim's attack on this 10-point framework, pro-regime Iranians who are aligned with the Pydari camp and Saeed Jalili again, they came to Tasnim's headquarters in Tehran, and they covered Tasnim's headquarters with graffiti, openly showing all of us the internal divisions within the regime right now. It's interesting to look at some of these signs on the graffiti because that will give you a lot of information for what the division is about. So, if you look at the graffiti, it says "Milak e vahdat shekani tohid be sharte rahbari." So, that's basically saying that whoever insults the Supreme Leader is breaking the unity. And it's interesting that they say that is because both sides are accusing the other side of breaking the unity because there's a call out for unity right now, and instead of the call out for unity making these people not attack each other, they're accusing each other of being responsible for breaking the unity. And the second line is very interesting because it says "Lubia e sehra mee tavahom moza equals tavahom mozaker." Which means that you are the guys who are being delusional. Because it says that the magic beans equals the delusion of negotiations. So, that means that we're not being delusional with this 10-point framework. You are being delusional for thinking that there is a chance that we could negotiate with the Americans.

[00:15:04]So, the magic beans are not the 10-point plan. The magic beans are the delusion of negotiations. And then, let's look at the sign that they were holding. And so, you can see that they keep talking about magic beans, and the magic beans are referring to Tasnim. This sign also is saying "Lubia e sehra mee vagahat e barkhi az masulini rut e behgani e rahbari."

[00:15:26]So, the magic beans are the rudeness or the audacity of some of the officials.

[00:15:32]It's not the 10-point conditions of the Supreme Leader. Guys, I hope you understand how significant this is because this is not a division between people who are aligned with the Supreme Leader and IRGC versus some people that we historically wrongly refer to as moderates or reformers like Rouhani and Zarif. This is revolutionary versus some other group people who were used to be considered within the revolutionary camp, but now they're being seen as closer to the pragmatic side. And the reason why some of these more revolutionary segments like even Tasnim that is considered to be IRGC-aligned is being seen by these other more revolutionary people as betraying the ideals of the revolution is because more parts of the regime is realizing that this is not sustainable, that the blockade is unbearable, and everything is going to collapse if the blockade continues. This also shows that President Trump is right when he posted this. He said, "Iran has just informed us that they are in a state of collapse.

[00:16:40]They want us to open the Hormuz Strait as soon as possible as they try to figure out their leadership situation, which I believe they will be able to do.

[00:16:49]Thank you for your attention to this matter, President Donald J. Trump." It's interesting because a lot of Western media suggests that the Islamic Republic has the upper hand, but everything that we're seeing from the Islamic Republic itself, the way not what they say, but the way that they're behaving and the internal division, shows that more traditionally revolutionary parts of the Islamic Republic are acting more like the pragmatic parts of the Islamic Republic because they are coming to the understanding that everything might collapse soon if we keep going this way.

[00:17:24]And the people who are remaining full on 100% revolutionary are the people from the Pydari camp and people who are loyal to that line of thinking, and you could see that from their behavior. And I want to show you this video of this woman from the street protests within Iran, the pro-regime street protests within Iran right now.

[00:17:44]Because what this woman says here is actually a good reflection of what so many of these regime supporters are feeling and how they think like the negotiating team and the more pragmatic elements right now within the regime are betraying the entire are betraying them.

[00:18:02]So, I'm going to actually translate it myself because the English translation here given So, he's basically asking that what if there's a negotiation that it's a little bit loose, meaning that it's a bit flexible to the Americans, meaning that we do not insist on our conditions, on our demands. Like we basically cross the red lines. I'm not just translating it, I'm also explaining it.

[00:18:39]So, she's saying if that happens, we should say goodbye, basically. We should basically consider the regime, the flag, and the blood of Ali Khamenei, we should say goodbye to all of that. We should basically, meaning that it's the end of the Islamic Republic. That's what she's saying.

[00:19:04]She's saying that if the negotiations happen in the way that you say, all of these people, and by people she means the minority pro-regime people. She's saying these people, the very same people here, they will stop supporting the regime. They will stop supporting everybody, meaning that they will stop supporting the Islamic Republic. They will stop supporting the regime.

[00:19:28]And she says, "We will be disappointed.

[00:19:31]We will be demoralized. We will lose our motivation, and it's not clear what will happen after that." So, this is incredible. She's saying that something greater than what happened in early January will happen. Meaning, she's talking about the uprising of the Iranian people against the regime. She's saying something greater than that will happen, and at that point, even God will stop supporting us.

[00:19:56]It's interesting that she says that because I have been talking about this idea of a double uprising that the Islamic Republic is worried about because we already have the vast majority of the Iranian people who are anti-regime, and we saw the massive uprising that they did in early January, which was responded to by the Islamic Republic with the greatest act of massacre in our modern history. But, the double uprising idea that I came up with is that if the regime is forced to capitulate to the Americans and lose the support of these more revolutionary pro-regime minded people, then they will also turn against the regime. And you can see now that this is the attitude that these pro-regime people are having, that they're warning the regime that you will lose us if you're flexible to them, if you capitulate to the Americans, and something greater than what happened in early January would happen. That's a threat against the regime by pro-regime people. I remember some pro-regime people sometimes threatening the regime saying that the anti-regime people, they're weak, and their uprising is not a big challenge to you. But, if we one day come into the streets against you, we know how to fight, and you should be worried about the day that we turn against you. All of this is very important to know because the greatest weakness of the Islamic Republic is the internal divisions within it. We will get closer to the Islamic Republic falling if the opposition against the Islamic Republic is more united, but even more importantly maybe is that if the regime people are divided. And this ceasefire and the negotiations and the blockade is increasing that division every single day. If you want to ask me questions about this or talk to me about this and other political topics, come to our discussion group. Our discussion group discusses all things political related, whether it's about Iran or not.

[00:21:52]I encourage you to join our discussion group and come talk to me and other people there about these topics and other topics. It's a really good community that we're growing there. And let me know if this video was helpful or interesting. The comments telling me that they learned something or they found the content interesting really motivates me to continue making videos like this. My name is Arman Navabi. I'm Israel high. Long live America. Javid Shah.

[00:22:16]Payandeh Iran.