Oxford researchers calculated that self-replicating robots could construct a Dyson swarm using asteroid belt material within approximately 280 years from the first launch, with the primary bottleneck being either energy or materials availability.
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The Day We Started Eating the Sun — Dyson Sphere Science DocumentaryAdded:
Two Oxford researchers ran the numbers in 2013.
Could self-replicating robots build the Dyson swarm using asteroid belt material? Answer, yes. Timeline, approximately 280 years from first launch. The paper is titled Eternity in six hours. The math is peer-reviewed.
The bottleneck is in energy or materials. It's a first self-replicating unit. We don't have that yet, but we're closer than most people realize. Full breakdown pinned in the comments.
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