Beyond the Forecast | Warm and Dry Weather Continues as Tropical Storm Amanda Forms in the Pacific

本站添加: 2026-06-04

[00:01:17][music] [music] Hello. Welcome to Beyond the Forecast.

[00:01:30]>> We let Alexis stay for another day, so she's going to be a guest on the show again.

[00:01:34]>> Yes. And we kicked Brian out. No, I'm kidding. [laughter] >> No, Brian might be joining us here a little bit later on, but um but we have had a day with more sun, a lot of sunshine, and a day with a little bit more wind. I noticed that wind has really kicked in a little bit more than I anticipated this afternoon.

[00:01:50]>> Yeah, I thought it was going to be a little bit breezy today, but it is a little bit better than yesterday. We're not as windy as we were for yesterday at least.

[00:01:57]>> Right. But temperatures did get pretty cool last night though.

[00:02:00]>> Yes, >> in a lot of spots we cooled down. How about your area?

[00:02:03]>> Pleasant. Yeah, it was very pleasant last night. I went outside and even sat down for a little bit.

[00:02:07]>> Yes, >> nice to cool down a little bit.

[00:02:09]>> Okay. I thought it was a little too chilly for that, but [laughter] >> Oh, yeah. I was hoping the uh hoping to be colder than to spook the mosquitoes away, but it wasn't cold enough for that. But the air is very dry, though, and that's why we got that uh that big drop in temperatures, that radiational cooling. And you probably just gone through that in your studies.

[00:02:25]>> Uh yeah, just a little bit.

[00:02:26]>> Little bit. um >> had a question on one of my exams about that and um let's just say it wasn't a favorite question of mine but right >> we're going through it.

[00:02:35]>> Yep. You're going through it. So that's uh that's kind of one of the phenomenon that we had last night. The dry air, the clear skies, the low humidity, uh which is dry air and then also the lack of wind. The wind really shut down. And here's a look at our low temperatures from this morning. 42. I didn't see that in a hosky. That's cold. So we were we were flirting with the 30s in some spots. Yeah, that did get real cold.

[00:02:56]That got a little bit cooler. I was expecting mid-40s. We were talking about that yesterday, but yeah, that 42 in a husky. That's quite chilly out there.

[00:03:03]It's a little bit cooler than I was expecting.

[00:03:04]>> Yeah, due points were in the 30s last last time I checked it was in kind of the afternoon evening. I didn't really keep them up into the late the 10 and 11:00 shows. I There's other things I was talking about. I forgot. I talked about something else at 101. Oh, yeah. I made a um just kind of talking about the jetream. So, I was trying to understand the question. There's two questions that I got yesterday from viewers. One is just why is it so cold?

[00:03:27]>> And the second question was is why is it so windy here? And and the question about the wind, the uh gentleman was saying, I I've lived in Pennsylvania.

[00:03:39]I've lived in Delaware. I've lived in New Jersey and this and now I live in Williamsburg. And according to him, he said, this is the windiest place I've ever lived in my life.

[00:03:47]>> And I said, you know, I'm surprised Pennsylvania wasn't windier than than Williamsburg.

[00:03:52]>> I was a little surprised by that. But hey, you know, it just depends on where you live. If you lived in a valley in Pennsylvania, then there just wouldn't be that much wind.

[00:03:59]>> Yeah, that's true. Cuz I mean, well, at Penn State, we I feel like, yeah, we had some pretty good winds out there at times.

[00:04:05]>> Winter time, big storms.

[00:04:07]>> That was what I was walking to class one winter and got a brain freeze from the wind because it was like so strong and you're walking up a hill into the wind.

[00:04:14]It was not a fun time.

[00:04:16]>> Yeah. So, I tried to give them a little insight on where the wind comes from generally this time of year. And uh I don't and I don't know if you want to search for it, Christie, but there is a graphic called uh just search for wind rows on the system and uh and I'll let you get to that. It might take a moment, but um we can see where the wind is coming from. So it kind of gives us an idea on what we're we're expecting. So I'm not going to spoil that. We'll let that search happen. But um I have >> is it this one? The the June wind.

[00:04:42]>> Yeah, June wind. Yeah, June wind rose.

[00:04:44]Yep. With the background with the grass and the the brown spot in the grass >> or the background didn't load, but that doesn't matter. [laughter] It doesn't matter. the the thing that need the load loaded. So, this is a wind rose. Have you ever seen these before?

[00:04:55]>> Um, I think once, but I've never really explained how they work.

[00:04:59]>> Yeah. So, and uh this is something that I wasn't introduced until maybe like junior or senior year of college. So, you haven't quite gotten there yet. We were talking more about uh just kind of general patterns. So, when you're looking at a wind rose, you can and there's a great website, the Iowa Environmental Mezanet hosts all of these. So, you can find the wind rows for the city closest to you. anywhere across the country. You can see the predominant wind direction, and this is for the month of June, is generally out of the southwest.

[00:05:27]That's where the majority of the bars are hanging out. There's also a little bit of a grouping on the northeastern side as well. We did have northeasterly winds yesterday.

[00:05:35]>> The distance the bars are away from the center shows us the probability of seeing those winds. And also the colors indicate the speed of the winds. So when you see yellow, you can see generally 10 to 15 miles an hour is kind of the common uh wind speed when it's coming from the southwest. But the majority of the bars are on the southwest side.

[00:05:56]That's the predominant wind direction in the month of June. The secondary would be northeast. Very rare to get northwesterly winds in June.

[00:06:04]>> Very rare. That's kind of the takeaway from this. Or southeasterly winds. But northwesterly winds and I don't have the a graphic with all of the months you put into the winter months obviously December, January, February, that's when northwest wind is a dominant wind direction. So you can kind of get an idea of the prevailing wind and the general speed for your area. When I looked at Williamsburg, because this is for Norphick here, when I looked at Williamsburg, the northeasterly component was much lower >> interesting >> than >> than Norphick. And I wouldn't have thought they would have been closer, but when you think about the geography, the Chesapeake Bay closer to the water really allows for those northeasterly winds to develop.

[00:06:43]>> Yeah.

[00:06:44]>> So, that's what's happening in this situation. So, again, it's unique for each area, but it's it's kind of cool. I hope that made sense.

[00:06:52]>> Definitely does.

[00:06:53]>> You can look on the bottom right of that box, too. The average speed for the month is 9.3 miles an hour. So, that's uh that's just looking at the average speed. can kind of compare that month to month too. But um but wind direction, wind speed, you can get a little glimpse of what each month has uh especially if if you're sensitive to that. Uh for industries that are sensitive to that, it's a very important data to kind of see what the wind rows might look like.

[00:07:19]>> Yeah, that's pretty interesting. Pretty cool to look at for our I don't think I've seen one for our area specifically, but it makes sense because whenever we talk about the winds, I mean, we've been talking about it now. It's usually southwest or northeast. Yeah. for this time of year. So that's cool.

[00:07:32]>> Yeah, I I like using this graphic on the air. It the only problem is that the viewer understands it, but it's something that they've never seen before. So it requires a pretty hefty explanation. So you can't be doing it when there's rain in the forecast of thunderstorms. You got to do it when there's it just never rains >> like this week. Like [laughter] this week. Yeah. So it's a good way to kind of see it and understand it and and uh and it's a good you just a little nugget thing. It's not, you know, the most important graphic you'll ever see in your life, but it's just a little uh food for thought type of thing to to have.

[00:08:01]>> Yeah.

[00:08:02]>> Yeah. Very cool.

[00:08:02]>> Very interesting.

[00:08:03]>> It is. And uh so Jeff actually made Alexis work a little bit yesterday since we're talking about winds and I pulled this up. She made a graphic for us yesterday.

[00:08:13]>> I think that was your first graphic that you've made. Maybe.

[00:08:15]>> Oh, maybe second one. I did the two point the humidity one last week and um the rain >> um from the area after our big rainstorm last week.

[00:08:24]>> Yeah. Yeah. So, only her second week and we're putting her to hard work.

[00:08:26]>> Yep. [laughter] >> But you did a great job making this graphic. Um, so I just wanted to we you were talking about how today's a little bit windy out there. Comparing it to yesterday, this is what we saw for some of those peak gusts yesterday. Um, do you want to go over it, Alexis?

[00:08:39]>> Yeah, sure. Over on the Eastern Shore, Wallops Island, we had low 30s, 32. Uh, higher winds out on the south side.

[00:08:45]Virginia Beach, we had almost 40 mile hour winds. Um, while over on the peninsula, a little bit lower than that, 30. And then Elizabeth City, which we saw our higher winds, close very close to 40 around 38. So really windy down by there and I'm sure the Outer Banks saw pretty high gusts as well.

[00:09:02]>> Yeah, it was pretty breezy out there for our coastal communities for sure.

[00:09:06]>> Yes. Uh when you were um gathering the data for this, uh just give me a little insight of why you picked uh each location. You don't have to go through each one, but why did you pick these locations? Well, first of all, we have a lot of viewers from these areas specifically, but they also showed um a lot of the high gust in the area um specifically. So, Newport News on the peninsula saw the higher gust over there and then Virginia Beach compared to the uh southside cities like Norfick or Portsmith pulled out Suffach City just to get over there towards um the western part of the southside, but they they saw the higher gusts throughout the area um or the region. I uh I got a complaint about this graphic last night. So, I wanted to hear your answer and your answer was uh was perfect. So, the uh and the complaint and the suggestion was is you know, why don't you show uh more locations? Why don't you show Chesapeake on this list? And you know, it's tricky on this specific graphic because we do have one that shows a lot more locations, but it's also it gets to a point where there's too many too many things of data, too many numbers. So, we're uh we do like the variant, but also these were the top wind gusts.

[00:10:15]Chesapeake pulled in at 29 miles an hour. So, it didn't beat SUFFK. It didn't beat, you know, Newport News, so we uh and Virginia Beach certainly, so that's why it wasn't included on the list on this goround. But, uh but a lot of a lot of people live in Chesapeake, so we're not forgetting about you. But, um at the same time, it's tricky because this is a very unique area, and you've lived here, you know, this area. The geography is very in terms of our viewing area. It's very tall >> and we have a lot of unique zones to cover. We're not a square viewing area or a circle viewing area like in the and there's nothing against Iowa because I love Iowa. I went to school there, but central Iowa geography wise there's a few changes here or there, but generally it's pretty much kind of similar in most locations. There are some spots where there's some rolling hills and spots that are near uh rivers and and lakes, a couple of lakes, but not too many. But overall for our area, it's really tricky. So spots closest to the water, we can see the takeaway did have the strongest winds. Elizabeth City though pulling ahead at 38 miles an hour and then there was a 39 in Manio, too.

[00:11:16]>> Oh, interesting.

[00:11:16]>> That was the strongest gust for the whole region.

[00:11:19]>> Wow. I I didn't see that when I was looking at the information, but yeah.

[00:11:22]>> Yeah. I mean, very close. I mean, we obviously see that the um northeastern North Carolina region where our viewership is typically did see higher wind gusts.

[00:11:32]>> Yes, they did. Mhm. And we were talking about how that was leading to that rougher surf out there as well. And we unfortunately lost another house in Buckton.

[00:11:39]>> Yep. That happened late last night. Uh lost it was like a bluish colored house.

[00:11:43]So if for those familiar with the houses in Buckton that are near the water, uh it was a bluish colored house that um >> at uh that went into the ocean.

[00:11:52]>> Yeah.

[00:11:52]>> Lost another one.

[00:11:53]>> Yeah. I mean it seems to be happening every time we have some of these strong northeasterly winds.

[00:11:58]>> It just those houses are just right up there at the water. um unfortunately.

[00:12:02]But for today, we are a bit breezy. Not as windy as that. I'll pull up our wind gusts. I don't know if we'll have as many. Yeah, we've got a couple that are popping up there. Um 20 mile hour gust it looks like for some spots like Suffach. We had during the noon show I was seeing a few 22 mph gusts kind of around the coast. So, was a little bit a little bit of a breeze. Our current sustained winds. Um it's loading in here. That's okay. We're about 10 to 15.

[00:12:29]And that was a little bit stronger around noon as well.

[00:12:32]>> So, seems like things are maybe starting to quiet down just a little bit.

[00:12:36]>> Um, we also, real quick, uh, I know a lot of people I was seeing it on our cameras today. We're going to the beach.

[00:12:43][laughter] Today's high rip current risk. Um, we had those two to five foot waves. It was looking kind of rough out there. I see that there is a update. So, I think Brian maybe updated it for tomorrow. So, let me just update this real quick. See what that forecast. Okay, so improvements for tomorrow. moderate.

[00:13:00]Still be careful if you're trying to go out into the water and go to the beach.

[00:13:03]>> Yep. Good to good to know. Um because for the next couple of days because of these northeasterly winds, that's where that swell's coming from. So that uh brings that rip current threat high today. They had the flags flying today when I was down at the ocean front. So I'd imagine they'll probably still have them up tomorrow just out of caution.

[00:13:19]Water temperatures are still in the 60s.

[00:13:21]They kind of go up and down just depending on the the day and the way that the ocean is mixing a little bit.

[00:13:26]So just I would expect water temperatures in the 60s going into this weekend ahead. I don't think it's going to jump up into the 70s, but with the air temperature being so high on Saturday, I think that water is going to feel nice to cool down. Great.

[00:13:38]>> Maybe not for long duration swims for some. If you don't like cold water, then you're not going to like it very much.

[00:13:42]But if you like that refreshing chill, it'll really cool down that body temperature and it could feel wonderful.

[00:13:48]I >> think it'll be feeling nice this weekend. So we'll talk about those rising temperatures and there's some activity that's happening in the Pacific. We'll get into that.

[00:14:22]Yes, help me.

[00:14:57]Yes, help.

[00:15:24]Yes, up.

[00:15:59]>> [music] >> Welcome back. Look who joins us. Hey, Ron.

[00:16:07]>> I'm not here.

[00:16:08]>> Yeah, [laughter] >> I'm a ghost.

[00:16:10]>> He's a ghost. Um, and look, I noticed that I didn't I have to do a little bit of magic here because I did not change the lower out. I forgot something. So, I'm going to do this real quick.

[00:16:21]>> Oh, >> all right. Here we go. Magic trick.

[00:16:25]>> All right. So, we have >> Snap of a finger. [laughter] >> Yeah, we have some interesting stuff that's happening in the Pacific. So, we kind of talked about that um I guess it was a couple weeks ago that we were talking about the El Nino pattern, how that was setting up and we would see probably a little bit more activity in the Pacific off of the West Coast and we're already seeing that happening a little bit. So, this is a satellite imagery of it right now. Um, you can kind of see some of those taller cloud tops that we have out there in the Pacific. I am going to switch it over here. Hold on.

[00:16:58]>> Have they talked about the El Nino Linino cycle in your studies yet?

[00:17:02]>> Um, very briefly, but I will take my climatology class my senior year.

[00:17:06]>> Okay. Okay. Yes.

[00:17:07]>> I'm very excited for that. That's one of my favorite professors, too. So, Okay.

[00:17:11]Um, >> yeah. So, just we briefly touched on it on the introductory classes, but um I've kind of got the gist, but >> Okay. Well, we'll be studying that and looking at the maps as we go throughout the summer because El Nino looks pretty likely from everything that I've seen.

[00:17:24]>> Yeah, that's exactly same thing that I've been looking at. Um so, it looks like we will be definitely in that El Nino stretch. U pretty good probability for it.

[00:17:34]>> Yes.

[00:17:34]>> So, this is looking at the infrared satellite. Um you're where you see those reds is kind of where you're seeing a bit more activity out there. So, I will zoom in here. We can get a better view.

[00:17:45]We already have a tropical storm out there. Tropical storm Amanda.

[00:17:49]>> And that one is it's going to be a fish storm. Uh it's kind of I guess equal distance between Mexico and Hawaii. So, it's not really impact the ocean.

[00:18:01]>> They're just going to be staying tropical storm whole time until it dies out.

[00:18:05]>> So, nothing impactful, but it's their first named storm of the season out there. [clears throat] And we do have a couple of areas that are being watched as well. So >> I was going to say there's a lot of waves coming off of Central America right now. Yeah.

[00:18:19]>> A lot of just areas of cloudiness and deeper convection. So >> water's warm down there, too.

[00:18:24]>> It's warm, but you know, El Nino favors, you know, these >> these areas in the Pacific and in some cases it can get really hyperactive with how warm the water can get down there.

[00:18:35]So >> yes, >> we'll definitely be watching for it. I know Central America has been parts of Central America have been just getting just a lot of rain recently which you know is typical but a lot of deeper moisture even into into uh Mexico over the next week to two looks likely whether a storm develops in these locations or not.

[00:18:53]>> Yeah. Never been to Central America.

[00:18:54]Never seen that part of the world. No.

[00:18:56]>> Been to El Salvador three years ago almost.

[00:18:59]>> Okay. I was just in Costa Rica February.

[00:19:02]>> So yeah, >> it's all tropical climate. I assume there's no areas that are drier. Is it kind of hilly, mountainous in some spots?

[00:19:08]>> Yeah. Uh in El Salvador, the hills and mountains basically go right up to the coast.

[00:19:12]>> Okay.

[00:19:13]>> Essentially, so it's uh it's beautiful.

[00:19:15]It is beautiful, but it is hot. It is very humid. And when you know that, you know, when it rains, it pours. When it rains, it pours in Central America.

[00:19:24]>> Yes. Uh it definitely does. I remember my mom and I were on an ATV ride and it just heavy downpours and it felt like you were just getting hit with a bunch of hail.

[00:19:33]>> It was not a great time. Um, and then it just cleared up after, you know, like 10 minutes. So, it was [laughter] >> cooled it down, but it just got more humid. Oh, even when it comes through though, it's not really a big cool down.

[00:19:45]If this shower happens in the middle of the day, it's like maybe a five minute cool down and then it's back to being >> hot. Just so hot.

[00:19:52]>> Florida. Yeah, really. It's exactly like that. Um, I don't know how El Salvador Salvador was, but in Costa Rica, they had a bunch of different microclimates all throughout the country. So, that was very cool to see. and kind of interesting.

[00:20:05]>> I'm sure it's similar um >> similarish. Um >> are there any volcanoes in those areas?

[00:20:10]>> Mhm. There's a lot, you know, the ring of fire.

[00:20:13]>> We we I drove when we were going from the airport to the surf break, we drove past a really big one and I have a couple pictures and videos of it. It's It was really cool.

[00:20:23]>> Not an eruption, just but you saw it and it was just like a that like typical shape.

[00:20:28]>> Yeah. The cone.

[00:20:29]>> Yeah. It was perfect little It was so cool. you would like you would look uh you know miles and miles ahead of you and you would see like you know the mountain ridges and here and there just more volcanoes.

[00:20:40]>> Yeah, >> it's really cool.

[00:20:42]>> I googled it before I went to Costa Rica and they said in Costa Rica they have like over 30.

[00:20:46]>> So >> Oh, there's a lot. Yeah, >> active or just in general?

[00:20:49]>> Um I think there are just in general, but I do think that they still active they still have a few that are active.

[00:20:55]Okay.

[00:20:56]>> Um but yeah, it's cool. Fortunately, when we went to La Fortuna, they have one of the more known ones, the Arena volcano, and very picturesque, but uh it was all covered in clouds when my mom and I couldn't even see it.

[00:21:08]>> Well, that's the one thing too about volcanoes, and we're getting low on time cuz I heard that lava is very hot, so you probably want to stay back.

[00:21:15]>> Well, anyways, real quick before we go to a quick break, 50% chance of formation in the next 7 days around Central America. So, they we'll keep watch on that. See what happens. We're at least quiet here locally in the Atlantic. Uh we will talk in just a bit.

[00:21:31]>> Liqufied rock, right? Get get him [laughter] out of here. No more talking.

[00:21:34]>> Yeah, we got to up.

[00:22:18]up.

[00:22:36]Yes, up.

[00:23:13]up.

[00:23:26]Up here.

[00:23:39]>> [music] >> All right, welcome back. So, back to our local forecast. We are pretty quiet.

[00:23:49]We've got an area of high pressure over us and that will be just kind of hanging tight for the rest of the week. So, that means that we will continue to stay pretty dry and right now we're on the cooler side of it. We'll eventually see some warmer air. So, talking about that temperature trend, here's what we're looking at for the next few days.

[00:24:08]Getting toasty, >> hot.

[00:24:10]>> Yes.

[00:24:11]>> Humidity builds slowly as well. I think actually Friday, 90, but the humidity is not going to be like >> peak stickiness until I think we hit Saturday and then especially Sunday. I think Sunday will probably be the more humid day. Um, so it's not going to be like uh remember last summer, >> some of those day some of those days last summer were brutal with the humidity.

[00:24:31]>> Yeah. But last summer also generally was cooler. One of the coolest summers we've had in years.

[00:24:35]>> We had that stretch though. What was it?

[00:24:37]June. Was it in June? I don't remember.

[00:24:38]>> It was like 100 degrees for like a week and then other than that it was very nice the rest of the summer. But >> yeah, I'm glad you have the memory cuz I don't remember.

[00:24:45]>> I was working at Bush Garden. So I very >> I just remember having a couple days where like we had the extreme heat warnings going and for the you know cuz due points were way up highs were close to 100.

[00:24:57]It's hard to get above 100° the roads.

[00:25:00]Just the humidity shuts it down. If it it won't happen on Friday, but Friday would be a better if the wind was stronger on Friday, that would be a better chance because the air is drier on Friday. So, the air can uh flux a lot uh greater of a range cuz I think in the morning, last I checked, temperatures are going to be in the low 60s. So, we're looking at a 30°ree swing that day. There could even be some 50s inland >> probably. Oh, very.

[00:25:23]>> It could be a huge swing on Friday.

[00:25:25]>> Yeah. Um definitely could be some big temperature swings there. I'll pull up since we were talking about it as well.

[00:25:30]This is our predicted Monday. Yeah. So really dry air for the next couple of days. Starting to feel that building a little bit into Friday, but yeah, this weekend you'll feel that humidity back.

[00:25:42]So kind of ramping up there on Saturday and Sunday and looks pretty muggy.

[00:25:47]>> Um so we will uh we'll have to keep a keep an eye on that again. But it is I feel like there's a lot of graduations going on. And I think a lot of people are probably going to want to have beach weekends and it's going to be a good weekend to be at the beach or have graduation parties like we were talking about before.

[00:26:02]>> Mhm.

[00:26:03]>> Or have the graduation party at the beach.

[00:26:05]>> Yeah.

[00:26:06]>> There you go.

[00:26:06]>> To have that.

[00:26:07]>> That sounds like my kind of graduation party.

[00:26:10]>> That sounds fun.

[00:26:11]>> Mhm.

[00:26:11]>> Yep.

[00:26:12]>> Um and then we do have a our next rain chance. Just looking ahead. Uh that one is Did you update the sevenday?

[00:26:21]>> Mhm.

[00:26:21]>> Okay. I didn't know if this was the updated one I was going to pull up.

[00:26:24]>> Sunday, late Sunday into into Monday, there's going to be a front that drops in kind of from the north and moves through. So, that should dry us out in the time for the middle of next week.

[00:26:33]But, uh, yeah, we'll have some scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday. I Sunday's not a wash out. This is going to be, you know, during the afternoon into the evening when that front gets closer, we'll start to see those showers and storms start to pop >> and cooler next week. Yep.

[00:26:45]>> Yep. All right, we'll see you at four o'clock. Have a good day.

[00:27:02]>> [music]