Historical XRP price cycles show that after downtrend breaks, significant gains follow: the first cycle saw nearly 70,000% gains over 1,200 days, the second cycle showed gains from 11 cents to $2 over 925 days, and the third cycle demonstrated gains from $39.40 to $360 over 12,300 days. Currently, XRP is in a correction phase with approximately 330+ days since its July 2025 top, and analysts project potential downside targets around 75-87 cents based on Fibonacci extension analysis, with a potential 12,300% gain scenario targeting $15 if XRP breaks above key resistance levels.
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XRP Extreme SURGE Model: What History Says Happens Next... $15?
Added:try to shake me out, but I was born ready. [music] Dropping down the price. Then I be getting plenty. They want all your bags and they want all them empty. Every time this downtrend for XRP breaks, massive gains have proceeded. What's up? Good glitches. If we go back to the first cycle for XRP, if you see here, nearly 1,200 days since this trend line broke and then what preceded was nearly 70,000% gains. we go to the next cycle right around 925 days before the downtrend broke and XRP went from around 11 cents up to around $2. In our previous cycle, if we take this entire downtrend, XRP took around 12,300 days before XRP went from around 39.40 up to around $360.
If we move the downtrend from where it officially broke, XRP had a slow crawl right after it broke this downtrend and then finally blasting up which took around right around 800 days for XRP. In our current cycle, are we currently in a bare market like the previous cycles?
Currently, we're at around 330 plus days since XRP hit this top around July mid July of 2025. If the Clarity Act stalls and fails, will this confirm that we're in a bare market and still have a little ways to go for XRP and one more bottom for XRP? And will we have to wait till the next 2028 having cycle for the next uptrend? Or will the Clarity Act break us out of this downtrend sooner? If we take a look at the XRP versus BTC chart, if XRP were to eclipse the previous all-time highs, we're looking at around a 12,300% gain for XRP. a 12,300% gain for XRP at the current price is right around a13 would take us up to around a $15 XRP. Cassie Trade says the next XRP move could confirm everything. During Friday's live stream, I mapped out a potential fiveway down to around 87 cents. That fibs out perfectly. At that time, I said wave 1 look complete and XRP should come up for a wave two. I still believe that's what we're seeing now. The key level was $1.22. Typical 618 retracement target for wave 2. If XRP starts showing exhaustion here, it keeps the entire plan aligned for a continuation to around 87. A break above 130 invalidates the specific mapped out plan and forces a recount. However, the 87 C target isn't truly invalidated until XRP breaks above $165 and flips it to support. What's also interesting is the timing. The structure projects the final low into late June, early July, similar to what we witnessed last year before all-time high was reached mid July. This is a critical moment. Watch how XRP reacts at a dollar 22. Dr. Defender says XRP closed July with a powerful bullish condo signaling a thrilling end to 2024. Maintaining above 5286, the critical last Fibonacci support line is essential for continued momentum. The 66 1/2 cent level positable Fibonacci resistance, but the tight gaps between support and resistance hints at an impending explosive breakout. More crypto online.
And XRP is likely working on a wave five of a C-wave decline within wave five.
We're looking for five waves and XRP could either have completed wave two or might test resistance one more time before the next move to the downside starts. Will XRP break the yellow trend line and spark a rally? The XRP chart continues to be in this overall downtrend. Yeah, we still do not have any meaningful signal that let's say a really really meaningful low has formed that the bare market is over for now.
The pressure continues to point to the downside [music] on the XRP chart. So, we want to talk a little bit about where XRP is in this cycle and where we might end the bare market. The current idea is that we are obviously still here in this correction just like Bitcoin. The micro structure is a little bit uh difficult to read on the higher time frame. The idea is that from a bullish point of view, this is a B-wave correction and in the Bwave, we're currently in the C-wave. Yeah. So, a Bwave itself is normally a three-wave decline in this case. Yeah. And we are tracking currently the C-wave, which is the third leg of that bare market. But in the C-wave, we should get five waves. And I can find a way to >> [music] >> identify five waves already. But that doesn't mean that the wave count is complete because on the micro level, further downside still seems likely. We should at least reach 98 cents before the price attempts to form a meaningful uh recovery, but possibly even lower because I assume that XRP will roughly follow Bitcoin. It's highly correlated with Bitcoin [music] and the idea is still that we could go lower. I mean, look, there are many options. for example, wave five could extend [music] to the downside. Yeah. Um people told me that well it's not correlated with Bitcoin what I have here. Well, actually it is. Actually, it is because look, if if we if we measure the Fibonacci extension targets for the fifth wave to the downside, the way to do that is we take the length of waves 1 to three, we go to the high of the wave four and then a very common target is the 61.8 extension. Sometimes the 38.2, but that would be weak. But the 61.8 8 fib level points towards 75. I mean, we're now at $1.13. That [music] could still be another 35% decline. Uh it it can go a bit lower. The the 61.8 extension though at 75 cents is like a magnet for the price. So, I think there's a good chance that the market, especially as long as we stay below the trend line, continues to move lower towards the 73 C level. Um should we break above this yellow trend line and should it be a decisive break?
not not like a [music] wick like up here in January, then this could be our first signal that a meaningful recovery is underway, possibly in yellow wave B, maybe even in a rally to new highs. That would be a bull market. But XRP needs to prove that first. How can it do that? It can [music] do that with a break above the trend line, first resistance. Yeah.
And a fivewave move up. 1 2 3 4 [music] 5 and three waves down. Then we have a five up, three down pattern, and a break above resistance. That's the best confirmation you get. It is not evidence enough to say, well, this is guaranteed.
Nothing is ever guaranteed in markets, but [music] it is best confirmation we can get. Let me know your thoughts down below. Does XRP still have a little while to go before breaking the downtrend and signaling the next uptrend? Will we have to wait till the next 2028 having cycle like we did have to wait for the 2024 having cycle to pass before XRP really started to gain momentum and take off? Will the Clarity Act stall and confirm that we're in a bare market or will the Clarity Act passing and help us break through this trend line earlier than expected? Let me know your thoughts down below. As always, appreciate you stopping by, tuning in for another moon clock news update. Nothing in this video was financial or investment advice. Smash them like and subscribe on the way out to help boost those algorithms. We'll see you at the tippy top on the mother ship. Later,
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