Trump's Secret Plan to save markets!What happens to BTC, stocks, oil?! #BTC #crypto #trading #silver

Ajouté : 2026-05-24

[00:00:00]Have you realized that the Bitcoin and stocks are basically in a onetoone relationship right now with the US bond market? Look at this last few days, right? The stock market drops for 3 days, then bounces for 2 days. And that's what we're seeing in Bitcoin as well. So, Bitcoin here is also basically drops for like 3 or 4 days and then bounced for last two days up till Thursday. Why is this happening? Well, this is happening because the US bond market has bounced for the last few days and then has gone down. Look at this.

[00:00:33]So, it's basically rising, rising, rising, right? And that's what made everyone panic and then pulls back for 2 days and then everyone relaxes and the market bounces. The market, the stock market at least, not so much Bitcoin.

[00:00:45]Not so much Bitcoin, right? This, this looks like another bare flag to me.

[00:00:48]Small bare flag. Bare flag. And then something like this, right? retest this 70 70k area. Will it will it retest this uh 60 58 59k area? I think that depends on if the SP500 keeps on going with the with its blowoff top or not. So here's the SP500 as I've shown you guys. Does it keep going with the blowoff top here, right?

[00:01:11]So if if this keeps going stays above if it stays above this channel massive channel then uh Bitcoin I don't think retest the bottom. This is this is a five sixyear channel, right? What's threatening to bring it down is what's threatening to bring it down is the uh the oil price and the u 10-year Treasury yields. The treasury yields the the Treasury bonds are spiking right now because of partly because of the inflation fear. So look, just to summarize, Bitcoin, I hope you guys get this because this is really important.

[00:01:48]Bitcoin, right, moving exactly like the uh US Treasury bonds, Treasury bond yields, right? It basically bounces a little when the Treasury yields are pulling back. Same as the S&P 500, right? And the key right now, this is weekly, is to, as we can see on the daily, same thing goes down when the uh US 10ear yields are spiking and it bounces up when the 10-year yields are pulling back. So the key right now, the key battle right now is to stay above this 710 715 area on the spy so SP500 can bounce and keep going.

[00:02:24]You know that that's that's what will decide I think if whether Bitcoin has a terrible next two or three month or it bottomed already at 60K. I think in my mind that's what will decided whether Spider goes spy stays inside this blowoff top or not. So the SP the the US 10year Treasury yield, US 30year yield, they're all hitting some crazy levels like especially US 30year yield. I've shown you guys this, right? Like it's about to break out. It near it actually did break out briefly touched new alltime highs.

[00:03:01]Sorry, new 19-y year highs. Like this was back to Yeah. 2007, right? Funny.

[00:03:08]And last time we were at 2007, we then headed into a major crash. we then headed into a major crash. The thing is the thing is uh uh um the market thinks the US 10 year is a little bit more influential and um this is uh if this is how we're in Friday right now but if this is how Friday plays out now I hope so that I hope that's a good sign because then it forms a topping tail and then we come down. So why has the treasury market done this? And of course that has huge implications and impact on Bitcoin and on the S&P 500.

[00:03:43]Right? This is right now. This is one of those moments where the market what happens to Bitcoin and what happens to the S&P 500 is not decided by Bitcoin and not decided by SP500. It's decided by the US Treasury bond market. But what is driving this US Treasury bond market?

[00:03:57]What is making US Treasury yield spike up like this? There are two driving forces. One is inflation, right? We all know that CPI, PPI has been basically going up a lot because of the huge oil crisis, right? In the in the Middle East. That war isn't finished, by the way. There's still there's still no oil coming through. I know there's no fighting. There's no fighting because the Iranians have choked off the Hormoo Strait and there's no oil ships coming through. There's no oil coming through.

[00:04:22]So in that case then what happens is basically um is basically inflation gets worse and worse and we see a uh a a pop up in US 10year Treasury yields. That's reason number one. But there are two reasons here. My oil trades by the way whenever they say peace talks I get I say an oil price collapse I go I just buy it. Right? When it gets up around here I just sell it.

[00:04:47]Right? could have timed it better here, but you know, this one almost got exactly on the top basically every time it gets up to around here, pops above 100, they they just sell it, right? So, I sold it near 99 100, right? Last couple of times, this time let it run to 104, but they don't get it let it run much above 100, 104, 105, 106, and then they hammer it. It's um they're shorting the oil market, but it is actually because because that um the oil situation is not getting resolved. So more inflation is coming on the in the pipeline and that's why the US 10ear Treasury yield is freak freaking out and that's what's causing Bitcoin and uh the the S&P 500 to pull back as well. But there's a second reason. The second reason is because do you realize that the Federal Reserve chairman is no longer Jerome Pal right now? It's actually a new guy called Kevin Walsh who's actually the son-in-law of Trump's best buddy. Uh he's he's the I forgot the his name's Louderder. Ronald Lauder. They went to high they went to high school and they went to university at UPEN uh Wharton School of Business together. So they're basically buddies. The the guy is called Ronald Lauder because they own own the famous cosmetic company called SD Lauder. Right. Right. If ask your girlfriend if you don't know SD Lauder.

[00:06:09]So, uh, billionaire uh, son-in-law of a billionaire and, uh, Trump's made him his best friend's son-in-law, the the Federal Reserve chairman now. And, uh, he's going to come in and do two things.

[00:06:20]He's promised he's going to cut interest rates. Cut interest rates. But it's very hard to cut interest rates right now when when, uh, inflation is so high. And number two thing he's going to do is he's going to do QT. Yes, you heard that right. He's going to sell bonds. If he's going to sell bonds, then basically uh the right bond prices go down and bond yields shoot up. And that's what we're seeing happening here right now. But there is a lot of about that. I don't think he's actually going to carry through with it. Before we go to that analysis, first let's answer the question of which crypto exchange does Pablo He-Main use? Well, Pablo uses exchange that's non Qyc. That means you don't need to show any ID. That means even the uh exchange can't see who you are. The exchange can't see you. The IRS can't see you. The uh uh tax office can't see you. FBI, CIA, nobody can see you. Total privacy. That's why Pablo made this exclusive deal with them to trade up and win up to $9,000. Only two days left in this uh great prize campaign, folks. Look at these folks.

[00:07:16]They're already up and running. And you don't have to win the competition. You only just have to place in the top 60 in the Pablo competition. Not the exchange wide, right? Just a small Pablo competition and you get to win a prize.

[00:07:28]This is probably one of two exchanges that I know which has tokenized all the things that I'm trading right now. Look at this. Other than Bitcoin and ETH, it's basically look uh oil, my my oil trade and gold, silver, platinum, platium, right? Copper, I'm going to talk a lot more about gold and silver later on, right? And copper, natural gas, uranium. These are all the things that are uh that are in a bullish market right now. So, if you're watching this on YouTube right now, then the link is in the description below. The link is in the description below. But if you're watching on a different platform such as this one, that's okay. Just click on my profile page and there's my stand link.

[00:08:04]Or if you're on other platforms such as this one, just go to my profile page and there's my stand link and it should be the first thing that pops up when we click on it because this is a great deal. Okay, let's get back to the markets folks. But remember, this great deal is only available on the Pablo Heman link for a limited time only.

[00:08:21]Okay, let's get back to the markets, folks. But only available on the Pablo Heman link. Limited time only. the the situation with um that that's with gold and silver. We'll get to that in a sec. The situation with Kevin Walsh is that I believe he's not likely to the market is actually in fact pricing in a rate hike right now. Rate hike, would you believe it? And that's because they see oil situation getting worse.

[00:08:50]First, I I want to say this to folks.

[00:08:53]Like even inside my discord, people are are wondering and I want to say this to you. Why hasn't oil price spiked up? Are you saying it's all just manipulation?

[00:09:01]Are you saying that just because the US has uh shorted uh US um government has shorted the the US futures market in oil? Well, that's only that's only part of the reason. Even though the head of COMX already said they're risking biblical disaster if they keep on shorting the the oil futures right now the other thing that they're doing to oil is US actually has some reserves.

[00:09:26]You've heard of it right? It's called the special strategic petroleum reserves. Strategic petroleum reserves.

[00:09:33]In fact, Trump wants to do this for Bitcoin. He wants to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Remember remember this stop talking about it. Strategic Bitcoin reserve. And now he's he he um this is the special strategic petroleum reserve SPR. The trick they're doing is to keep oil prices down. They're selling their the oil they've stored for a rainy day, right? And uh and they're selling that oil into the market to keep prices down.

[00:10:04]How much did they sell?

[00:10:07]172 million barrels of oil. All right.

[00:10:10]172 million barrels. How much do they actually have? This is what's keeping oil price down. This is what's keeping inflation relatively down. Like inflation is still pretty bad right now. As we can see, that's why US 10year is spiking, going through the roof right now, right? Um but it could be a lot worse. It could be a lot worse. They're using all sorts of tricks to try to manage this situation.

[00:10:33]So the what happened is this. US normally has in peace time 726 million barrels of oil stored and then this is uh so it was around 600 650 million this was during the time of Biden and um and he sold that just to smash down the inflation he crashed oil price not because there's a war or anything just to keep inflation down right and then somebody has to buy the oil back has to buy the oil back and lift, you know, cuz you you can't spend all the US oil, strategic oil reserves for no reason, just to smash oil prices down when there's no war. It's meant to be used for emergency, exactly like the situation US is in right now, which is a war. And what they've done, what they've done is they only managed to buy back a little bit. They've sold it down to 347 million. They got it back up to 415 million. Okay, this is what the number is by February. These are monthly, right? February 2026. Funny how the government website hasn't updated this these numbers. This is EIA energy uh US energy information administration, right?

[00:11:49]They haven't updated these numbers since March, which is when the war started. M right. It's is that a coincidence? So, uh since March, but they did tell us how much they're selling. They So 415 million is where we were just before the war. Just before the war started, we on 415 million. They've sold 172 million. So that's 243 million. They only have 243 million now, right? They sold 172. So they're down to 243 million from here. Yeah. 243 million now. like 243 million would place us here. Yeah, cuz that's 250, right? Would this chart would go something like this in the last 2 3 months. So it it' be a pretty straight drop like this as well.

[00:12:43]So the reason why is because Oh, and here's zero. Wow. We've gone from here, which is in what 2011, this is where Biden started selling 2020 to here to here. And this is zero. This is when you have no buffers, right? We're we're up to here now. And um and even if you end the war tomorrow, right, oil oil supply doesn't come back online because once you destroy the infrastructure, once you um um a lot of those things, it's kind of like once you blow up a building, if if you blow up a school and you say, "Oh, the war has stopped, so we can start school again tomorrow." No, you can't. You have to rebuild the school.

[00:13:23]You have to get the projectors in. You have to buy the textbooks, buy the desks, right? Put up a blackboard, right? It's it's like that with oil companies, the same as well. It's not like oil. It's not like a water tap. You can't just turn it on, turn it off. Once you turn it off, some of the facilities are bombed, by the way. So therefore, so therefore, you can't just um you can't just turn it back on. You have to do reconstruction, rebuild it. And also like I don't want to get get too much into geology but once you bomb once you even if it's not bombed once you turn off the tap the pressure because the the oil is always you know jetting out of the ground. It's always it's a geyser, right? It's always jetting, spewing out of the ground. Well, as you turn off the tap, the pressure is so much it pushes oil back down. And when that oil pressure builds up for something like I think a month or 40 days, then it crushes the it's too much pressure and it goes down and crushes the um the the the soil underneath. So then when you turn the tap back on again after the war finishes, 3 months later, 6 months later, the oil doesn't spring out again.

[00:14:31]So then you have to dig in and pump it again and it's not going to come out at the same rate, maybe 50% the rate as before. So that's why it's a crazy complicated situation and um yes, I know that gas prices where you live in United States, in Australia, in Europe, in UK has gone up like 50%, whatever it is, but believe me folks, you ain't seen nothing yet. It could still go up a lot more, right? because the the the dirty trick they're using to hide the oil price, right, is by selling oil is by selling like basically bringing US uh strategic petroleum reserves down to they're going to head to zero sometimes if they don't stop this war anytime soon, right? Um okay, let's have a look at the situation in silver.

[00:15:20]I am like I said for the short term for folks who are asking me both in my social media and in my discord they're saying where's uh where's silver headed um my view was that I thought silver was basically headed to uh the the short short term we had one more dip one more step down and it's not just silver it's gold basically gold is going to lead silver right for one more step down um and for so basically something like this and we might bounce off. So the optimistic scenario is we might bounce off this 410 area 4 sorry 41 4100 area. The pessimistic scenario is we come down we hit this we hit this because we're we're in this flag right? We could go down as low as this. So that's 3,500 bounce off here. I'm not in that camp. I think we wick through here 3,100 sorry 4,100 4,000 and we bounce up. All right. Some people think oh we have to do the full bull flag which means come down here 3,500 and bounce and you know but either way I've been saying shortterm one more dip one more step down for silver same thing so for silver um like something like this something like this right whether it's some people would say 55k that's I think 55 55 I think is what happens if gold goes to 3,500 in My estimate if gold stops above 4,000 above 4,000 now I think we come down to here to low 60s to mid60s one more wick down like this and we bottom and up we go. So generally that's the short term. Longer term like next 3 years, 4 years, even 10, maybe not that far out, 5 to 8 years, I'm very bullish on on gold and silver.

[00:17:10]That's because other than the industrial usages of silver in in solar panels in in uh uh AI data centers alone, gold is going up because all the central banks are now just buying gold. Like all the central banks have no option but to buy gold, right? They uh they scoop scooped up a lot of gold as a few countries such as uh I think it was Russia and and Turkey were selling especially Turkey. Turkey sold like $60 billion uh worth or something like like eight tons of uh eight tons of of eight tons of gold. So um we can see here a major major bias from uh from central banks, right?

[00:17:53]Certainly compared to last 16 years or so, that's a lot of uh that's a lot of buying. Uh yeah. So the other thing is this. The other thing is yeah, Turkey did the most selling cuz they as I said everyone a few countries are panicking and they have to buy oil. So they sell their gold because it's a lot of profit to buy oil. But one thing I would say is about the gold about the mining industry in general, it's actually uh doing really well. the like I know we we compare to financials and technology that technologies like you know Micron, Intel and uh you know the chips companies like uh Nvidia they all have something like a 65 70% gross margin which is pretty high but you're talking about the best AI chip companies in the world right semiconductor companies in the world the average the average margin average of mining industry right now is 31% it's the highest best like by far out of all out of allh sectors. So for the not the developer miners but the for the producer miners it's actually quite high right now. Producer means they're actually digging gold and silver or or copper or aluminum out of the ground already. Developers means they're still doing surveying and they're still yet to actually extract metal out of the ground. So, as we can see here, there are lots of calls and puts options going on on the SILJ. What's the SILJ? That's the silver juniors, right? Silver juniors. The reds are the calls and the blacks are the puts. So, the call options are basically twice as much as the puts. These are big money. So, the big money is betting on the junior miners to take off. And here's another way of looking at it. Uh the institutions are buying a lot of junior silver miners ETF like huge buy in the last 3 months as price has dipped. Okay, thank you for your time guys. I'll catch you next