This video demonstrates how a skilled Pokemon player predicts the performance of a Magneton run in Pokemon Red/Blue, achieving a final time of 339 minutes (level 63) which places it in the top 25% of all Pokemon runs. The creator shows that accurate prediction requires understanding Pokemon mechanics, move sets, trainer patterns, and strategic decision-making, while also acknowledging that real-time adjustments during gameplay often improve upon initial predictions.
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Deep Dive
Can I ACCURATELY Predict the Magneton Run in Pokemon Red/Blue?Added:
Hey everyone, how's it going? After 130 solo runs, some of you might expect that I could do one of these with my eyes closed. Unfortunately, attempting that would throw off our tier list. So, instead of doing that, what I'm going to do is predict how a run is going to go before I actually do it. And we're going to see in this video how close I come to getting it all right. I'm sure some places I will be very accurate, some places I will be wildly off. And I decided to use Magneton for this because I don't know. I just don't have a ton to say about Magneton. It's one of those electric Pokémon that learns very few moves that aren't electric type. In fact, we're going to have to teach Thunderbolt via TM. It doesn't get body slam. It does not get a badge boosting move, but it at least does get Sonic Boom. So, I'm anticipating an okay-ish run. The time I'm looking at, if I look at the rankings, I see both Electabuzz and Electrode around the 4hour mark, level 63. So, because of that, I think we have a very comparable Pokémon. I'm going to predict level 63. And I think it's going to be, let's say, 421, cuz if I said 420, everyone would laugh.
So, that's what I'm predicting. Let's see how close I get to that. But before we continue, I want to talk about something that is genuinely very important and personal to me. Mental health awareness and suicide prevention.
And to that end, I've partnered with Hope for the Day. They're focused on mental health education and proactive suicide prevention. Their aim is to make conversations about these topics easier, more honest, and more accessible. And this is something I think we can all benefit from. This is something that hits really close to home for me unfortunately. And I mean this is why we need something like hope for the day because I don't feel comfortable talking about my struggles. But they exist. And you know I'm very grateful for the channel but unfortunately there are still things that you know happen behind the scenes. There's still struggles people have. And thank God right now things are easier, but there have been days some videos I look back at and I remember my mental state making them and it it's tough and I'm very grateful that I've had some amazing friends and family. But sadly, you know, some people don't have the same types of support and that's why supporting an organization like Hope for the Day means so much to me. So to that end, I am for the first time going to be setting up the YouTube giving feature so that you can if you want to generously give a little bit to hope for the day. To that end, if we as a community raise $2,000, whatever the top comment is for a video idea, I'll do it. And if we hit $10,000, then for this November, December, I will do a video a day, otherwise known as month of Jeros 3. Donate if you can. I will be including links you can click to learn more about Hope for the Day. Get some resources and if you're in the United States, even a mental health compass to show you resources in your local area. Otherwise, just share the message and try to be positive to the people in your life. And now, let's get back to our really ridiculous, silly video. Now, first thing, I realize that there are going to be skeptics who think that I'm just lying about all this, but really, what's the point? If anything, I feel bad for Shawn because it's going to be kind of difficult to edit since I'm going to be doing the prediction in one take, and then he's going to have to kind of mash up the run in one take. I don't know how he's going to do that, but I trust him. Sean's great.
>> A thanks, Josh. Uh, hey guys, editor Shawn here. Just popping in to very quickly explain to you guys how this video ended up being structured, cuz it's a little bit different from normal.
You see, not only did JRES record how he thought Magneton was going to do before the run started, but after the run was finished, he went back and recorded himself reacting to his predictions, essentially giving commentary on how accurate those pre-run predictions were.
Thus, rather than a normal play-by-play like in the other videos in this series, you'll instead be hearing the predictions that past JRO made before the run interspaced with future JRO's commentary from after the run, which ends up painting a pretty full picture of how his expectations both aligned with and differed from reality. I think this was a really cool idea on Josh's part. It was a blast for me to put together, and I really hope that you all enjoy it. Peace.
>> So, I'm not going to battle extra trainers. I don't think I need to in Vidian Forest. So, I'm just going to battle the Weedle guy. That means I should be saving it Brock, assuming that I don't make too many mistakes, not too many encounters around 12 minutes in-game time. I'm getting Wait, wait, wait. Can we just say how freaking accurate that was? Not only did I time that perfectly so that the video, which has been playing the whole time, lined up with Brock cuz I am a freaking freaking genius. I was off by a minute.
Sean, this got to go in the video.
>> I'm going to have to use I think it's two sonic booms for Geodude and then two for Onyx. Maybe three.
>> So, we got one. Yep, I was right. It was two and then I got out sped. Yeah, two and two. And so, I'm anticipating around a 15minute completion time for Brock. I think we did get a 15-minute completion time. Or maybe we did 13 minutes. So, looks like 12 minutes. Oh, wo. There's 3 minutes. There are no difficult trainers for me on route three and nothing I can think of in Mount Moon. Now I do have a choice in Cerulean and knowing me I am going to go to Cerulean gym first because I do have that type advantage and there are some hikers on Route 25. I think it is the one just to the west of Bill's house. And I think I am going to battle the extra trainer there for a little experience points. And I'm not sure if we're going to beat Misty first try or if we're going to beat her at all. I'm predicting we will. That's why I'm doing this first. So, I'm going to say because of some crit bubble beam luck, it's going to be second try victory beating Misti. So, in the end, it was actually a first try beating Misti. I didn't get any bubble beam luck. So, that was incorrect. But I did battle the extra trainer and it did seem to help.
>> And then we're going to face rival 2. We should be about the 50ish minute mark at this point. I'm thinking, >> no, no, you're thinking wrong. 33 minutes. That is 17 minutes faster. And you know what the problem is? The 50-minute mark only happens if you have to battle the extra trainers and get stuck at Brock. I don't know why I didn't realize it only takes 33 minutes to go here.
>> And I am going to give the rival Bulbasaur. So I will have the Magneton switching for Squirtle. And I don't anticipate any problems. I think we should outspeed Pidgeotto and we should oneot Pidgeotto, maybe two shot. Same thing with Rotata. No worry about Abra.
And then two sonic booms should be good for Bulbasaur. I'm anticipating a first try victory. So it was a first try victory. It took three sonic booms for Bulbasaur. And I did outspeed Pidgeotto.
And I one-shot Retata with the crit. I don't think any of the trainers on Nugget Bridge are going to be difficult.
I may need to go back and heal to get power points. Hopefully I don't.
>> I didn't. And then I have to do the second section. The only difficult trainer, which isn't even difficult, is the Onyx. And I don't think I'll lose a single time. I do not anticipate saving and resetting because I do have Sonic Boom for that trainer as well as the Oddish trainer. And so, we should get to Bill. Absolutely no problem. I'll use the escape rope that I pick up in Mount Moon. Go back to Cerulean. I don't anticipate the rocket being a problem.
There are two trainers just north of Vermillion. Don't anticipate them being a problem like normal. Then we get to SSN. I don't need body slam. So I can skip that room. I do go into the fourth room. I believe it is from the right.
>> Fourth room from the left.
>> And I there will get a rare candy. Rival three. This one could be a little trickier with the Radicate and the Kadabra, but I'm going to go ahead and say first try victory. Serge only has electric moves and some normal moves. I don't anticipate any issues there. So I think we first try victory. Surge if I'm not if I'm not mistaken. Right. We got Sonic Boom. We got some really bad luck actually. Did Did Serge beat us? No, he he it was close. I I was nervous, but he didn't beat us, but it took more Sonic Booms. I didn't really go into detail. I didn't know how many it would take. So, yeah, that actually goes really really nicely. I'm thinking I should be beating Serge at an hour and a half.
>> All right, so let's take a look at how that actually went. Serge and after an hour and a half. So, I'm about half an hour off. Then I warp right back to Cerulean.
Actually, a bigger issue could be that lass because her Pokemon like to paralyze and poison me. It would be smart if I remember when I end up doing this run if I were to save. So, if I get paralyzed, I just reset cuz we do these within game, not real time. But I may be paralyzed or poisoned.
>> Yeah. So, the last did end up being a problem. If you guys remember, that was our first loss. We ended up getting wrapped by Bellsprout Rap City. Um, and yeah, it was very, very frustrating. Not this Bellsprout. This is actually the first one. It was the second one that did it. I correctly anticipated this being an issue, but I didn't specify it was because of paralysis and wrap. I actually thought poisoning and wrap, which is, if you remember, the second time we did get poison wrapped, and that was annoying, but we were fine. And did we even I believe we didn't have the antidote remaining. Or did we? We know we had to use our super potion here. So I I I think that's a pretty good prediction. Honestly, I think I think I got this pretty good. So then I get to the Pokemon center. I will predict that I have to heal. I will have bought 10 repels in Vermillion. And this is where things might be problematic. The Cubone might take three sonic booms and we might get misses. Bone club could be really, really troubling. And if it does hit me a few times, I may just want to warp out and heal right away. After that, the only other trainer that is difficult in theory is Whit Gag. That was obviously incorrect. I forgot the Oddish trainer. She poisoned me and so I had to leave and that was a time waste.
That may be an extra 2 3 minutes which at you know the level that you know some Pokémon are that can make a big difference. So, I was incorrect in not assuming that she would be as pro as much of a problem as she was. But we'll move on to Whitag.
>> Whitag could be really tough because it might take three sonic booms, maybe even four for Graler, so I might anticipate a couple resets there. We'll see if it it hopefully things go better than I'm predicting. I said three or four. So, the geodudes were three. We even got a self-destruct. And was Graler four? It looks like Graler was still just three.
So that made a big difference. That was one less attack.
>> I should make it I would hope I make it about an hour 45 into Seladon. So I'm at 123. So I'm actually starting to get more accurate with the timing. I think the next time I save is in front of the Team Rocket members. And so that'll give us an idea of how close I was to 140.
136. Hey. Yay. Hey. You know, at the end of the day, my timing might be a little off in the uh beginning sections, but that that's pretty good. Although, you know, still ahead of the prediction and I have done, you know, part of almost all of Rocket Hideout. Once we get there, I should proceed to the third floor, beat that extra trainer, and get double edge for a good normal type attack. And then there won't be too many. So once I have double edge, there's the trainer at the end with the eken Sandrew Arbok. I will have thunderbolt by this point. So we'll be fine with that one cuz double edge will help. It's the sand slash one. Hopefully I won't need to go and get the hyper potion on I mean you get there from B2F and you just go down or up the stairs. I don't actually remember if it's up or down. You just go in stairs instead of taking the elevator and you can get a hyper potion, but there is a super potion there. I think I was right that that sand slash trainer was not easy.
The sand attack actually ended up being a bigger deal than I considered and it's so bulky defensively. So I I didn't need that hyper potion because I got the super potion right here and I anticipated I might need the hyper potion. I don't even know why I anticipated that. I should have just said the super potion, but I guess if the Arbok trainer had been tough, I would have needed both. Gio1, I'm going to resort to Sonic Boom. But because the most challenging Pokemon is Kangaskhan and his really bad special, I'm going to anticipate a first try victory here. Uh, it was a first try victory. We're going to ignore what happened afterwards. Uh, YouTube doesn't need to know that I'm a klutz.
No copyright bump. From there, I go to the mart. I'm gonna want to buy I think calcium's tbh. I think calciums I think I want to do more damage. My speed should be fine.
>> Spoiler. It wasn't >> base 70. I I should be fine for Agatha.
I'm worried about her, but she's a ways away.
>> It wasn't fine. I was wrong.
>> I'm skipping Erica. Getting fly.
Battling rival 4. Easy first try victory. Hopefully first trying ghost Marowak, but sometimes that can be a problem. Yeah, we did first try Ghost Marowak.
>> No other trainers here will be a problem. I hopefully don't forget the bike, but sometimes I do. Let's make sure I don't forget the bike. And then from there, I will go get Surf, battle the two mandatory trainers in Koga's gym that are psychic Pokemon, and then ideally, we just beat Koga with Thunderbolts.
I think we should. So, the issue is wheezing. I'm gonna say it's going to be a third or fourth try victory because of self-destruct and bad luck. Hopefully, it's better than that. So, uh, as you can see on your screen, it went significantly better than that. Once again, a first try victory. In fact, every single gym leader as well as every rival has been a first try victory. And it's at this point we battle rival Fal.
So since Fival starts with Pidgeot, it's going to be Pidgeot and then it's Gyarados, Growli, Execute, Alakazam.
Wait a minute. Yeah. Yeah, that's right.
Pidgeot, Gyarados, Growlithe, Execute, Alakazam, and Venusaur. No, that's not right.
Execute's not there. I I'm facing a grass type. Ah, I'm I'm predicting bad.
Let's leave this in. Now you guys see I You can tell now. I'm not looking at anything. I'm literally staring at Audacity right now. So, we one-shot Pidgeot.
Then comes out Gyarados, right? Gyarados is next. We oneshot that, too. Growl is next. We oneshot that, too. Alakazam is next. We oneshot that, too. And then we have to hope no Razor Leaf. We don't Alkazam. It's two shot Alakazam. I'm going to anticipate three tries and hopefully I don't need to level up, but I may need to level up here. There is that scientist I could use as well as one of the Rocket Brothers. I'm anticipating no level up. Let's see if that's right. It was.
But but um there was a problem. There is an issue with the prediction. You'll see. Then if we beat Yeah, I beat Rival Fal Gio. I'll have Sonic Boom still. Do I have I don't have anything better.
>> Okay, so I just want to stop past JROS there. I didn't anticipate that this trainer with the Marowak. Remember this guy actually was kind of annoying. It took a few attempts to beat him because again, I didn't really anticipate that double-edge doesn't twoot Cubone and giving it an extra turn to attack was actually really irritating. Furthermore, I didn't anticipate that I actually had not used my full restore, which I thought I would use. Now I'm talking about Giovani. Let's get back to pastros.
>> Yeah, there's nothing nothing here I could use. Technically, I could use toxic. Actually, I might actually use toxic. I wonder if that would speed things up versus the reyhorn. Of course, it won't work versus Neato Queen, but for Neato Queen, I can use double edge.
The biggest issue was Reyhorn Neidle Queen. And I kind of underestimated the the toxic strategy. I do mention toxic at one point later in the voiceover. I anticipate using it, but it actually proved to be useful earlier. That that'll come up again where I come up with a strategy and I use it earlier than I predicted cuz I thought about it sort of from the point of view of past JROS's voice over. I hadn't actually thought about it yet. And then I think about it, I'm like, "Oh, I'll use that."
But I use it a battle earlier. So I think I predict toxic for Giovani when in fact or Giovani 3 when in fact it ended up being integral to winning in Giovani 2. So I don't mention it that was you know overall I think the prediction's been okay but yeah I don't mention that here. I do want to go to Sabrina next assuming I don't forget then Erica then Blaine. Sabrina could be a two or three try victory. So Sabrina uh I thought it'd be a two or three try victory because we two shot everything and that was what I anticipated although I didn't vocalize that. And then I thought Alkazen would outspeed me which it does but even though it took three shots to knock it out we got really lucky with Sighwave. And my hope is that when I beat Blaine, by the time Blaine is done, my hope is I'm at the 3hour mark, but I'm worried I might be closer to 3:30.
No, I don't think if we're 3:30, then this is worse than I think. Maybe 3:10, but I'm hoping 3-hour mark at Blaine.
Mewtwo beat the game at 3 hours. So 3-hour mark seems reasonable. I don't anticipate Erica being more than a first try victory. This This should work. This should work really well. It was one shot for both Growli and Ponyita. We don't outspeed Rapid Ash, but the Growl would have maybe made us outspeed Arcanine, but we level up in the end. We don't ever get attacked. So, I guess I was right not to talk about it. And then I said I wanted 3 hours after Blaine. So, let's check when I save in front of Erica. What the Remember this execute battle took forever. 249. So, I'm about 20 minutes actually ahead of where I wanted to be. So, it's at this point I actually knew doing the run that this was going to be better than my initial prediction because we're way ahead of my This is where I start to get the time more accurate. So, I was actually very happy at this point that I was going to beat my prediction of 421, but I wasn't sure. Yeah, we're at 259 or 251, excuse me. I expected us to be at like 311. So, this is really good. In fact, this is on pace with several of the uh top tier Pokémon. I hope you guys are enjoying this format. If not, just let me know. I thought I'd change things up after 130, but if this format really sucks, I'll go back to just narrating. You know, I still have 20 of these left. I do like to try new things, but unfortunately, new isn't always better, right? Speaking of new isn't always better, Giovani actually might be really, really problematic. See, the problem is Reyhorn doesn't have anything I can use, right?
So, I can't really mimic. And then on Doug trio, I can mimic dig, but I think I need to just save scum and reset for a guard spec. So, I get dig. And then I can go for either double edge or dig because they're both base 100 power and dig doesn't have recoil. And then if I'm slower, it doesn't matter. If I'm faster, I need to be careful. And then I think I can just knock out everything. I believe Rydon can't actually hit me and Neato King and Neido Queen don't actually have great attacks. I'm going to say four tries for Giovani.
330 coming out of Giovani. So it was actually five tries. So the first time I actually underg guessed. So let's talk about how we were able to beat Giovani and why I was wrong about a lot of things. So the way we were able to beat Giovani is by being slower. I kind of mentioned it but I I didn't explain it well. The idea is to use mimic and mimic dig. Toxic is being used to speed up the process versus reyhorn. I didn't talk about it because I hadn't thought about it yet. So, that was helpful. Then against Doug trio, mimicking dig. I mentioned it. However, I thought I wanted to be slower because otherwise mimic wouldn't work. That's not how mimic works in Gen One. I've been playing way too much generation two lately. In generation two, you need it to actually use the move. But I know that's not how it works. And yet, my mind was in a Gen Two mindset. We outspeed.
And because of that, we able to get dig, it uses dig, we use dig, avoiding its dig, and then we hit with dig. So, we just had to outspeed the Doug trio. I also didn't mention the fact that I had used rare candies. I thought I would have to use them for rival 6, but in fact I had to use them a battle earlier.
So I save in front of rival six and then the only thing I'm worried about is Venusaur.
I think I one-shot Pidgeot and then it's a Reyhorn.
But I guess I'll use toxic or Sonic Boom. I will have had to have had mimic by this point which I have. Oh, I could badge boost glitch agility.
So, that's an option, but it's something I need to be careful about because if we use mimic here, then we lose toxic and we might need it for this specific battle. Reyhorn, then I believe it's a god, what's the order? I think it's Growlithe, Gyarados, Alakazam, and Alakazam shouldn't be too bad unless we get like confused or something. And then Venusaur again. I think we just need good razor leaf luck.
But can it go for other things? I should know this. I just I never face Venusaur.
Or I guess when I do, I always just beat it so quickly.
I'm going to say five or six tries for Rival 6. So I was very wrong here. So I only I also got the order of Gyarados and Growlith, but that's a small thing.
Okay. So, the problem with past Jerro's is he anticipated keeping Sonic Boom way past its expiration date. 20 HP just isn't a usable move. And Run Jeros realized that Giovani number two, it wasn't going to work. So for that reason, run JROS me I suppose um abandoned that so I could have both toxic and uh mimic. What previous voiceover JRO's predictor JRO didn't think about is that rather than badge boosting I instead could mimic psychic with our 120 base special we outsped and one-shot Venusaur. So it did not take five tries because we had psychic. If I had done what I was saying I would do, it probably would have. But thankfully, I adjusted and my prediction was off.
Sometimes when you're doing the run, you kind of see things a little differently.
And this is an instance of where I was.
I think I was very off. Victory Road, there are no trainers. Elite 4 is what you're waiting for. This is where I'm really kind of thinking alongside you guys. Okay, Lauri, one shot Dong, one shot Cloyster, one shot Slowb Bro, two shot Jinx potentially needing to use Double Edge, one shot Lapras. If we don't get that, we're in trouble. With 120 base power with Thunderbolt, I can't see how it's not going to happen. I should be around level 60 at this point or 59, so we should be fine. We do one-shot Dong as you can see. Uh, we do one-shot Closter as you can see, but I tried to mimic Slowb Bro. It's better just to one-shot it. And then Jinx, I was right. Two shot Thunderbolt is fine, but I actually don't one-shot Lapras.
It's a range. And part of the incorrectness is that I said I'd be at level 59 or 60. As you can see, I was only at level 57. So, actually, somehow I was super duper boer right about, you know, what level I'd need to be at. But it was a first try victory versus Laurel and we and we didn't lose >> Bruno. I honestly uh it's an Onyx. I think we're going to want to keep Toxic and then Sonic Boom to kind of whittle it down and then Thunderbolt and then that again for Onyx. No, no. If we have mimic, we can mimic ice bunch and it'll make things go quicker from Hitmonchan.
So, we'll see. Maybe I won't use toxic.
I'll just go Sonic Boom. Sonic boom.
Sonic boom. Sonic Boom four or five.
We'll see. I think I'll still have Sonic Boom at this point. That was wrong, right? We've talked about this now a couple times. I did not have Sonic Boom at this point. Toxic Double Edge is far quicker, but I was correct in that the ice punch. And I mean, predicting Bruno was easy is not a prediction. You guys could have predicted that without ever having seen this run before. Agatha is where the run's going to stall because I just have to go. Thunderbolt is likely a two or three hit K.O. on the Gengar. I should outspeed. If I don't, I'm in trouble. But if I outspeed, it could be Thunderbolt. Thunderbolt down. This is best case scenario. Thunderbolt down.
Thunderbolt crit down. Thunderbolt down.
Thunderbolt. Thunderbolt down.
Wait, what?
What?
What?
Can you guys Wait, what? Okay, let's watch what happened.
Thunderbolt.
Thunderbolt down.
Thunderbolt down.
Thunderbolt crit.
What? I predicted the How did I do that?
All right, this video is worth it. I don't care how much of a mess this was.
I can't I don't even know why I said that. I don't even know why I said that.
Oh my god. All right. And then Lance, we definitely need to mimic because we'll go Thunderbolt on Gyarados, mimic, hyperbeam, and then ah, oh god, what do we do? Like double edge, hyperbeam. We use hyperbeam and then we can use thunderbolt on aerodactyl. Thunderbolt actually in retrospect could have mimicked agility, I guess. But yeah, that this worked.
Mimicking agility, I probably could have badge boosted and maybe that would have helped. I could have just gone for thunderbolt. I I ended up doing thunderbolt hyperbeam, but yeah, I pretty much did what I predicted. Then the champion battle. All right, Thunderbolt, Alakazam, double thunderbolt. Hope no special drop.
Rhydon. Nothing we can use here. Oh. Oh.
Oh, I could mimic recover. Maybe I mimic recover or psychic. I could maybe mimic recover or psychic depending on things.
If I mimic psychic, then we can we can beat the Venusaur much quicker, even though Venusaur is easier this time around.
>> This is where I thought of the psychic strategy, and obviously we employed that earlier, but we did not lose a single time to the champion. The biggest reason for that is that Alakazam was quite cooperative. It could have easily got a special drop and we could have lost. So, the predictions weren't actually that bad. Lance was very cooperative.
Dragonite could have gone for hyperbeam when it didn't. The champion was unbelievably cooperative here. We get that crit on Reyhorn. And actually, after that point, we really kind of had it. Our K9 wasn't a problem. And then Venusaur could have gotten a crit with Razor Leaf. Every single hit with Razor Leaf is a crit. I'm predicting we're going to lose four times to Agatha, twice to Lance, and twice to the champion. That's not what happened. In the end, the base 120 special was way better than I thought.
>> Like I said, 421 final level 63. I got some things right, but I got enough wrong that the 421 time became a 339.
Putting this within probably the top 25% in the end of all Pokémon, which is insanely good. I believe that is the only electric Pokémon to do so. And that's really cool because it's not even steel type in this game. As for I live current JRO, I want to thank you guys all for watching this video. If you like the format, please let me know. I don't think I'm going to do this one again, but it was very fun to do this one time.
And a big big thank you once again to Sean for editing. Thank you to my chat for keeping me company. And thank you guys for watching. I'll see you all in the next video. Take care.
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