The Jet Stream Still Looks Unusual For Mid May

Added: 2026-05-13

[00:00:00]The weather pattern that has brought really cool weather to parts of the east and the hot weather across parts of the west is going to continue to really stagnate across the country over the next couple of days. We've got another shot of some cool air moving south toward the Great Lakes. That's going to bring another chilly shot of air all the way to the Atlantic coast and into the northeast as we head uh over the next couple of days. And temperatures are going to drop behind this front that's going to be moving through. That's going to really cause another impact across this region with some cooler temperatures. Uh, and you know, here's the deal. There could even be some snow further north into parts of Ontario with this cold air loft. It's going to really start to change across the west. This next piece of energy digging in here as this strong May jetream continues to impact this part of North America.

[00:00:46]Once again does, right, we're going to see more snow here across the Canadian Rockies. I know it's a late snow season.

[00:00:54]More on the way as this jet. Now look at this. Crashing into the Pacific Northwest. Uh this is going to bring some rain here, some snow, too. Cooler temperatures. And then how about this? A pretty active subtropical jet, too. It's not going to really be doing a lot across the south other than this broad northwest flow keeping the uh the Gulf moisture and the Atlantic moisture away. So, as long as you have flow like this, things aren't going to change. So, an unusually dry pattern setting up across the southeast.

[00:01:23]That's going to continue all the way through Friday. Things will start to change, though, and we're already starting to see some signs of that, not just as we look long range, uh, but I should say at the long range models, but also at the jetream. Take a look at this. This will be by Tuesday. Now, do you notice something different? your flow, if you follow your height lines a little more southerntherly, you're bringing in some moisture off of the Gulf and you're going to start to increase that moisture not just across the south but across the central states.

[00:01:50]And I think this sets up for what will be a stormy period in the to this region with this type of setup. Now we're cooler in the west, especially across the Pacific Northwest and uh with this type of setup. Now we're back to probably what the maze that you typically remember look like with warmer temperatures. Looking long range. Let's really take this out all the way into next week. I'll show you the upper level ridge that starts to really develop across the southeast for you guys and a lot of the country. Um this means some really warm weather on the way. Across the west a different story. Cooler. It's cool across Alaska too. Also across western Canada. piece of that cool air likely to move south as we head toward the 25th and 26th. The long range European Weekly's also telling this story heading into the end of the month into June as we start to see this ridging develop across the south. I mean, this is typical summer heat, right? Building across the deep south, your jetream much further to the north with this type of look as a summer pattern sets up heading into June.

[00:02:53]Nothing unusual there. Let's see how all this pans out. And if it goes like we've seen so far this spring, it may not be exactly that way. June could be full of surprises.

[00:03:03]Got a video coming up about the summer with no uh or I should say the uh the summer that basically remained winter.

[00:03:10]Uh going back to the 1800s, I think it was 1816.

[00:03:15]Yeah, it was the year without a summer.

[00:03:17]And temperatures were cold. There were snow in parts of the Northeast. It just absolutely wild frost decimated crops. I don't see anything like that coming. But if that sounds interesting to you, subscribe and come back. I do want to do some different deep dives as we head to the summer as we look back to the past for some wild weather things that happened across the country. Here's the rain over the next several days. Again, dry across the southeast. Some rain in Florida, though. Good news here at at the very least. Some severe weather though possible across the Sunshine State today. also up across the parts of the upper Midwest back into the plains of Kansas and Oklahoma and in areas in between into Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana. Damaging winds. There could also be some hail this afternoon. The tornado outlook not off the charts. In fact, it's barely hitting the charts across this region. So, damaging winds the main threat. I wouldn't rule out an isolated tornado, but there is a bit of a tornado risk, especially here along the Florida coast. As you get some of that interaction with the seab breeze, there could be some wind shear that that could be an issue today. Let's let's look at tomorrow too as we see a little more storms uh coverage further to the east. So places like Pittsburgh down into Charleston, West Virginia into parts of Virginia and then across the west as that next system drives in, which by the way, there's a lot of wind out here today that will lead to some severe weather heading into tomorrow.

[00:04:32]Some of those storms could stretch up into Canada. This is from the Storm Prediction Center, stopping at the Canadian border there. And then heading into uh to Thursday, a much lower risk day. But take a look at this. We're already looking into the weekend into next week's Storm Prediction Center.

[00:04:45]Long range outlook watching the central United States for Saturday and into Sunday.

[00:04:51]More to come on that. Let's take a look at the surface map. We'll walk you through the next couple of days. Let's start with uh with Tuesday. Today, windy across the northern Rockies into parts of Washington, Oregon, Montana. Gusty winds. I think a bit of a fire danger too, especially further east. The good news is high pressure setting up here.

[00:05:11]The winds won't be as strong directly under this high, but on the backside, it's getting really windy with southerntherly to southwesterly winds picking up. Rain picking up across the Great Lakes into Ontario as this low moves through. That was a terrible drawing. Your front probably sitting somewhere like this. So, as that front drives south and east, a little bit of rain, but I do want you to notice not a lot of moisture out here. So, this is going to be a rain starved front as it drops into the southeast. A little bit of rain shower activity across the Tennessee Valley, further north into the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast.

[00:05:42]Cold enough for a little bit of snow mixing in into Ontario. And now we're watching this next system moving into the west. It's what's creating all the wind that we're seeing today across Montana and Idaho and Washington and Oregon, Alberta. Snow on the way though into the northern Rockies up here uh into Montana, Idaho.

[00:05:59]you get really high up, I think, to get the snow on Thursday. But snow levels will start to crash down as we head toward the weekend by Thursday into Friday. Into the northeast, it's say showery and it's cool, too. Northwest flow around this cold pocket of air loft underneath it. A lot of misery, cool, cloudy, damp. Warmer though on the back side of this though, we start to see our next system move through uh toward the Great Lakes. That's going to bring a few rain showers and then much colder snow levels dropping across western British Columbia down along the coast here into the Cascades. Snow levels coming down on the volcanoes out here. So, it's going to be chilly with this next pocket of cold air. Snow stretching further east into the Canadian Rockies down into Mont western Montana, western Idaho. And are we could be looking at one heck of a late season snowstorm here into the mountains. And look how cold this area is dropping south.

[00:06:52]How about that? Maybe some snow into the Wasach range further north into Wyoming.

[00:06:58]A different story across the west than what we're seeing right now. It's going to be some pretty high elevation snow, but still colder weather on the way across this part of the country, even into the southwest, trying to show some rain into the four corner states and some much needed. We'll take anything we can get this year across Colorado, Utah, and further south into the uh four quarter states into Arizona, New Mexico.

[00:07:20]Heading into the weekend into the early part of next week. Now, you are in a summertime pattern. High pressure anchored off the east coast. You're bringing in some Gulf moisture at this point into Texas, into the central states. I think this sets up a corridor of some heavy rain. And again, the severe risk, you saw that Sunday into Monday from the Storm Prediction Center.

[00:07:42]And there comes your storms. And look at the next repeating round of rain and snow into the Pacific Northwest and western Canada as it stays cold out here. Now we're getting really long range. So let's just wait and see. The GFS hints at another cool shot of air heading toward the Great Lakes and Northeast by the 24th and 25th. We'll see. Here is the European for this afternoon. Starting off cool in many areas with even some frost today into the afternoon. That'll be a distant memories for a lot of areas as we climb into the 70s, even 80s further back to the west. St. Louis, really nice. How about 81°, 40s and 50s further north, we're kind of cool up here across Canada. Also across the northern US, Vermont, New Hampshire, the Green and White Mountains, barely getting out of the 40s. The Tugill Plateau, always a cool spot here into the Northeast. Even cool back toward Rochester and Buffalo. Tonight, cold into Maine. downright chilly. 20s, upper 20s across northern Maine, places like Fort Kent, get all the way up near the border. It's cold. And then tomorrow, a little bit warmer. I mean, we'll be in the 50s. But now you've got the rain to deal with and the clouds. So, your temperatures are going to be held back because of that. And then here comes that next cool shot of air. Warmer across the south, but a little bit cooler. How about that? We squatchch the seven or the 80s, I should say, all the way to the Gulf Coast. Now, we're in the 70s and 60s, 50s and 40s further north and east heading into Friday. How about a quick look at the weekend? Friday, it starts to get hot. Oh my gracious. 90s from Memphis north and west across Arkansas and Missouri. That heat starts to build east heading into Saturday across Tennessee. So from Memphis to Nashville to Knoxville to Bristol. It starts to get warm across Tennessee up to Louisville back to Lexington. Some rain showers possible into this region.

[00:09:25]That's going to keep your temperatures down just a little bit. But we also start to heat up further to the east from Philly to DC to Richmond to Newburn, North Carolina. I don't know.

[00:09:34]You figure it out. In between all the areas into the east coast, uh, warm even down to Florence, South Carolina, down to Savannah, Georgia, Mon, Georgia, down to Warner Robbins, Albany, Georgia. It's going to be warm here into the southeast. Downright hot in these interior areas, even from the upstate of South Carolina, Greenville, Spartanberg, up to Charlotte, hot. We could push 90 heading into Sunday. A little bit cooler heading into next week. But I mean, at least further back to the west, but baking here into the east still. I mean, we could push 90 up toward Philly and New York heading into next week. So, some big changes on the way. That doesn't last, though. Then we crash back down.

[00:10:16]Man, I'm telling you, it's a wild May.

[00:10:19]All right, here's a look at today. Uh, let's look at your early morning lows into today. Now, there we go. Words are hard on this Tuesday, so please forgive me. It's a live stream. If that was a recorded video, I'd stop cut it, but it is what it is. So, let me know down below if you like these live stream comments, mistakes and all. They're going to happen. I'm not perfect. Uh, hot across West Texas, 90s, even into parts of New Mexico, places like Amarillo, Luk, it's hot. Even back to all the way to the border here, really warm. And then back to Phoenix and Tucson, we're baking in the 100s.

[00:10:52]get up in elevation up near 7,000 ft up at Flagstaff. That helps you, but it's still going to be pretty warm up here, too. Uh close to 80° and then that heat just builds across West Texas through Wednesday into Thursday. It expands in fact north up into Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, hot. But look at this across the panhandle of Oklahoma to Kansas into the 90s. Remember the snow in Denver? I keep talking about that, but it's just wild to think we'd snowed not long ago and we're into the mid 80s, close to 90 in some areas that we're just seeing flakes and uh the European is getting really aggressive with this heat on Friday.

[00:11:28]Man, that's hot. Triple digits along the Red River, Dallas, Fort Worth into the 90s, 105 here across parts of Texas.

[00:11:38]Let's watch this. Could be really hot heading into the weekend. All right, further west heading into today, hot here, too. Especially across the northwest, Boisey, Salt Lake City. I know that's not the northwest, that's the inner mountain west, but you get up into eastern Oregon, Spokane, into the eastern valleys here. It's going to be baking into the 90s today. Tomorrow, that is a distant memory. Highs will be held back into the 60s. Some places may not get out of the 50s and even into the valleys. 40s. Not going to be uncommon either as a much cooler air mass takes shape across this part of North America.

[00:12:12]And then a little bit warmer heading into Thursday. We're back up into the 60s and at least close to 70. That's all I got for the video, guys. Subscribe, come back. Hope you have a great Tuesday. See you.