This video presents a strategic approach to stock selection focusing on three high-conviction stocks: Nebius Group (AI infrastructure with 684% revenue growth and partnerships with Microsoft and Meta), Amazon (AWS cloud computing with 28% growth and $150B ARR), and Microsoft (oversold technical setup with 15% quarterly growth). The strategy emphasizes identifying companies with strong catalysts, solid fundamentals, and favorable technical setups, while maintaining a concentrated portfolio with 90% in top picks and 10% in speculative plays like ServiceNow, Bitcoin, and silver.
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Deep Dive
Trading to $1M - 3 Stocks I'm Buying (2X Potential)Added:
In this video, I'm breaking down my absolute top three stocks for this year that have massive catalyst potential. We are officially pushing the portfolio to the next level. And today, I'm showing you my blueprint, the exact strategy I'm using to do it. While the rest of the market is chasing old headlines, I am focused on heavily accumulating in three stocks right now. a trillion dollar giant that's undervalued, a massive cloud ecosystem dominant player, and an AI infrastructure pure play that just broke out to all-time highs and its revenue has surged over 684% year-over-year. Now, if you've been following the channel, you know our ultimate goal here is trading a public portfolio all the way to a million and show you every single step of the way how we get there. Right now, the accounts are sitting at $144,459 as of May 15th. We're up 5,300 on the week, almost 19,000 over the last month.
And within these portfolios, we have the 1 million challenge account that we started at $3,000 back in November of 2024. We're up 5% on the week. And then we also have the selling options portfolio that we started in November of 2025 that's now up to $91,456.
Before I get into the charts, I do want to let you know that we do have a Discord community where I post all of my real-time entries and exits for free.
And we're also announcing a giveaway at 5,000 subscribers. We gave away a keyboard at 500 and a 36 in Samsung monitor at 1500. And the details will be announced soon. We're right now at around 3,000 subscribers. So, we got some time to go. As always, this is not financial advice. This is my personal opinion, but I'm just giving you a look into my actual strategy of how I'm growing these accounts. Let's hop into the charts. Our number one stock is Nebius Group. This is the stock that's the largest position in our public portfolios. It's quite simply an AI infrastructure play. They build data centers and rent out GPUs, but they're also fully integrated and have their own cloud. Uh so you'll see in headlines that they have two massive deals with Microsoft and Meta, these hyperscalers.
It's a total of 48 billion over five years. And really what Nebius's strategy is is using these hyperscalers to fund their own buildout of their own capacity, right? So they needed these deals to sell large clusters of GPUs, which is essentially just bare metal.
And they rent out those GPUs to Microsoft and Meta. There might be another deal coming soon, but they take that money and then they're able to build out their own capacity, which they have because they're fully integrated.
They provide their own AI cloud services as well as developer tools to other enterprises. So, not only are they renting to the hyperscalers, but they're also competing with the hyperscalers and finding their own end customers and models and LLMs that might use their their their cloud platform for inference, just all these AI workloads.
Essentially, what they're trying to do, what a lot of people call this is trying to become the AWS of AI, right? there's these new developers coming. They're using, you know, their workflows are quite different than traditional developers and Nebius is trying to capture the that market share, right?
They're trying to be the best with inference, which is obviously becoming a much bigger thing. Um, but you could see that the stock has rerated much higher over recent weeks. And we've been just buying this stock over and over again.
We have a lot of shares in the challenge account, 115 shares. We're up 143%. And then we're are utilizing these call debit spreads, which is essentially as long as the price is trading above the highest strike on these spreads, then we'll realize maximum profit by expiration. And you can see here we're deep in the money on all of these debit spreads. We've also taken quite a lot of profit already year to date on Nebius.
And since we're so deep in the money, what we have to do here on the chart is just kind of let time go by. And as long as we're trading over $150 by June, September, October, and December expiration, we will get the max profit on each one of those spreads, which is calculated by the difference in those strikes. Right? So, if it's five strikes wide, then the max profit per spread is $500 minus whatever you paid for it. But you can see that there is a lot of uh a breakout here that finally occurred after this consolidation period.
and we finally broke out higher. The market turned around, right? It definitely helped that the NASDAQ was screaming higher and really all the AI stocks have been just pushing along with that and that helped Nebia start to to gain some ground after retesting more previous highs here uh back in August.
We came down, we'd hit that level a few times. We kept buying the stock because the story and the narrative never changed for us. And then now the market is starting to realize it as well. and we're having this very strong move to the upside. Now, if I was looking to play this stock today, which I still am, I have exposure of course, but I want more of Nebius, and I'm being very patient, right? Because I don't want to keep buying up here, increasing my cost basis, and then there's a pullback on maybe the market, but also Nebus comes down. Of course, it's hard because what if Nebius just keeps pushing higher and higher, right? We're getting more coverage. There's articles with Seeking Alpha. Uh the average I think price target now is over 230 250, right? So, we're seeing a lot more coverage and there's more eyeballs on this stock.
It's picking up on socials and that's also part of the reason why it's starting to run. But we just recently had earnings and that's part of why we were using spreads. It kind of derisks us a bit with the implied volatility, the premiums of options, and we used a lot of spreads. We also sold some covered calls that we now are underwater on. So, we're going to have to sell some shares at like 185. We also sold some in our other selling options portfolio at like 170 and some others. So, we missed out on some gains, unfortunately. But, we are still very long and strong this stock. And really what I'm looking for now, if we take volume profile and try to analyze where this stock is, you can also look at gaps, which you can just search for gaps and indicators and it'll pull up and you can actually see where there's gaps in the price structure where there just hasn't been any volume and price traded during th those levels.
And you can see there's a gap that still remains open here. I typically like to draw my own gaps from the previous close and then wherever we've filled the gap.
so far. So you can see the actual gap here is really about 179 to 195. And that's the earnings gap. We gapped up because they beat earnings. They had really strong earnings. Like I said, they're growing 684%.
They're showing margin. I have a couple highlights here that I want to talk about and then I'll tell you how I'm going to actually play this stock with options as well as buying shares. But they increased their contracted power to 4 gawatt. Their demand is off the charts. Record pipeline generation. The CBO is talking about they have to turn away customers because they're just capacity constrained. Everything they build, they sell. They It's just flying off the shelf. So, right now, obviously, the AI trade is is very bullish and they're really putting everything together. They're building the whole cake in allowing investors to train as well as do inference on their models or on their GPUs. But you can see they have Nvidia's also invested them in them. So they have the stamp of approval on Microsoft Meta and Nvidia. They also have made two acquisitions for in inference optimization providing inference at scale and and really this is all about speed, right? If you can squeeze more tokens out of each GPU, right? So I guess the best way of putting this is say like you can generate a 100 tokens per GPU right today. Well the cost is starting to become very expensive. And so if you can squeeze and utilize your GPUs at a higher rate that will also improve your margins on your business you'll be more efficient which drives more money to the bottom line. You can recognize a greater margin. And if you can increase this 100 tokens per GPU per second, we'll say uh to 125 or 150, then you are being more efficient and therefore you have more pricing power. You can either keep the prices the same or even lower them compared to your competitors. You'll get more business and then you're still recognizing either the same margin or even better better margins. So if you could become more efficient on inference, which is definitely where the market is going, then you can be more effective and obviously that's going to not only drive more revenue, but even potentially more uh net income profit to the bottom line. So you're seeing that they're targeting roughly 40% adjusted EBA margin in 2026. They reiterated their guidance of 79 billion in ARR, which is about 3 to 4 billion in total revenue for 2026. So, not really any change there. They just reiterated that, which is which is good. They've raised more cash, so they might not have to dilute anytime soon. Although, they are getting new owned sites with a 1.2 gawatt factory in Pennsylvania as well as 300 megawws in Finland. So, they are geographically diverse, which is another reason why I like them. Of course, the the talent and how they're able to deploy all this capacity across different continents is also, you know, a a moat, an edge that they might they might have over companies that are just only in the United States, especially now that you're starting to see a lot of push back and cancellations and delays on building data centers in the United States. Um, but overall, their their earnings were very very positive. um they've secured a lot of capital, good cash balance. We we are seeing this gap up higher, right? So, we saw this nice little gap and then the next day there was a bunch of price upgrades. We even pushed all the way up to 233. Now, we're starting to chop a little bit, but it's actually holding this range really well. And it's certainly possible at a 55 billion market cap that this could continue going higher. I would actually prefer, even though I'm long the stock and I have exposure, for this stock to come back down to this gap. the 195 area to even just the more previous highs here at 198 is kind of like a decent spot to start selling cash secured puts, maybe buying some shares and then or even longerdated call options is how I'm thinking of it. Um, which is just a little bit more riskadverse because it's certainly possible that we could get back into this gap. Now, I don't know if that's actually going to happen, but around 195 is 198 and 195 is definitely areas where I want to scale in over time. You know, when I like to think about buying a stock, it's kind of like I want to get to 100% on a on a position, right? Which is only like a percentage of your portfolio, but I want to allocate all $100, for instance. But first, I'll only put $30 in. Then I'll put like $40 in and then I'll put the last 30 in if it sells more, right? But that way I'm getting exposure because there's a chance that it might not get all the way down here and fill this gap to 179. It might just bounce 195 around 200 and then just start going back up again because there's so much interest and demand on this stock. So that's really what I'm looking for right now is Nebius for it to come back down and then if it can come back down then that's going to be a pretty good position to to load more into buy some some higher strikes take a little bit more risk because ultimately I do think the stock is going to push much much higher over the coming months um and definitely over the coming years. The way that I would look at this is, and I I can drop this link in the description below, but this is just a little model that was built on Claude, and it talks about how its ARR is going to increase over time. 8 billion for this year, 15.5 for next year, 2540. By 2030, they could be doing $60 billion in annual recurring revenue at 40% adjusted Ebida margins. It's just absolutely massive for a company that's only trading at a $55 billion market cap. So, I'm very bullish. Even looking at these multiples, you can see how price actually grows over time. Right now, for 2026, this model has it at $275. It could certainly squeeze a bit higher than that. And I think that 300 is definitely within range this year. It could even get to $400 this year as more and more of the earnings come out and if they show that they're executing. But as we go into 2027, if assuming they execute on everything and there's no recession, you could see closer to 500, 671, you can see how it scales up over time.
$900 and then even $1,100 over time, which would be a multiund billion market cap for this business, which I definitely think it can get to, right?
Because I don't see AI slowing down anytime uh soon and definitely not in the future. AI is here to stay. And so looking at this stock, zooming out here on the weekly chart. Of course, it's not going to get up there all in one day, but it's going to take some time for things to to continue to push higher.
Um, but like I said, you got to be just patient, right? You got to let the stock kind of come to you. You don't want to keep chasing it over and over again. Our second highest conviction stock is none other than Amazon. It is our number two positions in our portfolios. And as you can see here in recent weeks, it finally broke to all-time highs. Last year, it was a bit slow and sluggish and kind of trailed a lot of the MAG7 stocks. As you can see in 2024, even through 2025, it just didn't really rally as much as like some other stocks like Google, which was just kind of up and to the right. And you can see, you know, through 2024, 2025, it just kept pushing higher and higher, which was definitely a good stock to own last year. And really that was on the back of Google showing that their TPU chips were validated and a cost-effective alternative to Nvidia chips. But now Amazon is breaking higher on the back of not only anthropics growth, right, which is tightly integrated into Amazon's ecosystem, but now they're, you know, starting to do some deals with Google and things like that. And that's why Google's also running. Um, but it turns out that their Tranium and Tranium 2 chips are, you know, validated as well, right? So, the TPU story from last year on Google is now happening with Amazon. And you had this very strong move to the upside here in recent weeks from around $21. It ran 38% above all-time highs. It just sliced right through. Also benefited from the the NASDAQ just rallying to all-time highs, but now we're just sitting above all-time highs here. And very similar to how Nebius when we played uh this initial breakout um above 141 and then we bought the dip on the retest. We're doing the same thing here on Amazon, right? Previous highs here were at $259.
It's kind of falling a little bit more in in recent weeks. It's having a bit of a pullback. It could definitely fall a little bit under this this level if the market pulls back because right now the market is just roaring to the upside. Of course, Friday was a bit of a pullback day with option expiration. Um, but what we're really looking to see here is if we can fill this gap or if we're going to come back down and retest previous highs, which is definitely very possible. Um, there's not really much gaps besides back here when they made that original announcement and then we just took off to the upside, but I'm just scaling more into this stock. This one's in a better position where Nebius is a little bit higher to actually be scaling into this. And the reason I why I like it here, of course, is we can look at AWS, which is growing very rapidly. This is a high margin business.
It's at 150 billion in ARR. They're starting to accelerate. They're up 28% and you can see how how their growth is accelerating. They're the number one player in the space. Of course, Google's GCP and Azure are are catching up and they're growing at a faster clip, but Amazon is is still the largest most dominant player and that is going to continue to accelerate here in the next several months. And so, I think Amazon is going to have a stellar Q2.
Um, there's other some some other headlines that I also like. uh of course they're they're diversifying not just in open AI but they're also or anthropic but they're also agreeing to invest into open AI so they have both horses in the race that will also protect their e-commerce business if if the future consumers are buying things through chat GBT rather than going to AWS directly or they're using agents uh to Amazon I rather than AWS but nonetheless um they are doing well with training Bedrock has seen like a massive explosion in customer growth over the last quarter.
It's it's it's relatively new. They're building a new $25 billion data center cluster for Enthropic in Mississippi.
They're expanding their partnership 13 billion for another $20 billion in infrastructure. And then of course uh which is more of like a little this is a leverage circular uh financing play. Um, but nonetheless, that is that is bullish as long as there's demand in the marketplace. And then they maintain that they're only going to do 200 billion in capex, which is a little bit on the lower end compared to some others like Meta. So, you know, their their cash flow might be a bit better um from that perspective. But really, the play here is just around AWS, right? if AWS, which there's some forecast saying that it could go from $150 billion to well over 300, even up to 500 plus billion dollars. And at like a 40% uh a margin, operating margin, that is extremely bullish. Standing at a $2.84 84 trillion market cap. Like we might see this thing closer to five or even $6 trillion in the future if there wasn't any sort of recession, which I still think there might be sometime in the next 8 to 18 months, give or take. So, we'll definitely want to sell out of this position if we think things are running a little bit too hot. But here in this window that we have for this year, I'm very bullish on Amazon and it's coming down to that technical level right around 259 and we're just scaling into this position. We currently have $5,500 in options. We're up 31% on this position even with the the recent pullback and we're starting to scale into this position. So, I really like Amazon. I'd like to buy some more.
Really, if we get a bit of a pullback in the market, Amazon comes down. Even if it comes down to, let's just look at volume profile.
If we pull this over here, you can see that, you know, we might come back down.
There's some low volume gaps in here.
251, 256. I'm not really too worried because I'm buying longerdated call contracts. The further it falls, the more aggressive I'll be because the risk return ratio, that slope starts to tilt into your favor as the stock price heads lower. Right? Because the market doesn't move in straight lines. It likes to go up. It consolidates for a period of time and it'll have another extended move higher. Now, it's might be entering into a consolidation period for quite some time and then it's going to probably explode higher and break this more recent high at some point in the future.
So, we'll see how things play out. Of course, like we've seen a lot of uh people buying into Amazon over, you know, the SEC 13F filings in the recent week. Um Amazon's just a is a great company and Jazz starting to actually perform a bit better on earnings, but I really like buying Amazon here going into July's uh expected Q2 earnings. Um so I think this stock can definitely take off and rerate higher. I think the growth that we saw in a AWS this quarter to 28% is probably going to be over 30% in in Q2. So starting to accelerate there and and that's why I'm so bullish.
Highest conviction stock number three is Microsoft. Microsoft had a brutal wash out in October going into March and that's really due to like the software narrative. Obviously, Microsoft had some de some issues with Open AI and OpenAI is no longer an exclusive partner.
They're starting to partner with others and get investments from others, but Microsoft had this massive wash out and it actually came all the way back down to its 200 weekly moving average at 383 and was actually trading underneath this for a period of time, which if you follow some people like Charlie Munger, if you could have the patience to buy uh any stock, any good company under its 200 weekly moving average, you would make a ton of money in the long term.
And lo and behold, Microsoft somehow actually dropped roughly 35% 36% um below its weekly moving average, which was a great time to start buying and averaging into a company that's has very high operating margins. It's still growing like 15% quarter over quarter at a company of this size. It's it's very bullish. But what you can see here from a technical perspective is actually very bullish. But before I cover the chart and where I think price is headed, there's some been some recent news here.
Of course, Bill Aman, he just sold his Google position, which wasn't really a bet against the company. Um, but at current valuations, he was fine to switch over from Google and invest all all into Microsoft, right? So, that's very bullish. He sold everything. It's a core holding. Began building the position in February. So, it looks like he was taking Charlie Munger's advice and starting to actually buy into this stock under the 200 weekly moving average. And then you have things like Bill and Melinda Gates's foundation selling 100% of their Microsoft position, 7.7 million shares. They sold 100% of Microsoft. They more than likely sold the bottom. They sold the dip. Um, but nonetheless, I'm very bullish on Microsoft and we are starting to build a position in the 1 Million Challenge account. Right now, we're just using some options. We have two debit spreads.
I I probably should have put through more money into this. It's $730. We're already up 37%.
Um, obviously, the news broke on Friday, which was very positive for the stock, even during the market selloff. Um, so that's very bullish. And as I covered in recent videos, we are starting to see a bit of this uh inverted head and shoulders, which is a bit of a technical thing. It's a pattern. And it's not always going to play out, but you see, you have the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder. And this is the neckline. And now we're starting to see this push to the upside back to this gap that remains open. I do think we are going to see a test of this gap here in the coming days or weeks. Depending on what the market does though, I would like to just continue to scale into this position because I think that it's definitely very oversold, more oversold than all the other MAG 7 stocks right now. We could get this move to 440 and start pushing into this gap. We might see a bit of a a consolidation here for a period of time, right? Because the market likes to move in waves. So, we might come up here, flag out, and then try to push through this gap. There is a low volume node here right around 468.
That's probably a decent area to take profit or maybe place some spreads in this like 450 to 470 range. I'd probably push that out a little bit longer just because the market is more than likely going to have a pullback. But nonetheless, I am very bullish on on Microsoft and really just the overall stock market, right? Of course, there's been a very large push in a lot of the AI stocks. Nvidia has been making new highs. It was up to like 5.6 trillion in market cap. Of course, like AMD and a lot of these other computer stocks have been doing well. Um, but Microsoft is definitely lagging behind a lot of those. And I think that there's at least a some decent amount of of ground here to cover. I probably will try to get out of the position around 480 and stick more into Amazon cuz or Nebius, right?
Like you have to kind of play some of your stocks within your portfolio against each other. But at least right now, I think even if you're buying here with some longer dates, that's very solid even on this 3% day that it had.
Um, but if it comes back down and there there's a bit of a g a breakaway gap here, like this would be a great play in 409 to 412 range to be buying more into this position. Uh, it also kind of like filled this this previous bare gap. So, that's pretty bullish. It also filled this previous bare gap. So, you're seeing price action start to flip a bit bullish. And just look at all this volume that came in here, right? So, right now there's a lot of people who are very bullish this stock and we could definitely see this continue up and to the right here in the coming days um as well as weeks. So, definitely not a bad play here if you're looking to long Microsoft going into 450 467 and 480 later this year. Now, for some of the more speculative plays, these are shortdated call option type of plays or you could even swing trade it. The first one is Service Now, right? So service now it's a cloud platform. It helps you manage and automate uh like your HR IT and customer service department. So it's not really sexy on the surface. Um but you can if you look at software the overall sector has just been getting destroyed because can AI replace all software? But now you're starting to see a bit of a reversal in that. I think the fears are a bit overblown and we could definitely see a bit more of a rotation into some of these software plays. And right now, Service Now is redhot on social media. You're seeing a break out of this downtrend, which is is very bullish. It's trading well below its 50, 100, and 200 day moving average, as well as its 200 weekly moving average. So, we could definitely see a bit of a a bounce and recovery, at least somewhat of a a a rally here in the coming weeks. But it finally broke out of this downtrend on Friday a against a red market, right?
Every all the the indexes were down.
We're starting to see this rally push higher. There's a bit of a gap that remains open. So, we're going to have to get through that gap. That's the first line of defense. But if we can break through that and get over $104, it's going to be very bullish for a move towards 126. And there's a slight little gap up to 1291 130ish area. Um, so these are like the the key levels that I'm looking at here in the coming weeks. But the reason I'm so bullish on this, of course, is Nvidia and Service Now partner on new autonomous AI agents for enterprises, which the CEO is is quite the character. I think he even has a glass eye. So quite an interesting guy compared to uh Jensen. Um, but you are seeing Jensen who's very bullish on Service Now. He's talking about the software. You're just seeing a lot of interest in recent weeks on Service Now.
Um, you know, Trump is even buying Service Now stock, which is very bullish. He bought uh, you know, 100 50 to 100K, 100K to 250K, 1 million to $5 million, all purchases, no sales, eight times in 2026. So, he's also been buying the dip on this. So I think it's uh you have Jensen and you have Trump the administration administration uh backing this company. So we could definitely see this breakout. You also saw higher volume on the breakout on this day. So that's also a bullish signal for this to continue higher. Uh right now trying to get through this like 9557 area. We rejected a little bit filled some of the gap. uh we'd like to just break back through here and start pushing through this gap which is this really this zone of resistance uh from 97 to 103 then 104 of of course if I was looking to play this which I actually am already into this account I've added service now call options I'm believe I'm just playing spreads on this one you could play naked call options as well especially if it makes a crazy run then you're going to make some pretty good returns but $530 we have three debit spreads from 95 to 100, 105 to 110. So, pretty safe positions because 95 to 100 or even to 110 is really not that big of a a move here, especially if we see that reversal on software. It's only like a 13% move. If you want to be a bit more risky, you could definitely buy some like naked call options at 105, 110, 115. You could even buy 120 and and see if it can make this move towards, you know, all the way through this gap and start squeezing a bit higher towards 125 to 130. I definitely think it can get there. You're starting to see AI stocks and memory stocks kind of wobble, right? Like the Korean index was down, Micron's a bit down.
You're seeing these companies starting to wobble a bit and they're more than likely going to have some sort of consolidation pattern because this has just been an absolutely crazy run over the last several quarters and now these stocks are starting to cool off. I think you're going to see a bit more of a rotation into companies like Service Now. Next up, we have none other than Bitcoin. So Bitcoin, it's been in this this uptrend, right? So this bare flag was kind of invalidated. 65 to 74K, this range we were trading in for a period of time in this higher volume shelf from all of this price and volume that we had back in 2024. That area held as support.
Bulls were able to come in and start to support price. And now we are pushing back into this low lower volume shelf between 78,000 all the way up to 85K. We got into a little past the midpoint of this lower volume area and we're starting to see a bit of a rejection.
That's just because the market's starting to pull back a bit. You're seeing a lot more chatter with the Clarity Act coming um in in the next couple months. We'll see if that passes in June or July. Um but that could be at least in the near term some some tailwinds for the stock price uh or the value of Bitcoin rather to push up towards this 85 to 86k. I would really like to see this make a move higher towards 97 to 101,000 um which is where this this lower volume node is right around 100k. So the probably the best way and the way that I'm playing this is is buying uh strategy call debit spreads. Obviously it's a very risky position. This is very speculative. But if Bitcoin gets to 86, 95, 100,000, MSTR, which is really like a leveraged Bitcoin play, will probably push to 226, which is where I'm I'm looking to take profit on most of these uh spreads that I have. Um, you can see I'm actually believe I'm down on this position 22%. We're probably going to add more into this position as it, you know, if there's still a bit of a softening. We already made some decent money on this initial run to 183. Um, but now we're starting to average back into this position now that we're consolidating. And then hopefully we can get this this next leg higher towards definitely towards 197, which you could trim on and then maybe even up to 220 to 226.
That's definitely the area where I'm looking to take profit on this next move higher. We're just looks like we're kind of reversing and this was even in like a longer term almost like an inverted head and shoulders with the left shoulder.
Price held pretty well down here. Maybe we'll come back down to 155 if things start to sell off in the market. U but then I'll just average more into this position with some later dates or maybe even shorter dates or or lower strikes down to 183 to that 200 range. I definitely think Bitcoin is sleeping right now. We had the big correction.
We're starting to rally once again.
There's definitely some more meat on the bone here. We're holding 78K right now.
Hopefully, we can hold that. Otherwise, 74K is where I'm going to time those next purchases on MSTR. I might buy some here this week, just depending on how price action looks. Um, but nonetheless, maybe we'll come back down to 74.
Probably start buying the dip on that again since I'm bullish into the end of the year. And then hopefully we can see a bit more of a rally. Usually when the market is in a rotation and things are rallying once again and you have this crazy riskon move and it's euphoric and things like that, usually what you'll see last is like meme stocks and cryptocurrency starting to run. And once those have rotated into and start popping to the upside, then you kind of know that you're at the end of a market rally and you'll want to take profit not only on cryptocurrency, but mostly on the index or other equity positions.
Definitely anything that you're leveraged into will start scaling out and taking profit into those. The last thing I want to touch on is I'm actually bullish on on silver and metal. Um, of course, we had a really big sell-off and a part of that is like yields are starting to push really hard. Uh, you know, inflation maybe starting to pick back up. The 10 year is at 4.6%.
The 20 years is back over 5.1%.
a lot of the PPI was higher and that's just because oil has been trending over $100 a barrel. We'll see what happens there. Um if there's a further escalation, obviously that could cause a bit more of like this inflation scare and and whether or not Kevin Walsh, the new Fed chair, is going to maybe start tapering the balance sheet, which would be quantitative tightening, or maybe he's even going to raise rates, right?
That could spook the markets a little bit. I don't think he's actually going to do it. Um, but depending on what he says at the June FOMC, we could see, you know, a bit of a pullback. But right now, I'm still very bullish on silver and metal. We're seeing a bit of a retest here from a technical perspective. So, this is a pretty solid entry as long as we hold this trend line. Obviously, if we break back down below it, then, you know, silver could definitely fall quite a bit more. So, we got to keep an eye on yields as well as inflation, CPI, PPI data over the coming weeks. But I'm probably going to add a bit more into my silver position.
I'm playing the the ETF SLV. We had this big gap down. Unfortunately, we got pretty caught up here in some positions on silver. Um but we're probably going to average down into this position here.
Um as more of a speculative play, right?
This is not something where I'm putting like 90% of my portfolio into it. We're probably going to play with only like two to 4% max on on these positions.
We're really trying to stick with the winners, right? Last year we were speculating on a lot of different stocks and you know at some point you just have too many stocks in your portfolio. Right now we're trying to concentrate it into the top three stocks that are safer plays.
Put all most of our money, 90% of of that into it and then maybe do like these two to 4% bets on Service Now, Silver, Bitcoin, maybe some other stocks that look like they're in a good technical setup. And you know that's only going to be maybe 10% in totality of our portfolio. And that way we're protecting oursel, right? If things go down, then we're not losing as much because these stocks are going to move a lot more relative to, you know, something like an Amazon or a Microsoft that's not really going to move nearly as much as something like Bitcoin, MSTR, Service Now. So, I hope you enjoyed this video. Let me know what your thoughts are. If there's anything else you want me to cover, any other stock picks, I'll answer you in the comments. Make sure you guys join the Discord where I post everything for free. And I'll see you in the next video, guys. Peace.
>> Heard from somebody. You heard from somebody. No, Alex. No. Sorry.
Benny Cleger over
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