The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that the 2026 monsoon season will bring below-normal rainfall across most of India, with only 90% of the Long Period Average expected, while the Northeast region may receive normal rainfall; the department also warns of heat waves in June across states like Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and parts of West Bengal, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and Gujarat, with El Niño conditions predicted to develop during the monsoon season.
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Weather Upadate Today : Monsoon 2026 देगा झटका | IMD Alert | Heavy Rain | India's Weather UpdateAdded:
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday released its forecast for the second phase of monsoon 2026. The department said that this year the monsoon rainfall across the country may be only 90% of the long-term target. The Meteorological Department said that there is a possibility of normal rainfall in the North East this monsoon season.
But the rest of the country may receive less than normal rainfall. The second stage long-term forecast for the southwest monsoon has warned that this year the monsoon will be weaker than normal.
According to the Meteorological Department, there is a possibility of heat wave and severe heat in June.
Dr. M. Ravichandran, Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Delhi and Dr. Mrityunjay Mahapatra, Director General, IMD shared the weather forecasts at a press conference.
An update has been released today regarding the rainfall forecast made on April 13th for the upcoming monsoon season and according to this update, the total rainfall in the country between June 1st and September 30th is likely to be below normal and if we talk about different provinces of the country, some parts of South India like Eastern parts and some parts of North Eastern States, some parts of North East India like Jammu Kashmir, Ladakh and areas may receive normal to above normal rainfall and in the remaining parts, there is a possibility of below normal rainfall in most of the places.
If we talk about the month of June, is there any possibility of monsoon in the entire country in June? The forecasts we have released today for June.
According to this, if we look at the average rainfall of the entire country, it is likely to be below normal.
But here we can talk about Eastern part of South India, some parts of North Western India, North Eastern States and some part of West Central India and some part of Central India.
There may be normal to normal rainfall now.
And it may billow and make landfall in the remaining areas. Is there any possibility of heat wave, Sir?
We saw it in the month of June and the entire country was troubled in May. As the temperature usually increases until the monsoon arrives and heat wave conditions also develop in heat prone areas like Central India, North East India and Eastern India.
According to our heat wave forecast given today, all the states in the prone areas like Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, after this, southern parts of West Bengal, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, in all these states, there will be two-three days more than normal, that means heat conditions will be normal, that means heat conditions. Usually, there are two to four heat days in this area. This time there will be more heat wave days for two-three more days.
Apart from this, in other areas like Telangana and Chhattisgarh, heat conditions can now become normal wherever there is isolated pressure.
We should take more care of Gujarat and Eastern Coast because apart from high temperature, humidity is also high there.
Talking about Delhi NCR, what will be its situation in Century? See, we do not give any location specific seasonal or monthly forecast.
But in general, as we told you, in all the areas which fall under the Indo-Pacific region, namely Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab and Uttar Pradesh, there is a possibility of heat conditions being more than normal.
What is the condition of Elno in the Pacific Ocean and how much impact will it have on the monsoon this year? Currently, neutral conditions are prevailing. There is no Elino in the Pacific Ocean, there is Nalinna, which is predicted that Elino conditions will develop during the monsoon season and this transition is going on right now, probably starting from June, Elino conditions will remain till September and this condition will gradually move from weak Elino to moderate Elino conditions.
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