3 NBA Props in Cavs vs Pistons

Added: 2026-05-16

[00:00:00]First, we're going to do Donovan Mitchell over 26 and 1/2 points at minus 132. He was the star of game three at 35 points in the win. Second straight game for him with at least 31 points. In this series, he's averaging 22.3 22.3 shot attempts and nine of which have come from behind the arc. So, he's got a lot of shots, a lot of three-pointers. During the regular season, he averaged 28.7 points per game and shot 49.3% from the field at home.

[00:00:27]In five home playoff games, he's scored at least 30 points three times.

[00:00:32]Elevated usage rate, lots of minutes at home. I like him to go over 26 and 1/2 points. And then, staying in that same game, my guy Tobias Harris over 24 and 1/2 points and rebounds at minus 115. We have been hammering the over on his points line. It's been like 16 and 1/2, 17 and 1/2. Well, it's 18 and 1/2 for this game.

[00:00:53]I would still lean over, but let's throw the rebounds in here to get this to one I feel a little bit more comfortable with. He has been their second best player during this playoff run for the Pistons. Over the 10 games, he's averaged 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds.

[00:01:07]Nine straight games with at least 25 combined points and rebounds. He's averaging 36 minutes and 16.5 shot attempts per game in the playoffs. Those are significantly higher than his season marks. In this role that Harris is in right now, I like him to go over 24 and 1/2 points and rebounds.

[00:01:26]NBA Larry Hartstein, you've got a pick for us.

[00:01:29]Yeah, I'm going to Jarrett Allen over 12 and 1/2 points in this game four. We have seen him look very comfortable the last couple of games. Seven of nine and then seven of nine again, 40 points. And I just love the looks that he's getting because James Harden, Donovan Mitchell are driving. He's using the pick and roll, but he's also putting the ball on the floor and blowing by Jalen Duren.

[00:01:51]This is a a match-up that he really enjoys. And it's a match-up that is keeping him on the floor for over 30 minutes. 31 minutes, 32 minutes because Detroit does have a lot of size. The Cavs are not going to go small. So, I know we there was a game I Mikey B will remember it a few weeks ago a couple weeks ago when everybody was on Jared Allen and he picked up three fouls. I think it was in like five minutes, sat the rest of the half, didn't get there at all. That is the one worry you have with Jared Allen is those early fouls.

[00:02:20]If he gets two quick ones, you know, and then he sits and he comes back a little antsy and gets the third one. Other than that scenario, I really love Jared Allen in this matchup. Over 12 and a half points, this would be the fifth time in six games if he cashes it.