In game show scenarios, contestants must weigh the probability of winning high-value prizes against the certainty of receiving smaller guaranteed amounts, demonstrating fundamental principles of risk assessment and expected value calculation.
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Let's Make A Deal | 1984 | Monty Hall | Big Deal: $8,202本站添加:
[MUSIC PLAYING] - It's time for the all new "Let's Make a Deal," starring TV's big dealer, Monty Hall.
[APPLAUSE AND CHEERING] - Thank you very much. Thank you.
Thank you and welcome.
Welcome to the audience with me.
You don't need any money.
You came loaded with dough, right over here.
We've got people from all over the place who came down to see us today.
Welcome.
Hope you enjoy the all new "Let's Make a Deal" right now.
And I'm going to select somebody for the first deal is going to really enjoy themselves.
And that's going to be right over here, Janie Hall.
Janie, I got something for you right now, a chance to earn just $1.
And if you can earn that buck, this is what it could buy for you.
Take a look behind that curtain.
$1 buys you a brand new car.
Tell us about it, won't you, Brian?
- It's a Volkswagen Rabbit four-door sedan equipped with front wheel drive, air conditioning, AM/FM stereo, and sunroof.
From Bob Smith Volkswagen. It sells for $8,750, but we're adding tax and license, so this deal is worth $9,490.
And now Janie, I'm sure you'd like that car.
- I would love it. - You would love that car.
Here's how you get it.
Four wallets over here.
Four wallets.
One of them contains a $1 bill.
The others contain more than $1.
You select one of the clutch purses.
So if you select the one that has $1, I'm going to let you buy that car with it.
Brian, would you tell us what kind of clutch purses these are? - Yes, I will.
- How nice of you.
- These are Rolfs featherweight calculator clutch purses.
Soft leather in six tempting colors, with a handy calculator.
From Rolfs.
Each one sells for $27.50.
- And you may select anyone that you want, Janie, and hope that there's a single dollar bill in it.
If there is, you got yourself a car.
Now, take a purse.
- I'll go for the blue one. - OK.
You're going to go for the blue one.
OK, that's because you're wearing green, right?
Makes good sense.
All right, now that you've got that purse hoping there's a dollar bill in it, I'm going to let you trade it off for a sure thing before we look and see if there's $1 in it. Wait a minute.
Let me take a little peek in here.
I just want to see if I-- if I know what I'm doing here.
[HUMMING] OK, so I know.
OK.
I'm going to show you a sure thing right behind curtain number 2.
Open up the curtains.
So Janie that I will give her this love seat and chair no questions asked.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - This lovely tuxedo-style love seat and matching chair are coordinated with reversible pillows.
Made of durable cotton polyester and designed for contemporary living from Selig.
The pair sells for $1,228.
- All right, there is what you have, $1,228 Sure thing, if you want to sell off right now and give me back this wallet.
However, before you do, before you do, let me show you that, in the green one, had you chosen the green one, which matched your overalls so nicely, there was not $1, but there was $1,500.
And that's why I mentioned you didn't even go for the same color as what you were wearing.
However, you never know what's inside that one.
Could be $2,000, or it could be $1.
And if it's $1, it's the car.
How do you feel about it?
- Sick.
- Oh, don't be sick, don't be sick.
I'll tell you what.
Let's take a look and see what we could add to that deal right now, in case you wanted to call off this deal.
Add to that furniture this color television set.
[APPLAUSE AND CHEERING] - It's a 25-inch color television with wireless remote control and 105 cable channels with matching stand from Sharp.
This set retails for $925.
So this deal is now worth $2,153.
- Before you make up your mind, before you make up your mind, let's take a look at the red first and see what was inside there.
You didn't choose the red.
And in the red, there was a $500 bill.
So now we've seen $1,500, we've seen $500.
But neither of the ones had the $1 bill.
So it's either the one that you're holding or the one that's still on the table.
One of them has to have $1.
I'm offering you a $2,153 sure thing to call off the deal.
It's either here, or it's there.
- I'm going to go for the TV and the couch and the lamp.
- You're going to go for the sure thing, $2,193.
[APPLAUSE] Before I look in there, the one that was left on the table for me had the $1 bill in it.
So from that standpoint, you made a good deal.
However, the one that you were holding wasn't half bad because the one that you were holding had $1,000 in cash.
- That's OK. I'm real happy.
- So you couldn't lose on this deal no matter what you did.
- Thanks a lot.
- But you got the $2,000 sure thing.
- Thank you so much. - Janie Hall.
Oh, you too.
Thank you so much.
[MUSIC PLAYING] Well, there was a case where $1,000 could buy-- $1 could buy a car.
In my next deal, something about $2 could buy an $8,000 deal.
We'll be right back.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - OK, now I said in this deal something worth almost $2 is going to be worth $8,000.
And I'm going to give that opportunity to you right now.
This is Teri Geiger? - Mm-hmm.
- OK.
Now we're going to go down to our little trading floor here.
And we're going to look at some items.
And we're going to give you a chance to select an item.
And if you can make the right selection, why, I'm going to let you have this for the item that you select if it's right.
Open up curtain number 3 and show her this luxurious mink.
- [INAUDIBLE] has created the epitome of elegance in this stunning new fur fashion.
Mink swirled in the brandy shade for this stroller-length coat from Dicker and Dicker of Beverly Hills.
It's appraised at $8,000.
[APPLAUSE AND CHEERING] - Teri Geiger, that coat can be yours in the next few moments because all you have to do is pick an item from these five items on the table that sells for exactly $1.95.
We're talking about manufacturer's suggested retail selling price on the West Coast.
You pick the right item, that coat is yours, OK?
Let's have Brian describe the five items, and then you make your selection.
Brian?
- First, Listerine Antiseptic helps fight plaque and bad breath twice a day for better oral hygiene.
Listerine Antiseptic.
Next, try Alpine sugar-free spiced cider, sweetened with Nutrasweet and enriched with vitamin C. Add hot or cold water for a delicious apple drink.
Then Aspercreme, for relief of minor arthritis pain without pill side effects.
Aspercreme's non-aspirin formula penetrates relief where you hurt. Use as directed.
And a 21-ounce box of Success, the boil-in-bag rice.
Cooks in 10 minutes.
No measuring, no mess.
Once you've switched to Success, nothing else will do.
And finally, a 16-ounce box of Quaker Corn Bran cereal.
It's the better bran.
It has 25% more fiber than bran flake cereals, plus a sunny, toasty corn taste.
Now, Teri, you've seen five items.
All I want you to do is select one sells for exactly $1.95.
Is it the mouthwash, the cider mix, the pain aid, the rice, or the cereal?
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] - The cider mix.
- She chooses the cider mix, right?
Everybody agree with that?
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] No?
She's wrong?
If she's wrong, you come over here.
You come over here.
If she's wrong, you tell me which one it was.
- The Aspercreme.
- OK, now before we decide, we show what you've selected, or what you've selected, to see whether it's $1.95, let's choose the-- why don't we choose the antiseptic, the mouthwash right at the beginning, and see if that sold for $1.95.
No, that sold for $2.09.
So all of those that you chose, the mouthwash, wrong.
OK, now there are four left.
And Karen, you chose the pain aid, right?
I'll tell you what I'll do with you.
If we turn over, and it's $1.95, you've got a fur.
- Right.
- If you want to sell out the deal right now and do better than the Dodgers are doing this year, I'll let you have what's in the box on the floor right there.
Let's show her what's inside the box and see if she wants to take what's behind the box right now.
And back of the box there are two gorgeous kitchen appliances.
This double-oven Tappan range features a big microwave oven on top with tap and touch controls, self-cleaning convection air lower oven, gas-saving pilotless edition from Tappan.
It retails for $1,989.95.
And for more help in the kitchen, a Whirlpool portable convertible or under-counter dishwasher, with [INAUDIBLE] door, super scour cycle, and exclusive in-the-door silverware basket.
It sells for $469.
Total value of this deal, $2,458.95.
- If you're right, you've got an $8,000 coat.
If you're wrong, you've got nothing.
There's a sure thing for you, $2,400.
Karen Vogel, what do you want?
- I'll take the box.
- And now I'm going to show you-- I'm going to show you what the pain aid sold for that you chose.
The pain aid, $1.95?
No, $1.89.
So aren't you lucky? Thank you.
- Thank you. - You can sit down there.
Thank you, dear.
You can go back to your seat with $2,400.
Not bad, eh?
All right.
So we've seen two now that are not right.
Getting a little better for you, huh?
- OK.
And you chose the cider mix.
So why don't I show you a price on the rice?
A price on the rice was not $1.95.
It was $1.75.
So we've seen three incorrect ones.
It's now down to either the cider mix or the cereal.
One of them does sell for $1.95.
And one of them is your choice.
So remember, I gave her a $2,400 sure thing, and I'll do the same thing to you.
If you want that sure thing, we can sell off your-- your choice right now.
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] All right, Teri says no.
She wants to go all the way, right, Teri?
So you little green monster, I'll tell you what I'll do with you.
Add to that $2,400 worth of merchandise $500 in cash.
Making it $2,900 all together.
I forgot about these things. $2,900 is my offer.
$2,400 in merchandise, $500 in cash.
I'll make that $600 in cash to make it an even $3,000 right now to call off this deal.
- I'll take it.
- She's going to take $600 in cash and $2400 in merchandise.
A total of $3,000 for Teri Geiger.
The price on the cereal was $1.85, which means the cider mix was $1.95, and you had the $8,000 coat.
She had it.
She sold it off.
But she's got $3,000.
And that ain't bad to take back to Mars.
Thank you very much, Teri.
[MUSIC PLAYING] [ALARM BLARES] I have a question for you, do-- [APPLAUSE AND CHEERING] --that sound-- that sound means-- that sound means our very special door number 4 is coming up, friends.
It means that somebody on the trading floor can now went up to $10,000 in cash.
Lately, we've been giving away thousands of dollars every time someone's been lucky.
Of course, you could lose everything you have too when we play door number 4.
Each one of our traders is wearing a number with their name.
That's from 1 to 36.
When we activate that people picker and stop it, then it'll stop on a number, and that person is going to own what's back of door number 4.
All right, Karen, press that people picker button and see where it stops.
The lights start going up.
[MUSIC PLAYING] Number 7.
All right.
Friends, this is Black Bart.
He is the villain who has strolled into the saloon with a gun on-- in the holster.
And his name is Pete Lawrence.
Pete, that people picker picked you.
Come with me.
We'll take a shot at $10,000 right now.
Come on, young man.
Here we go, right down through here.
The girls are bringing out the door number 4 wheel of money.
And that means that we have amounts here from $100 up to $5,000.
I'm going to let you go over there and spin the wheel.
Whatever money amount comes up, it's yours.
If you land on double deal-- that's the one that's way over there-- you get a second spin for double the amount of money.
There are other things that can happen, but first of all, I want you to go over there and give it a nice spin.
Make it go around at least once or twice, will you?
Ready?
Let her go.
That's a good one.
There we go, Mr. Lawrence, Pistol Pete.
How much money for Pistol Pete?
As it starts to slow down.
It's slowing down.
It's slowing down.
It goes $900, $450, $300, $4,000!
[APPLAUSE AND CHEERING] I tell you, I look at this wheel, it's got all kinds of numbers like $100, $200, $300, but no, everybody's been knocking me over for thousands.
And listen, I have to give you this opportunity because it's in the rules.
You can take another spin if you want.
- No, sir.
I'll take the $4,000.
- Pistol Pete's taking the $4,000, and who can blame him?
Congratulations.
Pete, off.
You go back to your seat.
As I was saying, I'll be back with big deals in little boxes right after this.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - Little boxes, little boxes, that's what we have, little boxes, and you can buy them.
I'm going to brighten your day, Margie Stillwell.
And David Kahls.
I'm going to brighten your day too because what I'm going to do is I'm going to give each of you $400 in cash to start this deal off with.
Are you ready? $400 for you, $400 for you.
And the boxes that we have on the display floor happen to sell for $200 apiece, which means you have enough money to buy any two if you desire.
If you don't want to spend it, you don't have to.
Come a little closer, David.
Come over here right next to Margie.
Is it-- Margie, right.
And tell me if either one of you want to buy box number 1.
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] Or do you want to keep your money?
You want to buy it? - I'll buy it.
- You want to buy it.
What's in box number 1 that each of them have purchased?
And there we have a deluxe food preparer for $200.
- This KitchenAid mixer can handle almost every task, from a single egg white to kneading yeast doughs.
With attachments, it's a complete food preparer.
And it sells for $469.80.
- $469.80.
My goodness, that was a good buy.
All right, if we can just get the camera to move over a little bit to his right or left, then we can see box number 2.
Thank you very much, sir.
And now anybody want to buy a box number 2, or do you want to save your money?
- I think I'll see. - I'll save it.
I'll save it. - You're saving your money.
- Box. - You want to buy it?
What's behind box number 2?
Margie has just bought herself a travel iron.
- GE's small wonder travel iron.
A compact, lightweight dual voltage travel iron with the features and performance of a full-size iron.
It sells for $31.98.
- All right, so that's what you bought for $200.
Not as good a buy is the first time, right?
- Right. - Now, we have one box.
Only you have $200 enough to buy it.
You want to buy it, David?
You're under the-- buying right now.
- I'm buying. - Don't go away.
- I'll buy it.
- We'll give you back your $200.
What have we got back at number 3 for David?
And David has purchased him a color TV set.
- This 9-inch AC/DC portable color television and VTR monitor features a sunscreen to reduce glare, built-in audio-video jacks, and car battery cord.
From Sharp.
It's worth $450.
- All right, listen, so far you got yourself some things that you liked, like the-- the food processor and the-- and the iron.
If you want to trade it all the way for what we have behind curtain number two, you may do so.
And David, you have got yourself a color TV and the food processor.
It'll take everything you got if you also want what's behind curtain number 2.
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] - No.
- Going to keep what you got.
Margie Stillwell keeps what she's got.
David Kahls-- - I'll keep it.
- --also keeps.
Neither one of them wanting to risk what they've won for what's behind door number 2.
Are you ready for this?
What was back there?
Why, my goodness, there was a ton of bricks.
A whole ton of bricks.
[SAD TROMBONE] - How ya doin', Monty?
Hey.
- You plastering them all together?
- Yeah, yeah, yeah, I'm building a statue of my girl because I fell for her like, like a ton of bricks.
Oh, yeah.
That's what she looks like too.
- Yeah.
That ton of bricks could have been at your place, but it isn't.
You both made a good choice by hanging on to what you got.
Thank you, David, thank you, Margie for making this deal.
And now folks, let's speed right into the big deal of the day.
And the big deal today is worth $8,202.
And we'll go back to two of our traders, see if they want to make one last deal, knowing they have to risk what they already have if they want to go for that big deal.
Now Pete Lawrence, Pistol Pete, pistol-packing Pete, has got $4,000 in cash.
Do you want to buy a door?
[AUDIENCE SHOUTING] No way.
Teri Geiger, I'm counting on you, Geiger counter.
And she's going to trade.
You are going to trade away $3,458 worth of merchandise and cash?
Yes, she says.
Oh, that's a lot.
Karen Vogel, microwave and dishwasher.
Where's Karen? Oh, yeah, you're over there.
You're the Dodger with the wrong number on your back.
- Yes.
- And you're going to go too, right?
Big traders, big deal coming up right after this.
[INAUDIBLE] a good ball player, but he's with the [INAUDIBLE].. [MUSIC PLAYING] - As we go into the final big deal of the day, which is worth $8,202, the two ladies who were in that pricing deal are right back up here again.
Both of them took a sure thing.
One took a little extra in cash.
But she gave away an $8,000 coat.
Here she is once again.
Is the big deal behind door number 1 or door number 2?
Incidentally, behind door number 1 there happened to be some chicken.
So let's take a look at that for a moment.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - Kentucky Fried Chicken and fresh buttermilk biscuits.
You've got to right to chicken done right.
At Kentucky Fried Chicken, we do chicken right.
- And we have two other doors. There are 2 and 3.
You know, there's something behind the chicken as well.
So Teri Geiger, what it will be?
The chicken and what's behind it, or door number 2, or door number 3? - 3.
- Door number 3 is the one she takes.
- 1.
- Karen Vogel takes 1.
Let's take a look behind 1 and see what we have for the Dodger.
She's got chicken, and she's got some appliances.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - For safe, convenient food storage, Admiral's ultra-freeze freezer, automatic defrost freezer freezes food faster, stores food longer, and even makes ice cream.
From Admiral.
It retails for $790.
And for your home and office, the Anova Telephone Center.
It's four products in one.
It's an electronic telephone that contains an answering machine, a memory dialer, and a speakerphone.
From Anova.
It sells for $399.95.
Finally, for help in cleaning up, a pair of Royal vacuums, including the handy Prince handheld portable.
Features metal construction and revolving brush for quick, easy cleaning most anywhere.
From Royal appliances.
They're valued at $425.85.
And this deal is worth $1,640.80.
- Well, you traded down a little bit, but you've got some items that you like.
- Thank you.
- Thank you very much, Karen Vogel, for making that deal with me. - Oh, thank you.
- Now, stay with me as we take a look for Teri Geiger and see what we have behind door number 3 for Teri.
Teri chooses 3.
And Teri has a color TV set and some things that go with it.
- You'll watch television with a high-tech look on this new 19-inch color TV with wireless remote control and matching stand from Sharp.
It retails for $899.
And for nibbling while you watch, from RR Scheibe, this set of four oiled walnut snack tables, featuring real flower inserts on extra-large oblong tops, plus storage stand.
Very handsome from RR Scheibe Company.
They're valued at $300.
Then, while you're in the mood for music, try your hand at this.
[PIANO MUSIC PLAYING] It's a beautiful new piano.
A Story and Clark console piano, featuring elegant styling and magnificent tone.
Outstanding craftsmanship designed for a lifetime of musical enjoyment.
The sound of music is a Story and Clark.
It's valued at $2,795.
And it's a deal worth $3,994.
- Well, you traded up for $200.
Thank you very much, Teri.
And now, had you gone for door number 2, that was the big deal for the day.
Let's take a look and see which both you girls missed.
And it looks like it started off with some lovely carpeting for your home.
- 50 square yards of Galaxy's beautiful areva carpeting.
Carved Saxony construction featuring durable nylon in 16 soft multi-colorations.
Affordable elegance from Galaxy.
It's valued at $999.50.
And you should have hurried to get that carpeting installed because this could have come to your house, an elegant new living room.
From the showrooms of Jules Seltzer and Associates, contemporary living features a sectional sofa, lounge chair and ottoman, lighting, and accessories, including this seriograph.
From Jules Seltzer and Associates.
It's all worth $5,004.
And that new living room is the perfect place to relax and listen to this, a complete new stereo system.
The Pilot five-way system with stereo tuner, cassette player recorder, graphic equalizer, record player, speakers, and add-on feature dubbing, cassette, and eight-track player decks.
It retails for $799.
So far, total value of this deal was $6,802.50.
- But if you add a check for $1,400 in cash, it brought up the whole deal to $8,202.
Sorry, ladies.
This time, the Dodgers struck out.
Not really.
You got a very nice gift, and go back to Mars with all the other gifts that you got too.
Thank you, Teri. - Thank you.
- And thank you, Karen.
And now, while we have time, why don't I do something?
The lady sitting at the end of this row.
[MUSIC PLAYING] - The all new "Let's Make a Deal" is a Stefan Hatos Monty Hall production in association with Telepictures.
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