f*ck it. revealing my gatekept 78% winrate NQ entry model (trade-recap)

Ajouté : 2026-05-10

[00:00:00]Quick trade recap, let's get into it. No BS. Pretty much what I saw here in the overnight session. This was a trade I took on Tuesday at Asia, actual Asia.

[00:00:09]This was 8:00 p.m. EST. Pretty much what we had here was a SMT plus VWAP entry with a strong ass drawn liquidity to the downside. So, I'm not sure if you guys saw the video that I made going over this model yesterday, but SMT was in, right? I had a strong drawn liquidity to the downside. We ended up shifting structure and on this pullback, I got my entry off a limit order on VWAP, right?

[00:00:37]That's literally it. That's the trade recap. A lot of people overcomplicate this. All that you got to do is find one simple system, follow it, right? The main thing that really matters is your bias and then your entry. That's pretty much all that this trade was based off of.

[00:00:56]I'm not going to overcomplicate anything. I'm not going to say fancy ass words. I had a strong drawn liquidity to the downside. We were in a strong bearish order flow.

[00:01:07]What does that mean? Higher time frame, we started shifting structure to the downside. We can hop into replay mode here.

[00:01:15]Let's hop in a replay.

[00:01:17]And let's actually look higher time frame, right? So, higher time frame, if we turn off these indicators, what happened higher time frame, right?

[00:01:29]Higher time frame, yes we were all-time highs. Yes, I took a short. Yes, this was a bit more risky of a trade, but this was more of a discretionary type of trade as well. So, overall, also, we have hella SMTs at these highs. Hold up.

[00:01:47]So, as we also do have a rejection block here that was holding. I don't really use rejection blocks too too much unless, you know, they're obvious like this wick.

[00:01:57]But, overall, what do we see here after this all-time highs kind of shift in structure lower, right?

[00:02:06]Shift in structure lower was right here.

[00:02:08]We started to close below these lows.

[00:02:11]And on this pretty much re-tap is where I was looking for a short down towards my drawn liquidity. What was my drawn liquidity? This new day open gap. Why was the new day open gap my drawn liquidity? Because it's an imbalance in the market, right? This is a level, this is a zone where price has not yet tapped into the orders that rest below here. So, there's a lot of orders here that are left, and price, more times than not, in Asia specifically, as well, will tap into this new day open gap, more times than not, right? In this session, we actually ended up edging my drawn liquidity, and I still ended up securing a base hit. So, if I would have held this towards the new day open gap, I would have gotten hit break even, but that's also why I like to take a lot of base hits, pretty much, right? Base hits are super, super powerful, because even if your full drawn liquidity is incorrect, say it doesn't get hit, still caught a good piece of the move.

[00:03:20]Also, with these VWAP entries, it gives a one that two, like, 70, 80% of the time. Honestly, probably around 80% as long as your drawn liquidity is on point. If your drawn liquidity is correct, I would say, well, if we're being totally real, 70 to 80%.

[00:03:41]I don't want to say 80% because that's a bit high, right, to say that. And I don't want to, you know, hype it up that much, right? But, if your drawn liquidity is correct, more times than not we will have nice ass reactions off the view up, which is this indicator I had here. I know it does look crazy, it looks ugly as hell, but it works. You can see how precise um the second standard deviation band was as well. We start to shift structure lower, we close below view up. What did I do? I placed a limit right here on this view up re-tap with the main kind of trade idea being a target of the new day open gap below, which is a imbalance that we had, right? So this imbalance here was my main drawing liquidity. So if we actually let this play out, let's set a limit right here, one in with two contracts.

[00:04:37]Had a limit right there.

[00:04:41]Stop loss 50 ticks, 12.5 points. That's like the sweet spot. Um unless we're volatile, then I'll run a 25-point stop loss.

[00:04:52]But yeah, overall this trade was based off of a strong drawing liquidity and a view up re-tap. We also had some SMTs at the highs. I would say that this was a B-rated setup, for sure. Why?

[00:05:06]All-time highs above, right?

[00:05:08]I went into this knowing it was a riskier setup. I did not risk a lot.

[00:05:13]Or wait, I think I actually risked one con on this.

[00:05:16]Yeah, I risked one con.

[00:05:19]Let me go back here.

[00:05:23]Not risk two.

[00:05:27]Right there. What was this limit on? It was on the view up, this blue line. Here are indicator settings as well. This is free indicator that I like to use. Um let's go to this. Yeah, one contract because on my Apexes well, I'm trying to just secure winning days for payouts across my Apexes. So, yeah, all I really need is one more winning day and then it's payout. So, I'm super de-risked right now, just taking one contract here.

[00:06:00]Tapped in right there.

[00:06:02]We let price play out. You can also see my TP here was this view up deviation. My TP was the second standard deviation of the view up, right? Or this deviation band, whatever you want to call it. Also, let me clean up my chart. It is messy as hell.

[00:06:22]Messy ass chart.

[00:06:23]But, main thing that I liked about this setup is we started to trade away from all-time highs. We put in a rejection block here. Rejection block was respected. We start to have a pullback lower. We have a pullback, right? Into what? Into view up.

[00:06:40]What else was here? Bearish SMT. What does this do? Gives a nice push lower, right? Then once again, we have a bit of a run higher towards what? Towards the view up um second deviation. We don't fully tap into it. That's okay. You know, this zone in general is still super powerful here. So, I'm just keeping that in mind, right? Then what do we do? We put in another SMT. SMT with what? SMT with ES.

[00:07:07]What does that tell me? That tells me that these highs are most likely protected if my drawn liquidity of this new day open gap is actually correct, right? So, this is pretty much what I saw in my eyes. I saw everything here is protected for right now. Yes, we have all-time highs, a strong external drawn liquidity, higher time frame. Yes, I do understand we have all-time highs. But, what do I want to see first before we go back up towards all-time highs? I want to see us rebalance this range at least into this new day open gap. If we can't at least tap into this new day open gap before going back to all-time highs, I would say, you know, it's not necessarily a healthy market. A healthy market rebalances the range. A healthy market, you know, will have pullbacks into key imbalances before distributing back up and having the fuel to go back up towards all-time highs, if that makes sense. And what I mean by a healthy market is just pretty much how I want to see price kind of play out, right? So, yes, all-time highs is my higher time frame draw, but lower time frame, like my internal draw on liquidity, was this new day open gap, right? I guess here you can say this was also actually a external draw on liquidity because, you know, higher time frame, I definitely did want to see like the bottom wick of like the hourly or the 4-hour or the daily candle being manipulated into this new day open gap before running higher. So, I guess you could call this a external draw on liquidity as well.

[00:08:42]And yeah, pretty much all of these rejections out of, you know, the key levels that I did have around all-time highs told me that we could want to run lower. And I waited all the way around here for my entry. I didn't just enter right here, you know, super aggressively when all-time highs is is right here above. I actually waited until we had some type of shift in structure to the downside. So, we actually ended up closing below these lows. We put in a bearish breaker block. Also, my bad for having such a messy ass chart right now.

[00:09:14]Um but this really is how I view the market, so I'm going to keep this up so that you guys can see pretty much inside of my mind, right? I see this all as like X's in my mind. I see this as highs that ideally we would not come back to for right now, right? Before tapping the new day open gap below.

[00:09:34]So, we have this shift in structure lower.

[00:09:37]Then we close below VWAP. This told me a lot, right?

[00:09:41]Once we close below VWAP, I had a limit set on VWAP.

[00:09:45]Pretty much wanting to get a pullback for a short down towards this new day open gap. But do I really need a 1:7?

[00:09:52]No, I'm good with base hits. Usually I'll take one to two RR's or if there's a draw very close like a low like this 2.5 R or you know, a bit you know, decent base hit 3.4 R at that VWAP second band right there. This is a super super powerful um target as well as just reaction point in general. It kind of acts like TDO. If you guys know how TDO acts, basically just top and bottom ticks and has a good ass reaction. So here, move my stop loss to break even just like that.

[00:10:26]We end up having a beautiful run to the downside, ended up closing around right there.

[00:10:34]And yeah, I could have held this trade towards the new day open gap today. New day open gap actually did get edged, so I got saved, right?

[00:10:42]Saved by my base hit. And this is also a big reason why I like getting um base hits in my trading.

[00:10:49]Like yes, this could have been a big trade.

[00:10:51]Um but especially when my accounts are close to a payout, I don't really care to go for big ass moves, right?

[00:11:00]Overall, this did get edged today, which is super super kind of crazy, honestly. Normally this will get hit. Let's see, did it get hit later?

[00:11:11]Honestly don't know.

[00:11:14]I would honestly be surprised if we didn't hit it.

[00:11:19]Yeah, kind of crazy how we edged it.

[00:11:21]Actually crazy.

[00:11:24]But yeah, once again you can see how price develops. We close above VWAP, re-tap it twice. We're having this nice run higher. Same thing with this outer band. See how powerful that is?

[00:11:34]And this even counts as like some forward testing, right? Tapping the view up again, what happens? Run up higher.

[00:11:39]Beautiful run. This would have given one or two RR. Same thing with the second, you know, deviation band. Once again, holding VWAP, tapping back into you know, these bands, having a rip higher. This was at 4:00 a.m. Probably had some news or something. And then we have this run up towards all-time highs.

[00:11:56]We start holding um this third band. You can see just how powerful this is when the trend is in place, as well.

[00:12:05]But, yeah. Overall, we start to shift structure lower.

[00:12:12]I am honestly surprised we did not tap into that new day open gap.

[00:12:18]But, we probably will tap it this week. Today is Wednesday, so we still have a few days. If we do have a big pullback lower.

[00:12:26]Yeah, you can see how powerful um these levels are right now.

[00:12:31]Absolutely beautiful. I've been using these a lot in my trading. I've been talking about them a lot.

[00:12:36]Um just because like whenever, you know, I test something and it works, I want to share it with you guys because in my trading personally, I'm always trying to get better. There's always something I can do to improve.

[00:12:53]And this game, it's not like once you get your model down, you're done, right? There's always something new you can learn. There's always something you can open up your mind to.

[00:13:04]There's always something that can actually increase your win rate.

[00:13:06]Overall, this setup was very simple. We had a strong as strong liquidity to the new day open gap below. We started to see rejections, you know, out of key zones, showing me that we could want to have a run lower. We got confirmation.

[00:13:20]We had a shift in structure lower, then waited on a pullback, right? Pullback up into VWAP for entry. We had a fixed stop loss of 50 ticks to continue price to the downside towards the outer VWAP band, as well as towards that new day open gap that we actually had below us.

[00:13:39]Also, going forward on my channel, I do want to run up more trade recap.

[00:13:43]Hopefully, out of this video you got something out of this and you can implement it into your own trading. If you want to, you can test it, backtest it, forward test it, and let me know how it goes because, you know, a lot of the concepts that I talk about on here are super powerful and I feel like a lot of people don't even teach it for free like how I do.

[00:14:03]Also, if you're a bit more serious about your trading and you want to get coached by me one-on-one, I have an offer where I guarantee to work with you one-on-one until you're funded max allocation with any prop firm and secure your first ever prop firm payout. So, if you're serious about your trading, you want to actually lock in and get coached by me one-on-one where I review your journal, I review every trade that you're taking, I see your weak points, I bring out your weak points in one-on-one calls, and we put in rules into your trading for your technicals, for your risk, I build out your custom trading plan. Then, first link in the description of this video is where you can apply to work with me one-on-one. If you guys enjoyed this video, if you've learned something, or maybe this just opened up your mind a little bit, or if this video just reminded you that simplicity for your technicals is what is the most important thing ever, comment below, hit that like button. Until next time, love you all.

[00:14:55]Peace out.