Ukraine May Have Found the Formula Breaking Russia’s Army

追加: 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]It's Tuesday, May 12, 2026.

[00:00:03]I'm not sure exactly what to say here, but if you clicked on this video, you've already set yourself apart from most people who are interested in the war in Ukraine because you clicked on a video talking about war math. Well, Brody has figured out the math for Ukraine's secret success, it secret sauce, is victory, and it's all about drones, and it's all about a certain number. And if you get to that number, Ukraine wins. I mean that's that's what this amounts to all other things being equal. So here he is Brody talking about the standard 10.

[00:00:36]Well what's a standard 10? Standard 10 the mathematics of turning point from USF commander Robert uh Magguyar Brody according to verified loss data in Delta. And remember the Ukrainians have an unbelievable tracking system of everything going on. This is one of the reasons for their success is that they have real-time information about everything that's going on on the battlefield. It reduces the fog of war.

[00:01:02]According to verified loss data in Delta, in March and April, drones of the Defense Forces of Ukraine destroyed over 33,000 occupiers monthly. At the same time, the average monthly replenishment of the enemy is about 2,00 2900 five 29,500 personnel. Okay. Now, that's the actual replacement value. So, replacement value might not be the right term, but the replacement number. Uh, now what they're trying to do that theoretically they want to replace uh up to 400,000 or add up to 400,000 uh new soldiers to the Russian army.

[00:01:42]When I say replace, I mean because they're the adding 400,000 Ukraine's deleting 300 to 400,000 or more in the at the same time. So, um, but they're not able, the Russians have not been able to add the same amount as they have put on paper. So, what's actually happening is that they're losing the the army is shrinking month over month. For the fifth consecutive month, Russia is losing more personnel than it's able to mobilize. Now, on average, 15.2 2 strikes on enemy manpower per crew per USF um unmanned strike crews uh per 15.2 two strikes on enemy manpower per crew monthly in the however in the uh 414th Maguar Birds that's Brody's unit over 30 strikes per crew so they're doing something very right there now he emphasizes this for enemy losses to double the pace of mobilization and contracting every strike crew of the defense forces of Ukraine must ensure at least 10 confirmed strikes on enemy manpower per month. If you just do that, you're you're going the math is what math is, right? Okay, let me read this again. Commander emphasizes for enemy losses to double the pace of mobilization and contracting. Okay, so you're trying to really delete from what the Russian army is able to bring to the table. Every strike crew must ensure at least 10 confirmed enemy strikes on manpower per month. The standard 10 is a goal attainable for every strike crew.

[00:03:27]And I like his units doing three times that. And they're 2.5% of the army. And they're trying to get to 5% of the army.

[00:03:38]And so so you can see how this is this is very plausible. Okay. Every controller, every crew, every drone, pure mathematics goes into battle, says Commander Robert Maggar Brody. Okay, so that's how they're going to get there.

[00:03:54]Now, what's actually taking place on the battlefield? Without internet and electronic warfare cover, Russian infantry is left isolated, deaf, and blind on the battlefield. That's what's happening now. when they used to use hijack star links uh Russians were able to push a lot further when they didn't have that internet accessibility so easily available it was very difficult for them to communicate to send strike drones to do all these kinds of things and electronic warfare is getting better they have the brave one uh turret on ground vehicle that's on the ground being able to uh deal with the threat of uh fiber optic drones so it it's Moving the right direction. Hark oblast drone crews are systematically dismantling Russia's battlefield coordination network. Ukrainian intelligence identified positions used to distribute internet access, operate electronic warfare cover, and coordinate Russian units. Precise strikes followed.

[00:04:53]The reported losses included six internet relay antennas, four electronic warfare systems, including Black Eye, and Vulna. Okay. So, they're able to go and take these systems out. And as they do take these systems out, it become it becomes harder and harder for the Russians to see what's coming at them.

[00:05:15]And in blinding them, they have a better time eliminating them or the Ukrainians have a better time eliminating them.

[00:05:21]Jane Keev writes, um, Ukraine's new small drone tech now regularly hitting targets out at 150 kilometers. That's the distance about tomorrow pole. And I'm talk I'm going to talk about that in just a moment. Let me give a shout out to Jay and Kev though because Jay and Keev does some amazing work. Let's this is his um his YouTube channel. I'll show you. Well, let me show you this. This is his YouTube channel. Uh Jay and Keev uh J I N K Yivi V. Uh go out to his YouTube channel and see more of what he has to do. Like I I try to look at only legitimate sources and legitimate sources like newspapers and um like legitimate government sources and things along those lines. Jane Keefe is one of those legitimate sources. He will unfailingly produce valuable uh truthful content regularly about what's happening in the war in Ukraine.

[00:06:19]So um he's one of my go-to sources. So, uh, he he doesn't get enough credit for that either cuz like he's he he works tirelessly in pumping out this information, but here he is on his channel. Uh, and again, go out and see his channel, but here here he is actually talking about some of these strikes. Here actually is that tanker.

[00:06:39]He's just driving down this new highway of death uh lamenting all of the burned Russian military gear that's all along the sides of the road. And he's saying that just a week ago uh there was nothing like it. So, this is brand new drone capability, you guys. You guys saw the video uh last week that I covered where we took out two Russian helicopters and the Russians were shocked. They thought their helicopters were safe. 150 kilometers from the front line. And we've got new capabilities now.

[00:07:03]>> And again, that's a distance to Mariupole uh about that 150 km from the front line, >> ladies and gentlemen. And this is going to be used to absolutely um horrific effect for the Russians. The road seemed bare. It was absolutely bare. He's saying that there were no destroyed Russian military vehicles all over the sides. Now it's just uh littering the sides of the road. So now it's within the enemy's reach. He says the enemy is cutting the road. And look, there's just somebody's foot laying on the dashboard.

[00:07:32]It's a prosthetic foot. Of course, some kind of prosthetic. Uh okay, at any rate, that's Jay and Keefe. He does great work. Go and check out his channel. Uh Osen Technical also does great work. Again, there's some go-tos.

[00:07:46]Anton Geroshenko. I'll show you in just a moment. Um, another go-to source, Russian mil bloggers confirmed that Ukrainian Hornet mid-range strike drones are causing havoc. Here's just some images of this. Uh, causing havoc to Russian supply lines deep behind the front line. The front line's more like the front like area. It's not a line.

[00:08:09]It's this it's this large mass. Now, uh, the Russians have found that the drones are fairly jam-resistant and equipped with semiautonomous targeting. Again, later on, I'll be showing you Fedorov talking to uh, one of the military contractors that's behind this that's working through this kind of thing. Uh, that'll be in my three big stories later on tonight. Okay, here's again, Osen Technical. Uh enemy hornets in Paris can be seen flying unimpeded over Mariaole section of the R150 highway searching for targets to engage. I talked about this for the first time uh just a couple of days ago. Uh searching for targets to engage primarily fuel tankers and other military vehicles. A similar situation is gradually emerging on this highway as the M30 uh although the front line is more than 35 kilometers from the M30, it's currently paralyzed due to enemy FPV surveillance. Civilian traffic is completely prohibited. Interestingly, in 2014 to 2015, the front line was closer, but the M30 was safer. Well, that's because military technology has gotten better. Uh this is because many people think that the front line moves away from large cities and logistics routes they become safer. But for some reason no one takes into account that the flight range of enemy drones even with FPV surveillance increases more rapid rapidly relative to the movement of the front line. So the technology from the drones is increasing exponentially. In addition, many channels are starting to report that the Hornet can be jammed with electronic warfare in the certain ranges here, right? According to our data, electronic warfare some cases works on the Hornet in these bands, but only under two conditions. The Hornet doesn't use Starlink and the Hornet doesn't have time to lock on a target with autolock. And again, they're starting to convert over to AI. But the worst part of this is the whole whole situation. Something no one is reporting is that all hornet activity will be analyzed by neural networks which American Qualcomm hardware perfectly supports. Within 6 months to a year, we will very likely encounter fully automated hornets. I I think that's absolutely true. That's where we're going. And other drones that won't be jammed with electronic warfare. The drone will simply fly into a specific area and then circle around until it selects a target which the neural network prioritizes.

[00:10:45]That's where we're heading. It's it's I mean it's crazy. We're looking into the future here. Now, what else is going on in Maria? As we were just talking about Maria, the occupation authorities prepared a gift for local residents by May 9th. They mass hung notices on homes demanding that owners of apartments without title documents hand over their keys and clear out, you know, for Russians. First, they themselves, under various pretexts, prevent locals from obtaining Russian documents for their own housing. And now they're evicting the native residents of Marupole from the apartments where they live their whole lives. That's the kind of liber that that's the kind of liberation for you because these are, you know, Russian brothers and yeah, so that's what they're doing in Maria. By the way, I'm going to be interviewing James Vini. Uh James wrote the theater about the Mariaole theater that was bombed with the, you know, sign outside that said kids so that they wouldn't bomb it. And like he does such a great job with this.

[00:11:44]Uh I'm through I'm not quite through my second read right now and I'll be interviewing him on Thursday. So, that'll be coming out somewhere Thursday, Friday, Saturday, whenever I, you know, depends on if I need to edit or that sort of thing. But, uh, look for that. My shout out here is to this guy, Border Guard Vladislav Merch Zamura from Lviv. At 18, he joined the military and at 25, Vladislav was awarded the gold star of the hero of Ukraine. Vladislav is an operator of the Vampire Heavy Drone with the Phoenix unit. He's carried out 2,600 combat sordies and is credited with 570 eliminated enemies.

[00:12:24]You see how powerful the drone operator is, right? So, deepest respect. Shout out to this guy. And again, Anton Gerenko, another primary source who does great work. Okay. Trump must pressure Putin. I'll keep saying that. By the way, if you want to see if you're on um Blue Sky, I I post all my videos directly to Blue Sky. I don't do it to to X because X kind of works against you if you do that. But Blue Sky is cool with that. So everything gets posted out here. Uh if you're not subscribed or if you want to listen on just audio, uh Apple podcast, YouTube podcast, Podbean app, Spotify, Amazon Music, and more.

[00:13:06]Just go and listen. Don't don't like try to watch while you're driving. All right. Thank you, my friends, for your time. Thank you for the likes, the shares, and the subscribes. And thank you for being the kind of person who cares about Ukraine.