5 MINS AGO! Michael Oliver Shared Terrifying Predictions

追加: 2026-06-03

[00:00:01]But if you look more closely at the price action, especially on silver, you'll notice that all the rallies since that January-February collapse peaked just above 90.

[00:00:13]There's like four different rallies that probed up there, and there were sellers, sellers, sellers, sellers. Now, they've been selling four times.

[00:00:20]And that fourth time was like a couple weeks ago. It traded 90, also.

[00:00:25]But they can't seem to get the downside going.

[00:00:28]All they can do is get a pullback. But it's four times. So So if I were just looking at a price chart and forget that nearly phantom $120 high, because that only lasted for like hours or few days, okay. So it really wasn't like you lived up there for any time. You know, if you measured an ounce of silver in 1980 versus the quantity of M2 Woohoo. And it And And put it even with the money growth since then talking 500 bucks or so.

[00:00:55]Uh and you go back to 2011 when silver was 50 bucks catch up with money growth since 2011, you'd be up over 300 or so. Well, without being so specific, cuz they were specific with our subscribers, of course, of what numbers. But what we see in the ongoing bull trend in the monetary metals and their minors is a pause.

[00:01:18]And it's it's very brief so far. We're talking like three and a half, approaching four months here if we get into first week of next month.

[00:01:27]Uh but largely the break occurred on January 31st and February the 3rd. Last day of January, first day of February.

[00:01:36]You look at your charts of gold and silver, you see they all of a sudden, matter of hours, literally, it happened, okay.

[00:01:43]Uh and then since then, you can draw a line sideways.

[00:01:46]Up and down.

[00:01:48]And fortunately we had and we applauded this when it happened.

[00:01:52]And we we kind of expected it.

[00:01:55]There was a low in February.

[00:01:57]There Oh, you know, God, we can't take out that low. We'll go We'll go down to $20 silver, whatever, you know, whoever you want to say. And then gold will go back in the 3,000s. Okay. Well, we went down on March the 23rd in both metals and swept the February price low.

[00:02:13]Meaning everybody who had a sell stop there, no doubt there were a lot of them, got stopped out. Great. You know how long silver stayed down there after breaking that major low?

[00:02:24]2 hours.

[00:02:25]>> [laughter] >> 2 hours and then went vertical after that. Gold took a day or two. Okay. But basically, when you swept that major quote low, nothing happened.

[00:02:35]Except buyers came in.

[00:02:37]So, if there was an opportunity to get a real top or a deep correction, deeper correction, that was it. And it And it got blown. It didn't work. Okay? And now we're where?

[00:02:50]Right about in the smack in the middle of that up-down stuff.

[00:02:54]Now, if you look at a price chart of silver and gold, you'd say, "Well, I'll I'll be a believer if it goes back and makes a new high."

[00:03:02]Okay, like 120 plus silver and gold 5,600. Okay.

[00:03:07]But if you look more closely at the price action, especially on silver, you'll notice that all the rallies since that January-February collapse peaked just above 90.

[00:03:19]There's like four different rallies that probed up there and there were sellers, sellers, sellers, sellers. They've They've been selling four times. And that fourth time was like a couple weeks ago. It traded 90, also. Okay.

[00:03:31]But they can't seem to get the downside going.

[00:03:34]All they can do is get a pullback. So, it's four times. So, So, if I were just looking at a price chart and forget that nearly phantom $120 high, because that only lasted for like hours or few days.

[00:03:46]Okay. So, it really wasn't like you lived up there for any time. Supporters of the bullish silver thesis argue that today's environment is unlike previous commodity rallies. Silver has spent decades trapped below major historical highs, while currencies expanded dramatically through debt creation and money printing.

[00:04:02]Analysts now say the metal is simply catching up to global monetary expansion. They point to repeated failures by sellers to push prices meaningfully lower despite aggressive resistance near key technical zones.

[00:04:13]Each attempted sell-off has been met with renewed buying pressure.

[00:04:16]Some experts believe once silver decisively breaks above its congestion range, momentum traders and institutional investors could flood into the market simultaneously, potentially accelerating prices toward levels once considered impossible within only a short period.

[00:04:30]You look at 90 and you can see this repeated selling there.

[00:04:33]And therefore, if I were a simple price chartist, I would say, "Gee, get back over 90 again by any, you know, couple bucks or [music] so, I'm a believer we're going up." Okay. Now, what we're doing at MSA is we're trying to identify via intermediate technicals, intermediate momentum trend technicals.

[00:04:51]But not long-term because long-term still positive, it never went negative.

[00:04:55]It can't say buy me again cuz it it hadn't said sell me. Okay. But the intermediate stuff did. It broke down in that Jan-Feb break and has been healing since then. Much like the price has been going sideways, the momentum has been building structures overhead.

[00:05:13]And they're much closer than silver getting back to 90, by the way. Okay.

[00:05:17]And gold has some key numbers.

[00:05:19]And the miners each have some key numbers.

[00:05:22]And we put them in our report and they can adjust weekly and sometimes daily.

[00:05:26]And so, there's levels not too far above where you're trading now in both metals that say, "Oh, this rally is going to take hold. We're going up out of this congestion zone." Okay. And that's what we're focused [music] on.

[00:05:39]And I think once that occurs, what's on the other side of this violent pause will be upside move that is far more dynamic and vertical than what preceded it.

[00:05:52]You know, silver went from uh last November was in the mid-50s and it just taken out the all-time $50 high.

[00:05:59]Within a couple of months it was 120.

[00:06:01]You know, people were awed by that. I wasn't. I think it's going a lot higher.

[00:06:06]There's so many factors that argue both fundamental monetary measurements uh silver versus gold measurements, net trend of silver dynamics, and what's happened in a couple of the major markets over the decades similar to what's going on with silver argue for a new reality and very suddenly.

[00:06:29]And we keep come I keep coming up with a range between 3 to 500 as a reasonable zone to reach.

[00:06:35]And likely to reach it within let's say 3 months of having cleared this congestion zone.

[00:06:42]In other words, boom, it's over. You know, and no doubt the the doubting public and others will suddenly gush in to want to join the game.

[00:06:55]Late in the game. That's fine. They provide the fuel. Okay, the verticality.

[00:06:59]And you know, I expect that. Uh anyway, that's what I think is going to happen and I have no reason to change that assessment.

[00:07:07]Um it's silver's headed for a new reality and likely will achieve it by late summer. Many economists now believe the real story behind gold and silver is not inflation alone, but stress inside the global bond market. Government debt has exploded across major economies, while rising interest rates continue pressuring long-term bonds. Investors who once relied on the traditional 60/40 portfolio of stocks and bonds are discovering that both assets can fall together during periods of financial instability. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, have increasingly intervened to stabilize markets through liquidity programs and monetary easing.

[00:07:44]As confidence weakens in sovereign debt systems, precious metals are regaining attention as alternative stores of value during uncertain economic conditions.

[00:07:52]Well, the debasement already occurred.

[00:07:55]Uh you don't need new debasement, although there will be because we know the government bond markets now are in trouble. Yes, in 2007 to 9, we didn't have a government bond crisis. We had a mortgage crisis.

[00:08:08]In 2000 to 2002, we didn't have a bond crisis. We had a dot-com bubble. Okay.

[00:08:13]This time, we have the alternative asset everybody sees is the 60/40 rule, you know, 60% stocks, 40% is no longer balancing your portfolio.

[00:08:25]Okay? And it's it's in fact it's it's puking, okay? And the Fed knows this. Uh in fact, they effectively stated such back in November when Williams, head of the New York Fed, said, "We're going to start buying bonds."

[00:08:38]Oh, not to save the market, but to provide liquidity. Okay, nice subtle excuse. Uh it hasn't helped. Bonds gone down anyway, yields gone up. Okay.

[00:08:49]And right now, the long-term bonds, talking 30-year, are toying with yields they haven't seen in 27 years where the yields are so, you know, okay. Uh and same with the price charts. They're laying on the floor.

[00:09:05]Ugh. Can't seem to get off of it and we're literally, you know, a one bad week away from making all-time new lows.

[00:09:11]Uh not all-time, but multi-decade lows in bonds, multi-decade highs in yields.

[00:09:15]And the government doesn't control this end by simply lowering rates or anything like that cuz they that's the 90-day stuff, okay?

[00:09:22]So, they're not in charge.

[00:09:24]Uh but they know they need to be. And yet, it's not even one of their mandates.

[00:09:29]You know, defending government bonds is not a third mandate, yet it is. Believe me. And the Bank of Japan is is shown that. You know, they tend to be a leader in developing monetary excess. They came up with QEs and you know, ahead of us and anyway, they're in panic mode. The Prime Minister there a year ago said we're going to print print print.

[00:09:49]Wow, great. She's a free market advocate. Okay, that's cool.

[00:09:53]And and now we're going to have a new Fed chair who's no doubt going to be easier than Powell, but really that's not the issue because the Fed doesn't control things.

[00:10:04]It tries to.

[00:10:06]But it really doesn't cuz if it did, then there wouldn't have been stock market bear in 2000-2002.

[00:10:12]They cut rates all the way down. Didn't help at all. 2007-2009, they cut rates even at the top. But they printed the top tick in October 2007 when they cut rates in mid-September.

[00:10:24]And yet the market went down and collapsed, cutting rates all the way down.

[00:10:28]So, they're not really in charge of JS, okay? And so, no matter who's in charge, it doesn't matter. And it doesn't matter whether inflation is high cuz really inflation is what? You know what it is.

[00:10:40]It's a money growth. It's M2 chart.

[00:10:43]And that chart is an upward curving arc.

[00:10:45]So, that's the reality silver's >> [music] >> catching up to.

[00:10:50]You know, if you measured an ounce of silver in 1980 versus the quantity of M2, whoa. And it and and put it even with the money growth since then, talking 500 bucks or so.

[00:11:02]Uh and you go back to 2011 when silver was 50 bucks.

[00:11:06]Catch up with money growth since 2011, you'd be up over 300 or so. Previous silver rallies in 1980 and 2011 eventually stalled near the same psychological ceiling, creating the impression that the market could never escape its historical range. But analysts argue today's setup is fundamentally different. Industrial demand for silver has surged due to solar panels, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and electronics manufacturing. At the same time, global silver supply deficits have persisted for several consecutive years. While critics continue discussing price manipulation by bullion banks, others believe artificial suppression may actually increase the severity of the next move higher. Markets distorted for too long often correct violently. If silver finally escapes its multi-decade range, the adjustment could happen faster than most investors expect.

[00:11:52]>> Well, those were confined in the 50-year box.

[00:11:55]50-year range. You know, why would be silver confined in a 50-year range when no other metal was? Copper wasn't.

[00:12:01]Copper blew up out of a of a multi-decade range back in 2005 when the average price had been a buck for decades. Suddenly went to $4.10 within several quarters.

[00:12:13]No, it not even headline story. Lead did the same thing in 2007.

[00:12:18]Been in a range for multiple decades.

[00:12:21]Suddenly quadrupled in price in a matter of several quarters. No headlines.

[00:12:25]Gold, all the bull market peaks never stopped at a prior bull high.

[00:12:31]We had a $200 peak in '75. We had a 850 peak 1980.

[00:12:37]We had a 1920 peak 2011. It didn't stop at 50 bucks, 50 bucks. It you know, the same price level. But silver did and you made the point. Manipulation. Okay, fine.

[00:12:48]We know that's occurred.

[00:12:50]But there's a point at which those who try to distort reality get killed by it.

[00:12:55]Cuz ultimately reality wins.

[00:12:57]And if they're still in the way, they'll get buried.

[00:13:01]And who knows, maybe they got they were taught a lesson late last year, early this year.

[00:13:07]But they can't contain this beast.

[00:13:10]And you know, whether they're still trying to do it, I don't know.

[00:13:14]But it didn't work before.

[00:13:16]In fact, if they if they created what you could call a market error by keeping silver too low too long in real dollar terms.

[00:13:26]Where's other assets rose? Like commodity copper did, lead did, gold did, etc. Then they've distorted reality and sometimes when a market gets distorted either too high for too long or too low for too long, what it does to compensate is is sheer terror.

[00:13:44]You know, just it goes very rapidly to correct the error.

[00:13:48]Like a rubber band breaks, okay? And I think that's what silver's now engaged in. And I think you'll see the evidence and the result of that by late summer when we come up out of this congestion. And again, we've got trigger numbers that especially we're focused on gold. Not because gold's going to lead this. In fact, silver's beating [music] gold over the last four, five, six months. Handily beating gold.

[00:14:11]And still is holding gains versus gold.

[00:14:14]Gold silver will lead the upside, but gold has a momentum trend structure that is super hyper clear to us.

[00:14:23]And it won't take much above where we are right now. Like another percent or so.

[00:14:29]And gold's going to engage through that structure.

[00:14:32]You can't see it on a price chart, but you can see it on a on our intermediate trend momentum charts. It's a triple top breakout above a structure. And when we go through that, then we're going to pound the table to our subscribers and tell them, "Okay, the mama metal is saying now we're re-engaging."

[00:14:48]And I I suspect that could happen very soon. And when that happens, my bet is on the other side of that.

[00:14:55]Three monthly bars later after escaping this zone, we're going to be in that zone on silver. Are you watching at all the the spread in the silver price between the West and China? I had Francis Hunt on the show recently. He he pointed this out and believed that it was a pretty significant development in terms of China potentially setting the real price of physical silver. Is is this all noise to you as you're you're more focused on the technicals or are you paying attention to that? It's noise, but it's an attribute that is part of the overall picture. In other words, it's telling you something. Now, whether you can use it as a timing instrument, that's the different thing.

[00:15:34]I mean, after all, fundamentally, if you're a supply-demand guy looking at silver, you say, "Well, gee, we've had a supply shortage for 5 years now.

[00:15:42]We're producing less than we consume.

[00:15:45]Uh and there's no end in sight in that regard.

[00:15:49]But how come silver didn't launch until just recently, you know, late last year?

[00:15:53]5 years of this deficit uh ongoing, and yet it was ignored or manipulated.

[00:16:01]But either way, you know, these fundamentals are there. Yes, they're evidence.

[00:16:06]They're not necessarily invalid. It's just the problem, how do you use them as a timing mechanism? And that's that's very hard to do.

[00:16:14]Another major development attracting attention is the growing divergence between Eastern and Western precious metals markets. Analysts have observed stronger physical demand emerging from China and other Asian economies, where investors increasingly favor tangible assets over paper-based financial products. Meanwhile, silver inventories remain under pressure as industrial consumption continues exceeding mine production in several regions. Solar energy expansion alone has dramatically increased long-term silver demand forecasts. Although supply shortages do not always trigger immediate price spikes, they often create powerful foundations for future rallies. Combined with weakening confidence in fiat currencies and rising geopolitical tensions, global demand trends are strengthening the argument that silver may be entering a structural bull market.

[00:16:57]>> I think fear drives more than greed almost in this case, where you look at a couple of examples going back 50 years or so in gold, where you see a period of time where rates went up a bit and gold went down, you know, etc. >> [music] >> But when you look at I don't know what these people are looking at, really. They they go back to the late '70s, when we had global recession.

[00:17:19]They called it global stagflation cuz prices went up.

[00:17:23]The Fed drove rates off the page.

[00:17:25]Short-term rates and long-term bond rates, like 30-year bonds, went from a yield of 7 and 1/2% to 12 and 1/2%.

[00:17:33]Okay, right now we're around five, okay.

[00:17:35]So, 7 and 1/2% to 12 and 1/2% vertical.

[00:17:39]Not just the Fed on the short end, but the long bond.

[00:17:42]Rising rates, gold exploded all during that time.

[00:17:45]It replicated the rise in yields. It didn't wasn't hurt by it, okay. And this has happened before. There's other times when gold's had a big move and yields have gone up and it hasn't mattered.

[00:17:55]That was a particularly strong evidence.

[00:17:57]But there's too many times that's not the case. Meaning I bet I could do a moon phase analysis and come up with a better correlation for gold than whether the the rates are going higher or not. Okay.

[00:18:13]>> [laughter] >> Uh And then what with the stock market's the same story. Yes, there are times where during a ongoing bull market like 2001 to 2011 in gold, gold went up eightfold, okay. In the middle of that move in 2008, the stock market had been going down for an entire year from 2007 to eight. Gold wasn't going down.

[00:18:37]Then in October, August No, it's September, October particularly of 2008, the stock market, a year off its high, way off its price high, had what you could call a collapse [music] month.

[00:18:48]More than 30% in one month, in weeks in other words. Gold participated.

[00:18:54]No, it was it took a break in its major uptrend. It had a huge down month in sync with the stock market.

[00:19:01]At that point, Bernanke came in with a page out of the Japanese book and instituted QEs in November of 2008, a year and a month off the bull high. He'd been cutting rates all the way down, it didn't work.

[00:19:15]Okay.

[00:19:16]He did QE.

[00:19:18]And if you look at what happened to stocks starting in November 2008, they collapsed through March 2009.

[00:19:26]QE didn't stop the decline. Almost two more quarters of decline.

[00:19:31]Gold during that time shot back to its highs and made new highs.

[00:19:35]Gold immediately turned on the institution when they instituted QE.

[00:19:40]In October in November when they instituted headed back up. So, it had an interruption. And yet people think, "Oh, that was with the trend." No, it was a one-month in-sync situation in what was a longer-term uptrend and a longer-term bear trend. Cuz the stock market took until 2013 for the S&P to ever even get back to its 2007 high.

[00:20:05]Got gold did like eight-fold move. Okay.

[00:20:08]So, and yet the stock market was a waste land.

[00:20:11]So, all these correlations that people like to talk about, I think they're driven by fear, which what could hurt me, rather than the correlations that indicate, "Boy, if they raise rates and go berserk, if they do, uh then uh gold will go up cuz if I do the correlation the other way, then I'd say, "Oh boy, I cheer that." Okay, so the public is uh too narrow in their view and I think they're motivated more by fear than than greed.

[00:20:40]One of the biggest misconceptions in finance is the belief that rising interest rates automatically hurt gold and silver prices. Historical evidence suggests otherwise. During the late 1970s, interest rates surged aggressively. Yet gold experienced one of the strongest rallies in modern history. Similar patterns appeared during the 2008 financial crisis when gold initially dipped alongside stocks before rebounding powerfully as central banks launched quantitative easing programs.

[00:21:08]Analysts argue fear, not simple rate policy, ultimately drives precious metals higher during periods of instability.

[00:21:15]As recession concerns, debt burdens, and monetary interventions continue expanding globally, gold and silver are increasingly being viewed not merely as commodities, but as financial protection against systemic uncertainty.