NBA PARLAYPLAY | PROP PICKS | MONDAY | 5/11/2026 | #nba |

Ajouté : 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]Happy Monday. Let's get after it.

[00:00:10]Hey, good morning everyone. It's Craig Bender from Daily Edge Sports and we are back with another Parlay Play NBA video.

[00:00:16]I got three picks for you for today's slate. If you do not have that Parlay Play account, make sure you download it, use that promo code Cash Keg. 100% first deposit match up to $100 plus a $5 free game. Let's get after it.

[00:00:31]>> [music] >> All right, Parlay Play desktop is up in the board. They got a sweet mobile app you can download as well. Again, you'll also be eligible for a free 5 weeks instead of 4 weeks of 4 5 weeks of our elite subscription service which gets you access to these Parlay Play tools that we do have as well as everything else. So, the Parlay Play tools, if you're just looking specifically for these to compare them to our projections. Again, we've added more and less here as well filters.

[00:01:07]Um and you can see what the book lines are and compare them to the projection that Parlay Play has.

[00:01:13]Um you can kind of sort by if you're just looking for EV stuff. Sometimes people get confused. We got to we we got it labeled as book hit percentage, but this is basically your EV stuff. If you're just want to sort by EV, then you can also do just our projections and sort by that. And then the DS plus EV percentage is basically both of these combined um to figure that out. So, all this is on here. That's all with tools or elite service, but if you again sign up for Parlay Play, you can get this for absolutely free for 5 weeks. And that is all the tools that we have. That's all the models that we have and all the tools are combined with that as well as access to our premium Discord to get access to everything there as well. So, let's dive in. Let's talk a few plays.

[00:01:51]First one I'm going to talk about, they do have two payout boost specials here on Parlay Play for tonight's NBA action.

[00:01:58]First one we'll go here. We're going to go just Donovan Mitchell more than 24 and a half points. I think he's finally just figured out these last two games.

[00:02:04]James Harden's not going to help him.

[00:02:06]James Harden is a walking trash can.

[00:02:07]James Harden is a cancer to uh any team that he is on. He's not going to help you in the playoffs. He just folds.

[00:02:14]Um it's just what it is. I I you know, to be honest with you, I think the NBA great they they were great He's a great scorer, all-time great scorer. You can say the same thing about Kevin Durant.

[00:02:25]You could say Russell Westbrook's one of the best point guards to ever play the game. But to be honest with you, that trio from OKC of Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Russell Westbrook all need to just be gone.

[00:02:38]You've had your time. Go away. Let the new bucks run the show. Um stop playing in the NBA, please. I think it would just be a better place. Anyways, rant done. Getting off the soapbox. Uh with that, Donovan Mitchell, I think he's finally figured out. More than 24 and a half points. Last two games he's put up 31 and 35, shooting the ball 24 times. I think we're going to see it again today.

[00:02:58]I think he's going to pick up the ball uh and I think he's going to shoot an absolute ton here uh and just go to the rock. I think that's basically what's going to happen. The more than 24 and a half points uh for him, if you look at any of the line, you're like minus 180 on FanDuel, you know, minus 180 on DraftKings, minus 190 on BetMGM.

[00:03:18]He's just going to have to do everything. I think Detroit's going to try to slow him down, but I think he's probably going to get to the stripe a lot. And I do like taking the Donovan Mitchell uh parlay boost. I like it more than the points for A.J. Mitchell. If you're going to pick one, it's by far Donovan Mitchell for me at home. They need this game.

[00:03:36]Uh that's where I'm going to kind of land on it. Second pick I'm going to go to here, I'm going to go over to Tobias Harris on the other side of things. I thought about uh Jenkins. If you notice I pulled up in the tool looking at him at the uh two and a half assist. I was looking at that. I just worry on the road like this taking a guy, you know, I tend to like to take role players at home. He has hit that over two and a half assists in like the last four games, but I think Tobias Harris has just been so stinking steady all playoffs. So stinking steady.

[00:04:05]I'm going to take an alt line on this, um, and I'm going to take the 23 and a half points and rebounds is where I'm going to sit with him. Uh, he has cleared this in his last nine games.

[00:04:17]So, uh, the only time he didn't do it was the first game against Orlando, um, is where he did not clear that in the playoffs, but other than that, he's cleared it each time. The minutes are just so steady, playing 37 to 38 minutes a game. And those nine last nine games, 27, 30, 26, 31, 32, 39, 28, 28, 26. He is so consistent. I like the alt line here at 23 and a half, uh, for him. Um, and then the final pick is in the final game. I think OKC Let me know in the comments what you think about OKC Lakers. Think OKC just kind of sweeps them here, gets it done and over with. Just just just takes them to town here. I I just can't see Lakers winning this one.

[00:05:02]Um, they're just they just don't have it.

[00:05:05]And so, AJ Mitchell, where I'm going to lean with him, there's two ways here. I think I'm going to play, um, a heavier unit percentage on the alt line for him points, rebounds, and assists, um, sitting at the 23 and a half here.

[00:05:21]Uh, I think I'm going to sit better there.

[00:05:23]Like, if you look at his last four games, uh, 32, 24, 29, 38. There's no J-Dub, so he's going to continue to get the start. He's going to continue to play around 30 to 33 minutes.

[00:05:35]Um, and he just is the other scorer. If they try to slow SGA down, uh, he's just going to get it done. I mean, 17 shots, shot 60% from the field last last game, but even the last four games, 16, 16, 12, and 17 shot attempts, shooting 44%, 44, 58, and then 59% in game uh four there. So, uh yeah, I'm sorry, game three. And And I think they're just going to take it.

[00:06:04]But, one thing I do like to do um for this also is so we get a 3.4x multiplier um with the boost and these um alt uh these alt lines that are a little bit lower. But, what I do like to do is take a shot. Maybe you put um a half unit on that alt line with a three-point uh multiplier, and then maybe come down here and you get the 3x and get a 6.57 multiplier, and do the more than 29 and 1/2 points, rebounds, and assists. Again, he's had 32, 24, 29, and 38 on the road here uh last game uh in the Lakers, 24 points, four rebounds, 10 assists. So, I don't mind taking a shot at something like this at a 3x multiplier at a at a lower unit, maybe a 0.1 unit or something like that, or 0.25. Um it just gives you a better multiplier, and I don't mind taking a shot at a guy like that. If he's going to um if they're going to continue to try to slow SGA down, I think you're going to see um Jaden Mitchell just continue to shine here. So, I don't mind taking a shot at that. But, like if you again, if you're going to play for higher units, I definitely would come down to the 23 and 1/2 uh and play it at the 3.49x.

[00:07:14]Uh but, if you're looking to uh take a little bit more of a shot, um looks like it's looks already moved.

[00:07:20]It's already 2.91 instead of 3x. So, uh that's where I would kind of lean with that. So, that's what I'm kind of looking at at today's action. Again, if you want access to these tools, kind of look up where we have projections set at. Um you can search by day, sport, WNBA, MLB, NHL, get all that kind of good stuff um as well.

[00:07:41]Um you know, also running uh also running our promo here, 33% off um, any of our packages first week or first month NBA at WNBA33. Use that code if you want that 33% off. You can get access to the tools as well that way if you do if you're already a uh if you're already used your parlay play first time depositor. So, with that, appreciate you guys. Do me a favor, hit that like button, subscribe to the channel. Hope you had a wonderful Mother's Day weekend um for you guys out there and uh like always, see you in the Discord. Deuces.

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