This weather forecast explains that rain chances will persist through Memorial Day Weekend in Mississippi, with flash flooding concerns due to already saturated ground conditions, while severe weather threats remain minimal and primarily concentrated in southern areas; the forecast provides detailed county-by-county precipitation predictions and identifies brief dry windows for outdoor activities.
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LIVE at 9: Rumbles continue tonight as rain chances stick around into our Memorial Day WeekendAdded:
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This is Mississippi Live Weather at 9.
Good Friday evening and welcome in here to the Rum Room Weather Center for Mississippi Live Weather at 9. I'm meteorologist Gabe and the story remains the same. Rain chances into your Memorial Day weekend, that's where we start our broadcast tonight is just tracking out a few of those showers. We also have updates to our severe threat.
A lot of you asking, "Can I go to bed tonight?" Well, the overall answer is yes, but where we need to be watching for some some more of those strong storms, we'll track that coming up here in just a moment. Those storms continuing through the night, even if they're remaining below severe limits, but the Memorial Day weekend stays busy as rain chances stick around as well.
Checking that out here in just a moment.
Let's get a look at the first 12 and there you're getting a look at those rain chances, 40% by 10, or 30% during those overnight hours, and even continuing into the start of our Saturday and the start of your Memorial Day weekend. So, a lot of us like to get out and about for those for that big weekend, well, you have to do so at a cost at this rate. 72° in Amory right now. Still seeing a few of those showers off there in the distance, but overall coverage much less than what it was there in Monroe County as things are starting to die down here in the north half of the Magnolia State. Down in Kosciusko, we're actually looking towards the south and east, hopefully getting a view of some of those storms there. Yes, there you're getting a look at the lightning right there on the horizon as storms begin to move through Yazoo County, but up here in Kosciusko and Attala County looking much calmer and drier compared to other locations surrounding them. As we jump out there towards Greenville, you can see the activity there surrounding our Greenville camera with the North Mississippi storm chasers and give it a few moments and you'll see those strikes of lightning just continue to spark off once again. Well, of course, I say that and the meteorology jinx just happened because there's not a strike. There we go, a little one there on the distance. Either way, it's an energetic environment much different than what we've been seeing honestly in the entire day here in North Mississippi. Overall, our severe weather threat has been very minimal. We did have one severe thunderstorm warning, but still haven't gotten reports out of Lowndes County for any of those impacts.
So, glad that we have not gotten reports, but we are still expecting some strong storms tonight primarily where they're lining up south and east of Greenville and well out there towards northern Louisiana. A drastic difference from what we were looking at earlier on this evening. If I put it back on the other risk, you can see how that was along and east of Highway 45, but now now we've transitioned it to a whole new location showing that the storms are firing off in a new in a new part of our area. Unfortunately for us, it only covers a sliver of our area and honestly it's starting to clear on out to those severe thunderstorm warnings and we'll track it here in just a moment working towards the south in the Jackson metro area. So, our threat very low tonight and just continues to dissipate as we get further into those overnight hours.
Where our concern lies is with the flash flooding threat on our Saturday and continuing into our Sunday with that level one threat in place. Now, we have a lot of rainfall this weekend and that's adding to an already soggy forecast. We'll look at some of those totals in just a moment, but this is where flash flooding becomes a real uh possibility as we work our way into our Memorial Day weekend. Where our coverage stands as of the 9:00 hour is much different from what it was at 6:00 when we were tracking it. A few of these storms packing a punch and looking pretty interesting on radar, but that since coming down in intensity and as the night hours set in and the daytime heating clears on out. Our overall severe weather parameters just continues to lessen into that overnight period.
When we go down south towards our Jackson radar site, you can see how Yazoo County right there in that severe thunderstorm warning and even extending south there towards Vicksburg with Warren County and Hinds County showing up with that severe thunderstorm warning as well. That being said, we do still have some stronger storms towards Tchula, Holmes County, even closer to I believe that's Washington County over there. I want to put on real quick some of those uh severe weather threats. And as we bring up our Jackson radar site, we pull up those peak impacts. Yeah, getting a few of those uh small hailstones possible along that leading edge, but it's really going to be the wind. As that starts to bow on out, we're getting those stronger returns. We have had broad rotation with this setup as well, but where the strongest winds are is again south part of Yazoo County working closer to Hinds County and eventually towards the Jackson metro area. So, overall, our threat continues to shift towards the south and west. So, are you good to go to bed tonight? Yes.
That's a positive in the grand scheme of things heading into our weekend because what we're dealing with here is the effects of that cold front keeping those rain chances around but driving that further towards the south into Jackson and their coverage area here in North Mississippi. A few showers and storms, but overall remaining below severe limits. That's what we're going to focus on FutureCast here. As you see overnight, that front continues to linger overhead keeping those rain chances around, but as we get during those early morning hours, while there is still going to be a few storms that have a brief downpour and we do still hear those rumbles of thunder, not expecting those to get on the stronger side overnight should remain below severe limits. But, it is still going to add a ton of rainfall. A big difference from what we're tracking on our latest triple R run from what we were looking at earlier at 6:00 is the fact that it's more rainfall overnight and that's going to add several inches to those totals, especially if we get those to train in that same environment south of Highway 82 because that's going to allow multiple heavy thunderstorms to be in play and those rainfall accumulation totals are going to be honestly, I've said it all week long, jaw-dropping once again. Your noon time hour sees those rain chances stick around, but as we get into those afternoon hours, a brief break in the rainfall for a lot of locations, but into the evening, those do return. As you can see, 20% by 12, same thing there by 3, and on the latter half of our Saturday, those rain chances increasing once again to about 40 to 50%, so have that rain gear ready. Even with a little bit of a drier afternoon, we do still have 20% coverage with some areas still dealing with those showers.
Where those are lining up, we'll look at our futurecast coming up here in just a moment, but we're continuing to look at radar with what we're dealing with right now here in the northern half of the Magnolia State. What to expect where you're at, we're walking county by county across North Mississippi coming up in the next 60 seconds, and we'll time out those rain chances through your Memorial Day weekend coming up in the next 60 seconds as well. We'll see you after the break.
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Right now, from the Room to Room Weather Center, here's meteorologist Gabe Miner.
That 7-day stretch continues to look just soggy. That's what we're dealing with as we get into our Memorial Day weekend, even our Memorial Day plans, and even into next week. Those rain chances sticking around. I promise I'm rooting for the dry conditions for you guys and for myself as well. And unfortunately not going to be in this pattern. I am about to sneeze. I apologize.
Okay, welcome back. Sorry about that.
Allergies. Man, they whip my tail.
Anyway, as we look at that 7-day pattern, we do still have plenty of rain chances, including right now here in the northern half of the Magnolia State.
Right around Rolling Fork, you can see an area of focus tonight as they do have thunderstorms rolling through the area and a few of those on the stronger side earlier this evening, but so far remaining south of our viewing area, thankfully. But we don't want severe thunderstorms for anybody, so hopefully that does taper out overnight. National Weather Service down there in Jackson mentioning that these are becoming outflow dominant. That should see a weakening trend in these storms that are around the Rolling Fork area and even there towards Hines County. Pontotoc, you can see that rain is still overhead in some spots, right over the downtown Pontotoc area and extending south there towards the Springville community. So, make sure to have that rain gear ready for any of those late night plans. I guess it is Friday night, so might be going later into the night, especially being that we're entering into those summer months. So, uh definitely a time where you need to have that rain gear ready for those late night Iuka, a different story. They had storms roll through earlier this afternoon, not the case right now as we are dry in Tishomingo County. 70° and those dew points still in the low 70s showing that we're still very saturated here in North Mississippi. Looking at our Mama Justice Doppler radar, you can see how more of those storms are beginning to pop up along that frontal boundary towards Pontotoc, Shannon, and even there towards uh towards the Nettleton area. So, let's bring it over to our analysis mode real quick and let's take a look at these rain chances.
So, we're going to start north and work our way towards the south. As you see towards Shannon, Carolina, just north of Nettleton, seeing these pop up, but look at the lightning strikes.
Nine strikes. That's over the last half hour or so. So, this is not a high lightning producer, but it is going to be but it is still going to be a heavy rainfall producer. If we look at those rainfall rates still coming in at about Yeah, that's a That's pretty decent there towards Buckhorn, just around Shannon, and towards Carolina. You're seeing anywhere from four >> [snorts] >> I know I clicked it.
I just tripped. I pulled I pulled a duke. My My duke is the foot pedal and I just clicked it. So, I apologize there.
I'll bring it back here real quick and clear that off screen.
There we go. Okay, so looking at those rainfall rates, I'll watch my step next time. You can see 5 to anywhere 7 in across the Pontotoc, Lee, and Itawamba County line. So, it's a very rainy afternoon. It's been a rainy forecast all things considered and it's just allowing those totals to increase more and more. Looking at the overall rain producer for our Friday, I mean, we're seeing 2-in in some spots. I jokingly told my wife, I was like, "Yeah, we didn't have much rain today."
Of course, we have rain, but it's honestly less than what we had for some days this week, but it's still if we're talking 2-in in multiple locations and multiple counties, that shows you that it's still a soggy pattern. But, relatively speaking, I guess we'd had a few more breaks today comparatively speaking, but over that entire 72-hour stretch, we're talking 6-in in Lee County, Monroe County, Itawamba County, even out here towards towards Hollandale seeing 6-in as well. So, you just can't escape the rainfall and that's why flash flooding concerns are still happening into our weekend. Let's go ahead and jump down south because up north, this is not going to be something that we need to be uh, we we to be worried about. This is just going to be some heavy rainfall, but other than that, we're staying below severe limits. Down south, a little bit of a different story. Let's go ahead and change our radar site to the Jackson radar site. And as we get a look right there, this is that severe thunderstorm warning that's in place for Yazoo County and even there towards Northwest Hinds County. That's in place until 9:30 tonight, but it is becoming more outflow dominant. We're getting a visual right there. Let me clear the software real quick.
You see how we have these storms, the cluster of storms from Yazoo City all the way just north of Edwards. Well, look at this line that's developing from Flora all the way to Edwards and eventually south of Vicksburg. There's your outflow boundary. And as that outflow comes out ahead of these storms, it's going to limit just how much these do strengthen and actually cause a weakening trend over the next few scans.
So, thankfully, that looks like it's coming down as well, but that it's been definitely the the big event down here in uh, in the Magnolia State. As you see, 2,500 strikes. We were looking at nine strikes between our storms in the northern half of the Magnolia State. So, down south, a little bit of a different story and we are continuing to track that out, but fortunately, looks like it's on a a weakening trend over the last few scans. As we continue through tonight, our day planner takes us through the night and keeps those rain chances around about 30%. So, additional development is expected. Even a few rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out overnight as well, but don't be alarmed.
These are not expected to be severe, but it is still going to bring some heavy rainfall as we see in Pontotoc, Shannon, Nettleton right now. Uh, si- similar conditions can be expected overnight even there uh, Booneville and Tupelo by 2:00 a.m. And continuing in those overnight hours as well. Just this front lingering overhead and not giving us a break from those rain chances. So, another busy night across Magnolia State, but shouldn't be busy for you.
You guys can go to bed and sleep soundly. Do not worry. We're 64 in Natchez, 64 in South Haven, 63 in New Albany and Bruce, 66 Columbus, Starkville and Macon and 67 Belzoni and Greenville for the start of your Saturday. If you're looking to get a mowing, the forecast in can't even say it with a straight face because it's so soggy. The ground is still so soggy. So, even though we're looking to get things done this weekend, don't bring out the mower this weekend. We're going to have to wait till probably June before that's a possibility, but I wanted to just throw this in there to let you know that the lawnmowers will stay collecting dust in the garage for now. Uh it'll be a while before we're able to get out there and mow those lawns, but if your lawn is like mine, it is definitely growing. So, we're looking to mow that sooner rather than later. Your Saturday morning continues to see those scattered chances stick around, and there's your mowing opportunity. Your dry window here in North Mississippi from noon all the way up until about 3:00, and then action starts moving in along the Mississippi River. And once again, we get those scattered storms here in North Mississippi. So, 12:00 to 3:00, the best window we've had over the last several days of dry air. So, get out there and enjoy some good things. Still going to be dodging some isolated showers, but we're talking relatively speaking, it's much less coverage than what we've been dealing with before. But like I said, does not last forever. Look at 6:00 p.m. We're already covering the entire portion west of I-55. And as we work our way through our Saturday night, those will continue to move through the rest of our coverage area. 80 for Clarksdale and Grenada. That's a tongue twister. 83 New Albany and Holly Springs, 82 Booneville and Iuka, 85 Starkville, Columbus, and Aliceville, Alabama. So, going about your Saturday evening, those rain chances do try to stick around once again, and that's going to push all the way into North Mississippi, upping our coverage like I said, once we get into the evening hours, that's where we're really going to see those uh impactful showers and storms. And those will continue overnight as well before we get a little bit of a break overnight as well with just a few sprinkles across North Mississippi. Now, as we work our way into our Sunday morning, you can see what's just creeping closer and closer, and that's your next front, your next weather maker, upping those rain chances into our Sunday once again. We're 65 Houston and New Albany, 66 Kosciusko, Louisville, and Macon, 64 Booneville and Tupelo, and 68 Cleveland and Greenville.
So, it is still a mild start to our Sunday.
And as the day goes on, the front will inch closer and closer.
Actually transition into a stationary front, and along that stationary front is where we get additional showers and additional thunderstorms on our Sunday.
Really by the afternoon, we'll see that coverage increase across the area including this cluster out here just east of the Golden Triangle working its way through Alabama, but we have our own storms to worry about out there towards Clarksville, Shelby, Greenwood, and Sardis heading into our Sunday afternoon. And those will continue to increase in coverage by the time we get more towards Sunday evening. So you like the rain? Cuz it's going to be what you have to deal with this weekend, whether you like it or not. We're 81 Holly Springs and Senatobia, 82 Greenwood and Eupora, 82 Macon, 83 Aliceville and Vernon, Alabama. So folks, it's just going to be a soggy forecast, but luckily that keeps temperatures from being the 90° threshold like they were earlier this week. So at least we can enjoy the benefits of some of that cooler air.
Forecasted rainfall, this is over this next 7-day stretch. I've been showing you this day after day because it's just jaw-dropping. You guys know the word by this point. The amount of rainfall that we are going to see on top of what we have already seen. So if we're looking at those totals, then we could be talking four additional inches on top of some areas that have already dealt with 7 in over the past 3 days. So our Memorial Day weekend going to be soggy.
Any plans you may have, try to move those indoors to accommodate for those rain chances, but there will still be dry windows. How long those last for really depends on where you're at and where these showers do line up, but I do think that Saturday Saturday afternoon we'll see some of the driest coverage that we have seen in quite some time, but that's only a couple hours stretch. And then heading into our Saturday evening, rain chances really return. Sunday we'll see 60% coverage. Monday there at 60% coverage as well. And I did it again.
Memorial Day is Monday, ladies and gentlemen. I I don't know why that keeps getting put on that spot. So as we continue to look ahead in that forecast, those scattered chances do stick around. So have the umbrella ready. You're going to get plenty of use out of it over this 7-day stretch. As I take a look at uh at the chat. Mike, I'm curious, you need to make the intro a little longer. I I'm curious what you're talking about.
Um it's pouring in Pontotoc City, making me sleepy. Good sleeping weather, all things considered when you're looking at radar and those rain chances. So, with the heavy rainfall and the lack of a worry for severe weather, it's good sleeping weather, all things considered.
So, get out there not get out there.
Head to bed and enjoy some great conditions overnight.
Uh for those that may be joining us now and have missed it, no need to worry about severe weather. That severe weather threat primarily lining up towards our south and west, and those storms already making their way south of our viewing area. That's where that severe weather potential lied, uh and now that is well out of our viewing area. So, I mean, our severe weather chances have just completely diminished. Um but, we will still be dealing with some scattered showers and storms, so rumbles overnight, don't be surprised. But, those should be remaining below severe limits. Now, Pontotoc, really towards Algoma now. Uh let me just swap this over to our Monroe County site. That's probably why it looks a little bit more intense, yeah. So, coming down in intensity the closer we get, and as we look at our Monroe County site, we're up to about 14 strikes, so a little bit of an influx of lightning, but in comparable to what they're dealing with down south. So, good thing for us and good time to head to bed and enjoy your weekend. Sleep in Saturday morning, enjoy that rainy forecast, and um have a great weekend. But, we're going to continue to track those Memorial Day weekend plans, as well as look at those rain chances overnight.
So, if you want to stay tuned at 10:00, we'll be going over this in much more detail. So, download that Mississippi Live Weather app today to stay up to date on those rain chances and tracking out with us coming up at 10:00 tonight.
That's our next broadcast, so don't forget, we're in the weekend schedule.
So, our meteorologist Caleb Edelblut, he'll be live at 6:00, 9:00, and 10:00 on your Saturday. And if needed, he'll be here earlier to cut in as necessary, but overall, we're not seeing the severe weather threat that we had today continue into the weekend. Flash flooding threat, that continues to be a concern. We're looking at that in more detail coming up tonight at 10.
Growing up, Gabe was a naturally curious. When he began to discover weather, Gabe just didn't want to know what was happening, but he wanted to know why it was happening. Gabe became fascinated with tornadoes and it impacted his life. He wanted to pursue a career in meteorology. Even though Gabe grew up in Alabama, Mississippi has now become his home and his family. And one thing about Gabe is he keeps [music] his family safe.
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