Mississippi & Louisiana Severe Weather Coverage! | Magnolia State Weather

Added: 2026-05-11

[00:00:45]Hey, hey, hey.

[00:00:56]Heat. Heat.

[00:01:30]Hey, hey, hey.

[00:02:10]Well, hello and welcome to Magnolia State Weather. I hope you're having a A lovely afternoon. We already have uh one tornado warning over in Louisiana.

[00:02:19]Honestly, one of the smallest tornado warnings I've ever seen that just went over the town of Big Island and is currently moving into the National Weather Service of Jackson's area. So, that's why the tornado warning was so small. We'll see if they uh extend that tornado warning farther into Louisiana.

[00:02:37]And so this tornado warning directly in um Rapids Parish and Avali's Parish. Not sure how to pronounce those.

[00:02:45]Um but those are going to move into our area into our parishes that we cover here very soon. These storms about to move into Mississippi over near Natchez.

[00:02:54]And so this is probably where the day is going to start. And so like I said, that rotation arrows right over Big Island in Louisiana. And so that's moving off to the northeast. This one probably won't last for long until this storm is able to shift and turn to the east. And so once the storm shifts to the east, then uh really this will become a big um issue. We might not be long for very long for right now. Storms are still maturing. Just kind of doing a little update, kind of seeing where we are right now. Um because right now really we only have one or two storms that even have the potential to rotate right now.

[00:03:32]And so that's where we're sitting with these storms uh right now across the Mississippi, Louisiana border over to the west of Naches kind of between Alexandria and Natches. And so let me make sure I have the chat up. If you have any questions, always feel free to ask.

[00:03:50]Just trying to get some stuff loaded up. New special weather statement. This includes uh Harrisonenberg, Jonesville, Jonesville, and Faraday, Louisiana. Uh also um includes uh southern Washington Parish, I believe. Let me double check.

[00:04:09]Adams Par Adams County, sorry. This includes western Adams County.

[00:04:17]And so that special weather statement is for 40 mph winds and um PSI hail. So, small hill with that storm. Do you know where I don't know where that went?

[00:04:29]Whoops.

[00:04:32]Sorry. Looking for something I might have put away that I needed. All right.

[00:04:36]Well, we're good. Um, but I hope y'all are having a nice afternoon really for the next little bit. I think we're good.

[00:04:43]We have one tornado warning. Like I said, that's over in Louisiana that expires in 30 minutes, but really that tornado warning has moved out of the area it was warned for. So that is currently moving uh south of Louisiana Highway 28 and to the west of the Mississippi River. It's going to continue off to the northeast towards Jonesville and Faraday in Louisiana.

[00:05:07]And so that includes uh Tinses Parish, Concordian Parish, Kahula Parish, Franklin Parish, and then Adams County, Mississippi.

[00:05:24]And so that tornado warning will probably be allowed to expire fairly soon. Um just might have had a quick little uh spin up there potentially in Louisiana.

[00:05:35]So what you're going to see happen is as these storms mature, as they move into Mississippi, you're going to see this storm here over Louisiana. What's more than likely going to happen is this storm's going to begin um what in the world? Sorry. The storm's going to begin turning. And so what's going to happen is how it's kind of straight right now. The storm, the bottom end of the storm, the southern end is eventually going to curve in and you're going to get that classic kidney bean shape that you normally see. And so that's more than likely what's going to happen here over the next about uh 15 to 30 minutes with this storm that's nearing Natchez. And it has clear air to the south of it. So has plenty of energy being fed into it. And so uh that's where we're sitting right now with this storm.

[00:06:26]Let's see if I can get us a camera pulled up.

[00:06:30]This is currently what it looks like in Laurel, Mississippi. uh well ahead of the line currently, but these are the conditions currently way ahead of the storms, but I mean this area could be seeing these severe thunderstorms, these um potentially rotating thunderstorms later in the day. Clear for now, but it's going to go downhill fairly quickly if storms are able to fire up.

[00:07:00]Just trying to get something fixed on my end.

[00:07:05]to work with me here.

[00:07:10]There we go. We're good now.

[00:07:13]All right. Yeah, tornado warning has been uh cancelled there in Louisiana.

[00:07:21]And so now just a big old special weather statement. So while you're here, while we're waiting on storms to form, we still got a little while to go really before things really start going downhill. We still got uh we might get this storm over near Natches into another tornado warning in about the next 30 minutes or so, but really I think we have roughly an hour, an hour and a half before things really start to get um concerning across South Mississippi. Now, the storm nearing that nearing Nashes will probably become severe within about the next 30 minutes, but uh in terms of tornado potential, it might be a little longer than that.

[00:08:04]And so that's why that special weather statement's there. Keys size hail and 40 mph winds is the concern for Harrisonburg, Jonesville, and Faraday, uh, Louisiana.

[00:08:18]Let me see what we have here. So, what we can do for now is we can go ahead and kind of plan these things out for you when should things start getting kind of rough. So, we'll look at the HR here. HR has picked up amazingly on these storms already in Louisiana. And so as we move on across the next several hours, uh you're going to have more storms strengthening. So this is what it could look like at 6:00. And if this is what it looks like at 6:00, this would be fairly bad. The HR has been kind of aggressive today. Would would you say, Jake, we've been >> Yeah.

[00:08:52]>> Yeah. HR has been very aggressive today because this is like I said, this is what it could look like at 6:00. I mean, you're seeing multiple different cells on here with the HR that's rotating here. And there's plenty of fuel in the atmosphere. And so, if we switch it over to B uh cape, which is what we use like storm fuel. If we look at cape here, I mean, these storms have over 3,000 jewels per kilogram of cape. And so you might not want not know what those numbers mean, but usually anything above 2,000 is considered fairly uh high for us here in Mississippi. So 3,000 is a lot of fuel for these storms if they fire up. So any storms that fire up could be um a problem across the state of Mississippi. And so that's why um we're concerned going into this late evening and going into tonight, it should be all over by midnight. should be done by midnight. We'll we'll play it by ear. Um not going to stay live for right now for very long. Just giving you these updates for now, but I'll be live later when stuff starts to kind of go downhill a little more. Probably going live and staying live at about 4 to 4:30. So, if you're not following, make sure to follow Magnolia State Weather on Facebook or on YouTube. If you want to watch on a TV, way easier to watch on a TV with YouTube than it is Facebook. You can go subscribe on YouTube or follow on Facebook. I'm student meteorologist Ashton Champion if you didn't know.

[00:10:23]Welcome to Magnolia State Weather. I'm the guy here. Behind me, we have uh two of my fellow colleagues. Um Jake's behind me. You can't see him on the screen right now. And then Hudson's back there. He's the one whose head you can see. Uh we have the gang here. So, it's been a minute since we've had all of us, but um for a day like today, we have all uh hands on deck. Not saying that it's going to be a very very bad event, but it's a high ceiling event, a low floor event. So maybe nothing will happen, maybe a lot will happen. It's just one of those days. The ingredients are there, but will storms really fire off how we're expecting. Uh what about Stone County this evening? Stone County is not really in a tornado. Stone County is not even in the tornado watch right now. So, um, for Stone County, I mean, you will probably have the potential to see some, uh, severe thunderstorms, but really, I don't think the threat is, um, I don't really think it's too much of a concern there for Stone County. You're a little bit too far south, um, for storms to get you there. I'm pretty sure, uh, Wthal County, you definitely need to be, uh, aware uh, this evening. have a way to get alerts, have a safe spot ready just in case one of these storms forms far enough south uh to be a problem there in Marian County. But like I said, it might not even be bad for you if you're in the tornado watch. You might not even really see a severe thunderstorm. I mean, this run of the HR shows you clear for the Florida parishes and for the counties along the Mississippi Louisiana state line in southern Louisiana, but that that's just one thing that could happen.

[00:12:01]I mean really what you have to do with models is you have to kind of see the general idea and the general idea is we will see some supercells form across South Mississippi or South Louisiana at some point uh this evening or into tonight. So that's where we're sitting for now. That's the concern.

[00:12:25]And so that continues on throughout the night. really storms kind of weakening by 9:00. Maybe a few strong winds in there, but then storms really completely out of our hair. Not really to severe standards by about 1:00 a.m. Completely moving out by 6:00 a.m. in the morning.

[00:12:44]And so that's where we sit for now.

[00:12:47]And so that's our update we have. Now, we'll go through the radar one more time. New special weather statement issued here in Mississippi.

[00:12:57]So, new special weather statement includes Bixsburg just to the east of Talula, Louisiana.

[00:13:06]And so, if we go to reflectivity, a strong thunderstorm, but already look at this. This storm's already getting that hook shape that you look for supercells.

[00:13:14]Now, this one's a little farther north.

[00:13:16]It still has the potential to do something, but uh we go to velocity and not really seeing a lot of rotation right now. I mean, you can kind of see it coming together here on the other side of Vixsburg.

[00:13:28]Um, but right now, not enough rotation to be cause of concern for now. Just kind of some sales trying to mature. Um, but if this tells you anything, as we're going later into the evening, Jake said that he's expecting the lower level jet to play a factor with these storms because now as we're sitting here, um, what is it, 3:30, we're seeing a lot of these cells now start to hook around finally. Um, which means that the atmosphere is kind of ramping up. Um, we're looking at a severe potential within the next hour or so really.

[00:14:05]And so, like I said, you have that hook shape there, very low amounts of rotation right now, but with how but with how much energy the atmosphere has, it's not going to take much to really get these storms to rapidly intensify.

[00:14:21]We look a little farther south over towards Natchez. And so that cell that was once tornado warned um still has some rotation on it, still fairly weak, but we'll expect those rotations to um strengthen as we go into the evening.

[00:14:41]And so that's where we're sitting right now. We're going to continue to watch this cell up here near Vixsburg. It's still on the weaker side. It's young.

[00:14:50]It's a new cell. So it's going to take it a minute to form up. It might be a little bit too far north towards a cold front cuz we have already seen the cold front kind of make its way uh between Greenwood and Yazu City. So, it depends on if this cell stays south of the cold front we're looking at across northern Mississippi that's already moved through.

[00:15:15]But, I mean, even looking at some of these smaller cells, I mean, the cell over Newton, Louisiana, it's tiny, but you can already see a hook with it. Um, it's a young storm, so that one's not really cause a concern right now. But even the small little cells are starting to rotate in Louisiana right now. We're not seeing that really too much in Mississippi just yet. Um, the closest storm in Mississippi that's rotating is going to be that storm north of Vixsburg, and it's still fairly weak.

[00:15:48]So, that's where we sit right now. Um, so we're probably going to go off for now. Make sure you turn on notifications on Facebook and on YouTube to get our notifications of when we're going to go back live because you'll uh you'll get the notification when we go back live.

[00:16:04]So, um, what would I say the tornado threat is for today? I think the tornado threat is it's conditional. Um, if tornadoes form, I think they have a pretty high ceiling on where they can go. The main tornado threat is going to be here across south central Mississippi and south central or and then central Louisiana. Kind of the area I circled the primary concern. You can kind of extend that a little farther south. It really just depends on where storms fire up.

[00:16:40]And so that's kind of what I'm thinking right now. Franklin County, um I'd have a way to get alerts. Just be ready. uh for anything there in Franklin County.

[00:16:49]Really hard to see what's going on. Uh we're kind of early into this system for right now.

[00:16:58]Yeah. So, we're about to go off for now.

[00:17:00]Like I said, make sure you have a way to get alerts. We'll be back alive probably within the next 30 minutes, 45 minutes or so, or if one of these cells becomes severe, we'll be back alive. But we're here monitoring it. Just a quick little update um give that I'm giving you guys. Make sure you subscribe on the YouTube, follow on the Facebook, and have a way to get notifications and make sure you're checking in that we're live. But anyways, we'll be here. We're on standby. If we're not live, then it means that really we're not concerned with this yet. So, we'll be live in a little while. Just stay safe. Um but thank you for watching. Student meteorologist Ashton Champion here and I'll see y'all in a little bit.