Cambridge University research reveals that the fertility crisis stems from evolved mating psychology in materially abundant environments, where women's biological mechanisms for pair bonding are undermined by economic independence and contraceptive access; effective solutions require incentivizing family formation through targeted policies rather than generic economic incentives like free childcare, which have proven ineffective in Western Europe.
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How to Solve the “Fertility Crisis”Added:
Guys, I am not taking pleasure out of being right when it comes to my predictions. I don't enjoy predicting 8:00 at 7:30, but it becomes a responsibility when the consequences are too severe. You may not like what I have to say, but I am telling you, you would be served a lot better. Just taking them seriously. Taking them seriously and prepare accordingly. Cambridge University last month published an article basically admitting what we have been saying for years now. A major institution is finally voicing the real causes and for once not resorting to the stuff like oh people don't have money to have children. People are just addicted to the social media and all that stuff all that nonsense. Then a week later only a week later Kurtsk made a video a viral video. Finally people are admitting what is going on. But the problem is it is already the clock.
>> Germany will soon crash into the consequences of a fertility crisis made much worse by the mismanagement of the boomer generation. The demographic crisis is the greatest danger to German living standards and social cohesion. In Germany, the birth rate of most of its immigrants isn't higher than the locals.
And if new immigrants have more children, they tend to adjust to the rest of the population within two generations. Except for this part. I mean that 50% is actually pretty [ __ ] important difference. I was kind of mind blown that he said that. Like after showing the 50% difference, I was mind blown that he went on to say it isn't a significant difference. I mean sure 1.8 is still below 2.1 which is the replacement level but it is still way above 1.2. And on top of that you got to consider the context. Looking at this only as 50% is just lazy approach. You got to think about how many of those non-EU people are from Russia in these stats. How many of them are from Ukraine? Over a million Ukrainian refugees in Germany. How many of them are from Albania? Like those lower the average a bit. And then you got to look into the citizens. Citizens in this data set who are first generation, second generation. What would the fertility rates look like for citizens with no immigrant background? This is a very significant gap that is going to change the identity of a country over time. I mean, he's right in the sense that over multiple generations, the numbers start to converge, especially after the first generation. But it also depends on the migrant group we are talking about. It also depends on the country. Big destinations like France and Germany have bigger differences. I agree that it ain't a solution, but I don't agree that the difference is not significant.
>> The reality nobody wants to talk about is that solving the demographic crisis will be very painful. It will require sacrifices from everyone and politicians seem incapable of addressing it honestly. Instead of spending 25% of Germany's entire budget on the elderly, especially the wealthiest among them, we could invest more of it in families, paying for housing and childare, and making it an amazing deal to have a big family. More than anything, our attitude to kids and families needs to change.
>> They finally get the severity of the issue. They are finally capable of understanding it is 8:00 now. Yet they are incapable of addressing as to what needs to be done, what to do or child care sport. They say that they ain't going to do jack [ __ ] bro. Workingass white women are not having children because they are financially incapable.
Just look at never give up. Never give up is a great example of this. He relies on Swedish state welfare. I am not saying this. He said it himself. He's not rich. He relies on state welfare.
His wife doesn't work either. And still they make do. They are not homeless.
They didn't end up homeless. It is a matter of mentality. Mentality and willingness to sacrifice. And then after looking at never give up, look at Swedish woman, okay? Who have more money than him on average. Look at their fertility rate guys. Women in Sweden who were born in year 2000 have a birth rate of11.
0.11.
Bro, this number just halfed in just 10 years. Think about that for a second. On one hand, you have never give up. On the other hand, you have soish woman. Oh, we got to change how we see having children. Such a vague statement, lazy statement. There is not a real policy.
How are you going to have women change how they see children when they're at their most productive years? That is the crux of the issue. It is easy to criticize politicians without offering any actual policies. And I know you are going to say, "Oh, Ria, what is your solution then?" What do you suggest?
Last few weeks I have been thinking about this coming up with human and family centered solutions. I have prepared this legal framework which is ready to go ready. This is a five-point legal framework. I'm not going to read out the entire document. I'm just going to mention the major five articles. I have decided to name this fertility rehabilitation program. Article one, the first one, the most important one, real incentives act. This article is about very comprehensive incentive plan for businesses to hire married people with children who have children. Quotas will not be discriminatory. They are not going to be based on things like gender or race, but they are going to be based on need. Need who needs money more?
Who's going to put the money they earned back into the economy? People who have children. Companies will want to hire married people with children. There will be severe penalties for companies that are found that are detected to not prioritize hire married people with children despite having opportunities to do so despite having candidates. The state will do a very thorough investigation to detect such cases.
Another point, single and childless employees in certain industries are going to be subjected to a completely different tax cut. I am not talking about a 5% 10% difference here. certain industries will be affected differently.
Not every sector are going to face this.
I mean I have prepared the list the list of sectors industries in the document that exist too. But the point is this you are never going to make those white color people consider having children by giving them even more money by rewarding them for choosing their freedom over having children over making sacrifices.
You are never going to change her mind by offering free child care. Europe already does that. You're not going to change her mind by offering her [ __ ] section 8 housing. People who need section 8 already have two kids, two, three kids despite being broke.
Rewarding people who don't prioritize having children is never going to move the needle. Which brings us to the next point, next article. Article two, prioritizationbased prioritization. Prioritize those who prioritize having families. Positive incentives only for people who actually see having children as some sort of, you know, life goal. Look at which groups of young people see having children as one of their life goals and focus on how you can help them instead. That is why implemented economic incentives have been proven to be ineffective in Europe.
They are giving the wrong incentives to the wrong people. Bro, those incentives, economic incentives already exist in the Western Europe. They ain't done jack [ __ ] If anything, birth rates dropped even more. Even more. So, what does that tell you? Doubling down on policies that got you here in the first place is only going to make things worse. Cuz even with the economic incentives, children means sacrifice from your personal life.
At the end of the day, you got to consider to whom to whom you are giving those incentives, those positive incentives. As we know, young men today are falling behind regarding finding employment, finding opportunities in life. But at the same time, they are the ones wanting families and children. They will be the ones the state should focus on creating more opportunities for. Give them a chance to catch up to their female counterparts. This can include multiple stuff. Can include partnering up with certain Eastern European countries, easing up the visa requirements for certain Eastern European countries such as Ukraine for men to be able to bring their partners to get married. One important point here, the visas are going to be contingent on certain conditions. The visa and stay permit are not going to be unconditional. And on top of that, this article is going to include other stuff too. state sponsored looks maxing free vocational training for men you know single men subsidized the geomaxing from all angle we are going to prioritize men that prioritize us from every single angle those people are going to be the ones we are going to help not those who just want to hoard the resources for themselves for hedonistic purposes don't reward people who break the social contract by choosing their own short-term benefits and pleasures ers over a country that provided them with those opportunities in the first place.
A country only works when both parties hold up their end of the agreement, both the public and the state. You become a surgeon, right? Using the country's resources, but in return, you don't want to give anything back. You want to hoard it all for yourself. You don't want to provide any resource back to the public.
One of which is human resource. Of course, the most important resource, the most valuable, not taxes. You benefited majorly on the shoulders of previous generations. Your grandfathers who worked their asses off to put food on the table. Your mothers and grandmothers who made sacrifices, but you don't want to repay the favor. This social contract is broken. If you can't live the life you live now, if you have such a competitive edge, that is because of the previous generations of men and women making sacrifices. Article three, strengthening the family. A family-based civil law code. Under this framework, we are going to draft a new law code, civil law code. The civil law code is going to get an overhaul. Divorce laws, we are looking at alimony laws. They are all going to be reformed to make sure that the family is protected. I have made multiple possible suggestions in this regard as to how it should be done down to I'm not going to go into the details of this here. The next article four properly regulate online sex work industry. This is going to include adult apps like only fans but also dating apps like Tinder and Instagram. those apps, those platforms will have to apply for a new license, brand new license to be able to operate in the country. They are going to be registered under that specific category. And consequently, there are going to be significantly higher taxation on their revenue, on their sales. Now, of course, this can lead to creators on those platforms raising their prices. But if that is the case, let it be, bro. If Uffy doofy man want to pay that much to be able to finance what I was talking about in the article 2, if they want to finance the implementation of article 2, let them let them finance your lifestyle. Article five, championing family values. Under this program, the education system would be redesigned to place higher emphasis on family values. These values would be taught and gradually instilled in children. Again, I know this itself ain't going to do too much. This takes time, but it is still a step in the right direction and overall of the education system is going to have positive effects in the long term. Guys, this is a multiple page file. I am not going to read every single one of them, every single detail, but these are what are needed. These are the actual policies needed. This is what it is going to take. Not [ __ ] free child care and section 8 housing for women who don't even need it. My program is going to fix the issue, would fix it at least.
Is it going to happen? No. Sadly, no.
They are going to say, "Oh, economic reasons." They are not going to do it, but at least would solve it if implemented. You can never fix the problem by rewarding those people who broke the social contract in the first place. My fear is though, it is going to be too late when they finally realize what needs to be done. I hope that at least with the consequences, I don't get proven right yet. once again. But sadly and unfortunately, likely, very likely, it is going to happen again.
>> Now we are the Neanderthal.
>> Speak for yourself, Dr. TR.
>> The best you can hope, the best you can expect, a little less immigration, a little less inflation. That's about it.
That's going to be it, bro. Is Trump going to make liberal seat? Sure. They are going to produce some viral videos, ice deportation videos. They will make sure that there is some outcry to please their crowd and they are going to say look look at the leftists. They are crying and seeding over the deportation videos. You see that guys? ICE raided this house and family were left crying.
Are you guys tired of winning yet? But at the same time under the table they will ship your jobs to India. If they want to take you to war, they can do it with a political party that campaigns on peace. By the way, I know this won't be a very popular video. I know most of you support Trump. By the way, just to refresh your memory, this was what I said when Trump got elected in 2024.
When the entire manosphere was celebrating, I don't want to say I told you, but I did. I [ __ ] did. I literally described what was going to happen step by step. Only within everything I said came to pass. First, some public outcry about ICE. Then, Trump tells his base to calm down about deportations. you got to lighten up on this.
>> And then right after that went to war with Iran. And his entire campaign, entire 2024 campaign was based on if you vote for Camela, you are going to get dragged into wars for wars. We are going to focus on deportations, no more new wars. I told you back then, if the state wants you to go to war, they are going to do it with a candidate that campaigns on peace with nivist rhetoric and and jinning up resentment against the system to empower himself and the people around him and then brought the swamp closer to the periphery in his first and second administration, willing to say and do anything. Yeah, that all kind of turned out to be true.
Yeah, that basically turned out to be true.
>> Just seems so insane based on what he ran on. I mean, this is why a lot of people feel betrayed, right? He ran on no more wars and these stupid senseless wars and then we have one that we can't even really clearly define why we did it.
>> And we have a lot of heart, I said, you got to lighten up on this. We have a lot of heart for people. They came in illegally, but they're good people and they're working now in farms and they're working in lunchonets and hotels and all. And we're not looking. We're looking to get the criminals out right now. The criminals over the past 36 hours, the United States and its partners have launched Operation Epic Fury. And regarding Iran, I was proven right on that, too. Everything I said in those videos came to pass 3 months later. Clueless people on social media are acting like the regime change is inevitable. Bro, that is not going to happen unless the US make it happen. If you want a regime change, you have to take any help that you can get. And yes, that includes the US bombing the [ __ ] out of Iranian military. And even that is not enough. Air strikes can only do so much. You need ground sweeps. You need armed resistance to do ground sweeps because the US are not going to put boots on the ground in Iran. Like people always want change but they are not willing to make necessary sacrifices for those changes to make them happen.
You want freedom but you don't want to pay the price for it. For this reason they are going to face the exact same end. My personal prediction is the regime will stay in power alive but without any teeth. There won't be a fall of the Islamic Republic in Iran, but they will be castrated.
This was a similar excerpt from that video at the beginning of January. This was when the protests were at their peak when everybody was talking like it was going to be over for the regime. And what did I tell you? Even if the US were to bomb the [ __ ] out of Iran, which wasn't even a discussion at the time, by the way. But I said even then, even if the US starts bombing Iran without boots on the ground, the regime wouldn't fall.
They would have just left without any teeth. People there would suffer more.
But for a regime change, you wouldn't need boots on the ground. And the US is never going to do it. And that was in the beginning of January at the peak of protests. 3 months after that US started the war. I repeated this at the time also the day the war started. I repeated this. I explained in that video as well.
If you want a regime change then it has to be either militias from neighboring countries like Iraq or large scale boots on the ground deployment, American deployment. After I said that they bombed the country for six weeks straight. 6 weeks. Thousands of people died and the result, what is the result?
It is easy to say this now, but back then everybody was like, now that the bombs started dropping, it is a matter of time. It is all over for the regime.
This Friday is going to mark the exact 3 months from the day it started. And what is the result so far? After 3 months, their new leader is the son of the previous leader who is even a more hardliner. You ended up with another nut job. Except the country is even poorer.
For 3 months straight, there is no internet in the country. The currency, their currency tanked even more. I warned those people who were celebrating in the videos. No matter what happens, you are going to lose people in Iran. I mean, one at all, another one in except the facilities that you funded by your taxes are bombed out now. You are going to have to work harder to rebuild those facilities. I am not one of those Monday morning quarterbacks. Repeating it is over when the war started. But now, hey guys, listen. I think a ground force is needed. It is easy to say that now. It is already out in the open after three [ __ ] months. Everybody can already see that. But back then, American and Israeli intelligence agencies were reporting that if we start bombing, the protests will restart. Trump was saying that don't let this opportunity to pass to Iranian protesters. Why? Because his intelligence officials told him that strikes would reignite the movement and overthrow the regime. And then you got son of former president, Iranian president saying that I got 10,000 soldiers waiting for my signals. They are ready to switch sides once bombs start dropping. That was the vibe. Now of course it is obvious to everyone. And would an air strike would that be enough for them? Because we cannot topple.
>> We are the boots on the ground. It's the people on the streets. When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.
This is the moment for action. Do not let it pass.
>> And remember guys, this is really the better scenario for Iranians. The worst scenario, like I said in that video, it would be a possible civil war. If they brought in foreign militias from neighboring countries, you could be looking at a civil war, bro. At least the country didn't spiral into a full-blown civil war. It could be a lot worse. Look guys, you might dislike what I have to say. You might get offended, but they are the truth. Brutal, absolute truths. Iranian members were angry at me after that violence is not answer video because most of my Iranian viewers are from America. Their parents fled Iran after the Islamic revolution. I lost an Iranian friend, longtime friend, an Iranianame, very successful guy, very sharp, longtime member. I haven't spoken to him since that day, bro. I was just, you know, speaking my mind in that video telling you about the upcoming 8:00, but because of how I was talking about Iranian protesters, he left. People always say, "Holy [ __ ] Rehab, you got proven right." I mean, yeah, more often than not, I do get proven right. But I am also paying the price for it. I am paying the price because I say it when no one else is saying them, when they are unpopular. Then major intelligence agencies disagree with them. Everybody can call 8:00 at 8:00. Everybody can be a Monday morning quarterback.
>> This time the war will be for our streets, our cities, our homes. And by the time you see the need for my program, it'll be too late.
>> With time, people are going to realize how right I am on fertility issue. Also, with time, they are going to realize it because none of the other [ __ ] or free child care, none of that [ __ ] is going to fix it. This paper for example, it was published last month, only last month in the Cambridge University Press, correctly identifies the problem, the reasons behind it, but miserably fails on how to solve it. I will just read a couple short sentences.
When women are free to choose their own partners while also having economic independence and effective contraceptives, they evolved mating psychology motivate strategies that undermine payer bonding and thus sustainable fertility at the national level. Consequently, mostly all gender equal nations have entered the post-payer bonding fertility trap which impedes the formation of sufficient stable payer bonds to ensure their population's future survival. A woman with a mate value in the 16th percentile may desperately long for a partner. But if the biochemical algorithm that governs her mating strategies in response to her materially abundant environment will not release loveinducing hormones unless a potential partner scores above the 19th percentile pair bonding becomes less likely. Now these are all truths truths that we have been talking about for years. But what is the solution it offers for the situation? Giving single women even more money, even more financial resources, delusionally hoping that it is going to be what convinces them to be a single mother without any partner, which doesn't even make sense because the paper literally admitted itself that materially abundant environment is one of the major factors behind this crisis.
The solution got to fit the problem.
That is like realizing the brakes are failing, but your solution, your idea is to drive even faster. And not to mention there's a human element. Most women who claim that they would like to have children, they don't mean being a single mother through IVF. When they say that even the actual single mothers who got played by Chad, they didn't go into it and him those good-looking boys thinking, I just want to be a single mother through IVF, raising two children on my own. And on top of that, women don't really care about that, oh my genes, my genetic lineage. They don't care about it as much as men do. So to them, you might as well offer adopting a child. Opri 24/7 child care centers aka a glorified orphanage.
What kind of women are going to sign up for that? And what kind of more importantly what kind of children are going to come out of those glorified orphanages? They want to take away all the human and family element out of it and then think that is going to get people to reproduce more. How many individualistic women prioritizing their personal freedom will want to be a single mother through IVF? And the same goes for men as well. The paper suggests artificial wombs for men in 240, but that is far from being feasible. I know because I had researched about this last year when I was planning making a video about it. It won't be available only by 2040. And even if it was, being a single father is not what most men want. Truth be told, this is why I haven't made a video on surasa fatherhood. Multiple community members that I value have contacted me about this. Rehab, talk about how men should be looking into surasa fatherhood. Talk about the price, talk about the legal ways, legislations around it. And even though the idea itself is interesting, I didn't make a video about this before because of this because most men won't be into being a single father through surrogacy. Because even if you ease up the legislations around it, there will be responsibilities socially and economically. Like yes, unlike women, men do want children, but more often than not, they want it in the context of a family. a reliable at tonight only few few men are going to sign up for that single fatherhood even if it wasn't expensive and legally complicated and I got to say this too it is also not the ideal way not the healthy way to raise children that kid is going to know he's going to realize that he's literally motherless his loner dad brought him to this world by contracting some desperate Eastern European woman a woman he didn't even eat like so impersonal. It is just not an ideal solution for the general population. It can be a solution on an individual level for some men, but it will never solve the demographic problem at large. That is why I haven't made a video about it. And as a final note before I end the video, guys, the results of this of the birth rates falling down so fast is not even fully felt yet. People don't understand this.
They look at 1.4, for 1.5 but don't really understand what it means with people living until 90 now with younger people having even less children than those in their 40s with natives even less compared to the first generation second generation 1.5 it is just a number right people haven't felt the real consequences in full extent in about a decade or two they will they [ __ ] will I just hope that when they do it is Not too late. I mean, I can only hope that at least with the consequences of this, I don't get proven right yet once again. But then again, that is like hoping 8:00 never comes.
Don't be a free agent in life.
>> We're sorry, Dr. Tras, but your sentinel program, it ain't going to fly.
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