A comparison of the most recent Earthquake swarm near Brawley Vs 2021 Swarm. Wed Night update.

追加: 2026-05-15

[00:00:00]What's going on there, folks? Welcome back here to a Wednesday night. It is the Earthmaster out here. 10:46 PM California time.

[00:00:10]Uh May 13, 2026. Latest activity on the earthquake 3D globe shows a 2.8.

[00:00:17]Uh see where that 2.8 is. Got a red flag somewhere out here. Probably going to be clustered underneath the Indonesia area out here. Also, uh there there it is.

[00:00:27]Also some movement there in California with a little 0.9 nine, not a nine magnitude, but a 0.9. Uh before we get into the rest of the earthquake activity, kind of want to talk about this, you know, the more recent swarm down here across the Broly seismic zone and compare it to one of the more recent swarms back in 2021. I went down here to investigate a decentsized swarm that was happening a little bit further up north here along the Broly Seismic Zone, closer to the Sultan Sea. I was getting awfully close there to the south branch of the San Andreas fault. Just went down there to investigate uh some of the the geological happenings and whatnot. Uh but here's the most recent swarm there.

[00:01:05]Uh some of that does include some activity.

[00:01:09]Oh, back in the um when was that? Last few months or so.

[00:01:16]Take that back. That's been uh looks like most of that has happened here this month. So, we got 486 earthquakes.

[00:01:23]There's a couple out here. See the gray circles from back in February. Uh, but the majority of these occurred here in the last week or so uh there across the Broly seismic zone. Got 486 earthquakes.

[00:01:36]A magnitude 1.0 and above. The largest magnitude here is going to be that 4.7.

[00:01:43]Quite a few fours in there. There's 4.5 as well. We've had four four pointers.

[00:01:48]the amount of earthquake activity happening right now. Let's see what we got. Let's see what it looks like in the uh last 24 hours here. Looks like it's going down. We got about 12 here.

[00:01:59]Largest being a 2.5. Now, how does that compare to the event? Well, back in 2021, early June, about the first week and a half there of June, we had quite the earthquake swarm, including a five-pointer. I remember when that came in 5.3 quite a few fours there in early June a lot more I would say double the amount of fours and if you look at the magnitudes there you know that's a much considerably higher number than the almost 500 earthquakes there that we had uh in the last week or so across the Broly area. In fact, almost 3,000 earthquakes struck that earthquakes that uh Broly area north of there with that earthquake swarm. So that definitely, you know, it's less of an event here that we've recently had in terms of magnitude and multitudes. That was an incredible swarm uh that happened out there in early June of 2021. So, I figured I'd give you guys a comparison.

[00:03:01]That was quite the active year out there in early 2021.

[00:03:06]A lot of swarming going on, but it's something to watch. You know, it seems like it does stir up on occasion. One of these times, who knows? It might might stir up something bigger, but we do got to watch that. Looks like for now, the magnitudes are starting to die down.

[00:03:22]Moving up north here, let's see what we got here for the 2.5 model and above.

[00:03:26]Just that one earthquake this morning for 2.5 in the Barley area. Aside from that, a couple earthquakes up around along the um uh the Redlands area outside of the Redlands region. This has been swarming off and on as well with a number of earthquakes there in the two and three range that's starting to kick back up here a little bit uh today.

[00:03:45]Nothing big. Six earthquakes in that uh swarm. Just keep an eye here on Southern California. Nothing going on there across the Parkfield section. The Bay Area pretty quiet.

[00:03:56]In fact, uh, man, when was our last event there of any felt magnitude aside from the geysers activity out there? We had one earthquake, 2.7, but look at that. Only five earthquakes here in the last 30 days of 2.5 and above. You know, we've had a few micro quakes, but even then, it's been uh a little on the quiet side across the Bay region. What's going on there? Uh, Northern California, not so much going on there. We did have that one earthquake out into the Blanco fracture zone here. Strikes a boundary which further stresses the southern end of the Cascadia. So, let's see the tremor counts here. Well, that's from yesterday. Let me double check uh today's event. I don't think it'd be seven again. If it's going to be seven, I' i'd be uh I'd be making a phone call or an email because that just doesn't seem right. 32 of them down across the extreme southern end there of the Cascadia subduction zone.

[00:04:55]So, um but just a little odd and I say odd because the last couple days were only seven each uh seven on each day uh aside from today's which is 32. Washington area handful of smaller quakes outside of Mount Reneer but really nothing big.

[00:05:13]All earthquakes there in the one range.

[00:05:16]Nevada still seeing some activity out there around the Fallon area. Quite a few twos out there, including the 3.4 earlier this afternoon.

[00:05:24]That uh let's see what we got here for a total tally now. Approaching 500 earthquakes.

[00:05:32]Uh but nothing. Yeah. See, even in this swarm of activity, they they uh didn't include the earthquakes underneath 1.0.

[00:05:42]And you got to remember for every two-pointer there's going to be double onepinters and for every onep pointer you gota it's there's got to be a bunch of small micro quakes in there but similar to the Broly zone uh not being reported.

[00:05:57]Utah area handful of smaller quakes really nothing big. The rest of the country as you can see pretty quiet out there. one earthquake out in the uh New York area earlier this evening. Little 2.3. Shouldn't say quiet completely because we got the oil fields out there kicking up. Uh the Big Island, Hawaii. I believe the eruption has started. Let's go see here what we got for the Kilaway volcano. I know it was getting close.

[00:06:23]Definitely getting close out there.

[00:06:26]Uh let's see. As darkness falls, uh, VCAM 1 is, uh, providing views of periodic north vent spattering.

[00:06:36]This indicates that lava is close to the surface and the fountaining. Episode 47 may be de nearing. Let's see what we got here for the webcam imagery uh, from the public domains here. Uh, one of the active vents here looks like it's getting close here. I don't see the eruption yet, but it's uh, it's glowing.

[00:06:54]I think we're getting awfully close.

[00:06:56]Let's see what we got here for the deformation data there at the summit of Kilawea volcano. We've uh it looks like we're at or maybe surpassed here the last inflation level. So this is probably going to pop very soon, very very soon. Uh definitely by morning at the Kilawa volcano.

[00:07:21]uh largest magnitude earthquake here in the last 24 hours goes to a well even a a minor to moderate 5.3 out in the Philippines here 21 miles deep. Yes, we've had some earthquake activity out here some out here in the rift boundary of Ethiopia.

[00:07:38]Um I think there's some activity out here around the Cuba area or south of Cuba. That's Jamaica 4.3. That was early this morning. But man, you know, if you look at these numbers here, we've actually only had two five-pointers after midnight. This one was previous uh from yesterday. So, it's technically been, yeah, you guessed it, a quiet day in terms of any large magnitudes. And the multitudes out here are a little quiet as well.

[00:08:08]I'm really shocked here because, you know, we got this massive coronal hole facing us. In fact, it's starting to turn away from the planet now over here to the western side of the sun. And we have yet to see any major increase in earthquake activity. Uh I will give it, like I say, I'll give it the arrival here of the high-speed solar windstream.

[00:08:30]uh another couple days.

[00:08:32]Uh and I what I'm getting at here is that there's, you know, some potential that these coronal holes here, the massive ones like we're seeing right now, this is not up north like this one, and it's not way down south. This is mid latitude directly directly at the planet.

[00:08:49]Couldn't get any more squared up in terms of the Earth's sun plane. uh these things have been thought to maybe elevate earthquake activity, but aside, you know, aside from just some small normal 5.0 earthquake activity today and yesterday, we have yet to see anything that tells me that this is stirring up to plates right now. So, I'll give it a couple more days and see what happens here. But man, it's if anything, it's quieter.

[00:09:17]Flaring activity, not so much going on.

[00:09:19]Couple seaf flares, but the flare threat will continue to drop. I'm thinking a 1% chance or less for X flare. Mflare should be around 20%. Look at these sunspots up here. Fairly quiet. This one over here is fairly stable. It's losing its magnetic complexity. All these other sunspots out there are just dying off as well. There's our G2 class storm. Looks like the arrival of the high-speed solar windstream should hit us tomorrow. Not for sure why why that came to halt here. Uh only one period of elevated solar windstream. I I don't think it's supposed to be like that because this is a fairly massive coronal hole. It is shooting out, you know, a lot of high-speed solar windstream and it will stir up the auroras it looks like. But I I don't think it's going to You never know. I may be eating my words in the morning. We may see a big earthquake overnight. You just never know. It's something I've been keeping track of.

[00:10:17]uh in terms of the space weather activity and elevated earthquake activity here on the planet. Here's the um high-speed solar wind stream. Here's a radio velocity earth in the green.

[00:10:28]This is the sun. Here's comes the uh high-speed solar windream that hits a planet here. It looks like on the 15th or so. And that's going to be elevated for, you know, a couple days at least as we're inside that high-speed solar windstream there. So, that G2 class storm should be more than just three hours, you know, like they're showing on the space weather site here, Solar Ham.

[00:10:53]Um, I don't think Kevin's updated this, but this should be probably at least G1, G2 all across the board here for the next couple days. So, we'll watch that.

[00:11:02]Either way, we got the potential for some aurora activity tomorrow night, Thursday night, it looks like. We'll check back on that uh as we get a little bit closer there to that time period.

[00:11:13]Aside from that, uh nothing major going on for the severe weather world. Down the road though, day four, day five, day six, looks like coming up uh this weekend and early next week here, we got uh some severe weather days to chat about. We'll look at that as of course as we get a little bit closer here. Hi, the uh seismograph stations out here all look pretty quiet. Really quiet in fact.

[00:11:38]So, we'll see what happens by morning time. See if anything stirs up or not. I don't want it to, but I'm just trying to see, you know, if there's a a relationship there between the space weather there, the chronal hole activity and elevated earthquake activity right now. Uh, it doesn't look like much. Yes, we have some activity around the planet happening, but I don't see any tells me, wow, look what's going on. You know, the typical subduction zones here active.

[00:12:06]South America as well. Now, there's a newer earthquake out way up north here in the Atlantic.

[00:12:12]But it's really nothing that we don't typically get on any given day here regardless of space weather activity.

[00:12:20]So anyway, we'll keep an eye on it folks. Have yourself a wonderful evening. We will see you guys back out here for the Thursday morning update.

[00:12:28]Take care.