☀️⛱️Below Average Rainfall and Above Average Temperatures: Barbados Climate Outlook .☀️⛱️

Added: 2026-05-31

[00:00:00]Hello ladies and gentlemen. So, this is not our usual kind of video, but we've been getting a lot of questions persons asking about what to expect for the upcoming wet season. So, I thought I'd put it together in a formalized video for you guys. Don't mind this name here.

[00:00:14]The information is still pertinent.

[00:00:16]Let's get right into it.

[00:00:18]So, the predictions for the rainy season. We're expecting below average rainfall for all of the rainy season except for July here where things are expected to be near average to below average, but the general trend is that we're expecting things to be below average. This doesn't mean we're not going to get any rainfall. We will still get some rainfall.

[00:00:39]But, what this suggests is that we're going to have periods of dryness followed by what the models are suggesting to be short rainfall events followed by more periods of dryness. In terms of the temperatures, right now we're comparing the previous years. So, we have 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 here. Uh we actually had our record temperature in 2023 here, but overall 2024 was a hotter year. Now, we're actually on course to be around the same sort of temperatures as last year, 2025, which is a good thing. It means that we're not expecting any record-breaking temperatures this year.

[00:01:16]But, we are still above the climatological average, which is the average taken from the previous 30 years. So, good news, not as hot as 2024 or 2023.

[00:01:27]Bad news, still slightly above average.

[00:01:30]Now, where are we suggesting that things may be above average? Well, the statistical models are suggesting that there's a high likelihood for the maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures to be above average here. They yeah, there's like a 9% chance for things to be below, but that's significantly lower than 61%. You can see here for the most part, most of these are above 50%. Now, persons usually understand the importance of the maximum temperature and the mean temperature, but we'll to about the minimum temperature here.

[00:01:59]Similarly to last year, where where the minimum temperature is elevated, it means that things can be a little more uncomfortable.

[00:02:08]So, be aware of that as you go into the oncoming months. Now, we don't want to waste much of your time. We want to get straight to the point. What are the impacts we're really expecting from all of this? For the rainfall, we're expecting dry spells during the wet season, particularly across the southeast and northeast parts of the island. And we're expecting those intense rainfall patterns in isolation.

[00:02:28]For the temperatures, we expect hot spells in the middle of the wet season, which will compound with those periods of dryness, leading to some less than desirable conditions.

[00:02:38]But, fortunately, we're not expecting it to break a record in 2023.

[00:02:43]Interestingly, and for the future for us to watch, we're seeing a increase in those sea surface temperatures, which could lead to a warmer and drier 2027, but we're getting ahead of ourselves there. That's one for us to watch. I'll let you know as we go along. Now, in conclusion, higher temperatures, heat waves possible in the southwest and western sections, particularly in urban areas. We're talking about town and a lot of the west coast and south coast. These areas are particularly susceptible to heat as there's a lot more concrete, a lot more urban density.

[00:03:19]We're also expecting those periods of dryness and the wet season to have those shorter, intense rainfall events. Want to hammer that home. Doesn't mean we're not getting rain. It just means when we do get rain, it'll be far and few between, but it'll be intense.

[00:03:34]Now, if you found this information useful, if you found this interesting at all, we do publish all of this information in our monthly newsletter, the Beacon, which you can find on our website, barbadosweather.org.

[00:03:45]Click on the climate tab and come to the climate newsletter. It'll give you all the information we mentioned here and more.

[00:03:53]Now, that's it for today, ladies and gentlemen. As always, thank you so much for watching. Have a very merry day and stay safe.