Vijay's TVK projected to win 98-120 seats in Tamil Nadu: Axis My India exit poll | TN Elections

Añadido: 2026-04-29

[00:00:00]Meanwhile, Praib Gupta, uh, since you're throwing in a lot of, you know, wait for a big surprise, wait for a big surprise, I don't know. Can you give us the numbers directly?

[00:00:19]So, so% I won't make YOU CRY. NO, PLEASE MAKE US WAIT any longer. No, no, everyone's okay. Please go number.

[00:00:43]>> Uh, even I am searching for my Tamil Nadu number. It is my Tamil Nadu number for TVK TV between 98 seats to 110 seat.

[00:00:55]Oh, sorry 98 to20 seats. 98 to20 seats and DMK plus DMK plus 92 to 110.

[00:01:06]>> Now one minute one minute let me digest what you've just said. I'm going to go on the Axita I'll go on the and and give the make those numbers the moment we get them. You are telling me Praep Gupta is saying Mr. Vijay is going to be party number one. TVK as of now this is the biggest news as of now that we've got from this exit poll. You are telling me TVK Vijay will be the party number one of Tamil Nadu closely followed by the DMK AIDMK completely wiped out not even 20 25 seats am I correct >> 22 to 32 seats for AIDMK alliance >> yeah but that's a complete so you're saying it's a hung assembly >> with Vijay want can be king maker but probably king because he's got three times more seats than what the AIDSMK has got. So, Palani Swami may have to compromise and support Vijay as could the NDA basically the NDA. So, so what you're predicting if your numbers are holding for Tamil Nadu and we'll put those numbers up in a moment. You want to repeat those numbers 234 member assembly. Repeat those numbers so that we flash them. 92 the numbers >> 92 92 to 110 110 in favor of DMK Alliance 92 to 110 for DMK Alliance and for TVK 98 to20 98 to20 majority mark is 118 is still 98 if if >> TV secure for example just a moment if example TVK secured 100 seats and DMK secure 110 don't call me Prahep your poll is wrong I'm telling you because you have to see both the number on the telly both the number on the daily yeah so I've got I I'm going to repeat your numbers DMK plus allies 90 to 110 remember halfway mark is 117 in Tamil Nadu you get 118 you have a majority TV 98 to 120 so their halfway mark between 98 and 120 is about 109 which is a little ahead of what the DMK's alliance is halfway mark is 101 AIDMK 22 to 32 so halfway mark is 27 what you're telling me is TVK is party number one as of now remember DMK is with allies so it's not just the DMK on its own with allies it is between 92 and 110 that includes the Congress the VCK the DMD DK, the MDMK, it's a 21 member alliance versus a party that has gone into these polls virtually on its own to get 98 to 120. This is arguably if these numbers hold >> the biggest turnaround since NTR in 1983 in terms of debut. Of course, Arbin Kiwal was another example of someone debut but in a smaller state like Delhi.

[00:04:14]This could be the biggest news that you have. Remember last time you got Bengal wrong, Mtab Banerjee could have thrown was infuriated. Now you will infuriate MK Stalin if these numbers hold. How confident are you about your Tamil Nadu numbers given this sensational number that you're giving at the moment?

[00:04:35]So Raz let me give you the vote share also we are predicting 35% both DMK alliance and TVK both 35% both for both the only difference why the TVK seats looks like more is that wherever DMK is winning they are winning with a good margin whereas the winning margin is much lower when it comes to TVK and that is the precisely reason why I'm telling you again and 10 even if TV got 100 seat and DMK gets 110 my poll is saying so but you see the one side of the story that's the problem >> what is the other side of the story >> the story is that TV even end up with a lower range of 98 seats and higher range for 110 for DMK alliance you are not looking at that >> but still number Praep Gupta at the end of the day the biggest question that was being asked of the TV is even if they get the vote shenan 35% sure many did say maybe it's possible you know consolidating that to ensure seat wins everyone said that's a huge challenge for TV you believe that they've actually managed to transform that vote share into seats so much so that you're giving them even triple digit >> that's the reason I tell you why it is if you see my the detail analysis the in the age group in the age group and gender group you will find the all the difference >> among the >> that women and youth then you're suggesting >> youth yes when I say youth I'm referring to 18 to 39 year of age which contributes to 42% of the population where TV vij is sweeping sweeping >> and that's what I refer to as gensification of the election but when you ask them the question on preferred CM does Vijay score over stall >> yes 37% I'm looking at that number here.

[00:06:36]>> More popular that way more popular among the other parties is more popular in that sense.

[00:06:42]>> You know, I'm not surprised by that. But what I'm surprised by is the fact that it's converting into seats. There's no traditional vote bank. There's no traditional vote bank for the TV. You know, all this while while everyone spoke of the Vijay impact, what you're suggesting is that he's going to be doing an MGR once again. He's the next MGR of Tamil Nadu going by your numbers.

[00:07:03]>> Yes, that is precisely I'm predicting MGR and NTR of Andhra Pradesh.

[00:07:09]>> That changes politics forever.

[00:07:12]>> What what could have happened? I mean I'm looking now at your deep dive >> and Axida you can correct me. The DMK dominated northern Tamil Nadu and Chennai in particular and they won it by big margins. This was also the area where TVK focused a lot of its political equity on. So the traditional belie what the TVK seems to have done if Praep's numbers hold they have cut into the anti-incumbency vote particularly in western Tamil Nadu where the AIDMK is strong and prevented the AIDMK from winning some of the seats that they used to traditionally win in area like Ero Salem where they would never lose those were their their bastions but if these numbers hold they've obviously swept urban and semi-urban Tamil Nadu that's the whole what Praep's numbers are surprising me is that you're seemingly claiming that even in rural with Tamil Nadu where there was a belief that the TVK would struggle because they don't have the organizational machine to match the DM DMK and AIDMK they are winning there this is a wave whichever way even though it's 35% 35% it's a bit of a wave because they are winning across parts of Tamil Nadu where you wouldn't have expected them to win >> if these numbers hold >> Rajep hear me out in Chennai in Chennai region they are doing extraordinarily good. Extraordinarily good. Even even for that matter those big stalward the biggest name in the Chennai and the Tamil Nadu may have tough time may have >> Are you saying Kol are you suggesting Stalin? Are you suggesting chapidi Stalin?

[00:08:47]>> I am suggesting all the big guns including the name you suggested. I'm not saying they are losing. I am saying it's not easy in Chennai particularly >> in southern Tamil Nadu also TVK is doing very good >> ini delta cavary delta area DMK is doing good in western Tamil Nadu where Jalita used to do good all three are doing good all three are doing good >> and in northern Tamil Nadu DMK is doing Little better than B.